Sandy Luciano

OF ACL Royals
Age 20 S/R 6'0" / 193 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Royals Ve…158.235/.357/.3181732—.158/.255/.216
202518ROKDSL Royals Ve…175.248/.339/.2880212—.155/.218/.174
202619ROKKC75.275/.333/.3621129—.197/.240/.268
2027PROJMLE20MLBKC185.211/.272/.2821258-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBKC34.214/.276/.2950064-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
Z-Con%47
ISO34
K%27
wRC+24
Whiff%20
wOBA19
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsFidel Mejia (age 20) · Deivi Estrada (age 20) · Milkar Perez (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 43 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .270 / .280
PA43
HR0
K%24
BB%7
ISO71
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -2.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-0POSREP: +0.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE45
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Royals Ventura — 158132 31801 25190 71 235357318675 83265 1216 315 32 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Royals Ventura — 175153 38600 21180 22 248339288627 39279 1012 293 12 — — — — — —
202619 ROKACL Royals — 7569 19301 6200 10 275333362696 87375 278 316 29 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 158139 22501 18230 71 158255216471 58182 1511 216 32 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 175161 25300 13230 22 155218174392 19178 137 186 12 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Royals — 7571 14201 4290 10 197240268508 70304 395 211 29 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 158139 22501 18230 71 158255216471 58181 1511 216 32 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Royals Ventura — 158132 31801 25190 71 235357318675 83265 1216 315 32 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 175161 25300 13230 22 155218174392 19180 137 186 12 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Royals Ventura — 175153 38600 21180 22 248339288627 39279 1012 293 12 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Royals — 7571 14201 4290 10 197240268508 70317 395 211 29 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWACL Royals — 7569 19301 6200 10 275333362696 87375 278 316 29 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 158139 22501 18230 71 158255216471 58182 1511 216 32 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 175160 25300 13230 22 156218175393 19178 137 186 12 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Royals — 7571 14201 4290 10 197240268508 70304 395 211 29 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 158139 22501 18230 71 158255216471 58182 1511 216 32 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Royals Ventura — 175160 25300 13230 22 156218175393 19178 137 186 12 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEACL Royals — 7571 14201 4290 10 197240268508 70304 395 211 29 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEKC 0% 185169 35611 13451 21 211272282554 71277 247 253 58 -9 +0 +0 -1 +4 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEKC 34% 9890 19311 7241 10 216278298576 83279 247 262 64 -4 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXKC 34% 3432 6100 280 00 214276295571 81277 246 260 64 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3432 6100 280 00 188235219454 31250 246 260 33 -1 +0 +0 -0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650612 1151900 381530 00 188235219454 31251 246 260 33 -28 +0 +0 -4 +14 -1.8
Career— MLE — 549501 871413 451091 123 174243224467 50215 208 217 33 -6 +0 +0 -1 +3 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650593 1041714 531291 144 175244228471 52216 208 217 33 -30 +2 +0 -4 +14 -1.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Royals · 75 PAwOBA .308 → .211 (−97)K% 26.7% → 38.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.67%÷1.000×1.440——38.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.00%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0085.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP30.61%÷1.000×0.820×1.005×1.00825.42%
Doubles /BIP6.12%÷1.000×0.720×1.005×1.0084.46%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720×1.005×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP2.04%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0081.60%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .308 → .211; ISO .087 → .057; BABIP .375 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 175 PAwOBA .286 → .186 (−100)K% 10.3% → 13.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.29%÷0.952×1.220——13.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.43%÷1.097×0.700—×1.0087.35%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0080.00%
Singles /BIP23.70%÷1.025×0.680×0.977×1.00815.48%
Doubles /BIP4.44%÷1.060×0.600×0.977×1.0082.48%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.950×0.600×0.977×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.877×0.470—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 90, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .286 → .186; ISO .039 → .023; BABIP .279 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 158 PAwOBA .309 → .216 (−93)K% 12.0% → 14.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.03%÷1.000×1.220——14.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.82%÷1.022×0.700—×1.02211.08%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.700—×1.0220.00%
Singles /BIP19.47%÷1.014×0.680×1.030×1.02213.75%
Doubles /BIP7.08%÷0.982×0.600×1.030×1.0224.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.012×0.600×1.030×1.0220.00%
Home runs /BIP0.88%÷0.994×0.470—×1.0220.43%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 103, 2B 96, 3B 102, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .309 → .216; ISO .083 → .052; BABIP .265 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).