David CarreraOF
DSL NYY Bombers
Age 19
R/R
6'3" / 180 lbs
ROK
HR +8%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 2.3 · 2033
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .285 / .306
PA139
HR2
K%30
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
40→40
PWR
20→20
SPD
60→60
EYE
59↗60
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.3peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Pre-Arb | $0.9M | +2.2 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2033 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +2.3 | $23M | +$22M |
| 2034 | Pre-Arb | $1.0M | +2.3 | $23M | +$22M |
| 2035 | Arb-1 | $4M | +2.2 | $23M | +$19M |
| 2036 | Arb-2 | $7M | +2.0 | $22M | +$15M |
| 2037 | Arb-3 | $8M | +1.7 | $19M | +$10M |
| Totals | $22M | $130M | +$108M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 122 | 104 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 46 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .173 | .283 | .250 | .533 | .077 | .300 | 38 | 7 | .247 | 47 | -7 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 167 | 140 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 54 | 2 | 14 | 6 | .193 | .311 | .229 | .540 | .036 | .295 | 32 | 13 | .261 | 58 | -8 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | NYY | 139 | 124 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .210 | .290 | .315 | .604 | .105 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .272 | 66 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | NYY | 224 | 197 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 62 | 3 | 6 | 1 | .223 | .311 | .350 | .661 | .127 | .294 | 28 | 10 | .295 | 84 | -4 | +1 | +0 | -1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | NYY | 351 | 307 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 93 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .228 | .319 | .362 | .681 | .134 | .295 | 26 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -2 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | NYY | 443 | 387 | 90 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 47 | 114 | 6 | 12 | 3 | .233 | .325 | .382 | .707 | .150 | .295 | 26 | 11 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +13 | 1.2 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | NYY | 503 | 436 | 102 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 126 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .234 | .329 | .385 | .715 | .151 | .296 | 25 | 11 | .323 | 105 | +3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | NYY | 543 | 470 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 61 | 135 | 7 | 14 | 3 | .238 | .335 | .396 | .730 | .157 | .296 | 25 | 11 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | NYY | 566 | 488 | 117 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 140 | 8 | 14 | 3 | .240 | .339 | .400 | .738 | .160 | .297 | 25 | 11 | .330 | 111 | +7 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.2 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 578 | 498 | 119 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 67 | 142 | 8 | 14 | 3 | .239 | .339 | .402 | .740 | .163 | .297 | 25 | 12 | .332 | 112 | +8 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 581 | 500 | 120 | 21 | 3 | 18 | 68 | 144 | 8 | 14 | 3 | .240 | .340 | .402 | .742 | .162 | .297 | 25 | 12 | .332 | 112 | +8 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +16 | 2.3 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 579 | 498 | 118 | 21 | 3 | 17 | 68 | 144 | 8 | 14 | 2 | .237 | .338 | .394 | .732 | .157 | .297 | 25 | 12 | .331 | 111 | +7 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.2 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 570 | 489 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 68 | 144 | 8 | 13 | 2 | .235 | .338 | .393 | .731 | .157 | .296 | 25 | 12 | .329 | 110 | +6 | +2 | -1 | -3 | +16 | 2.0 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 560 | 481 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 16 | 67 | 143 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .233 | .335 | .387 | .722 | .154 | .295 | 26 | 12 | .326 | 107 | +5 | +2 | -2 | -3 | +16 | 1.7 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 547 | 470 | 108 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 65 | 142 | 7 | 11 | 1 | .230 | .332 | .379 | .711 | .149 | .293 | 26 | 12 | .322 | 104 | +3 | +2 | -3 | -3 | +15 | 1.4 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 529 | 454 | 103 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 140 | 7 | 11 | 0 | .227 | .330 | .372 | .702 | .145 | .292 | 26 | 12 | .317 | 101 | +1 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +15 | 1.1 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 499 | 431 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 136 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .220 | .323 | .357 | .680 | .137 | .290 | 27 | 12 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | -4 | -3 | +14 | 0.7 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 452 | 390 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 53 | 127 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .215 | .318 | .346 | .665 | .131 | .288 | 28 | 12 | .305 | 92 | -4 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +13 | 0.3 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 397 | 343 | 72 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 46 | 115 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .210 | .312 | .335 | .647 | .125 | .286 | 29 | 12 | .297 | 86 | -6 | +2 | -6 | -2 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 337 | 291 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 101 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .206 | .308 | .326 | .635 | .120 | .283 | 30 | 12 | .289 | 79 | -8 | +1 | -6 | -2 | +10 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8687 | 7498 | 1712 | 301 | 46 | 230 | 992 | 2289 | 121 | 220 | 37 | .228 | .328 | .373 | .701 | .144 | .295 | 26 | 11 | .317 | 101 | +6 | +29 | -31 | -52 | +246 | 20.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 561 | 128 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 74 | 171 | 9 | 16 | 3 | .228 | .328 | .371 | .698 | .143 | .294 | 26 | 11 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +2 | -2 | -4 | +18 | 1.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 122 | 98 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 7 | 11 | 2 | .276 | .408 | .418 | .827 | .143 | .397 | 26 | 12 | .371 | 142 | +6 | +1 | — | — | +3 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | 167 | 128 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 37 | 2 | 14 | 6 | .266 | .427 | .336 | .763 | .070 | .348 | 22 | 20 | .356 | 131 | +6 | +0 | — | — | +5 | 1.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| David Carrera (OGILVIE) | 19 | 40 | 20 | 60 | 60 | .204/.285/.306 | .101 | .287 | 2 | 3 | 30% | 9% | 66 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Jose Paez 2013 · A |
19 | 47 | 39→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .223/.278/.315 | .092 | .300 | 5 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .211/.257/.296 | .085 | .311 | 4 | 11 | 32% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .178/.220/.246 | .068 | .283 | 3 | 12 | 36% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A |
19 | 49→37 | 40→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .229/.303/.328 | .098 | .328 | 7 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .197/.323/.323 | .126 | .275 | 12 | 20 | 30% | 11% | 89 | +1.0 | .179/.324/.312 | .133 | .244 | 14 | 22 | 29% | 12% | 86 | +0.5 |
|
✕Robedluis Fuentes 2008 · A |
19 | 42 | 37→30 | 53→45 | 44 | .198/.262/.269 | .072 | .264 | 4 | 12 | 26% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .228/.288/.282 | .054 | .279 | 3 | 7 | 18% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .243/.302/.283 | .040 | .290 | 2 | 5 | 16% | 6% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2009 · A |
19 | 44 | 39→40 | 48→55 | 46 | .208/.296/.287 | .079 | .283 | 7 | 16 | 27% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .198/.267/.274 | .076 | .315 | 6 | 13 | 36% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .170/.229/.231 | .061 | .300 | 6 | 11 | 43% | 6% | 19 | -1.1 |
|
✕Efrain Contreras 2006 · A |
19 | 43 | 37→45 | 49→55 | 41 | .203/.263/.279 | .075 | .288 | 4 | 8 | 30% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .223/.288/.330 | .107 | .269 | 10 | 12 | 21% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .225/.291/.340 | .115 | .260 | 12 | 15 | 18% | 5% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A |
