Kyle Fossum — OGILVIE

Kyle FossumOF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION215 act + 143 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.186 / .260 / .294

PA143

HR3

K%37

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A	COL	—	215	191	38	9	0	6	18	97	3	2	3	199	278	340	619	141	352	45	8	271	66	-8	-1	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
YTD	24	A	COL	—	215	184	49	13	0	7	25	72	3	2	3	266	363	451	814	185	389	33	12	359	133	+8	-1	+0	-1	+6	1.2
ROS	24	A	COL	0%	143	129	24	5	0	3	11	53	2	2	1	186	260	294	554	108	288	37	8	262	58	-7	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	24	MLB	COL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		310	—	—	272	67	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	24	A	COL	—	215	192	38	9	0	6	18	97	3	2	3	198	278	339	617	141	348	45	8	271	66	-8	-1	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
TOT	24	A	COL	—	358	320	62	14	0	9	29	150	5	4	4	194	271	322	592	128	321	42	8	267	63	-15	-1	+0	-2	+10	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	COL	30%	488	441	88	18	2	12	39	173	5	7	3	200	272	331	603	132	289	35	8	268	63	-20	+0	+0	-3	+14	-0.9
2028	26	MLB	COL	44%	537	483	97	20	2	13	43	185	6	8	4	201	274	331	606	130	289	34	8	272	67	-20	+0	+0	-3	+15	-0.8
2029	27	MLB	COL	49%	564	507	103	21	2	14	46	191	6	8	4	203	277	335	613	132	289	34	8	275	69	-20	+0	+0	-3	+16	-0.7
2027	25	MLB	COL	30%	147	132	29	6	1	4	12	52	2	2	1	220	295	371	666	152	312	35	8	280	72	-5	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	COL	44%	237	214	47	10	1	7	19	82	2	3	2	220	289	374	663	154	312	35	8	285	76	-6	-0	+0	-1	+7	-0.1
2029	27	MLB	COL	49%	276	248	54	11	1	8	23	94	3	4	2	218	292	367	659	149	312	34	8	287	78	-7	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	660	595	130	27	3	19	54	228	7	9	5	218	292	370	661	151	316	35	8	285	76	-18	-0	+0	-4	+19	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	129	27	3	19	53	225	7	9	5	220	293	374	667	154	319	35	8	285	76	-18	-0	+0	-4	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	1732	1560	312	64	6	42	139	602	19	25	12	200	274	329	603	129	292	35	8	271	66	-67	+0	+0	-10	+49	-2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	117	24	2	16	52	226	7	9	5	200	273	330	603	130	292	35	8	271	66	-25	-0	+0	-4	+18	-1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	980	23	14	197	266	323	-6	+0	-2.0	-1.0
	/162	664	16	10	197	266	323	-4.0	+0.0	-1.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Fossum (OGILVIE)	24	20	46	44	50	194/271/322	128	321	9	4	42%	8%	63	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	37→41	45	49→50	43	189/270/308	118	271	12	12	33%	8%	61	-1.0	193/264/305	112	280	12	14	33%	7%	57	-1.2	182/251/287	106	263	12	14	34%	7%	44	-1.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Tyreque Reed 2021 · A	24	41→35	47→50	42→40	41	205/272/338	133	293	14	5	34%	7%	69	-0.4	211/279/369	158	320	21	5	38%	8%	80	+0.4	195/267/360	165	291	24	3	40%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	36	40→45	46→50	45	178/268/270	92	268	8	8	34%	9%	50	-1.7	186/274/284	98	291	9	9	36%	9%	56	-1.3	170/264/263	93	267	9	10	36%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Jhalan Jackson 2017 · A	24	38→33	47→50	42→45	38	196/250/333	137	278	14	6	34%	6%	58	-1.2	187/253/328	141	308	16	6	42%	7%	59	-1.1	167/242/306	140	284	18	6	45%	8%	46	-1.2
✕Ryan Mathews 2014 · A	24	38→35	44→45	47→45	41	194/248/318	124	260	11	7	30%	6%	53	-1.5	205/249/320	115	296	11	7	33%	5%	53	-1.5	196/232/305	109	286	11	5	35%	4%	39	-1.5
✕Jeyson Sanchez 2018 · A	24	38	47→50	45→50	44	198/267/331	134	253	15	5	28%	7%	66	-0.6	194/268/308	114	270	12	5	31%	7%	59	-1.1	129/222/212	83	179	10	0	33%	7%	14	-1.1
✕Colin Davis 2023 · A	24	40	43→50	49→50	42	200/260/311	111	272	11	11	30%	7%	56	-1.3	186/247/306	120	255	14	11	32%	6%	50	-1.8	144/217/244	100	209	14	11	37%	6%	19	-1.1
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Ruben Ibarra 2023 · A	24	41→35	49→50	47→30	42	209/285/351	142	288	18	6	32%	7%	79	+0.3	201/274/346	145	276	19	3	33%	7%	72	-0.2	191/265/346	155	252	23	0	33%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→38	45	43→45	36	187/251/309	122	283	13	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/274/313	114	267	12	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	191/273/299	108	247	12	6	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Skyler Ewing 2017 · A	24	40→39	44→50	45→30	42	200/264/318	118	264	12	3	28%	6%	60	-1.0	202/276/366	164	274	20	4	33%	7%	79	+0.3	198/283/401	203	243	26	1	30%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	37	42→45	46→50	46	187/264/290	103	261	10	6	31%	9%	53	-1.5	192/262/318	126	281	14	11	35%	8%	59	-1.1	170/251/290	121	252	14	17	37%	9%	45	-0.9
✕Yusuf Carter 2009 · A	24	36→33	48→50	50	34	191/232/333	142	279	16	13	37%	5%	50	-1.7	219/259/358	139	313	17	9	34%	5%	67	-0.5	231/270/372	141	319	18	5	33%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Jacob Butler 2007 · A	24	38→41	46→50	42→30	40	194/254/323	129	281	14	4	35%	7%	57	-1.2	210/280/362	152	279	18	2	30%	8%	79	+0.3	207/284/371	164	261	20	0	28%	9%	80	+0.3