David Sanchez
P
ACL D-backs
Age 19
RHP
6'1" / 165 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149139vR 130
ERA5.78
FIP5.78
K%12.9%
BB%13.7%
K-BB%-0.8%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 16 | 0 | 19 | 94 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 12.3% | 19.9% | -7.6% | 1.9% | 6.52 | 5.61 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Arizona Black | 16 | 0 | 19 | 94 | 17 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 18.1% | 16.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 6.52 | 4.34 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | 12 | 8 | 50 | 221 | 42 | 19 | 7 | 67% | 4.2 | 12.9% | 10.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 6.48 | 5.33 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Arizona Red | 12 | 8 | 50 | 221 | 42 | 19 | 7 | 67% | 4.2 | 19.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 3.2% | 6.48 | 4.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs | 10 | 9 | 40 | 179 | 29 | 19 | 4 | 90% | 4.0 | 11.0% | 13.3% | -2.3% | 3.1% | 4.46 | 5.57 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | ARI | 6 | 6 | 28 | 117 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 4.6 | 12.9% | 13.7% | -0.8% | 3.0% | 5.78 | 5.78 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.9% | 13.7% | -0.8% | 3.0% | 5.78 | 5.78 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 68 | 296 | 44 | 35 | 8 | — | — | 14.9% | 11.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 5.00 | 5.65 | -0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | ARI | 5 | 5 | 29 | 123 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.52 | 5.44 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | ARI | 2 | 2 | 14 | 59 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 7.0 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.52 | 5.44 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 61 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.52 | 5.06 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 125 | 111 | 28 | 100% | 5.7 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.52 | 5.06 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 38 | 17 | 110 | 494 | 60 | 66 | 15 | 45% | 2.9 | 12.1% | 13.4% | -1.3% | 3.1% | 5.74 | 5.47 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 69 | 31 | 200 | 901 | 109 | 121 | 28 | 45% | 2.9 | 12.1% | 13.4% | -1.3% | 3.1% | 5.74 | 5.47 | -0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| David Sanchez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.78 | 12.9% | 13.7% | 3.0% | — | 5.44 | 15.1% | 2.4% | 29 | -0.34 | — | — | — |
| Miguel Vinicio R 2026 · 5.69 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.69 | 13.8% | 14.2% | 3.5% | .327 | 3.98 | 16.9% | 1.4% | 47 | -1.71 | 3.63 | 164 | 90 |
| Juan Gomez R 2027 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.39 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .345 | 3.58 | 11.2% | -0.1% | 61 | -1.81 | 3.58 | 113 | 87 |
| Maiker Manuel R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.12 | 12.3% | 15.2% | 2.1% | .329 | 4.59 | 15.2% | 6.7% | 101 | -0.53 | 4.56 | 148 | 87 |
| Alexander Vizcaíno R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.40 | 11.8% | 10.4% | 3.6% | .321 | 4.88 | 17.3% | 7.0% | 220 | -0.52 | 3.96 | 273 | 87 |
| Yosber Sanchez R 2025 · 5.58 FIP | 18 | SP- | 5.58 | 14.6% | 14.9% | 3.3% | .315 | 4.61 | 20.2% | -5.2% | 13 | -0.97 | 3.21 | 182 | 86 |
| Jorge Cespedes R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.88 | 11.2% | 12.2% | 2.1% | .284 | 4.14 | 12.9% | 5.6% | 107 | -0.74 | 3.47 | 153 | 86 |
| Danny Flatt R 2027 · 6.05 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.05 | 14.5% | 15.7% | 4.0% | .304 | 5.46 | 12.5% | -1.1% | 65 | -0.59 | 5.31 | 112 | 85 |
| Reibyn Corona R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.94 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 5.61 | 14.5% | 1.7% | 63 | +0.67 | 4.38 | 190 | 85 |
| Blas Castaño R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.68 | 10.8% | 13.2% | 1.5% | .307 | 4.22 | 13.1% | 7.2% | 105 | -0.46 | 3.06 | 614 | 85 |
| Jhon Vergara R 2026 · 5.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.75 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 3.5% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 106 | 84 |
| Aneudis Beard R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.69 | 11.5% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .322 | 3.18 | 15.9% | 7.2% | 59 | -1.51 | 3.18 | 106 | 84 |
| Denis Diaz R 2027 · 5.51 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.51 | 12.7% | 16.6% | 2.5% | .264 | 5.84 | 11.9% | -4.9% | 92 | +0.33 | 3.39 | 129 | 84 |
| Steven Fuentes R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.60 | 12.1% | 10.1% | 2.3% | .319 | 3.98 | 16.7% | 10.2% | 131 | -0.62 | 2.36 | 359 | 84 |
| Luis Martinez-Gomez R 2028 · 5.32 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.32 | 13.9% | 15.4% | 2.6% | .237 | 4.05 | 20.5% | 4.7% | 73 | -1.27 | 3.79 | 101 | 83 |
| Gillian Wernet R 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.46 | 11.2% | 16.6% | 2.2% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 107 | 83 |
| Gage Stanifer R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.77 | 16.6% | 14.9% | 2.2% | .342 | 4.31 | 23.9% | 8.2% | 230 | -0.46 | 2.92 | 273 | 83 |
| Edward Escoboza R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.73 | 15.3% | 11.7% | 2.6% | .345 | 4.05 | 17.4% | 9.9% | 157 | -0.68 | 3.44 | 213 | 83 |
| Harold Chirino R 2026 · 6.05 FIP | 19 | SP- | 6.05 | 13.2% | 16.0% | 3.7% | .327 | 3.11 | 19.0% | 6.2% | 34 | -2.94 | 3.11 | 321 | 83 |
| Felix Cepeda R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.78 | 11.5% | 14.6% | 3.3% | .297 | 5.96 | 17.0% | -6.4% | 71 | +0.18 | 3.61 | 204 | 83 |
| Andres German R 2027 · 4.97 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.97 | 8.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.04 | 13.4% | 7.0% | 73 | -1.93 | 3.04 | 116 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 28 | 14.0% | 13.2% | 1.16 | 5.65 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |