Luke Cantwell1B
Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 23
L/R
6'0" / 200 lbs
A
HR +13%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.1 · 2029
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .278 / .327
PA53
HR1
K%29
BB%7
MLB%0%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | — | — | — |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $3M | $-14M | -$17M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 22 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .318 | .400 | .718 | .150 | .250 | 14 | 5 | .271 | 66 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Lake Elsinore Storm | 41 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .176 | .317 | .235 | .552 | .059 | .240 | 22 | 10 | .247 | 47 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | SD | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .182 | .250 | .182 | .432 | .000 | .286 | 25 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| TOT | 23 | MLB | SD | 53 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | .178 | .302 | .222 | .524 | .044 | .242 | 23 | 9 | .253 | 52 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB 10% | SD | 149 | 134 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .216 | .291 | .336 | .626 | .119 | .284 | 26 | 8 | .291 | 81 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB 25% | SD | 253 | 226 | 51 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 64 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .226 | .303 | .363 | .666 | .137 | .286 | 25 | 8 | .300 | 88 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -5 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB 42% | SD | 326 | 291 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 81 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .227 | .303 | .364 | .668 | .137 | .287 | 25 | 8 | .304 | 91 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -6 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB 58% | SD | 366 | 326 | 75 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 31 | 92 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .230 | .309 | .374 | .683 | .144 | .287 | 25 | 8 | .305 | 92 | -3 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB 68% | SD | 389 | 347 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 33 | 98 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .228 | .306 | .366 | .672 | .138 | .287 | 25 | 8 | .304 | 91 | -4 | +1 | -1 | -7 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB 77% | SD | 397 | 354 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 101 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .223 | .302 | .359 | .661 | .136 | .286 | 25 | 9 | .302 | 89 | -5 | +1 | -1 | -7 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB 84% | SD | 399 | 355 | 79 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 103 | 6 | 5 | 0 | .223 | .303 | .358 | .661 | .135 | .284 | 26 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | +1 | -2 | -7 | +11 | -0.3 |
| 2034 | 31 | MLB | SD | 391 | 348 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 103 | 6 | 3 | 0 | .221 | .302 | .351 | .652 | .129 | .283 | 26 | 9 | .295 | 84 | -7 | +1 | -3 | -7 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2035 | 32 | MLB | SD | 377 | 336 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 101 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .220 | .299 | .351 | .651 | .131 | .281 | 27 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -8 | +0 | -4 | -7 | +11 | -0.8 |
| 2036 | 33 | MLB | SD | 350 | 312 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 96 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .218 | .297 | .346 | .643 | .128 | .280 | 27 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -9 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +10 | -1.0 |
| 2037 | 34 | MLB | SD | 307 | 274 | 58 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 87 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .212 | .289 | .328 | .618 | .117 | .278 | 28 | 8 | .278 | 71 | -10 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +9 | -1.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3738 | 3334 | 742 | 130 | 21 | 90 | 318 | 970 | 56 | 41 | 6 | .223 | .301 | .355 | .656 | .133 | .284 | 26 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -65 | +6 | -20 | -67 | +106 | -4.0 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 580 | 130 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 55 | 169 | 10 | 7 | 1 | .224 | .302 | .360 | .663 | .136 | .286 | 26 | 8 | .296 | 85 | -11 | +1 | -3 | -12 | +18 | -0.7 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Fort Wayne TinCaps | 22 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .250 | .318 | .400 | .718 | .150 | .235 | 9 | 5 | .324 | 106 | +0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Luke Cantwell (OGILVIE) | 23 | — | — | — | — | .214/.278/.327 | .114 | .290 | 1 | 1 | 29% | 7% | 68 | -0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Chris Meyers 2022 · A |
23 | 41→46 | 42→50 | 51→40 | 45 | .201/.269/.304 | .103 | .264 | 9 | 11 | 26% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.280/.362 | .140 | .293 | 16 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .226/.286/.378 | .152 | .294 | 19 | 3 | 29% | 6% | 82 | +0.3 |
|
✕Nicky Delmonico 2015 · A |
23 | 39→47 | 48→55 | 46→45 | 43 | .204/.269/.341 | .137 | .271 | 16 | 8 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .226/.282/.376 | .150 | .297 | 15 | 6 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .233/.301/.393 | .161 | .284 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2021 · A |
22 | 39→46 | 42→60 | 46→45 | 40 | .197/.250/.302 | .104 | .268 | 10 | 9 | 30% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .217/.274/.390 | .173 | .270 | 22 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 83 | +0.6 | .224/.290/.404 | .180 | .268 | 24 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Taylor Trammell 2021 · AA |
23 | 41→46 | 40→55 | 51→55 | 45 | .199/.275/.286 | .087 | .289 | 8 | 17 | 32% | 9% | 56 | -1.3 | .209/.288/.365 | .156 | .289 | 19 | 15 | 32% | 9% | 82 | +0.5 | .205/.299/.385 | .179 | .274 | 22 | 23 | 32% | 11% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Brian O'Grady 2015 · A |
23 | 40→39 | 43→60 | 53→50 | 47 | .198/.263/.312 | .114 | .259 | 9 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 57 | -1.2 | .192/.274/.305 | .113 | .267 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .210/.274/.401 | .191 | .276 | 23 | 15 | 32% | 7% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
●Jack Suwinski 2021 · A |
23 | 38→41 | 44→60 | 48→50 | 41 | .191/.252/.307 | .116 | .277 | 12 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 52 | -1.6 | .211/.294/.396 | .185 | .299 | 24 | 9 | 35% | 10% | 94 | +1.3 | .210/.307/.421 | .211 | .281 | 28 | 10 | 34% | 11% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
✕Jordan Patterson 2015 · A |
23 | 42→49 | 43→50 | 47→50 | 40 | .210/.271/.317 | .108 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 28% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .224/.282/.365 | .141 | .307 | 14 | 11 | 30% | 5% | 80 | +0.4 | .221/.281/.375 | .154 | .306 | 15 | 9 | 31% | 5% | 79 | +0.2 |
|
●Brock Stassi 2013 · A |
23 | 44→54 | 42→45 | 51→45 | 46 | .216/.271/.324 | .109 | .266 | 9 | 10 | 22% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .235/.285/.334 | .099 | .277 | 8 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .238/.309/.368 | .130 | .277 | 14 | 1 | 19% | 9% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
✕Nick Maton 2019 · A |
22 | 41 | 43→50 | 47→45 | 40 | .205/.254/.316 | .111 | .280 | 10 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .206/.270/.307 | .101 | .282 | 9 | 8 | 28% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .214/.305/.368 | .154 | .264 | 18 | 4 | 25% | 10% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Akil Baddoo 2021 · A |
22 | 41→51 | 43→55 | 55 | 44 | .198/.268/.314 | .116 | .295 | 9 | 14 | 34% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .234/.308/.374 | .140 | .313 | 14 | 21 | 27% | 10% | 92 | +1.2 | .232/.314/.375 | .143 | .300 | 15 | 24 | 26% | 11% | 91 | +0.8 |
|
✕Carlos Moncrief 2012 · A |
23 | 41→51 | 44→50 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.277/.322 | .124 | .308 | 11 | 11 | 36% | 9% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.273/.363 | .147 | .317 | 15 | 12 | 35% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .234/.288/.372 | .138 | .297 | 14 | 11 | 25% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2019 · A |
22 | 40→43 | 45→55 | 51→50 | 38 | .201/.261/.328 | .127 | .288 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.262/.357 | .142 | .295 | 16 | 9 | 32% | 5% | 69 | -0.4 | .211/.283/.380 | .168 | .276 | 21 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.3 |
|
✕Carlos Guzman 2009 · A |
23 | 42→48 | 44→50 | 52→50 | 37 | .208/.257/.321 | .112 | .300 | 12 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .230/.279/.338 | .108 | .309 | 11 | 6 | 28% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .235/.287/.332 | .097 | .308 | 10 | 3 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Joe Mahoney 2010 · A |
23 | 41→51 | 42→50 | 56→50 | 36 | .206/.241/.310 | .104 | .284 | 9 | 12 | 31% | 4% | 46 | -2.0 | .240/.276/.371 | .131 | .314 | 13 | 11 | 27% | 4% | 78 | +0.2 | .249/.287/.387 | .137 | .315 | 14 | 8 | 25% | 4% | 86 | +0.6 |
|
✕Roman Pena 2010 · A |
23 | 40→50 | 41→50 | 42→45 | 40 | .198/.254/.298 | .100 | .282 | 9 | 7 | 32% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .210/.272/.329 | .119 | .289 | 11 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .233/.303/.392 | .159 | .312 | 16 | 7 | 29% | 9% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA |
23 | 41→47 | 49→55 | 51→55 | 43 | .211/.270/.356 | .146 | .270 | 16 | 12 | 28% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .223/.290/.386 | .163 | .284 | 18 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 89 | +0.9 | .223/.295/.390 | .167 | .282 | 18 | 22 | 27% | 9% | 89 | +0.8 |
|
✕Tommy Giles 2007 · A |
23 | 43→41 | 45→55 | 47→40 | 38 | .216/.256/.337 | .121 | .280 | 13 | 7 | 28% | 4% | 61 | -1.0 | .220/.271/.379 | .159 | .290 | 18 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .219/.278/.400 | .182 | .282 | 23 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 85 | +0.4 |
|
●Sean Bouchard 2019 · A |
23 | 38→44 | 44→55 | 48→50 | 37 | .196/.244/.314 | .117 | .275 | 12 | 13 | 33% | 5% | 50 | -1.7 | .201/.254/.332 | .131 | .296 | 13 | 10 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .223/.323/.415 | .191 | .292 | 21 | 16 | 29% | 11% | 106 | +1.0 |
|
✕Kevin Rivers 2012 · A |
23 | 42→45 | 46→50 | 48→45 | 41 | .209/.270/.334 | .124 | .291 | 14 | 8 | 32% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .211/.279/.341 | .130 | .295 | 12 | 6 | 31% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .206/.275/.338 | .132 | .284 | 11 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 67 | -0.4 |
|
✕Sam Hilliard 2017 · A |
23 | 43→48 | 45→55 | 53→55 | 39 | .209/.263/.333 | .124 | .313 | 12 | 15 | 36% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .208/.258/.324 | .116 | .328 | 12 | 20 | 38% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .203/.279/.381 | .178 | .280 | 21 | 18 | 34% | 9% | 80 | +0.2 |