Fabian Gallardo — OGILVIE

Fabian Gallardo P DSL Angels

+0.0 WAR

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.7 · 2031

ERA4.47

FIP4.47

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%21.2%

BB%9.8%

K-BB%11.3%

IP48

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.7peak

2031

K†5060

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2024	18	ROK	DSL Angels	12	6	38	171	33	16	1	13.1%	11.7%	0.7%	5.50	3.88	+0.5
2025	19	ROK	DSL Angels	11	10	53	243	37	25	1	10.4%	12.9%	0.6%	4.75	4.18	+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	20	MLB	LAA	48	—	48	202	43	20	6	21.2%	9.8%	2.8%	4.47	4.47	+0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	21	MLB	LAA	50	—	50	212	46	20	6	21.8%	9.3%	2.8%	4.38	4.34	+0.3
2028	22	MLB	LAA	53	—	53	223	51	20	6	22.8%	8.8%	2.7%	4.24	4.16	+0.5
2029	23	MLB	LAA	55	—	55	231	55	20	6	23.6%	8.4%	2.7%	4.12	4.03	+0.6
2030	24	MLB	LAA	56	—	56	237	57	20	6	24.1%	8.2%	2.7%	4.02	3.95	+0.6
2031	25	MLB	LAA	57	—	57	240	59	19	6	24.5%	8.1%	2.6%	3.94	3.89	+0.7
2032	26	MLB	LAA	57	—	57	240	59	19	6	24.7%	8.1%	2.6%	3.90	3.87	+0.7
2033	27	MLB	LAA	56	—	56	239	59	19	6	24.7%	8.1%	2.7%	3.89	3.88	+0.7
2034	28	MLB	LAA	56	—	56	235	58	19	6	24.7%	8.1%	2.7%	3.90	3.91	+0.7
2035	29	MLB	LAA	54	—	54	230	56	19	6	24.6%	8.2%	2.7%	3.93	3.95	+0.6
2036	30	MLB	LAA	53	—	53	223	54	19	6	24.3%	8.3%	2.8%	3.98	4.01	+0.6
2037	31	MLB	LAA	51	—	51	215	52	18	6	24.1%	8.4%	2.9%	4.04	4.09	+0.5
2038	32	MLB	LAA	49	—	49	207	49	18	6	23.8%	8.6%	2.9%	4.12	4.17	+0.4
2039	33	MLB	LAA	47	—	47	198	46	17	6	23.5%	8.8%	3.0%	4.21	4.27	+0.4
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			23	16	91	414	48	51	3	11.5%	12.4%	0.7%	5.06	4.06	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—			51	35	200	913	106	113	7	11.5%	12.4%	0.7%	5.06	4.06	+2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Fabian Gallardo (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.47	21.2%	9.8%	2.8%	—	4.17	22.8%	13.9%	158	-0.30	—	—	—
Luis Hernandez R 2027 · 4.90 FIP	21	SU	4.90	16.7%	14.0%	2.6%	.311	5.68	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.78	4.10	109	93
Brandon Komar R 2026 · 4.74 FIP	20	SU	4.74	17.7%	11.6%	3.0%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.19	3.03	538	92
Tyler Gray R 2027 · 4.49 FIP	21	SU	4.49	18.2%	11.7%	2.6%	.333	4.39	11.9%	3.6%	72	-0.10	4.39	119	91
Eccel Correa R 2026 · 4.34 FIP	20	SU	4.34	19.4%	11.9%	2.5%	.316	4.01	14.2%	3.6%	122	-0.33	3.99	157	91
Gerson Moreno R 2026 · 4.48 FIP	20	SU	4.48	18.6%	14.8%	2.0%	.278	4.13	23.0%	9.1%	67	-0.35	3.66	349	91
Austin Mason R 2027 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	90
Darlin Saladin R 2026 · 4.98 FIP	20	SU	4.98	16.2%	13.3%	2.8%	.280	3.87	18.3%	8.1%	218	-1.11	2.91	351	90
Bryan Polanco R 2026 · 5.27 FIP	20	SU	5.27	18.2%	14.3%	3.5%	.248	5.60	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.33	5.27	284	90
Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP	20	SU	5.08	17.5%	13.6%	3.1%	.258	5.28	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.20	3.92	116	90
Reibyn Corona R 2025 · 4.93 FIP	19	SU	4.93	17.0%	13.1%	2.9%	.290	5.58	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.65	4.46	190	90
Alec Kisena R 2025 · 4.01 FIP	19	SU	4.01	17.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	248	89
Aneudy Duarte R 2026 · 4.79 FIP	20	SU	4.79	17.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.26	102	89
Yunior Montero R 2028 · 4.82 FIP	22	SU	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.59	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.23	3.65	127	89
Johzan Oquendo R 2026 · 4.19 FIP	20	SU	4.19	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.54	3.61	187	89
Tanner Cooper R 2027 · 4.72 FIP	21	SU	4.72	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.31	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.59	4.51	148	89
Julio Goff R 2025 · 4.80 FIP	19	SU	4.80	16.1%	11.9%	2.8%	.364	4.72	16.4%	5.9%	207	-0.08	4.47	251	88
Audry Lugo R 2026 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.31	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.26	4.05	113	88
Luke Stofel R 2028 · 4.27 FIP	22	SU	4.27	17.6%	12.4%	2.0%	.328	4.31	12.8%	0.9%	97	+0.04	4.27	139	88
Juan Burgos R 2025 · 4.75 FIP	19	SU	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.35	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.40	3.51	235	88
Luis Cohen R 2026 · 4.12 FIP	20	SU	4.12	17.2%	11.4%	1.9%	.263	4.68	13.7%	3.7%	189	+0.56	3.00	275	88

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.7	$4M	+$3M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	+0.6	$3M	+$3M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$13M	+$10M