Kyle Fossum

OF Fresno Grizzlies
Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202624ACOL265.268/.360/.4479259—.193/.264/.311
2027PROJMLE25MLBCOL315.185/.255/.2966556-0.4
2028PROJ30% MLB26MLBCOL48.198/.268/.3251158-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
ISO72
wOBA59
wRC+58
BB%42
Chase%39
Z-Con%16
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%
CompsConnor Kaiser (age 25) · Josh Altmann (age 25) · Spencer Henson (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 131 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.183 / .253 / .293
PA131
HR3
K%34
BB%8
ISO111
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +2.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.40-0.4WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.4-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 43
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT20
scouting grade only
POWER43
scouting grade only
EYE48
scouting grade only
SPEED44
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202624 AFresno Grizzlies — 265228 611409 30923 23 268360447808 180400 3511 356 59 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202624 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 265238 461006 201253 23 193264311575 118355 478 256 59 — — — — — —
202624 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 265238 461006 201253 23 193264311575 118364 478 256 59 — — — — — —
202624 A RAWFresno Grizzlies — 265228 611409 30923 23 268360447808 180400 3511 356 59 — — — — — —
202624 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 265240 461006 201253 23 192264308573 117355 478 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202624 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 265240 461006 201253 23 192264308573 117355 478 256 59 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLECOL 0% 315285 521016 241063 52 185255296551 111264 348 250 56 -17 +0 +0 -2 +7 -0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLECOL 30% 159145 27513 12531 21 188258301559 113265 338 254 58 -8 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.6
202826 MLB CTXCOL 30% 4844 9201 4160 10 198268325593 127279 338 267 58 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4844 9201 4160 10 205271318589 114296 338 267 58 -2 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650596 12227014 542170 140 205271320591 116296 338 267 58 -33 +3 +0 -4 +14 -2.0
Career— MLE — 555502 9619212 422225 65 191260309569 118308 408 254 58 -15 +0 +0 -2 +6 -1.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650588 11222214 492606 76 190260306566 116306 408 254 58 -33 +0 +0 -4 +14 -2.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 265 PAwOBA .350 → .256 (−94)K% 34.7% → 47.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA34.72%÷1.000×1.360——47.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.32%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9807.66%
HBP% /PA1.13%—×0.780—×0.9800.87%
Singles /BIP27.94%÷1.000×0.920×1.029×0.98025.92%
Doubles /BIP10.29%÷1.000×0.830×1.029×0.9808.61%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.029×0.9800.00%
Home runs /BIP6.62%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9805.19%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.

Result: wOBA .350 → .256; ISO .180 → .124; BABIP .400 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).