Kendrick Herrera

3B FCL Pirates
Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Pirates G…172.259/.394/.3601948—.170/.282/.238
202518ROKPIT208.234/.353/.2911530—.173/.261/.216
202619A/ROKPIT107.173/.368/.1980422—.123/.264/.146
2027PROJMLE20MLBPIT217.197/.277/.2651356-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBPIT45.203/.283/.2840163-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
BB%91
Z-Con%84
Speed81
Whiff%52
Chase%51
K%28
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%
CompsYeldrys Molina (age 20) · Jenner Emeterio (age 20) · Felix G. Santana (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 67 proj PA
wRC+†56
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .275 / .262
PA67
HR0
K%27
BB%9
ISO68
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Gold — 172139 36531 29252 92 259394360754 101304 1517 346 48 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Pirates — 208175 41511 28424 51 234353291644 57303 2013 305 30 — — — — — —
202619 ABradenton Marauders — 3528 6000 6141 20 214371214586 429 4017 296 31 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Pirates — 7253 8010 17191 20 151366189555 38235 2624 285 17 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 172147 25321 21302 92 170282238520 68201 1712 239 48 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 208185 32311 18604 51 173261216477 43241 299 213 30 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEBradenton Marauders — 3530 4000 4191 20 133257133390 412 5411 214 31 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 7259 7010 11271 20 119268153420 34191 3815 194 17 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 172147 25321 21302 92 170282238520 68203 1712 239 48 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Pirates Gold — 172139 36531 29252 92 259394360754 101304 1517 346 48 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 208185 32311 18604 51 173261216477 43250 299 213 30 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWFCL Pirates — 208175 41511 28424 51 234353291644 57303 2013 305 30 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 10789 11010 15462 40 124264146410 22256 4314 201 22 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAW2 teams — 10781 14010 23332 40 173368198565 25292 3121 289 22 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 172147 25321 21302 92 170282238520 68201 1712 239 48 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 208184 32311 18604 51 174261217478 43241 299 213 30 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 10789 11010 15462 40 124264146410 22263 4314 201 22 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Pirates Gold — 172147 25321 21302 92 170282238520 68201 1712 239 48 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 208184 32311 18604 51 174261217478 43241 299 213 30 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLE2 teams — 10789 11010 15462 40 124264146410 22263 4314 201 22 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEPIT 0% 217194 37611 19582 31 197277265541 68270 279 251 56 -11 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEPIT 34% 131117 24411 12341 21 203283285568 82272 269 262 63 -6 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXPIT 34% 4540 7100 4121 10 203283284567 81273 279 261 63 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 4540 7100 4121 10 175267200467 25250 279 261 42 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650578 1011400 5817314 140 175266199465 24249 279 261 42 -28 +3 +0 +2 +14 -0.9
Career— MLE — 685598 1031253 7218810 214 172272224496 52244 2711 231 42 -9 +0 +0 +1 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650567 981153 681789 204 173271226497 53244 2710 231 42 -30 +1 +0 +2 +14 -1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Pirates · 72 PAwOBA .280 → .194 (−87)K% 26.4% → 38.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.39%÷1.000×1.440——38.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.61%÷1.000×0.620—×1.00814.75%
HBP% /PA1.39%—×0.720—×1.0081.01%
Singles /BIP20.59%÷1.000×0.820—×1.00817.01%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0080.00%
Triples /BIP2.94%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0082.13%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .280 → .194; ISO .038 → .027; BABIP .235 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 35 PAwOBA .290 → .214 (−76)K% 40.0% → 54.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA40.00%÷1.000×1.360——54.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.14%÷1.000×0.690—×1.04512.36%
HBP% /PA2.86%—×0.780—×1.0452.33%
Singles /BIP42.86%÷1.000×0.920—×1.04541.20%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.830—×1.0450.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .290 → .214; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .429 → .412. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Pirates · 208 PAwOBA .298 → .213 (−84)K% 20.2% → 28.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.19%÷1.006×1.440——28.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.46%÷0.998×0.620—×1.0228.55%
HBP% /PA1.92%—×0.720—×1.0221.42%
Singles /BIP25.56%÷1.022×0.820×0.997×1.02220.92%
Doubles /BIP3.76%÷1.119×0.720×0.997×1.0222.47%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷0.950×0.720×0.997×1.0220.58%
Home runs /BIP0.75%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0220.60%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 104, 2B 124, 3B 90, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.

Result: wOBA .298 → .213; ISO .057 → .039; BABIP .303 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Pirates Gold · 172 PAwOBA .342 → .239 (−103)K% 14.5% → 17.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.53%÷1.011×1.220——17.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.86%÷0.971×0.700—×1.02212.43%
HBP% /PA1.16%—×0.700—×1.0220.83%
Singles /BIP23.68%÷1.024×0.680×1.007×1.02216.19%
Doubles /BIP4.39%÷1.084×0.600×1.007×1.0222.50%
Triples /BIP2.63%÷0.989×0.600×1.007×1.0221.64%
Home runs /BIP0.88%÷0.847×0.470—×1.0220.50%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 105, 2B 117, 3B 98, K 102, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.

Result: wOBA .342 → .239; ISO .101 → .062; BABIP .304 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).