Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 12 | 6 | 38 | 171 | 33 | 16 | 1 | 50% | 3.1 | 13.1% | 11.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 5.50 | 3.87 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Angels | 12 | 6 | 38 | 171 | 33 | 16 | 1 | 50% | 3.1 | 19.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 0.6% | 5.50 | 2.97 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Angels | 11 | 10 | 53 | 243 | 37 | 25 | 1 | 91% | 4.8 | 10.4% | 12.9% | -2.5% | 0.6% | 4.75 | 4.19 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Angels | 11 | 10 | 53 | 243 | 37 | 25 | 1 | 91% | 4.8 | 15.2% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 0.4% | 4.75 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | ACL Angels | 14 | 1 | 24 | 134 | 24 | 20 | 2 | 7% | 1.7 | 12.2% | 18.7% | -6.5% | 2.1% | 11.62 | 5.58 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | LAA | 32 | 0 | 34 | 141 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 10.0% | 15.3% | -5.3% | 2.8% | 6.10 | 6.10 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10.0% | 15.3% | -5.3% | 2.8% | 6.10 | 6.10 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 58 | 275 | 38 | 42 | 6 | — | — | 13.8% | 15.1% | -1.2% | 2.2% | 8.41 | 5.88 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 19 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 12.9% | 14.2% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.79 | 5.69 | -0.5 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | LAA | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.9% | 14.2% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.79 | 5.69 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.9% | 14.2% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.79 | 5.31 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 104 | 116 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.9% | 14.2% | -1.2% | 2.8% | 5.79 | 5.31 | +0.2 | ||
| Career | — | 37 | 17 | 115 | 548 | 64 | 76 | 6 | 46% | 3.1 | 11.7% | 13.9% | -2.2% | 1.0% | 6.44 | 4.43 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 30 | 200 | 956 | 111 | 133 | 10 | 46% | 3.1 | 11.7% | 13.9% | -2.2% | 1.0% | 6.44 | 4.43 | +2.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Fabian Gallardo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 6.10 | 10.0% | 15.3% | 2.8% | — | 5.69 | 12.9% | -1.2% | 35 | -0.41 | — | — | — |
| Daury Cabrera R 2026 · 5.97 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.97 | 9.7% | 14.3% | 3.4% | .290 | 4.12 | 15.1% | 5.0% | 44 | -1.85 | 2.86 | 191 | 86 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 6.65 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.65 | 11.7% | 21.2% | 3.4% | .298 | 3.50 | 23.5% | 12.6% | 52 | -3.15 | 3.50 | 128 | 84 |
| Erick Reynoso R 2026 · 6.52 FIP | 20 | SP- | 6.52 | 10.7% | 20.4% | 3.2% | .305 | 6.42 | 14.7% | -7.7% | 135 | -0.10 | 5.76 | 168 | 84 |
| Jhon Vergara R 2025 · 5.75 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.75 | 11.1% | 13.1% | 3.5% | .337 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 106 | 84 |
| Marbin Montijo R 2026 · 6.37 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.37 | 7.4% | 15.2% | 3.6% | .241 | 5.92 | 15.6% | -5.3% | 51 | -0.45 | 4.37 | 110 | 82 |
| Andres German R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.97 | 8.7% | 10.4% | 2.3% | .302 | 3.04 | 13.4% | 7.0% | 73 | -1.93 | 3.04 | 116 | 82 |
| Esteban Luna R 2025 · 5.87 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.87 | 10.1% | 18.6% | 2.3% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 111 | 82 |
| Gillian Wernet R 2025 · 5.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.46 | 11.2% | 16.6% | 2.2% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.65 | 107 | 81 |
| Eury Ramos R 2025 · 5.40 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.40 | 13.0% | 14.8% | 2.8% | .343 | 7.57 | 14.1% | 0.6% | 29 | +2.17 | 3.25 | 176 | 81 |
| Ismael Maldonado R 2026 · 5.87 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.87 | 9.8% | 16.4% | 2.8% | .280 | 6.60 | 13.5% | -3.6% | 89 | +0.73 | 5.87 | 119 | 81 |
| Juan Perez R 2027 · 5.28 FIP | 21 | SW | 5.28 | 15.4% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .321 | 4.63 | 10.8% | 0.0% | 56 | -0.65 | 4.63 | 113 | 80 |
| Samuel Vásquez R 2025 · 5.15 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.15 | 13.3% | 17.2% | 1.8% | .220 | 5.96 | 12.7% | -8.3% | 49 | +0.81 | 4.04 | 273 | 80 |
| Lisander Brito R 2026 · 5.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 5.60 | 14.1% | 15.0% | 3.3% | .309 | 3.23 | 18.9% | 5.3% | 21 | -2.37 | 3.23 | 101 | 80 |
| Justin Militello R 2026 · 5.39 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.39 | 9.6% | 19.9% | 1.1% | .376 | 5.45 | 15.4% | -2.8% | 68 | +0.06 | 5.11 | 100 | 80 |
| Xavier Moore R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.93 | 12.5% | 15.8% | 1.6% | .288 | 4.29 | 27.6% | 13.0% | 71 | -0.64 | 2.30 | 135 | 80 |
| Feliberto Bonilla R 2026 · 6.37 FIP | 20 | SW | 6.37 | 9.8% | 17.4% | 3.4% | .296 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.13 | 151 | 80 |
| Mason Denaburg R 2025 · 4.98 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.98 | 12.8% | 17.3% | 1.4% | .328 | 4.88 | 16.3% | -0.1% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.45 | 151 | 80 |
| Josbel Garcia R 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 20 | SW | 5.12 | 11.8% | 19.2% | 1.1% | .308 | 5.14 | 14.6% | 5.9% | 43 | +0.02 | 4.15 | 134 | 80 |
| Miguel Lar R 2025 · 5.16 FIP | 19 | SW | 5.16 | 10.8% | 14.1% | 2.2% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.99 | 102 | 80 |
| Zach Mort R 2028 · 5.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 5.14 | 10.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .240 | 5.35 | 17.0% | 8.8% | 176 | +0.21 | 5.14 | 237 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 34 | 11.5% | 14.7% | 1.07 | 5.94 |
| Eddie Butler ('18) | 4 | 62 | 13.3% | 9.8% | 1.49 | 5.74 |
| Dylan Covey ('23) | 4 | 73 | 15.4% | 9.9% | 1.53 | 6.14 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |