Blas Castaño — OGILVIE

Blas Castaño P Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 27 RHP 5'10" / 162 lbs AAA

2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.37

FIP4.37

K%16.0%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5050

CTRL5555

CMD4045

K†3040

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p5094.5

Whiff%

p1018.2%

p2117.9%

xwOBA vs

p100.373

CT+0.6 (40%)

SI (6%)

SL (12%)

CH-0.8 (32%)

FB-1.7 (16%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	11	7	40	189	30	20	2	64%	3.6	10.8%	13.2%	-2.4%	1.5%	5.40	4.68	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	11	7	40	189	30	20	2	64%	3.6	15.9%	10.6%	5.3%	1.1%	5.40	3.75	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	14	10	67	294	41	14	7	71%	4.8	9.5%	6.0%	3.5%	3.3%	4.05	4.88	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees West	14	10	67	294	41	14	7	71%	4.8	13.9%	4.8%	9.2%	2.4%	4.05	3.87	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	10	8	45	191	55	10	2	80%	4.5	19.3%	5.7%	13.6%	1.6%	4.17	3.06	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	10	8	45	191	55	10	2	80%	4.5	28.8%	5.2%	23.6%	1.0%	4.17	1.91	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	21	107	465	103	34	12	95%	4.9	17.2%	8.4%	8.8%	2.2%	3.86	3.91	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	21	107	465	103	34	12	95%	4.9	22.2%	7.3%	14.8%	2.6%	3.86	3.58	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	11	78	336	75	35	8	42%	3.0	18.2%	12.0%	6.2%	3.5%	4.37	5.01	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	26	11	78	336	75	35	8	42%	3.0	18.2%	12.0%	6.2%	3.5%	4.37	5.01	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	26	11	78	336	75	35	8	42%	3.0	22.3%	10.4%	11.9%	2.4%	4.37	3.85	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	26	125	540	108	43	15	90%	4.3	16.5%	7.9%	8.6%	2.9%	4.38	4.28	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	26	125	540	108	43	15	90%	4.3	16.5%	7.9%	8.6%	2.9%	4.38	4.28	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	26	125	540	108	43	15	90%	4.3	20.0%	8.0%	12.0%	2.8%	4.38	3.96	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	24	130	562	98	53	15	80%	4.3	14.7%	8.4%	6.3%	2.3%	5.28	4.20	+1.1
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	24	130	562	98	53	15	80%	4.3	14.7%	8.4%	6.3%	2.3%	5.28	4.20	+1.1
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	24	130	562	98	53	15	80%	4.3	17.4%	9.4%	8.0%	2.7%	5.28	4.32	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			15	0	29	122	20	10	5	0%	1.9	16.4%	8.2%	8.2%	4.1%	4.34	5.00	-0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	37	0	55	224	42	21	6	0%	1.5	17.0%	8.8%	8.2%	2.6%	3.25	4.19	+0.2
YTD	27	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	37	0	55	224	42	21	6	0%	1.5	17.0%	8.8%	8.2%	2.6%	3.25	4.19	+0.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	COL	23	0	29	118	23	13	2	0%	1.3	19.5%	11.0%	8.5%	1.7%	2.76	3.78	—
2026	27	MLB RAW	COL	14	0	26	106	19	8	4	0%	1.9	17.9%	7.5%	10.4%	3.8%	3.81	4.61	-0.0
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	COL	14	0	26	106	19	8	4	0%	1.9	17.9%	7.5%	10.4%	3.8%	3.81	4.61	-0.0
ROS	27	MLB MLE	COL	6	0	6	27	4	2	1	0%	1.1	16.0%	8.8%	7.3%	2.8%	4.37	4.37	+0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	COL	6	0	6	25	4	2	1	0%	1.0	16.0%	8.8%	7.3%	2.8%	4.37	4.37	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	62	251	46	23	7	—	—	18.5%	9.3%	9.1%	2.7%	3.37	4.20	+0.3
FULL	27	MLB A+C	COL	—	—	32	136	46	23	7	—	—	33.9%	17.1%	16.8%	4.9%	6.42	5.11	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	COL	143	0	150	632	105	54	19	0%	1.0	16.6%	8.5%	8.0%	3.0%	4.80	4.83	-0.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	COL	136	0	143	604	101	53	19	0%	1.1	16.7%	8.7%	8.0%	3.2%	4.86	4.92	-0.6
2029	30	MLB MLE	COL	128	0	134	567	94	51	19	0%	1.1	16.7%	8.9%	7.7%	3.4%	4.97	5.06	-0.8
2027	28	MLB CTX	COL	135	0	142	600	99	51	18	0%	1.1	16.6%	8.5%	8.0%	3.0%	4.80	4.83	-0.5
2028	29	MLB CTX	COL	130	0	136	574	96	50	18	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.7%	8.0%	3.2%	4.86	4.92	-0.6
2029	30	MLB CTX	COL	122	0	128	540	90	48	18	0%	1.0	16.7%	8.9%	7.7%	3.4%	4.97	5.06	-0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		407	0	441	1862	310	162	61	0%	1.1	16.6%	8.7%	7.9%	3.3%	4.83	4.58	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		185	0	200	844	141	73	28	0%	1.1	16.6%	8.7%	7.9%	3.3%	4.83	4.58	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		179	107	648	2801	436	242	72	60%	3.6	15.6%	8.7%	6.9%	2.6%	4.39	4.29	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		55	33	200	865	135	75	22	60%	3.6	15.6%	8.7%	6.9%	2.6%	4.39	4.29	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Blas Castaño (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	15.5%	8.7%	2.8%	—	4.93	16.7%	7.9%	427	+0.13	—	—	—
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	78
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	78
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	75
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	74
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	72
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	72
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	72
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	71
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	71
Max Beatty R 2017 · 3.88 FIP	26	SP-	3.88	13.2%	6.4%	2.0%	.309	—	—	—	—	—	3.88	117	71
Bryce Morrow R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	27	SP-	4.31	12.8%	7.9%	2.4%	.316	5.44	10.1%	-0.2%	50	+1.13	4.31	125	70
Justin Topa R 2018 · 4.15 FIP	27	SP-	4.15	15.1%	7.9%	2.4%	.374	2.69	19.2%	12.6%	40	-1.46	2.67	280	69
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	69
Kyle Lloyd R 2018 · 4.23 FIP	27	SP-	4.23	18.2%	9.8%	2.6%	.336	4.75	17.2%	9.3%	110	+0.52	3.50	572	69
Zac Kristofak R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	25	SW	4.10	15.5%	8.9%	2.1%	.252	4.70	10.8%	5.0%	19	+0.60	4.10	168	69
Chase Whitley R 2016 · 4.10 FIP	27	SP-	4.10	19.5%	7.0%	3.2%	.217	3.22	18.0%	11.8%	81	-0.88	3.09	159	69
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	68
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.15	17.6%	6.7%	202	+1.50	3.65	245	68
Evan Mitchell R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SW	4.91	11.3%	8.5%	3.1%	.403	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	214	68
Shawn Dubin R 2023 · 4.93 FIP	27	SP-	4.93	19.3%	12.9%	3.3%	.292	3.97	21.8%	11.4%	79	-0.96	3.02	341	67

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.9	144	16.3%	8.7%	1.19	4.85
James Kaprielian ('23)	1.6	105	20.5%	9.6%	1.26	4.58
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Julio Teheran ('23)	5.2	147	20.4%	8.8%	1.34	4.12
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46