Kendrick Herrera3B FCL Pirates
Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION66 act + 111 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†47
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .273 / .273
PA111
HR1
K%27
BB%9
BABIP261
ISO81
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -14.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-14BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +5.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.80-0.8WAR
0.00.51.00.30.40.50.5+$12M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT35
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.5$1M+$0.8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $2M $2M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Gold 172149 28321 19352 92 188288255543 67235 2011 253 52
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Gold 172139 36531 29252 92 259394360754 101304 1517 346 123
202518 ROKFCL Pirates 208186 31311 17604 51 167251210461 43240 298 206 16
202518 ROKFCL Pirates 208175 41511 28424 51 234353291644 57303 2013 305 91
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKPIT 6655 6010 9261 20 109246145392 36207 3914 185 0 -7 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.5
YTD19 ROKPIT 6649 7010 15181 20 143354184538 41226 2723 276 70 -2 +0 +0 +0 +2 0.0
ROS19 ROKPIT 0% 11199 19311 10301 20 192273273545 81263 279 247 47 -7 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.3
ROS19 MLBPIT 0% 01 0000 000 00 262 238 41 +0 +0
FULL19 ROKPIT 6656 6010 9261 20 107246143389 36200 3914 185 0 -7 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.5
TOT19 ROKPIT 177154 25321 19562 40 162263227490 65245 3211 224 30 -14 +1 +0 +1 +5 -0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBPIT 34% 256227 45723 24683 41 198283286570 88267 279 262 59 -12 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.3
202821 MLBPIT 48% 376333 681135 35975 61 204290300590 96270 269 272 66 -14 +1 +0 +1 +11 -0.1
202922 MLBPIT 54% 462410 861438 431186 72 210294317611 107273 269 279 72 -15 +1 +0 +2 +13 0.0
203023 MLBPIT 57% 518459 981649 481316 82 214296325621 111274 259 283 75 -15 +1 +0 +2 +15 0.3
203124 MLBPIT 57% 554490 10517410 521397 92 214299327625 112275 259 285 76 -15 +1 +0 +2 +16 0.4
203225 MLBPIT 57% 576510 11018411 541447 92 216299331631 116275 259 286 77 -15 +1 +0 +2 +16 0.5
203326 MLBPIT 60% 587520 11118411 551477 92 213297327624 113275 259 287 78 -15 +1 +0 +2 +17 0.5
202720 MLBPIT 34% 8879 16311 8231 10 203284304588 101266 269 252 51 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
202821 MLBPIT 48% 182161 33513 17472 31 205289304593 99269 269 262 59 -8 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.3
202922 MLBPIT 54% 251223 47824 23643 41 211293318612 108271 259 269 64 -10 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.2
203023 MLBPIT 57% 293260 55925 27744 51 212296319615 108273 259 273 67 -11 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
203124 MLBPIT 57% 313277 591026 29794 51 213297329625 116273 259 275 69 -11 +1 +0 +1 +9 -0.1
203225 MLBPIT 57% 325288 611026 30824 51 212295323618 111273 259 276 69 -11 +1 +0 +1 +9 -0.0
203326 MLBPIT 60% 354314 681137 33894 61 217299338637 121273 259 276 70 -12 +1 +0 +1 +10 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 18061603 339561332 16745822 296 211295323617 111274 259 272 66 -69 +3 +0 +6 +51 -0.8
/ 162G 650577 12320512 601658 102 213296328624 114275 259 272 66 -25 +1 +0 +2 +18 -0.3
Career 38203383 7011102860 35796948 6815 207292309601 102270 259 275 68 -136 +8 +0 +14 +108 -0.7
/ 162G 650576 12019510 611658 123 208293311604 102272 259 275 68 -23 +1 +0 +2 +18 -0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL Pirates Gold 172139 36531 29252 92 259394360754 101304 1517 346 123 +4 +1 +5 1.1
202518 ROKFCL Pirates 208175 41511 28424 51 234353291644 57303 2013 305 91 -2 +1 +6 0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
51,9843332212292320+7+20.40.7
/1626641111+2.4+0.80.1pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Kendrick Herrera (OGILVIE) 19 35 20 45 50 162/263/227 65245 14 32% 11% 30 -0.8
Richard Rodriguez
2012 · A
19 39 36→30 48→50 45 186/255/247 61260 312 28% 8% 37 -2.6 210/266/251 41261 114 19% 7% 42 -2.3 233/291/2542027801615%7%50-0.6
Robedluis Fuentes
2008 · A
19 41 37→30 53→45 45 197/263/267 70262 412 25% 7% 46 -2.0 230/290/284 54281 37 18% 6% 61 -1.0 243/302/283402902516%6%64-0.3
Edward Duran
2023 · A
19 43→45 35→40 48→50 47 200/268/269 69262 27 23% 7% 49 -1.8 224/299/299 75294 48 23% 8% 69 -0.4 225/304/305793045825%8%70-0.2
Marco Guzman
2014 · A
19 39 36→45 44→50 48 185/262/256 71249 38 25% 9% 43 -2.2 207/264/294 87251 57 19% 7% 53 -1.5 227/264/3321052916823%5%60-0.3
Jesus Castillo
2022 · A
19 41→44 34→30 51→55 42 194/257/244 49275 216 28% 6% 37 -2.6 213/312/258 45291 119 24% 11% 66 -0.6 202/327/2323028312424%14%65-0.3
Jose Perez
2023 · A
19 41 36→40 44→45 51 193/275/258 65253 38 24% 9% 50 -1.8 200/306/292 92270 56 25% 12% 72 -0.2 182/303/271882445524%13%64-0.3
Luis Reynoso
2014 · A
19 43 36→30 45→50 45 204/267/271 67279 39 27% 7% 48 -1.9 191/245/247 56316 46 38% 6% 32 -3.0 169/221/200313043343%6%8-1.2
Anneury Peguero
2007 · A
20 43 35→30 44→50 48 201/266/259 58253 27 20% 7% 45 -2.1 211/289/268 57271 312 21% 9% 57 -1.2 205/293/2433826021620%10%50-0.6
Andres Martinez
2014 · A
19 43 37→30 47→45 42 200/267/273 74300 48 33% 7% 49 -1.8 211/277/277 66288 39 25% 7% 54 -1.4 206/276/2605427711024%7%45-0.6
Yeldrys Molina
2008 · A
19 44 36→40 46→50 44 205/260/274 69260 39 22% 6% 46 -2.0 195/254/274 79281 49 30% 7% 43 -2.2 173/239/2568425731032%8%30-0.7
Jose Sanabria
2022 · A
19 39 35→30 44→50 41 183/258/245 61277 310 32% 7% 39 -2.5 200/274/259 59305 310 32% 8% 49 -1.8 190/266/2364629021132%9%37-1.2
Emilio King
2009 · A
19 38 37→45 44→40 41 184/245/258 74245 56 26% 6% 36 -2.7 196/261/279 83281 56 30% 5% 49 -1.8 206/259/300942986431%4%49-0.8
Juan Mora
2019 · A
19 45 38→45 46→55 49 211/291/293 83275 48 23% 9% 65 -0.7 213/293/327 114268 1014 23% 8% 75 -0.0 214/280/327113274111225%6%67-0.2
Edwin Fuentes
2014 · A
19 41 33→30 49→50 47 191/258/236 45249 110 23% 7% 36 -2.7 184/233/247 63239 37 23% 5% 27 -3.3 143/181/197541753320%3%-8-1.7
Luis Cruz
2012 · A
19 39 35→40 43→45 42 186/235/238 52254 25 27% 6% 25 -3.5 220/272/314 94275 95 22% 5% 61 -1.0 227/272/301753026326%4%56-0.5
Juan Alonso
2022 · A
18 42→32 37→40 43→50 40 199/260/273 73295 410 32% 6% 46 -2.0 184/285/263 79357 59 44% 10% 56 -1.3 152/269/228753345749%11%40-1.1
Juan Uriarte
2017 · A
19 41 38→45 46→30 41 199/261/275 76260 55 25% 5% 47 -1.9 210/260/302 92278 84 26% 4% 53 -1.5 184/227/264802547030%3%27-1.0
Kleiber Rodriguez
2018 · A
19 37 35→30 46→40 46 175/250/234 59244 25 27% 8% 33 -2.9 219/280/288 69282 35 21% 7% 58 -1.2 240/298/301612842415%8%67-0.2
Alex Mercedes
2011 · A
19 41 34→40 45→55 50 187/242/241 54214 29 14% 6% 30 -3.1 227/282/301 74258 216 12% 6% 62 -0.9 245/302/3318527522011%6%75+0.0
Kelvin Fajardo
2014 · A
18 44 35→30 46→50 48 204/261/260 56246 36 18% 7% 43 -2.2 222/278/270 48270 16 17% 6% 52 -1.6 224/280/257332660615%6%49-0.7