Anderson Tovar — OGILVIE

Anderson TovarOF DSL Colorado

Age 20 R/R 6'1" / 205 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+60

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .272 / .289

PA62

HR0

K%24

BB%6

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	212	197	53	10	0	0	7	34	4	10	11	269	308	320	627	51	317	16	3	281	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	113	91	17	3	3	0	15	18	5	3	5	187	333	286	619	99	230	16	13	290	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	212	199	35	5	0	0	5	39	4	10	11	176	212	201	413	25	207	18	2	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	113	96	12	2	2	0	10	22	5	3	5	125	243	188	431	62	152	19	9	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	212	199	35	5	0	0	5	39	4	10	11	176	212	201	413	25	213	18	2	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	212	197	53	10	0	0	7	34	4	10	11	269	308	320	627	51	317	16	3	281	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	113	96	12	2	2	0	10	22	5	3	5	125	243	188	431	62	160	19	9	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	113	91	17	3	3	0	15	18	5	3	5	187	333	286	619	99	230	16	13	290	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	212	201	35	5	0	0	5	39	4	10	11	174	212	199	411	25	207	18	2	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	113	97	12	2	2	0	10	22	5	3	5	124	243	186	429	62	152	19	9	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	212	201	35	5	0	0	5	39	4	10	11	174	212	199	411	25	207	18	2	183	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	113	97	12	2	2	0	10	22	5	3	5	124	243	186	429	62	152	19	9	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	—	0%	223	204	45	7	2	2	14	55	3	5	1	215	274	292	566	76	283	25	6	257	60	-11	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	—	34%	119	109	24	4	1	1	7	29	2	3	1	220	280	309	589	89	285	24	6	267	67	-5	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	—	34%	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	1	0	220	280	309	589	89	285	24	7	267	67	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	41	37	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	1	0	189	268	216	485	27	259	24	7	267	32	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	111	16	0	0	48	159	16	16	0	189	269	216	486	27	259	24	7	267	32	-26	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	506	461	83	13	4	1	26	105	12	17	17	180	242	232	475	52	227	21	5	215	32	-8	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	106	17	5	1	33	135	15	22	22	179	240	230	470	51	226	21	5	215	32	-27	+1	+0	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anderson Tovar (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	214/272/289	75	283	0	1	24%	6%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ricardo Rosario 2023 · A	20	39	36→40	50→55	44	186/249/258	71	249	3	12	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/271/288	84	283	7	19	28%	7%	60	-1.6	202/282/289	86	263	10	29	26%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	37→42	39→40	48→50	44	183/255/263	80	245	6	10	27%	7%	49	-2.4	199/291/294	95	292	8	8	32%	10%	70	-0.8	186/290/280	94	280	9	10	33%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Misael Urbina 2022 · A	20	37→32	39→40	51→50	49	180/260/269	89	230	6	13	24%	8%	53	-2.1	179/254/271	92	260	6	10	31%	8%	50	-2.3	166/253/247	81	240	5	8	30%	10%	42	-1.7
✕Albertson Asigen 2022 · A	20	41	38→40	53→55	45	197/253/283	86	255	5	6	24%	7%	51	-2.2	212/290/283	71	299	4	17	27%	9%	66	-1.1	209/299/294	85	336	7	27	36%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A	20	40→39	40	52→50	42	194/257/287	92	271	7	14	30%	6%	55	-2.0	204/277/282	78	309	4	8	32%	9%	61	-1.5	194/278/266	72	301	3	7	33%	10%	55	-1.3
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/249/256	81	276	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	192/257/267	75	279	5	10	31%	7%	50	-2.3	170/235/212	43	235	3	6	27%	7%	28	-1.2
✕Neyfy Castillo 2021 · A	20	39→33	37→45	54→55	39	187/245/260	73	279	3	11	32%	6%	43	-2.8	186/260/317	131	336	16	16	46%	8%	63	-1.3	173/250/304	131	303	16	19	45%	8%	53	-1.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2021 · A	20	41	36→40	54→45	48	191/268/264	73	243	2	13	21%	8%	54	-2.0	204/266/293	89	275	7	9	27%	7%	59	-1.6	185/249/263	77	271	7	8	32%	7%	44	-1.1
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	39	37→45	50→40	43	185/269/261	75	247	3	9	25%	6%	55	-2.0	201/250/286	85	299	6	4	33%	4%	51	-2.2	211/248/304	94	307	7	2	33%	3%	51	-1.1
✕Kyle Nevin 2023 · A	21	41→40	40	52→50	39	199/251/297	98	277	6	10	29%	5%	54	-2.0	219/276/320	101	333	8	10	34%	7%	69	-0.9	214/275/310	96	327	9	12	35%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A	20	38	37→40	50	45	181/241/253	72	227	5	13	22%	6%	40	-3.0	203/262/305	102	250	9	10	22%	6%	61	-1.5	205/258/307	102	255	11	8	24%	5%	58	-0.9
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A	20	36	39→40	51→50	40	181/244/269	88	257	7	13	31%	6%	46	-2.6	196/262/273	77	311	7	10	36%	7%	53	-2.1	190/263/263	73	291	8	10	35%	7%	49	-1.2
✕Cesar Gonzalez 2015 · A	20	42	36→40	54→60	43	195/260/262	67	275	2	19	28%	7%	49	-2.4	203/255/272	69	317	3	11	34%	6%	50	-2.3	184/229/215	32	332	0	4	42%	5%	23	-1.0
✕Raddy Sierra 2008 · A	20	40	39→40	51→55	42	193/266/277	84	278	6	17	31%	7%	56	-1.9	205/267/288	83	304	6	13	32%	6%	59	-1.7	207/262/261	54	318	0	16	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A	20	40	38→40	51→55	46	192/263/271	79	231	6	8	19%	6%	54	-2.0	206/273/294	88	249	7	13	20%	6%	62	-1.4	204/271/288	85	250	7	15	21%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A	20	40	37→30	49→55	45	189/274/253	64	275	5	17	31%	8%	55	-2.0	200/259/279	79	339	6	8	40%	6%	53	-2.1	178/227/247	69	320	8	2	44%	5%	31	-1.0
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44	36→40	49→50	43	207/279/278	72	283	3	10	26%	6%	61	-1.5	227/298/305	78	294	6	13	23%	6%	74	-0.5	220/297/294	73	283	5	14	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Mariel Bautista 2018 · A	20	45→36	36→40	54→50	42	212/261/281	69	267	3	15	21%	5%	53	-2.1	211/258/306	95	269	9	15	24%	4%	59	-1.7	196/242/302	106	253	12	16	27%	4%	51	-1.0
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→45	53→55	45	177/253/254	77	242	4	12	27%	8%	46	-2.6	204/272/316	112	294	8	11	31%	7%	67	-1.1	189/255/293	104	275	7	15	32%	6%	54	-1.0