Cristofer Lebrón

SS FCL Cardinals

Age 20 R/R 6'2" / 170 lbs ROK HR -14%BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	18	ROKSTL	194	.277/.404/.428	4	12	42	—	.161/.269/.238
2026	19	ASTL	58	.245/.298/.245	0	7	13	—	.185/.228/.185
2026	19	ROKSTL	179	.289/.363/.484	6	18	61	—	.204/.257/.329
2027PROJ0% MLB	20	MLBSTL	347	.208/.271/.302	5	8	62	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBSTL	103	.213/.277/.315	2	2	68	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBSTL	194	.217/.282/.325	3	4	72	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Speed61

Z-Con%51

Whiff%44

Chase%31

K%23

BB%17

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsGilberto Celestino (age 20) · Jorge Alcantara (age 20) · Tito Polo (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 223 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .268 / .299

PA223

HR3

SB5

K%28

BB%7

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$6M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	112	97	20	2	0	1	9	29	3	3	3	206	294	258	551	52	271	26	8	255	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	194	159	44	12	0	4	29	39	5	12	6	277	404	428	832	151	342	20	15	376	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	58	53	13	0	0	0	4	23	0	7	2	245	298	245	544		419	40	7	251	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	179	159	46	11	1	6	18	42	1	18	4	289	363	484	847	195	360	23	10	374	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	112	100	12	1	0	0	6	36	3	3	3	120	193	130	323	10	180	32	5	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	194	168	27	7	0	2	20	49	5	12	6	161	269	238	508	77	208	25	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	58	54	10	0	0	0	3	31	0	7	2	185	228	185	413		400	53	5	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	179	167	34	7	1	4	11	61	1	18	4	204	257	329	586	126	290	34	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	112	100	12	1	0	0	6	36	3	3	3	120	193	130	323	10	179	32	5	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	112	97	20	2	0	1	9	29	3	3	3	206	294	258	551	52	271	26	8	255	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	194	168	27	7	0	2	20	49	5	12	6	161	269	238	508	77	212	25	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	—	194	159	44	12	0	4	29	39	5	12	6	277	404	428	832	151	342	20	15	376	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	237	221	44	7	1	4	14	92	1	25	6	199	250	294	544	95	317	39	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	237	212	59	11	1	6	22	65	1	25	6	278	347	425	772	146	373	27	9	344	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	112	102	12	1	0	0	6	36	3	3	3	118	193	127	320	10	180	32	5	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	194	167	27	7	0	2	20	49	5	12	6	162	269	240	509	78	208	25	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	237	220	44	7	1	4	14	92	1	25	6	200	250	295	545	95	317	39	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	112	102	12	1	0	0	6	36	3	3	3	118	193	127	320	10	180	32	5	167	-1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	—	194	167	27	7	0	2	20	49	5	12	6	162	269	240	509	78	208	25	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	237	220	44	7	1	4	14	92	1	25	6	200	250	295	545	95	317	39	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	0%	347	317	66	12	2	5	24	96	3	8	2	208	271	302	572	93	280	28	7	260	62	-16	+1	+0	+4	+8	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	STL	34%	299	273	59	11	2	5	21	81	3	7	2	213	277	316	593	103	281	27	7	268	68	-12	+1	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	STL	48%	401	365	78	14	2	7	29	107	4	9	2	217	281	327	608	110	283	27	7	274	72	-13	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2030	23	MLB MLE	STL	54%	467	425	94	17	3	9	34	123	5	10	3	220	285	335	620	115	284	26	7	279	75	-14	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	STL	55%	511	463	103	19	3	10	38	133	5	11	3	222	288	341	629	119	285	26	7	283	77	-14	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	STL	56%	535	485	109	20	3	11	40	138	5	12	3	223	290	345	635	121	286	26	7	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	STL	56%	547	495	110	20	3	11	41	141	6	12	3	223	289	345	634	121	285	26	7	285	79	-14	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	STL	55%	551	500	111	20	3	11	41	143	5	12	3	222	289	342	631	120	285	26	7	284	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	STL	55%	548	497	110	20	3	11	41	143	5	11	3	220	287	338	624	117	284	26	7	281	76	-15	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	STL	53%	540	490	108	20	3	10	40	143	5	10	3	218	284	332	616	114	283	26	7	278	74	-17	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.0
