Kevin Robledo — OGILVIE

Kevin RobledoC FCL Marlins

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 176 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION20 act + 119 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .288 / .292

PA119

HR1

K%27

BB%9

BABIP284

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$2M
Totals		$18M		$42M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	205	164	27	7	0	7	29	69	6	3	1	165	312	335	647	171	213	34	14	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	205	145	32	11	0	7	48	48	6	3	1	221	432	441	874	221	260	23	23	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	167	141	27	4	0	0	18	44	4	11	2	191	301	220	520	28	267	26	11	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	167	131	34	6	0	1	28	33	4	11	2	260	405	328	733	69	327	20	17	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	ROK	MIA	—	20	18	4	0	0	1	2	9	0	0	1	222	300	389	689	167	375	45	10	283	75	-1	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
YTD	19	ROK	MIA	—	20	16	5	0	0	1	4	6	0	0	1	312	450	500	950	188	444	30	20	425	183	+2	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
ROS	19	ROK	MIA	0%	119	106	22	4	1	1	11	32	1	2	1	208	288	292	581	85	277	27	9	272	66	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	19	MLB	MIA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	259	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	ROK	MIA	—	20	19	4	0	0	1	2	9	0	0	1	211	300	368	668	158	333	45	10	283	75	-1	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
TOT	19	ROK	MIA	—	139	124	26	4	1	2	13	41	1	2	2	210	290	306	596	97	293	29	9	273	67	-5	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	MIA	34%	224	197	42	8	1	3	22	58	3	4	1	213	302	310	611	96	280	26	10	283	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2028	21	MLB	MIA	48%	351	309	68	13	2	6	34	89	5	7	2	220	307	333	641	113	282	25	10	290	80	-8	+1	+0	+6	+10	0.9
2029	22	MLB	MIA	54%	443	391	86	16	2	9	43	111	6	9	3	220	307	340	647	120	283	25	10	295	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.3
2030	23	MLB	MIA	57%	503	442	99	18	3	10	49	125	7	11	3	224	311	346	657	122	284	25	10	297	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.6
2031	24	MLB	MIA	57%	520	458	103	19	3	11	50	128	7	11	3	225	311	352	662	127	285	25	10	299	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2032	25	MLB	MIA	57%	520	457	103	19	3	11	51	128	7	11	3	225	313	352	665	127	285	25	10	300	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	26	MLB	MIA	60%	520	457	103	19	3	11	51	128	7	11	3	225	313	352	665	127	285	25	10	300	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2034	27	MLB	MIA	62%	520	457	103	19	3	11	51	128	7	11	3	225	313	352	665	127	285	25	10	300	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2035	28	MLB	MIA	63%	520	456	103	19	3	11	52	129	7	11	3	226	315	353	668	127	284	25	10	299	87	-8	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2036	29	MLB	MIA	64%	520	456	101	19	2	11	52	130	7	11	3	221	311	344	655	123	283	25	10	297	86	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2037	30	MLB	MIA	65%	520	456	99	18	2	10	52	132	7	10	3	217	307	331	638	114	282	25	10	294	83	-10	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.3
2038	31	MLB	MIA	65%	504	442	96	18	2	10	50	129	7	10	3	217	307	335	641	118	280	26	10	290	80	-11	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.0
2039	32	MLB	MIA	65%	489	430	91	16	2	9	49	127	7	9	2	212	302	321	623	109	276	26	10	285	76	-13	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.7
2027	20	MLB	MIA	34%	77	69	14	3	0	1	7	20	1	2	0	203	286	290	576	87	275	26	9	269	64	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB	MIA	48%	170	150	32	6	1	3	16	43	2	3	1	213	298	327	624	113	277	25	9	276	69	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2029	22	MLB	MIA	54%	240	212	47	9	1	5	23	60	3	5	1	222	307	344	651	123	279	25	10	280	73	-7	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.4
2030	23	MLB	MIA	57%	285	251	55	10	1	6	28	71	4	6	2	219	307	339	646	120	280	25	10	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2031	24	MLB	MIA	57%	294	259	58	11	2	6	29	73	4	6	2	224	312	351	663	127	280	25	10	285	76	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	25	MLB	MIA	57%	294	259	58	11	2	6	29	72	4	6	2	224	312	351	663	127	280	24	10	285	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2033	26	MLB	MIA	60%	314	276	61	11	2	6	31	77	4	7	2	221	309	341	649	120	280	25	10	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2034	27	MLB	MIA	62%	323	283	64	12	2	7	32	80	5	7	2	226	316	357	673	131	280	25	10	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2035	28	MLB	MIA	63%	329	288	64	12	2	7	33	82	5	7	2	222	313	351	664	128	279	25	10	285	76	-9	+1	-0	+6	+9	0.7
2036	29	MLB	MIA	64%	332	291	65	12	2	7	33	83	5	7	2	223	313	351	664	127	279	25	10	283	75	-10	+1	-1	+6	+9	0.6
2037	30	MLB	MIA	65%	338	296	64	12	2	6	34	85	5	7	2	216	307	331	639	115	277	25	10	280	73	-10	+1	-1	+6	+10	0.4
2038	31	MLB	MIA	65%	328	288	61	11	1	6	33	84	4	6	2	212	302	319	621	108	275	26	10	276	70	-11	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.3
2039	32	MLB	MIA	65%	318	279	58	10	1	6	32	83	4	6	2	208	298	315	614	108	272	26	10	271	66	-12	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3642	3202	701	130	19	72	360	913	50	75	22	219	308	339	647	120	281	25	10	281	73	-109	+6	-7	+65	+103	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	125	23	3	13	64	163	9	13	4	219	307	338	645	119	281	25	10	281	73	-20	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	6645	5819	1273	236	32	131	664	1687	95	142	39	219	309	338	647	119	282	25	10	293	83	-130	+13	-10	+119	+188	18.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	124	23	3	13	65	165	9	14	4	218	307	337	645	120	281	25	10	293	83	-13	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	205	145	32	11	0	7	48	48	6	3	1	221	432	441	874	221	260	23	23	387	154	+13	+0	—	—	+6	1.9
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	167	131	34	6	0	1	28	33	4	11	2	260	405	328	733	69	327	20	17	339	118	+3	+1	—	—	+5	1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,779	74	78	222	306	341	+67	+36	10.8	9.0
	/162	664	13	14	222	306	341	+11.9	+6.3	1.9	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Robledo (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	55	60	210/290/306	97	293	2	2	29%	9%	67	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→30	54→50	47	207/264/281	74	251	3	14	19%	6%	50	-1.8	245/295/318	73	283	3	14	14%	5%	72	-0.2	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	59	-1.1	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	66	-0.6	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	65	-0.3
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	54	195/298/259	64	275	4	8	28%	12%	60	-1.0	196/296/284	88	277	8	5	29%	11%	66	-0.6	173/283/253	79	246	9	2	30%	12%	51	-0.6
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	50	-1.7	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	63	-0.9	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	69	-0.1
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	65	-0.7	213/293/327	114	268	10	14	23%	8%	75	-0.0	214/280/327	113	274	11	12	25%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Shaydron Buckridge 2007 · A	19	46	35→30	48→50	45	214/275/271	58	272	3	5	22%	6%	52	-1.6	219/291/274	55	280	2	7	21%	7%	60	-1.0	259/340/295	36	306	0	9	14%	9%	82	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	44	38→40	51→60	58	207/313/298	91	265	4	12	22%	12%	76	+0.1	218/305/301	83	307	6	23	28%	10%	73	-0.1	216/305/292	77	301	7	32	28%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A	19	43	39→40	49→45	46	207/270/299	92	260	6	7	22%	7%	57	-1.2	226/286/317	91	285	6	7	22%	6%	68	-0.5	230/289/314	84	291	6	6	22%	6%	66	-0.2
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	65	-0.7	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	60	-1.0	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	53	-0.4
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→46	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	59	-1.1	225/302/319	94	296	6	8	24%	10%	76	+0.0	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A	19	44	39→40	48→55	47	209/298/288	79	282	7	17	26%	8%	68	-0.5	199/266/274	75	327	6	12	38%	7%	49	-1.8	173/232/231	58	316	6	11	44%	7%	20	-1.1
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	50	36→40	44→45	50	231/310/298	67	290	3	8	20%	8%	74	-0.1	208/273/281	73	275	4	5	24%	8%	53	-1.5	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	46	-2.0	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	61	-1.0	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	56	-0.4
✕Edward Duran 2023 · A	19	43→45	35→40	48→50	47	200/268/269	69	262	2	7	23%	7%	49	-1.8	224/299/299	75	294	4	8	23%	8%	69	-0.4	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/290/273	82	290	5	8	32%	11%	61	-1.0	192/289/292	100	287	9	14	33%	10%	65	-0.7	175/282/297	122	265	13	26	36%	10%	62	-0.6
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	287	5	7	30%	8%	53	-1.5	193/290/269	76	317	6	5	37%	9%	60	-1.0	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	83	+0.6	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8