Francisco Loreto

IF FCL Pirates
Age 20 R/R 6'0" / 178 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL Phillies …106.230/.362/.3221734—.167/.286/.244
202518ROKPHI193.237/.332/.3965242—.171/.249/.291
202619ROKPIT107.292/.406/.5515466—.191/.283/.351
2027PROJMLE20MLBPIT217.191/.256/.2923355-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBPIT38.195/.262/.3001160-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.0M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk
ISO93
wRC+86
Speed86
wOBA79
BB%22
K%9
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 95%
CompsJose Cordoba (age 20) · Anderson De Los Santos (age 20) · Ronnierd Garcia (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 57 proj PA
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .254 / .289
PA57
HR1
K%32
BB%6
ISO101
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER35
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED40
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2033
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2038
First FA Year   2039
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL Phillies White — 10687 20311 12246 74 230362322684 92302 2311 320 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROKFCL Phillies — 193169 401015 19465 20 237332396728 160297 2410 329 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROKFCL Pirates — 10789 26615 12365 40 292406551956 258429 3411 415 66 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 10690 15211 9306 74 167286244530 78206 288 218 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 193175 30714 13665 20 171249291540 120238 347 230 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 10794 18413 7525 40 191283351634 160331 497 266 66 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 10690 15211 9306 74 167286244530 78233 288 218 34 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL Phillies White — 10687 20311 12246 74 230362322684 92302 2311 320 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 193175 30714 13665 20 171249291540 120248 347 230 42 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAWFCL Phillies — 193169 401015 19465 20 237332396728 160297 2410 329 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 10794 18413 7525 40 191283351634 160375 497 266 66 — — — — — —
202619 ROK RAWFCL Pirates — 10789 26615 12365 40 292406551956 258429 3411 415 66 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 10690 15211 9306 74 167286244530 78206 288 218 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 193173 30714 13665 20 173249295544 121238 347 230 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 10794 18413 7525 40 191283351634 160331 497 266 66 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL Phillies White — 10690 15211 9306 74 167286244530 78206 288 218 34 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEFCL Phillies — 193173 30714 13665 20 173249295544 121238 347 230 42 — — — — — —
202619 ROK MLEFCL Pirates — 10794 18413 7525 40 191283351634 160331 497 266 66 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLEPIT 0% 217198 37713 14683 31 191256292548 101268 316 249 55 -12 +0 +0 +0 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLEPIT 34% 111101 20412 7342 20 195262304566 108270 316 257 60 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.3
202821 MLB CTXPIT 34% 3834 7101 3121 10 195262300562 106271 328 255 60 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 3834 7101 3121 10 206289324613 118286 328 255 50 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650582 12017017 5120517 170 206289323612 117286 328 255 50 -31 +3 +0 +0 +14 -1.4
Career— MLE — 574512 9319411 4020019 164 182266299565 117270 357 242 50 -8 +1 +0 +0 +4 -0.4
/ 162G— MLE — 650580 10622512 4522622 185 183267300567 117272 357 242 50 -32 +2 +0 +0 +14 -1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Pirates · 107 PAwOBA .408 → .266 (−142)K% 33.6% → 48.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.64%÷1.000×1.440——48.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.21%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0087.01%
HBP% /PA4.67%—×0.720—×1.0083.39%
Singles /BIP26.42%÷1.000×0.820—×1.00821.82%
Doubles /BIP11.32%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0088.21%
Triples /BIP1.89%÷1.000×0.720—×1.0081.37%
Home runs /BIP9.43%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0087.41%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .408 → .266; ISO .258 → .164; BABIP .429 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Phillies · 193 PAwOBA .321 → .230 (−90)K% 23.8% → 34.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.83%÷1.000×1.440——34.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.84%÷0.928×0.620—×1.0226.73%
HBP% /PA2.59%—×0.720—×1.0221.91%
Singles /BIP19.51%÷1.004×0.820×1.009×1.02216.44%
Doubles /BIP8.13%÷1.015×0.720×1.009×1.0225.95%
Triples /BIP0.81%÷1.150×0.720×1.009×1.0220.53%
Home runs /BIP4.07%÷0.917×0.780—×1.0223.54%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 100, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .321 → .230; ISO .160 → .115; BABIP .297 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Phillies White · 106 PAwOBA .315 → .218 (−97)K% 22.6% → 27.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.64%÷0.990×1.220——27.89%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.32%÷0.997×0.700—×1.0228.13%
HBP% /PA5.66%—×0.700—×1.0224.05%
Singles /BIP23.81%÷1.011×0.680×1.020×1.02216.71%
Doubles /BIP4.76%÷0.947×0.600×1.020×1.0223.15%
Triples /BIP1.59%÷1.150×0.600×1.020×1.0220.86%
Home runs /BIP1.59%÷0.812×0.470—×1.0220.94%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 102, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 98, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .315 → .218; ISO .092 → .056; BABIP .302 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).