Max Banks — OGILVIE

Max Banks P Kannapolis Cannon Ballers

Age 23 RHP 6'4" / 225 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 1.5 · 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 20 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 100

ERA4.39

FIP4.39

K%20.5%

BB%7.8%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$22M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	32	16	103	426	94	25	11	50%	3.2	16.6%	6.8%	9.8%	3.3%	3.41	4.36	—
YTD	23	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	32	16	103	426	94	25	11	50%	3.2	16.6%	6.8%	9.8%	3.3%	3.41	4.36	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	CWS	12	11	59	226	55	7	5	92%	4.9	24.3%	3.1%	21.2%	2.2%	1.84	2.65	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	CWS	20	5	44	200	39	18	6	25%	2.2	19.5%	9.0%	10.5%	3.0%	5.48	4.24	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	CWS	16	16	103	437	93	33	13	100%	6.5	21.2%	7.5%	13.7%	3.0%	4.32	4.28	+0.8
2028	25	MLB MLE	CWS	16	16	105	442	96	33	13	100%	6.5	21.7%	7.4%	14.3%	3.0%	4.26	4.22	+0.8
2029	26	MLB MLE	CWS	16	16	105	442	97	33	13	100%	6.5	21.9%	7.4%	14.5%	3.0%	4.22	4.20	+0.9
2030	27	MLB MLE	CWS	16	16	103	435	95	32	13	100%	6.4	21.9%	7.5%	14.4%	3.0%	4.23	4.24	+0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	CWS	16	16	100	422	92	32	13	100%	6.2	21.8%	7.6%	14.1%	3.1%	4.28	4.32	+0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	CWS	15	15	96	403	87	32	13	100%	6.4	21.5%	7.8%	13.7%	3.3%	4.38	4.45	+0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	CWS	14	14	90	379	80	31	13	100%	6.4	21.2%	8.1%	13.0%	3.5%	4.53	4.63	+0.3
2034	31	MLB MLE	CWS	13	13	84	353	73	30	13	100%	6.4	20.8%	8.5%	12.3%	3.7%	4.71	4.83	+0.1
2035	32	MLB MLE	CWS	12	12	77	327	73	26	13	100%	6.5	22.3%	8.1%	14.2%	3.9%	4.76	4.79	+0.1
2036	33	MLB MLE	CWS	11	11	71	300	65	26	13	100%	6.5	21.8%	8.5%	13.3%	4.2%	4.93	5.04	-0.1
2027	24	MLB CTX	CWS	7	7	44	186	39	14	6	100%	6.3	21.2%	7.5%	13.7%	3.0%	4.35	4.31	+0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	69	291	63	22	9	100%	6.3	21.7%	7.4%	14.3%	3.0%	4.29	4.25	+0.6
2029	26	MLB CTX	CWS	13	13	83	350	77	26	11	100%	6.4	21.9%	7.4%	14.5%	3.0%	4.25	4.23	+0.7
2030	27	MLB CTX	CWS	14	14	88	372	81	28	11	100%	6.3	21.9%	7.5%	14.4%	3.1%	4.26	4.27	+0.7
2031	28	MLB CTX	CWS	14	14	89	376	82	29	12	100%	6.4	21.8%	7.6%	14.1%	3.2%	4.31	4.35	+0.6
2032	29	MLB CTX	CWS	14	14	87	367	79	29	12	100%	6.2	21.5%	7.8%	13.7%	3.3%	4.41	4.48	+0.5
2033	30	MLB CTX	CWS	13	13	83	350	74	29	12	100%	6.4	21.2%	8.1%	13.0%	3.5%	4.56	4.66	+0.3
2034	31	MLB CTX	CWS	12	12	78	329	68	28	12	100%	6.5	20.8%	8.5%	12.3%	3.8%	4.75	4.87	+0.1
2035	32	MLB CTX	CWS	11	11	73	308	69	25	12	100%	6.6	22.3%	8.1%	14.2%	4.0%	4.80	4.83	+0.1
2036	33	MLB CTX	CWS	10	10	67	283	62	24	12	100%	6.7	21.8%	8.5%	13.3%	4.3%	4.97	5.08	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		118	118	761	3212	694	252	110	100%	6.4	21.6%	7.8%	13.8%	3.4%	4.49	4.15	+6.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		31	31	200	844	182	66	29	100%	6.4	21.6%	7.8%	13.8%	3.4%	4.49	4.15	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		32	16	103	426	71	29	14	50%	3.2	16.6%	6.8%	9.8%	3.3%	3.41	4.36	+4.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	31	200	827	137	56	27	50%	3.2	16.6%	6.8%	9.8%	3.3%	3.41	4.36	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Max Banks (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.39	20.5%	7.8%	3.0%	—	4.23	21.6%	14.2%	313	-0.16	—	—	—
Rico Garcia R 2017 · 3.37 FIP	23	SP-	3.37	18.8%	7.0%	1.8%	.316	4.07	19.8%	11.5%	296	+0.70	3.37	587	87
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	86
Casey Legumina R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	24	SP-	4.08	23.3%	9.3%	3.2%	.260	4.36	19.8%	10.9%	189	+0.28	3.06	349	85
Clay Chandler R 2017 · 4.97 FIP	23	SP-	4.97	18.3%	6.0%	4.8%	.319	4.89	14.8%	8.8%	293	-0.08	4.49	328	83
Colin Fields R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SP-	3.62	20.5%	10.3%	1.7%	.246	3.86	22.0%	13.3%	208	+0.24	2.87	254	82
Evan McKendry R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	18.4%	5.5%	3.6%	.256	5.11	18.0%	11.7%	324	+0.91	4.20	474	81
Andrew Quezada R 2021 · 4.40 FIP	24	SP-	4.40	18.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.312	4.86	14.6%	6.1%	291	+0.46	4.40	412	79
Dawil Almonte R 2022 · 3.59 FIP	20	SW	3.59	17.4%	7.8%	1.8%	.271	4.54	14.7%	3.3%	97	+0.95	3.59	138	78
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	78
Wilmer Rios R 2017 · 4.95 FIP	23	SW	4.95	16.3%	5.8%	4.5%	.265	5.25	16.2%	12.3%	80	+0.30	2.81	156	78
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	78
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	78
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	77
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	77
Noah Gotsis R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	25	SP-	3.48	16.5%	6.5%	1.7%	.296	4.25	15.9%	8.6%	90	+0.77	3.48	138	77
Greyfer Eregua R 2017 · 4.87 FIP	23	SP-	4.87	18.3%	9.3%	3.9%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	126	77
Nathanael Santiago R 2015 · 3.44 FIP	25	SP-	3.44	20.3%	11.4%	1.1%	.286	3.58	23.2%	10.9%	71	+0.14	2.49	138	77
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	77
Michael Santos R 2018 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	17.4%	9.1%	2.9%	.289	4.87	15.0%	6.4%	49	+0.46	2.26	276	77
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.8	87	21.6%	7.8%	1.28	4.43
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Michael Fulmer ('23)	3.4	96	20.3%	7.6%	0.99	3.94
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98