19 | 44 | 37→40 | 53→50 | 46 | .208/.263/.283 | .075 | .252 | 3 | 13 | 19% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .243/.293/.316 | .073 | .281 | 3 | 15 | 14% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .292/.336/.357 | .066 | .329 | 1 | 19 | 11% | 5% | 96 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A |
20 | 45 | 38→30 | 48→60 | 46 | .214/.278/.298 | .084 | .285 | 5 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.302/.277 | .061 | .288 | 3 | 24 | 23% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.317/.260 | .044 | .285 | 1 | 34 | 22% | 12% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A |
18 | 41 | 38→30 | 49→50 | 44 | .199/.262/.281 | .083 | .258 | 5 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.287/.284 | .073 | .267 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .221/.317/.274 | .053 | .274 | 5 | 10 | 19% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Albert Hernandez 2008 · A |
19 | 44 | 39→40 | 49→45 | 46 | .209/.271/.300 | .092 | .263 | 6 | 7 | 22% | 7% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.286/.317 | .091 | .284 | 6 | 7 | 21% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .230/.289/.314 | .084 | .291 | 6 | 6 | 22% | 6% | 66 | -0.2 |
|
✕Robert Vasquez 2006 · A |
19 | 48 | 40 | 52→50 | 47 | .231/.288/.325 | .094 | .289 | 6 | 12 | 22% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .208/.275/.278 | .070 | .276 | 4 | 8 | 24% | 8% | 54 | -1.4 | .198/.271/.254 | .056 | .274 | 4 | 9 | 27% | 8% | 45 | -0.6 |
|
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A |
19 | 40 | 36→30 | 48→50 | 45 | .190/.258/.255 | .065 | .266 | 4 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 41 | -2.3 | .207/.263/.250 | .043 | .259 | 1 | 14 | 19% | 7% | 40 | -2.4 | .233/.291/.254 | .020 | .278 | 0 | 16 | 15% | 7% | 50 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A |
19 | 41 | 37→40 | 53→55 | 43 | .196/.257/.274 | .078 | .264 | 4 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .198/.267/.280 | .082 | .273 | 6 | 17 | 28% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .193/.273/.274 | .081 | .258 | 9 | 24 | 27% | 8% | 51 | -0.7 |
|
✕Randy Romero 2019 · A |
19 | 43 | 37→40 | 50→60 | 45 | .205/.254/.275 | .070 | .250 | 4 | 12 | 19% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .229/.271/.302 | .073 | .268 | 3 | 22 | 15% | 5% | 57 | -1.2 | .224/.260/.285 | .061 | .276 | 2 | 30 | 19% | 4% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A |
19 | 49→59 | 37→40 | 56→50 | 52 | .231/.299/.304 | .073 | .285 | 4 | 11 | 19% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .234/.279/.300 | .066 | .300 | 4 | 12 | 22% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .277/.336/.366 | .089 | .333 | 5 | 15 | 17% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 |
|
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 40→50 | 54→60 | 46 | .202/.270/.293 | .091 | .264 | 7 | 13 | 25% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .205/.257/.275 | .070 | .291 | 3 | 24 | 28% | 6% | 44 | -2.1 | .250/.300/.402 | .152 | .328 | 16 | 23 | 28% | 6% | 93 | +0.7 |
|
✕Dubal Baez 2012 · A |
19 | 46 | 35→30 | 52→60 | 47 | .211/.305/.265 | .054 | .297 | 2 | 15 | 27% | 8% | 65 | -0.7 | .217/.296/.267 | .050 | .298 | 1 | 19 | 25% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .222/.294/.257 | .035 | .301 | 0 | 26 | 24% | 7% | 53 | -0.4 |
|
✕Che-Hsuan Lin 2008 · A |
19 | 41→51 | 42→40 | 55 | 40 | .201/.255/.310 | .109 | .281 | 8 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .219/.281/.307 | .088 | .272 | 6 | 19 | 21% | 7% | 63 | -0.8 | .236/.307/.299 | .062 | .282 | 4 | 22 | 16% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A |
19 | 45→55 | 39→45 | 52→50 | 44 | .211/.276/.297 | .086 | .310 | 7 | 9 | 32% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .233/.278/.325 | .092 | .294 | 9 | 17 | 23% | 5% | 66 | -0.6 | .252/.309/.345 | .093 | .294 | 7 | 12 | 16% | 7% | 81 | +0.4 |
|
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A |
19 | 42→52 | 39→45 | 53→50 | 43 | .202/.260/.288 | .085 | .282 | 6 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 50 | -1.8 | .216/.267/.306 | .090 | .280 | 7 | 11 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .239/.310/.323 | .084 | .313 | 8 | 14 | 24% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |