Kevin Robledo

C FCL Marlins
Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 176 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1034ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKMIA205.221/.432/.4417364—.138/.307/.256
202518ROKDSL Miami167.260/.405/.32811144—.165/.288/.194
202619ROKMIA24.250/.375/.4001038—.182/.250/.318
2027PROJMLE20MLBMIA141.201/.287/.28412650.0
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBMIA27.199/.286/.28601700.0
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBMIA81.203/.289/.29712740.1
Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk
Chase%84
BB%72
wOBA62
K%60
wRC+52
Whiff%50
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 96%
CompsJenner Emeterio (age 20) · Yeldrys Molina (age 20) · Yeniel Laboy (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 27 proj PA
wRC+†65
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .285 / .281
PA27
HR0
K%27
BB%9
ISO83
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +0.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: +0.00+0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.50.40.40.40.20.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$8M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT40
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.5M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2035Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.4$0.9M+$0.4M
2036Arb-1$1M+0.2$0.4M+$0.0M (cut)
2037Arb-2$1M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2038Arb-3$7M———
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Marlins — 205145 321107 48486 31 221432441874 221260 2323 387 64 — — — — — —
202518 ROKDSL Miami — 167131 34601 28334 112 260405328733 69327 2017 339 44 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Marlins — 2420 5001 480 01 250375400775 150364 3317 354 38 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 205160 22704 33586 31 138307256563 119160 2816 263 64 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 167139 23400 20394 112 165288194483 29209 2312 233 44 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 2422 4001 2120 01 182250318568 136291 508 225 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 205160 22704 33586 31 138307256563 119173 2816 263 64 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Marlins — 205145 321107 48486 31 221432441874 221260 2323 387 64 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 167139 23400 20394 112 165288194483 29221 2312 233 44 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWDSL Miami — 167131 34601 28334 112 260405328733 69327 2017 339 44 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 2422 4001 2120 01 182250318568 136333 508 225 38 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Marlins — 2420 5001 480 01 250375400775 150364 3317 354 38 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 205164 22704 33586 31 134307250557 116160 2816 263 64 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 167141 23400 20394 112 163288191480 28209 2312 233 44 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 2422 4001 2120 01 182250318568 136291 508 225 38 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Marlins — 205164 22704 33586 31 134307250557 116160 2816 263 64 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEDSL Miami — 167141 23400 20394 112 163288191480 28209 2312 233 44 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Marlins — 2422 4001 2120 01 182250318568 136291 508 225 38 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEMIA 0% 141125 25511 13382 21 201287284571 83275 279 264 65 -6 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEMIA 34% 8071 14301 8211 20 205292298590 93277 2610 271 70 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202922 MLB MLEMIA 48% 167147 31612 16442 31 209295310605 101278 2610 277 74 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.2
203023 MLB MLEMIA 54% 261231 48914 25683 62 213298320618 107280 2610 282 77 -7 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203124 MLB MLEMIA 55% 348308 661226 33904 72 216300327628 112281 269 286 79 -8 +1 +0 +6 +8 0.6
203225 MLB MLEMIA 56% 396351 761427 371025 83 218302333634 115282 269 288 81 -9 +0 +0 +7 +9 0.7
203326 MLB MLEMIA 56% 425377 821528 401105 93 218301333635 116282 269 288 81 -9 +1 +0 +8 +9 0.8
203427 MLB MLEMIA 60% 438389 831528 411135 93 216300330631 114281 269 287 80 -10 +1 +0 +8 +9 0.8
203528 MLB MLEMIA 62% 440391 831528 411155 83 214298325624 111280 269 284 78 -11 +0 -1 +8 +10 0.6
203629 MLB MLEMIA 63% 435386 811527 411155 83 212295319615 107279 269 280 76 -12 +0 -1 +8 +9 0.4
203730 MLB MLEMIA 63% 425377 791427 401145 73 209292311603 102276 279 276 73 -14 +0 -2 +8 +9 0.1
203831 MLB MLEMIA 65% 390347 721326 361064 64 204287301588 97273 279 270 69 -15 -0 -3 +7 +8 -0.2
202821 MLB CTXMIA 34% 2724 4100 370 10 199286286571 87268 2611 264 70 -1 +0 +0 +0 +1 0.0
202922 MLB CTXMIA 48% 8172 14301 8211 21 203289297586 94270 2610 270 74 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
203023 MLB CTXMIA 54% 142126 26512 13372 31 206292306598 100271 269 274 77 -4 +0 +0 +3 +3 0.2
203124 MLB CTXMIA 55% 193171 35613 18502 41 209294313607 104272 269 278 79 -5 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
203225 MLB CTXMIA 56% 222196 41714 21573 51 211295318614 108273 269 280 81 -5 +1 +0 +4 +5 0.5
203326 MLB CTXMIA 56% 239211 44814 23623 52 210295319614 108273 2610 280 81 -5 +0 +0 +4 +5 0.4
203427 MLB CTXMIA 60% 261231 48815 25683 52 209294316610 107272 2610 279 80 -6 +0 +0 +5 +6 0.4
203528 MLB CTXMIA 62% 271240 50915 26713 52 208292311604 104271 2610 276 78 -7 +0 -0 +5 +6 0.4
203629 MLB CTXMIA 63% 273242 49914 26723 52 205289305595 100270 2610 273 76 -8 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.2
203730 MLB CTXMIA 63% 270240 48814 25723 52 202286298584 96268 279 268 73 -9 +0 -1 +5 +6 0.1
203831 MLB CTXMIA 65% 254226 45814 23693 42 198281288569 90265 279 262 69 -10 +0 -2 +5 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 22331979 40472936 21158626 4416 204289304593 100269 269 274 75 -62 +2 -4 +40 +48 2.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650576 11821310 611718 135 205290304594 99271 269 274 75 -18 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.7
Career— MLE — 42283720 7681431869 416111454 8731 206295310606 104273 2610 279 75 -106 +4 -7 +68 +83 4.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 11922311 641718 135 208297315611 107274 2610 279 75 -18 +1 -1 +12 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Marlins · 24 PAwOBA .345 → .225 (−120)K% 33.3% → 48.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.000×1.440——48.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.67%÷1.000×0.620—×0.99510.28%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Singles /BIP33.33%÷1.000×0.820—×0.99527.20%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.720—×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9956.47%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .345 → .225; ISO .150 → .097; BABIP .364 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Miami · 167 PAwOBA .340 → .233 (−108)K% 19.8% → 23.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.76%÷1.040×1.220——23.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.77%÷0.978×0.700—×0.99511.94%
HBP% /PA2.40%—×0.700—×0.9951.67%
Singles /BIP27.55%÷0.978×0.680×0.958×0.99518.26%
Doubles /BIP6.12%÷1.026×0.600×0.958×0.9953.41%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.088×0.600×0.958×0.9950.00%
Home runs /BIP1.02%÷1.423×0.470—×0.9950.34%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 118, K 108, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .340 → .233; ISO .069 → .036; BABIP .327 → .209. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Marlins · 205 PAwOBA .388 → .263 (−125)K% 23.4% → 28.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.41%÷1.004×1.220——28.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA22.93%÷0.997×0.700—×1.00816.21%
HBP% /PA2.93%—×0.700—×1.0082.06%
Singles /BIP14.43%÷0.976×0.680×0.981×1.0089.94%
Doubles /BIP11.34%÷1.059×0.600×0.981×1.0086.35%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.933×0.600×0.981×1.0080.00%
Home runs /BIP7.22%÷0.940×0.470—×1.0083.63%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 112, 3B 87, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .388 → .263; ISO .221 → .130; BABIP .260 → .160. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).