Blas Castaño
P
Tacoma Rainiers
+0.3
WAR
INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)
Age 27
RHP
5'10" / 162 lbs
AAA
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.9 · 2027
ERA4.67
FIP4.67
xFIP9.07
SIERA7.20
K%17.9%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%8.4%
IP120
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.9peak
2027
K†4045
CT+0.6 (40%)
SI (6%)
SL (12%)
CH-0.8 (32%)
FB-1.7 (16%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Yankees | 11 | 7 | 40 | 189 | 30 | 20 | 2 | 10.8% | 13.2% | 1.5% | 5.40 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 14 | 10 | 67 | 294 | 41 | 14 | 7 | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.05 | 4.88 | +0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 10 | 8 | 45 | 191 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 19.3% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 4.17 | 3.06 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 22 | 21 | 107 | 465 | 103 | 34 | 12 | 17.2% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 3.86 | 3.91 | +1.7 |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | 26 | 11 | 78 | 336 | 75 | 35 | 8 | 18.2% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 4.37 | 5.02 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 29 | 26 | 125 | 540 | 108 | 43 | 15 | 17.2% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.29 | +1.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | 30 | 24 | 130 | 562 | 98 | 53 | 15 | 15.6% | 9.8% | 2.3% | 5.28 | 4.29 | +1.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.42 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | SEA | 48 | — | 48 | 203 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 17.9% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.67 | +0.2 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 54 | 224 | 40 | 20 | 6 | 18.0% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.29 | 4.13 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 22 | 22 | 120 | 508 | 93 | 47 | 14 | 18.2% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 4.64 | 4.66 | +0.9 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 21 | 118 | 496 | 91 | 46 | 14 | 18.4% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.64 | 4.67 | +0.8 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | SEA | 21 | 21 | 114 | 481 | 88 | 45 | 14 | 18.4% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.71 | +0.8 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | SEA | 20 | 20 | 110 | 464 | 85 | 44 | 14 | 18.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 4.73 | 4.77 | +0.7 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 19 | 106 | 446 | 80 | 42 | 14 | 17.9% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.81 | 4.86 | +0.5 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | SEA | 18 | 18 | 101 | 426 | 75 | 41 | 13 | 17.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 4.90 | 4.96 | +0.4 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | SEA | 17 | 17 | 96 | 404 | 70 | 40 | 13 | 17.3% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 5.00 | 5.07 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | SEA | 16 | 16 | 90 | 381 | 64 | 39 | 13 | 16.9% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 5.11 | 5.19 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | SEA | 15 | 15 | 84 | 356 | 59 | 37 | 12 | 16.5% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 5.24 | 5.32 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 148 | 107 | 599 | 2598 | 411 | 235 | 66 | 15.8% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.30 | +6.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 49 | 36 | 200 | 867 | 137 | 78 | 22 | 15.8% | 9.0% | 2.5% | 4.46 | 4.30 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Blas Castaño (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.67 | 17.9% | 9.4% | 2.7% | — | 4.68 | 18.3% | 9.0% | 352 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 86 |
| David Holman R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 15.6% | 12.7% | 3.8% | .324 | 5.48 | 9.6% | 0.5% | 107 | -0.00 | 5.37 | 129 | 83 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 83 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.47 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | -0.13 | 3.16 | 254 | 82 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.12 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .339 | 3.39 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.73 | 3.11 | 166 | 82 |
| Derek Eitel R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.34 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.29 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.05 | 4.00 | 138 | 82 |
| Arcenio Leon R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 17.9% | 12.5% | 3.1% | .450 | 3.38 | 18.0% | 9.1% | 85 | -1.47 | 3.01 | 115 | 81 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 81 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 14.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | .360 | 4.17 | 13.1% | 6.5% | 84 | -1.31 | 3.95 | 229 | 81 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.97 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.4% | .336 | 4.43 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 124 | -0.54 | 3.06 | 221 | 80 |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .374 | 2.68 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.45 | 2.68 | 229 | 80 |
| Bayden Root R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 102 | 80 |
| Jonathan Aro R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.96 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.7% | .280 | 3.30 | 12.7% | 9.3% | 64 | -0.66 | 2.57 | 323 | 80 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 80 |
| Tucker Healy R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.28 | 15.6% | 11.5% | 1.9% | .321 | 5.21 | 19.2% | 8.7% | 24 | +0.93 | 2.83 | 174 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 80 |
| Guido Knudson R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 106 | 79 |
| Jose Casilla R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.65 | 13.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 104 | 79 |
| Kevin Shackelford R 2026 · 3.67 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.67 | 14.3% | 8.0% | 1.4% | .246 | 3.16 | 28.0% | 18.9% | 78 | -0.51 | 3.16 | 161 | 79 |
| Irving Jimenez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.48 | 18.9% | 12.4% | 2.6% | .417 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.63 | 104 | 79 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.8 | $3M | +$3M |
| 2029 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.8 | $3M | +$3M |
| 2030 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-1 | $1M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Arb-2 | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.9M |
| 2033 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | +0.2 | $1.0M | +$0.4M |
| Totals | $5M | $15M | +$10M | ||