2037	30	MLB MLE	STL	53%	530	481	104	19	2	10	39	142	5	9	3	215	281	325	605	109	281	27	7	273	71	-18	+1	-2	+6	+11	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	STL	34%	103	94	21	4	1	2	7	28	1	2	1	213	277	315	592	101	283	27	7	268	68	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	STL	48%	194	176	38	7	1	3	14	52	2	4	1	217	282	325	607	108	285	27	7	274	72	-7	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	STL	54%	253	230	51	10	1	5	18	66	3	6	2	220	285	333	618	113	286	26	7	278	75	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	STL	55%	283	257	57	11	2	5	21	74	3	6	2	222	288	338	626	116	287	26	7	282	77	-8	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	STL	56%	300	272	62	12	2	6	22	77	3	7	2	224	290	342	632	118	288	26	7	284	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	STL	56%	308	279	63	12	2	6	23	79	3	7	2	223	290	342	631	118	287	26	7	284	79	-8	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	STL	55%	305	276	62	12	2	6	23	79	3	6	2	222	289	339	628	117	287	26	8	283	78	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	STL	55%	300	272	62	12	2	6	22	78	3	6	2	221	287	335	622	114	286	26	7	280	76	-8	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	STL	53%	288	262	57	11	1	5	21	76	3	5	2	219	284	329	614	111	285	26	7	277	74	-9	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	STL	53%	279	255	54	10	1	5	20	75	2	5	2	216	281	322	603	107	283	27	7	273	71	-10	+0	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2613	2373	527	101	15	49	191	684	26	54	18	222	287	339	626	117	289	26	7	279	71	-76	+4	-2	+28	+57	1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	590	131	25	4	12	48	170	6	13	4	222	287	339	626	117	290	26	7	279	71	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5695	5167	1112	203	29	104	419	1532	59	148	44	215	282	326	608	111	283	27	7	273	71	-154	+10	-4	+55	+112	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	590	127	23	3	12	48	175	7	17	5	215	283	325	608	110	283	27	7	273	71	-19	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.3	2,836	54	59	220	282	335	+30	+18	2.8	2.7
/162	664	13	14	+7.1	+4.2	0.7	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cristofer Lebrón (OGILVIE)	20	45	35	55	55	207/268/299	93	280	3	5	28%	7%	62	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gilberto Celestino 2019 · A	20	43→53	38→45	52→55	42	209/257/289	80	280	6	12	27%	6%	54	-2.0	226/281/328	102	291	8	8	24%	7%	72	-0.7	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Jorge Alcantara 2012 · A	20	44	40→45	52→50	42	209/274/307	98	306	7	12	32%	8%	65	-1.2	190/261/285	95	288	7	14	34%	8%	55	-1.9	143/221/238	95	216	5	25	34%	8%	30	-1.0
✕Tito Polo 2015 · A	20	43→53	39→45	54→60	42	206/268/296	90	278	5	17	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/276/320	98	295	8	26	26%	5%	69	-0.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Braulio Vasquez 2019 · A	20	43	38→40	47→65	40	207/259/281	75	292	5	11	30%	6%	53	-2.1	193/262/269	76	307	6	15	36%	7%	53	-2.1	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕Liover Peguero 2021 · A	20	45→49	38→45	50→55	41	212/263/292	80	293	5	9	28%	6%	57	-1.8	229/272/346	117	315	12	22	30%	5%	73	-0.6	229/273/352	123	303	13	24	28%	5%	72	-0.6
✕Adan Velazquez 2010 · A	20	41→51	40→45	53→50	45	197/263/292	95	245	6	11	22%	6%	58	-1.7	203/256/288	85	282	5	10	28%	5%	54	-2.0	254/293/350	97	308	8	4	20%	4%	79	-0.1
✕Danny De Andrade 2024 · A	20	41	42→45	51→50	45	201/277/305	104	269	9	11	28%	8%	67	-1.1	201/270/315	114	278	10	11	30%	7%	66	-1.1	190/254/309	120	266	11	10	31%	6%	56	-1.1
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Christian Lopes 2013 · A	20	42→52	42→45	53→50	42	207/256/324	117	265	8	8	25%	5%	62	-1.4	209/263/288	79	265	4	4	22%	6%	56	-1.9	233/301/343	110	279	9	15	19%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Juan Guerrero 2022 · A	20	44→54	40→45	48→50	44	215/271/312	97	270	8	13	23%	6%	65	-1.2	228/272/334	106	283	9	12	22%	5%	70	-0.8	234/274/330	96	285	8	15	21%	4%	68	-0.8
✕Luke Williams 2017 · A	20	46→44	36→45	50→65	47	216/284/281	65	293	3	11	26%	8%	63	-1.4	196/247/266	70	262	5	17	26%	6%	45	-2.7	229/291/325	96	311	8	37	27%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Pablo Olivares 2018 · A	20	44	36→40	49→50	43	207/279/278	72	283	3	10	26%	6%	61	-1.5	227/298/305	78	294	6	13	23%	6%	74	-0.5	220/297/294	73	283	5	14	22%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Christian Cairo 2022 · A	21	41→49	40	53→60	46	191/289/283	92	297	8	16	35%	10%	67	-1.1	200/301/282	82	297	6	18	31%	11%	71	-0.8	219/314/286	67	298	3	31	25%	10%	75	-0.4
✕Jorge Vega-Rosado 2012 · A	20	46	41→45	55	41	224/274/324	100	303	8	19	28%	6%	69	-0.9	204/260/285	81	308	6	14	33%	6%	55	-2.0	172/231/229	57	271	4	15	36%	6%	30	-1.4
✕Ryan Vega 2017 · A	20	44	40	54→45	41	212/260/305	93	270	8	9	24%	5%	59	-1.6	212/271/300	88	287	7	7	27%	6%	63	-1.4	190/257/269	79	268	7	6	30%	7%	50	-1.3
✕Jacob Amaya 2019 · A	20	49→47	39→45	48→45	52	232/310/319	87	306	7	11	25%	10%	82	-0.0	216/290/316	100	284	8	6	25%	9%	74	-0.6	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Charlie Culberson 2009 · A	20	45→54	38→45	50	40	214/264/296	82	286	5	12	26%	5%	58	-1.7	223/262/312	89	296	7	12	26%	4%	61	-1.5	253/299/420	167	321	18	9	26%	5%	101	+0.6
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2013 · A	20	45	38→45	50	46	212/286/299	87	263	3	13	20%	6%	69	-0.9	206/258/299	93	276	6	9	26%	5%	57	-1.8	193/236/284	91	271	8	8	31%	4%	43	-0.9
✕Druw Jones 2024 · A	20	45→55	39→40	51→55	45	208/281/293	85	320	7	13	35%	9%	65	-1.2	223/301/314	91	356	6	18	35%	10%	77	-0.3	226/303/314	88	356	5	23	35%	9%	76	-0.4

Cristofer Lebrón

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps