Kyle Fossum — OGILVIE

Kyle FossumOF Fresno Grizzlies

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 205 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION265 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP314

ISO117

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	24	A MLE	COL	—	265	237	48	10	0	7	21	123	3	2	3	203	276	333	609	131	373	46	8	270	69	-10	-1	+0	-2	+6	-0.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A RAW	COL	—	265	228	61	14	0	9	30	92	3	2	3	268	360	447	808	180	400	35	11	356	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A MLE	COL	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		297	40	10	262	63	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	A MLE	COL	—	275	246	49	10	0	7	22	127	3	2	3	199	273	325	598	126	365	46	8	270	69	-10	-1	+0	-2	+6	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	30%	439	398	79	15	1	11	34	159	4	6	3	198	268	324	592	126	297	36	8	269	68	-16	+0	+0	-3	+10	-1.0
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	44%	490	443	90	17	2	12	39	172	5	7	3	203	275	332	607	129	296	35	8	274	71	-17	+0	+0	-3	+11	-0.9
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	49%	529	476	99	19	2	14	43	183	5	8	4	208	281	345	625	137	296	35	8	276	73	-17	+0	+0	-3	+11	-0.9
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	51%	563	507	104	20	2	14	46	194	5	8	4	205	278	335	613	130	295	34	8	277	73	-18	+0	-1	-3	+12	-1.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	30%	132	120	26	5	1	4	10	48	1	2	1	217	282	375	657	158	314	36	8	278	68	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	44%	216	195	42	8	1	6	17	76	2	3	1	215	285	359	644	144	313	35	8	282	71	-7	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.4
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	49%	259	233	50	10	1	7	21	90	3	4	2	215	288	356	644	142	312	35	8	285	73	-8	+0	+0	-2	+6	-0.4
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	51%	290	261	56	11	1	8	24	100	3	4	2	215	288	356	645	142	312	34	8	285	73	-9	+0	-0	-2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	897	809	174	34	4	25	72	314	9	13	6	215	287	360	646	145	314	35	8	283	72	-30	+0	-0	-5	+19	-1.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	126	25	3	18	52	228	7	9	4	215	287	360	647	145	315	35	8	283	72	-22	+0	-0	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2031	1833	373	71	7	51	163	712	19	29	14	203	275	333	609	130	298	35	8	274	72	-68	+0	-1	-12	+44	-3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	119	23	2	16	52	228	6	9	4	203	274	330	605	128	298	35	8	274	72	-22	+0	-0	-4	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,217	30	18	201	269	328	-7	+0	-1.8	-0.9
/162	664	16	10	-4.0	+0.0	-1.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kyle Fossum (OGILVIE)	24	20	46	44	49	192/262/312	120	297	7	4	38%	8%	63	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Joe DeCarlo 2018 · A	24	37→38	48→50	43→30	43	192/276/329	137	274	16	3	35%	8%	73	-0.6	198/269/315	117	285	12	3	33%	7%	66	-1.1	175/243/264	89	253	10	0	33%	7%	42	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Kevin Padlo 2019 · A	23	36→40	44→50	45→50	43	180/261/297	117	271	11	7	36%	9%	59	-1.6	201/279/356	155	288	17	9	34%	9%	80	-0.2	190/261/345	156	258	19	12	33%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Ruben Ibarra 2023 · A	24	41→36	48→50	47→30	41	207/282/341	134	291	16	6	33%	7%	78	-0.3	200/275/341	141	273	18	3	33%	7%	75	-0.5	189/265/336	146	247	20	1	31%	7%	68	-0.7
✕Jacob Butler 2007 · A	24	38→41	46→50	42→30	40	194/254/323	129	281	14	4	35%	7%	62	-1.4	210/280/358	148	277	17	2	29%	8%	80	-0.1	207/284/365	159	260	19	0	27%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Logan Hill 2017 · A	24	40	45→50	49→45	36	202/256/323	121	297	12	10	35%	5%	63	-1.4	207/269/354	147	293	17	5	34%	7%	75	-0.5	199/265/350	151	277	19	2	34%	7%	71	-0.6
✕Cory Vaughn 2013 · A	24	39→42	46→45	49→50	44	198/279/327	130	273	14	12	32%	8%	74	-0.6	194/266/307	113	275	12	14	32%	7%	63	-1.3	180/251/283	102	258	11	14	33%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Yusuf Carter 2009 · A	24	36→33	48→50	50	34	191/232/333	142	279	16	13	37%	5%	56	-1.9	221/261/362	141	312	17	9	33%	5%	73	-0.6	233/273/377	144	318	18	5	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Jhalan Jackson 2017 · A	24	38→34	46→50	42→45	38	195/249/326	131	282	13	6	35%	6%	60	-1.6	190/255/326	136	305	15	6	40%	7%	63	-1.3	171/246/307	136	281	17	6	43%	7%	53	-1.3
✕Ryan Mathews 2014 · A	24	40→37	45→50	47→45	41	202/255/331	129	266	12	7	29%	6%	64	-1.3	210/254/332	122	298	12	7	32%	5%	63	-1.3	201/237/321	120	287	13	5	34%	4%	52	-1.3
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/254/321	133	272	15	10	35%	6%	62	-1.4	207/272/348	141	302	15	9	35%	6%	75	-0.5	202/267/346	145	293	16	7	35%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	36→38	46→45	43→45	37	187/254/312	125	281	14	3	37%	6%	60	-1.6	199/273/309	110	266	11	6	28%	7%	67	-1.1	192/273/294	102	248	10	6	25%	7%	61	-1.0
✕Jeyson Sanchez 2018 · A	24	38	47→50	45→50	43	197/263/332	135	252	15	5	28%	7%	68	-1.0	195/268/308	113	270	12	5	31%	7%	64	-1.3	133/227/214	81	185	9	0	32%	7%	27	-1.0
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA	24	42→37	43→50	48→45	46	203/285/317	113	292	10	7	32%	9%	72	-0.7	194/293/340	146	311	17	5	39%	10%	82	-0.0	178/283/325	147	289	18	3	41%	11%	72	-0.5
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	35	41→45	45	45	174/251/275	101	255	8	6	33%	9%	50	-2.3	186/255/286	100	272	9	8	33%	8%	53	-2.1	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Tyreque Reed 2021 · A	24	41→37	48→50	42→40	41	210/275/353	143	294	16	5	33%	7%	77	-0.3	212/281/360	148	321	18	5	37%	8%	81	-0.1	197/271/349	151	297	20	3	39%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Taylor Snyder 2019 · A	24	39→34	44→50	46→50	34	194/238/310	117	291	11	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	198/246/338	140	298	16	12	38%	5%	62	-1.4	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Connor Kaiser 2021 · A	24	38	42→45	46→50	46	190/266/292	102	264	10	6	30%	9%	59	-1.6	192/262/308	116	277	12	11	33%	8%	61	-1.5	174/253/287	113	253	13	17	35%	9%	51	-0.9
✕Joe Cronin 2018 · A	24	37	41→45	46→50	44	180/265/274	93	268	8	8	34%	9%	55	-1.9	186/274/283	97	289	9	9	35%	9%	61	-1.5	168/264/259	91	263	9	10	36%	9%	50	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps