Estivel Morillo — OGILVIE

Estivel MorilloOF ACL Guardians

Age 20 L/R 6'0" / 155 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 146 proj PA

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .253 / .248

PA146

HR1

K%31

BB%8

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 33

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER33

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	175	138	32	6	4	0	34	37	3	12	6	232	394	333	728	101	317	21	19	343	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	82	73	12	4	2	0	6	36	2	3	0	164	247	274	521	110	316	44	7	237	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	175	143	32	7	1	0	28	58	2	23	5	224	358	287	645	63	368	33	16	305	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	175	149	21	4	2	0	23	48	3	12	6	141	269	195	463	54	202	27	13	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	82	75	7	2	1	0	4	50	2	3	0	93	160	147	307	53	247	61	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	175	154	21	4	1	0	18	83	2	23	5	136	237	175	412	39	279	47	10	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	175	149	21	4	2	0	23	48	3	12	6	141	269	195	463	54	208	27	13	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	175	138	32	6	4	0	34	37	3	12	6	232	394	333	728	101	317	21	19	343	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	82	75	7	2	1	0	4	50	2	3	0	93	160	147	307	53	269	61	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	82	73	12	4	2	0	6	36	2	3	0	164	247	274	521	110	316	44	7	237	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	175	153	21	4	1	0	18	83	2	23	5	137	237	176	413	39	292	47	10	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	ACL Guardians	—	175	143	32	7	1	0	28	58	2	23	5	224	358	287	645	63	368	33	16	305	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	175	147	21	4	2	0	23	48	3	12	6	143	269	197	466	54	202	27	13	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	82	76	7	2	1	0	4	50	2	3	0	92	160	145	305	53	247	61	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	175	153	21	4	1	0	18	83	2	23	5	137	237	176	413	39	279	47	10	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	175	147	21	4	2	0	23	48	3	12	6	143	269	197	466	54	202	27	13	221	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	82	76	7	2	1	0	4	50	2	3	0	92	160	145	305	53	247	61	5	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	175	153	21	4	1	0	18	83	2	23	5	137	237	176	413	39	279	47	10	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	285	257	46	9	2	2	23	90	3	7	2	179	255	250	506	72	263	32	8	235	45	-19	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	226	203	38	7	2	2	19	69	2	6	1	185	262	270	532	84	266	31	8	245	52	-13	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
2028	21	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	78	71	12	2	0	1	6	24	1	2	0	185	262	267	529	82	265	31	8	244	52	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	78	71	12	2	0	1	6	24	1	2	0	169	244	239	483	70	239	31	8	244	32	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	100	17	0	8	50	200	8	17	0	169	243	238	481	69	240	31	8	244	32	-37	+3	+0	-4	+14	-2.4
Career	—	MLE		—	804	712	110	21	7	3	76	296	10	48	13	154	246	216	462	62	256	37	9	216	32	-22	+1	+0	-2	+8	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	89	17	6	2	61	239	8	39	11	155	245	215	460	61	257	37	9	216	32	-39	+2	+0	-4	+14	-2.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	224	2	6	182	256	258	-1	+0	-0.8	-0.4
/162	664	5	17	-4.0	+0.0	-2.5	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Estivel Morillo (OGILVIE)	20	20→25	28→33	61→66	55	177/253/248	71	263	1	4	31%	8%	45	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Calabrese 2023 · A	20	40→41	40→45	57→50	41	193/255/292	99	294	7	15	35%	7%	55	-2.0	188/260/303	115	277	12	13	34%	8%	60	-1.6	187/246/292	106	241	12	16	27%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Darlyn De Leon 2024 · A	19	37	34→40	55	47	172/261/228	56	244	1	17	28%	8%	44	-2.8	196/273/280	84	271	6	21	28%	8%	59	-1.6	188/263/280	92	256	8	27	28%	8%	53	-0.6
✕Jefry Puente 2012 · A	20	33	36→40	54→50	51	159/256/227	68	220	2	11	26%	10%	42	-2.9	182/263/253	71	238	3	14	23%	8%	49	-2.4	139/229/187	48	171	0	27	17%	8%	19	-1.2
✕Hans Montero 2024 · A	20	36→37	37→45	55	49	172/276/241	69	264	5	18	33%	11%	53	-2.1	182/260/285	103	297	10	17	39%	8%	56	-1.9	173/254/287	113	278	12	22	39%	9%	52	-1.5
✕Yohairo Cuevas 2024 · A	20	39→38	40	53→50	46	189/269/285	96	280	8	13	33%	9%	59	-1.6	194/280/279	85	302	5	15	34%	10%	62	-1.4	185/278/271	86	290	5	16	34%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Jaden Rudd 2024 · A	21	39→36	37→30	52→50	48	179/290/250	70	276	4	14	32%	10%	61	-1.5	193/286/269	76	307	5	13	35%	9%	63	-1.4	155/260/202	47	253	3	16	35%	10%	36	-0.9
✕Roberto Reyes 2010 · A	21	35	37→40	55	44	168/249/240	72	256	4	15	33%	8%	42	-2.9	189/249/265	76	287	4	8	33%	6%	46	-2.6	179/233/246	67	261	5	2	32%	5%	34	-1.2
✕Junior Amarante 2015 · A	20	39	33→30	55	45	184/252/228	44	256	1	18	27%	7%	39	-3.1	198/256/252	54	281	2	13	28%	6%	46	-2.6	173/227/195	22	249	0	14	29%	4%	19	-1.2
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Henry Ramos 2024 · A	19	33→43	36→40	55	44	163/232/226	64	231	3	15	29%	7%	32	-3.7	191/254/260	69	282	4	16	31%	7%	47	-2.6	201/266/273	72	289	5	18	30%	7%	51	-1.1
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	34	39→45	54→45	38	169/229/251	81	271	6	13	38%	7%	36	-3.4	173/235/269	96	305	10	11	44%	6%	42	-2.9	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Dan Arcila 2010 · A	20	33	34→40	53→50	45	159/241/211	52	247	1	15	33%	9%	32	-3.7	181/238/292	111	250	11	8	31%	6%	49	-2.4	160/212/308	147	198	17	3	29%	5%	39	-0.9
✕Shard Munroe 2017 · A	21	39	36→40	58→50	51	184/262/257	74	236	3	16	22%	9%	49	-2.4	195/264/288	93	277	8	13	30%	8%	57	-1.8	173/247/267	94	252	9	14	33%	8%	45	-0.9
✕Jose Ramos 2024 · A	21	36	38→40	59→55	43	175/251/257	81	256	4	23	31%	7%	46	-2.6	195/280/275	80	288	5	23	31%	9%	61	-1.5	194/290/265	72	282	5	28	30%	11%	60	-0.5
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Esteban Mejia 2024 · A	19	39	36→40	55→50	41	188/242/257	68	263	3	15	28%	6%	41	-3.0	199/263/280	81	297	6	14	32%	7%	55	-1.9	196/265/273	77	287	7	15	32%	7%	52	-1.1
✕Eduardo Sosa 2011 · A	20	40→42	38→40	52→50	42	191/253/269	78	273	5	15	30%	7%	49	-2.4	208/250/277	69	309	3	11	32%	5%	49	-2.4	204/247/267	63	301	2	11	31%	5%	42	-1.5
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	37	38→40	49→50	44	181/259/263	83	253	5	11	29%	8%	51	-2.3	186/256/284	98	256	7	9	28%	7%	54	-2.0	123/201/242	119	154	9	9	26%	8%	23	-1.1
✕Anyelo Encarnación 2024 · A	20	41→36	38→40	54→50	49	188/284/272	84	293	5	14	34%	11%	62	-1.4	183/267/272	89	313	8	14	40%	9%	56	-1.9	171/261/262	92	293	9	17	41%	10%	49	-1.4
✕Kody Eaves 2013 · A	20	41→43	39→45	56→50	41	200/252/289	89	270	5	8	27%	6%	52	-2.2	205/243/300	95	281	6	14	28%	4%	51	-2.2	191/250/310	119	262	10	7	30%	7%	55	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps