Kevin Robledo — OGILVIE

Kevin RobledoC FCL Marlins

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 176 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION24 act + 11 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†69

AVG/OBP/SLG.100 / .182 / .100

PA11

HR0

K%27

BB%9

BABIP269

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$43M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.5M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	205	145	32	11	0	7	48	48	6	3	1	221	432	441	874	221	260	23	23	387	148	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.7
2025	18	ROK	DSL Miami	—	167	131	34	6	0	1	28	33	4	11	2	260	405	328	733	69	327	20	17	339	116	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	205	164	26	8	0	6	29	69	6	3	1	159	307	317	624	159	195	34	14	283	78	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	167	141	27	4	0	1	18	46	4	11	2	191	301	241	542	50	254	28	11	247	53	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	205	164	26	8	0	6	29	69	6	3	1	159	307	317	624	159	211	34	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	205	145	32	11	0	7	48	48	6	3	1	221	432	441	874	221	260	23	23	387	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	167	141	27	4	0	1	18	46	4	11	2	191	301	241	542	50	265	28	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	—	167	131	34	6	0	1	28	33	4	11	2	260	405	328	733	69	327	20	17	339	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	205	168	26	8	0	6	29	69	6	3	1	155	307	310	616	155	195	34	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	167	143	27	4	0	1	18	46	4	11	2	189	301	238	538	49	254	28	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	205	168	26	8	0	6	29	69	6	3	1	155	307	310	616	155	195	34	14	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	—	167	143	27	4	0	1	18	46	4	11	2	189	301	238	538	49	254	28	11	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	MIA	—	24	22	4	0	0	1	2	12	0	0	1	182	250	318	568	136	333	50	8	226	39	-2	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	MIA	—	24	20	5	0	0	1	4	8	0	0	1	250	375	400	775	150	364	33	17	354	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	ROK MLE	MIA	0%	11	10	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	100	182	100	282		276	27	9	271	69	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	ROK MLE	MIA	—	35	32	5	0	0	1	3	15	0	0	1	156	229	250	479	94	250	43	9	240	49	-2	-0	+0	+1	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	224	198	41	8	1	3	21	58	3	4	1	207	293	303	596	96	280	26	9	282	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2028	21	MLB MLE	MIA	48%	351	309	68	13	2	6	34	89	5	7	2	220	307	333	641	113	282	25	10	289	82	-8	+1	+0	+6	+8	0.7
2029	22	MLB MLE	MIA	54%	443	391	86	16	2	9	43	111	6	9	3	220	307	340	647	120	283	25	10	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	503	443	99	19	3	10	48	125	7	11	3	223	309	348	657	124	284	25	10	297	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2031	24	MLB MLE	MIA	57%	520	458	103	19	3	11	50	129	7	11	3	225	311	352	662	127	285	25	10	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	520	458	103	19	3	11	50	128	7	11	3	225	311	352	662	127	285	25	10	299	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	MIA	62%	520	458	103	19	3	11	50	128	7	11	3	225	311	352	662	127	285	25	10	299	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	MIA	63%	520	457	103	19	3	11	51	129	7	11	3	225	313	352	665	127	284	25	10	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	520	456	102	19	3	11	52	129	7	11	3	224	313	351	663	127	284	25	10	298	88	-7	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2036	29	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	520	456	101	19	2	11	52	130	7	11	3	221	311	344	655	123	283	25	10	297	87	-8	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2037	30	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	520	456	100	19	2	10	52	132	7	10	3	219	309	336	644	116	282	25	10	294	85	-9	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.0
2038	31	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	504	442	95	18	2	9	50	129	7	10	3	215	305	326	630	111	279	26	10	290	82	-11	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.7
2039	32	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	489	430	92	17	2	9	49	127	7	9	2	214	305	326	630	112	276	26	10	284	78	-13	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.4
2040	33	MLB MLE	MIA	65%	454	400	83	15	2	8	45	121	6	8	2	207	297	315	612	108	272	27	10	277	74	-14	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.0
2041	34	MLB MLE	MIA	60%	398	351	70	12	2	6	39	108	5	6	2	199	289	296	585	97	266	27	10	269	68	-15	+0	-5	+7	+9	-0.4
2027	20	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	77	69	14	3	0	1	7	20	1	1	0	203	286	290	576	87	272	26	9	266	77	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	MIA	48%	170	150	32	6	1	3	16	43	2	3	1	213	298	327	624	113	274	25	9	272	82	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	22	MLB CTX	MIA	54%	240	212	45	8	1	4	23	60	3	5	1	212	298	316	614	104	275	25	10	277	85	-4	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2030	23	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	285	252	54	10	1	5	27	71	4	6	2	214	300	321	622	107	276	25	9	279	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2031	24	MLB CTX	MIA	57%	294	260	57	10	2	6	28	73	4	6	2	219	305	342	647	123	277	25	10	281	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2032	25	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	314	277	61	11	2	6	30	77	4	7	2	220	305	339	645	119	277	25	10	282	89	-4	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2033	26	MLB CTX	MIA	62%	325	285	62	11	2	6	32	80	5	7	2	218	307	333	641	116	277	25	10	282	89	-4	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2034	27	MLB CTX	MIA	63%	330	290	64	11	2	7	32	82	5	7	2	221	309	345	654	124	277	25	10	282	89	-4	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.9
2035	28	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	338	297	65	12	2	7	33	84	5	7	2	219	307	343	651	125	276	25	10	281	88	-5	+1	-0	+6	+7	0.9
2036	29	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	338	296	63	11	2	6	34	85	5	7	2	213	304	324	629	111	275	25	10	279	87	-5	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.8
2037	30	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	338	296	63	11	2	6	34	86	5	7	2	213	304	324	629	111	274	25	10	277	85	-6	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.7
2038	31	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	328	288	60	11	1	6	33	84	4	6	2	208	298	316	614	108	272	26	10	273	82	-7	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.5
2039	32	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	318	279	57	10	1	5	32	83	4	6	2	204	295	301	596	97	268	26	10	268	78	-8	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2040	33	MLB CTX	MIA	65%	295	260	52	9	1	5	29	78	4	5	1	200	290	300	590	100	264	26	10	261	74	-9	+1	-3	+5	+6	0.0
2041	34	MLB CTX	MIA	60%	241	212	42	7	1	4	24	66	3	4	1	198	289	297	586	99	259	27	10	254	68	-9	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4231	3723	791	141	21	77	414	1072	58	84	24	212	301	324	625	111	275	25	10	275	83	-81	+7	-13	+76	+92	8.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	122	22	3	12	64	165	9	13	4	213	302	325	628	112	276	25	10	275	83	-12	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	7389	6478	1403	263	35	143	734	1891	105	154	42	217	306	334	641	118	280	26	10	291	83	-135	+12	-20	+125	+152	13.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	124	23	3	13	65	166	9	14	4	218	307	337	644	119	281	26	10	291	83	-13	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.6	4,369	83	88	219	304	336	+78	+40	11.9	9.7
/162	664	13	13	+11.9	+6.1	1.8	pk7: 8
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kevin Robledo (OGILVIE)	19	40	20	55	60	203/289/294	90	276	2	2	27%	10%	69	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	42	36→40	47→40	55	196/303/262	65	273	4	8	27%	12%	68	-1.0	197/297/284	87	275	8	5	28%	11%	70	-0.8	175/284/254	79	245	9	2	29%	12%	58	-0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A	20	45	38→30	48→60	46	214/278/297	83	284	5	13	26%	8%	64	-1.3	217/304/278	61	289	3	24	23%	10%	70	-0.8	216/317/260	44	285	1	34	22%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Enmanuel Tejeda 2023 · A	18	45→37	40	52→60	57	212/316/313	100	269	5	12	21%	12%	83	+0.1	225/310/312	87	311	7	23	27%	10%	80	-0.1	226/313/303	78	310	7	32	27%	10%	77	-0.1
✕Deiber Olivera 2012 · A	19	44	38→40	50→45	44	210/259/296	86	269	4	8	23%	6%	56	-1.9	236/277/312	76	275	3	7	15%	4%	67	-1.1	255/291/322	67	289	2	7	12%	3%	73	-0.2
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Onil Perez 2022 · A	19	47	39→30	45→55	55	225/305/313	88	271	7	10	19%	10%	78	-0.3	213/272/287	74	273	3	14	21%	7%	59	-1.6	211/278/275	64	260	3	21	19%	7%	57	-0.9
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	50→52	39→40	54→50	56	234/323/325	91	290	6	14	20%	11%	88	+0.4	239/315/327	88	307	7	14	23%	8%	86	+0.3	239/316/323	84	307	7	14	23%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Shaydron Buckridge 2007 · A	19	46	35→30	48→50	45	214/275/271	58	272	3	5	22%	6%	57	-1.8	219/291/274	55	280	2	7	21%	7%	65	-1.2	259/340/295	36	306	0	9	14%	9%	84	+0.1
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A	19	46	34→30	52→60	47	210/307/262	52	296	2	16	27%	8%	69	-0.9	218/295/268	50	299	1	19	25%	7%	65	-1.2	222/294/257	35	301	0	26	24%	7%	58	-0.5
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	44→48	42→45	50→55	49	212/297/322	110	288	9	12	28%	10%	78	-0.3	220/281/338	118	321	11	16	33%	7%	75	-0.5	235/283/350	115	329	10	23	30%	5%	76	-0.3
✕Sam McMillan 2019 · A	20	47	41→30	47→45	49	227/314/329	102	280	8	6	21%	8%	86	+0.3	212/313/285	73	291	4	7	26%	10%	76	-0.4	204/326/266	62	270	4	7	22%	12%	75	-0.2
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	69	-0.9	213/293/326	113	268	10	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	212/279/323	110	272	10	12	25%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Ryan Burrowes 2023 · A	18	44→45	39→40	55→60	46	209/291/296	87	283	6	13	26%	8%	70	-0.8	190/254/255	65	320	4	20	39%	6%	47	-2.6	197/269/273	76	310	7	32	36%	7%	54	-1.5
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/288/272	81	291	5	8	32%	10%	64	-1.3	194/290/296	102	287	9	14	33%	10%	70	-0.8	175/281/296	121	259	13	27	34%	10%	66	-0.9
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	42	38→40	47→45	43	199/271/276	78	288	5	7	31%	8%	58	-1.7	194/291/271	77	319	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	158/267/223	66	272	6	3	39%	10%	45	-1.1
✕Luis Perez 2010 · A	19	49	37→30	45→50	58	225/321/310	84	276	3	7	18%	11%	84	+0.2	226/294/321	95	269	6	10	17%	7%	76	-0.4	228/288/337	109	268	7	11	17%	6%	75	-0.1
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A	20	43	37→40	52→55	44	204/258/281	77	261	3	10	22%	6%	53	-2.1	205/283/290	85	253	7	15	20%	9%	65	-1.2	194/284/274	80	231	8	20	19%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Carlos Rojas 2022 · A	20	43	36→30	49→30	51	203/287/267	63	248	4	8	19%	8%	62	-1.4	214/295/287	73	263	3	4	18%	9%	69	-0.9	219/300/285	66	273	2	1	19%	9%	70	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps