Reyli Mariano

2B ACL Dodgers

Age 20 S/R 5'7" / 140 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #649MiLBFA 2036

ETA2029FG ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKDSL LAD Mega	165	.336/.466/.580	4	15	80	—	.206/.313/.333
2026	19	ROKLAD	160	.229/.361/.374	3	17	45	—	.163/.253/.255
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBLAD	270	.212/.290/.313	3	7	72	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBLAD	74	.212/.291/.320	1	2	77	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBLAD	163	.216/.294/.332	3	4	81	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$2M2034Arb-2$4M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed99

Whiff%71

ISO63

Z-Con%59

BB%56

K%50

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsDalton Pompey (age 20) · Angel Martínez (age 20) · Hoy Park (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 133 proj PA

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .287 / .311

PA133

HR2

K%27

BB%9

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	111	27	5	1	1	36	32	2	15	4	243	436	333	770	90	329	21	24	361	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	131	44	10	5	4	32	26	0	15	5	336	466	580	1.046	244	396	16	19	450	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	160	131	30	2	4	3	26	34	1	17	1	229	361	374	735	145	284	21	16	332	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	122	19	3	1	0	25	39	2	15	4	156	309	197	505	41	217	26	16	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	141	29	6	3	2	22	33	0	15	5	206	313	333	646	128	249	20	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	160	141	23	1	3	2	16	49	1	17	1	163	253	255	508	92	227	31	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	122	19	3	1	0	25	39	2	15	4	156	309	197	505	41	226	26	16	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	111	27	5	1	1	36	32	2	15	4	243	436	333	770	90	329	21	24	361	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	141	29	6	3	2	22	33	0	15	5	206	313	333	646	128	255	20	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	131	44	10	5	4	32	26	0	15	5	336	466	580	1.046	244	396	16	19	450	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	160	141	23	1	3	2	16	49	1	17	1	163	253	255	508	92	231	31	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Dodgers	—	160	131	30	2	4	3	26	34	1	17	1	229	361	374	735	145	284	21	16	332	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	124	19	3	1	0	25	39	2	15	4	153	309	194	502	40	217	26	16	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	142	29	6	3	2	22	33	0	15	5	204	313	331	644	127	249	20	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	160	142	23	1	3	2	16	49	1	17	1	162	253	254	507	92	227	31	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	152	124	19	3	1	0	25	39	2	15	4	153	309	194	502	40	217	26	16	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	165	142	29	6	3	2	22	33	0	15	5	204	313	331	644	127	249	20	13	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Dodgers	—	160	142	23	1	3	2	16	49	1	17	1	162	253	254	507	92	227	31	10	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	270	242	51	9	3	3	24	72	2	7	1	212	290	313	603	101	284	27	9	274	72	-9	+1	-2	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	215	192	41	7	2	3	19	57	2	5	1	217	295	328	623	111	285	27	9	282	77	-6	+1	-2	+1	+5	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	LAD	48%	337	300	66	11	3	6	31	87	3	8	2	220	298	339	638	119	287	26	9	288	81	-8	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	LAD	54%	420	375	83	14	4	8	38	108	4	10	2	223	301	348	649	125	288	26	9	293	84	-8	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	475	425	95	16	4	10	43	121	4	12	2	226	303	355	658	129	289	25	9	296	87	-8	+2	-0	+2	+10	0.6
2032	25	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	507	452	104	18	5	11	46	128	4	12	2	227	305	359	664	132	289	25	9	298	88	-7	+2	-0	+2	+11	0.7
2033	26	MLB MLE	LAD	56%	524	466	106	18	5	11	48	132	5	13	3	227	305	359	664	132	289	25	9	298	88	-7	+1	-0	+2	+11	0.7
2034	27	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	531	473	107	18	5	11	48	135	5	13	3	226	304	356	660	130	288	25	9	297	87	-8	+1	-0	+2	+12	0.7
2035	28	MLB MLE	LAD	55%	530	473	106	18	5	11	48	136	4	12	2	224	302	352	653	127	287	26	9	294	85	-9	+2	-1	+2	+11	0.5
2036	29	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	523	467	103	18	4	10	47	135	4	11	2	222	299	345	644	124	286	26	9	290	83	-11	+1	-2	+2	+11	0.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	LAD	53%	515	460	101	17	4	10	46	135	4	10	2	218	295	337	632	119	284	26	9	286	79	-13	+1	-2	+2	+11	-0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	74	66	14	2	1	1	7	19	1	2	0	212	291	320	611	108	278	26	9	277	77	-2	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	LAD	48%	163	146	31	5	1	3	15	42	1	4	1	216	294	332	626	116	279	26	9	284	81	-4	+0	-1	+1	+4	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	LAD	54%	228	203	45	7	2	5	21	58	2	6	1	219	297	341	638	122	281	25	9	288	84	-4	+1	-1	+1	+5	0.2
2031	24	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	263	235	53	9	2	6	24	67	2	7	1	222	300	348	647	126	282	25	9	292	87	-4	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.3
2032	25	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	284	253	56	9	2	6	26	72	3	7	1	223	301	352	653	129	282	25	9	294	88	-4	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.4
2033	26	MLB CTX	LAD	56%	295	263	59	10	2	7	27	74	3	7	1	223	301	352	653	130	282	25	9	294	88	-4	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.4
2034	27	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	294	262	59	10	2	7	27	75	3	7	1	222	300	350	650	128	281	26	9	293	87	-5	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.4
2035	28	MLB CTX	LAD	55%	291	261	56	9	2	6	26	74	2	6	1	220	298	345	643	125	280	25	9	290	85	-5	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.3
2036	29	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	279	250	55	9	2	6	25	72	2	6	1	217	295	339	634	121	279	26	9	286	83	-6	+1	-1	+1	+6	0.1
2037	30	MLB CTX	LAD	53%	271	243	51	8	2	5	24	71	2	5	1	214	291	331	622	116	277	26	9	282	79	-7	+1	-1	+1	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2442	2182	479	78	18	52	222	624	21	57	9	220	298	343	641	124	282	26	9	289	82	-45	+8	-5	+9	+53	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	128	21	5	14	59	166	6	15	2	220	299	346	645	126	283	26	9	289	82	-12	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5187	4606	1008	169	49	97	489	1331	43	156	32	219	300	340	640	121	284	26	9	289	82	-89	+13	-10	+17	+102	3.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	126	21	6	12	61	167	5	20	4	218	299	338	637	120	284	26	9	289	82	-12	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Tom Downey'09-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,468 PA	3.7	2,468	7	87	234*	299*	359*	+17	-2	3.8	3.8
/162	664	2	23	+4.6	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 4
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.9	2,574	51	60	224	298	350	+9	+0	3.9	3.7
/162	664	13	15	+2.4	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Pete Coscarart'38-'46 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,355 PA	5.1	3,355	28	34	235*	306*	367*	+17	-7	2.6	3.6
/162	664	6	7	+3.3	-1.4	0.5	pk7: 5
#5Sam Bohne'16-'26 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,593 PA	3.9	2,593	16	75	230*	300*	367*	+13	+3	2.8	2.8
/162	664	4	19	+3.4	+0.8	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Reyli Mariano (OGILVIE)	20	25→50	25→45	60	50	210/287/311	101	284	2	3	27%	9%	72	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2013 · A	20	41→51	40→45	55	44	198/266/291	93	280	8	16	30%	8%	59	-1.7	243/305/349	106	326	7	24	25%	8%	86	+0.3	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Angel Martínez 2022 · A	20	42→50	41→50	50	45	204/264/307	103	268	7	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	231/294/358	127	293	12	10	24%	7%	84	+0.2	236/284/389	154	280	16	12	22%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Brainer Bonaci 2022 · A	20	40→46	38→45	53→50	43	192/253/278	86	262	5	13	27%	7%	51	-2.3	219/294/329	110	303	9	13	28%	9%	78	-0.3	221/301/335	114	300	11	14	28%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Jorge Barrosa 2021 · A	20	46→52	38→45	55	45	218/283/303	84	283	5	18	24%	6%	68	-1.0	233/297/347	114	294	9	19	23%	7%	83	+0.1	234/307/360	127	282	11	18	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Colin Walsh 2011 · A	21	44→52	40→45	53→50	52	213/295/309	95	271	8	10	23%	10%	74	-0.6	224/297/348	124	275	11	8	21%	9%	84	+0.1	214/321/331	117	302	10	7	29%	13%	87	+0.3
✕Allan Castro 2023 · A	20	37→45	40→45	54→50	42	182/250/279	97	263	6	9	32%	7%	50	-2.3	207/280/322	115	282	9	13	28%	9%	71	-0.8	209/284/324	115	280	10	14	27%	9%	71	-0.6
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Blake Perkins 2018 · A	21	45→51	40→50	51→55	44	216/276/308	92	292	7	15	28%	7%	66	-1.1	204/272/289	85	295	7	17	31%	8%	61	-1.5	227/310/355	127	301	12	25	27%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jansel Luis 2024 · A	19	44→54	41→45	53→55	41	216/268/318	101	271	9	14	23%	5%	65	-1.2	239/284/354	115	319	8	16	26%	5%	79	-0.2	249/291/371	122	332	9	19	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	43→53	40→50	57→55	43	207/267/301	93	294	6	22	30%	7%	61	-1.5	237/294/369	132	297	12	21	23%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/388	143	293	14	19	20%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Lucius Fox 2017 · A	20	42→50	38→40	55→60	43	198/264/277	79	283	5	20	30%	7%	55	-2.0	217/285/288	71	314	4	22	30%	7%	65	-1.2	194/260/277	83	283	8	24	32%	8%	50	-0.9
●Abraham Almonte 2009 · A	20	41→51	41→55	53→55	45	200/260/302	102	263	8	18	27%	7%	59	-1.7	233/279/330	97	309	6	20	25%	6%	72	-0.7	259/316/379	120	330	8	25	22%	7%	94	+0.8
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2015 · A	20	42→52	40→45	53→55	45	203/259/306	103	252	5	11	21%	6%	59	-1.7	244/293/351	107	321	5	15	24%	6%	82	-0.0	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	41→51	37→55	57→55	47	196/252/275	79	246	4	14	22%	7%	49	-2.4	237/271/333	96	314	7	15	25%	4%	69	-0.9	241/284/391	150	317	14	25	28%	5%	86	+0.3
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	43→53	39→45	54→60	42	206/268/296	90	278	5	17	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/320	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Josh Johnson 2006 · A	20	43→50	39→45	48→50	50	203/281/298	95	268	5	9	24%	9%	66	-1.1	222/309/292	70	291	3	10	22%	11%	75	-0.5	247/316/346	99	293	8	16	17%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Shawn O'Malley 2008 · A	20	42→52	36→40	50→60	41	199/263/266	68	282	4	11	29%	6%	52	-2.2	217/293/272	55	302	1	24	26%	7%	65	-1.2	259/320/356	97	321	5	23	20%	7%	91	+0.4
✕Karexon Sanchez 2008 · A	20	40→47	38→45	50	46	194/262/268	74	258	6	14	26%	8%	52	-2.2	208/274/317	109	299	10	11	32%	7%	68	-1.0	220/298/324	104	305	10	11	29%	8%	76	-0.3

Reyli Mariano

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps