Jackson Nove

P Stockton Ports

Age 24 LHP 6'5" / 230 lbs A peak 0.2 · 2028

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2026	23	MIX2 levels	33	9	83	4.01	2.90	30.7%	7.9%	—	K 22.8% · BB 9.2% · FIP 4.13
2027PROJ	24	MLBOAK	55	0	58	4.44	4.44	22.2%	9.2%	0.1
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBOAK	30	0	32	4.39	4.36	22.7%	9.0%	0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBOAK	48	0	50	4.35	4.33	22.9%	8.9%	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsGarrett Schoenle (age 24) · Sean Mellen (age 24) · Zack Thompson (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101109vR 118

ERA4.44

FIP4.44

K%22.2%

BB%9.2%

K-BB%13.0%

Proj IP58

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	9	83	355	109	28	9	27%	2.5	22.8%	9.2%	13.6%	3.3%	4.01	4.13	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	9	83	355	109	28	9	27%	2.5	22.8%	9.2%	13.6%	3.3%	4.01	4.13	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	9	83	355	109	28	9	27%	2.5	30.7%	7.9%	22.8%	2.5%	4.01	2.90	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	OAK	55	0	58	245	54	23	7	0%	1.1	22.2%	9.2%	13.0%	3.0%	4.44	4.44	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	OAK	72	0	76	319	72	29	10	0%	1.0	22.7%	9.0%	13.7%	3.0%	4.39	4.36	+0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	OAK	72	0	76	319	73	29	10	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.9%	14.0%	3.0%	4.35	4.33	+0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	OAK	71	0	74	315	72	28	10	0%	1.0	23.0%	9.0%	13.9%	3.1%	4.36	4.37	+0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	OAK	69	0	72	305	70	28	10	0%	1.0	22.9%	9.2%	13.7%	3.2%	4.42	4.45	+0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	OAK	66	0	69	291	66	27	10	0%	1.0	22.6%	9.4%	13.2%	3.3%	4.52	4.58	-0.0
2033	30	MLB MLE	OAK	62	0	65	274	61	27	10	0%	1.0	22.3%	9.7%	12.6%	3.5%	4.66	4.76	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	OAK	30	0	32	135	31	12	4	0%	1.1	22.7%	9.0%	13.7%	3.0%	4.39	4.36	+0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	OAK	48	0	50	211	48	19	6	0%	1.0	22.9%	8.9%	14.0%	3.0%	4.35	4.33	+0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55	0	58	245	56	22	8	0%	1.1	23.0%	9.0%	13.9%	3.1%	4.36	4.37	+0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	OAK	58	0	61	258	59	24	8	0%	1.1	22.9%	9.2%	13.7%	3.2%	4.42	4.45	+0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	OAK	57	0	60	253	57	24	8	0%	1.1	22.6%	9.4%	13.2%	3.3%	4.52	4.58	-0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	OAK	55	0	58	245	55	24	9	0%	1.1	22.3%	9.7%	12.6%	3.5%	4.66	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		304	0	319	1349	306	125	43	0%	1.1	22.7%	9.2%	13.5%	3.2%	4.46	4.11	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	192	78	27	0%	1.0	22.7%	9.2%	13.5%	3.2%	4.46	4.11	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		33	9	83	355	81	33	12	27%	2.5	22.8%	9.2%	13.6%	3.3%	4.01	4.13	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		80	22	200	855	195	79	28	27%	2.5	22.8%	9.2%	13.6%	3.3%	4.01	4.13	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jackson Nove (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.44	22.2%	9.2%	3.0%	—	4.35	22.9%	13.9%	226	-0.09	—	—	—
Garrett Schoenle L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SW	4.60	21.4%	10.8%	3.5%	.263	4.25	20.9%	9.7%	219	-0.35	2.32	362	81
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	81
Zack Thompson L 2022 · 3.80 FIP	24	SW	3.80	23.6%	9.9%	2.6%	.243	4.56	23.4%	10.8%	208	+0.76	2.03	402	81
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	79
Samuel Strickland L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	24	SW	4.87	19.5%	7.3%	4.5%	.337	3.53	20.1%	14.4%	148	-1.34	2.91	292	79
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	79
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	78
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	78
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	78
Christian Jones L 2015 · 3.32 FIP	24	SU	3.32	18.5%	7.4%	1.6%	.319	4.00	15.0%	3.7%	89	+0.68	3.32	161	77
Mac Lardner L 2022 · 5.08 FIP	24	SW	5.08	17.4%	9.4%	4.1%	.318	3.66	17.5%	8.1%	62	-1.42	3.66	186	77
Ismael Guillón L 2016 · 4.38 FIP	24	SW	4.38	24.9%	12.5%	3.3%	.206	4.43	20.1%	6.0%	100	+0.05	4.35	193	77
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	76
Ben Wereski L 2022 · 4.78 FIP	24	SU	4.78	18.6%	7.6%	4.2%	.287	3.73	29.0%	21.6%	20	-1.05	3.73	142	76
Tyler Holton L 2021 · 3.35 FIP	25	SW	3.35	22.0%	6.6%	2.3%	.393	3.41	22.0%	16.1%	224	+0.06	2.97	439	76
Michael Johnson L 2015 · 3.92 FIP	24	SU	3.92	20.6%	9.4%	2.5%	.260	4.70	17.6%	7.7%	185	+0.78	3.92	256	76
Jonathan Sánchez L 2007 · 4.18 FIP	24	SU	4.18	26.1%	11.3%	3.4%	.348	3.85	24.3%	13.1%	515	-0.33	3.65	895	76
Charlie Furbush L 2011 · 4.95 FIP	25	SW	4.95	18.0%	7.5%	4.4%	.310	2.67	28.8%	21.4%	154	-2.28	2.40	261	76
Matt Walker L 2022 · 4.54 FIP	24	SW	4.54	17.7%	12.8%	2.4%	.338	4.73	12.7%	2.7%	41	+0.19	4.21	156	75
Matt Whitehouse L 2016 · 3.37 FIP	25	SU	3.37	19.0%	9.9%	1.1%	.304	4.46	16.9%	7.4%	276	+1.09	3.37	353	75

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	70	22.7%	9.2%	1.22	4.44
Luis Vizcaino ('09)	2.7	68	21.0%	10.1%	1.30	4.33
Mark Lowe ('16)	1.9	64	20.9%	9.7%	1.10	4.22
David Hernandez ('19)	3.2	65	23.9%	9.1%	1.22	4.12
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Wes Stock ('59-'67, 2 WAR*)	2.6	74	22.3%*	9.6%*	1.29*	4.22*
Frank DiPino ('81-'93, 3 WAR*)	3.5	78	22.5%*	9.0%*	1.00*	4.44*