Jean Santana — OGILVIE

Jean Santana3B DSL Rays

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .275 / .275

PA6

HR0

K%30

BB%8

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	138	109	17	3	1	0	24	33	3	5	3	156	324	202	525	46	224	24	17	262	64	-6	-0	—	—	+3	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	138	118	14	2	1	0	15	47	3	5	3	119	235	153	388	34	188	34	11	184	11	-15	-0	—	—	+3	-1.2
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	138	118	14	2	1	0	15	47	3	5	3	119	235	153	388	34	197	34	11	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	138	109	17	3	1	0	24	33	3	5	3	156	324	202	525	46	224	24	17	262	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	138	119	14	2	1	0	15	47	3	5	3	118	235	151	387	34	188	34	11	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	138	119	14	2	1	0	15	47	3	5	3	118	235	151	387	34	188	34	11	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	19	MLB MLE	TB	0%	6	5	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	200	333	200	533		288	33	17	256	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	122	109	23	4	1	1	10	35	2	2	0	211	289	294	583	83	290	29	8	267	67	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	48%	273	244	52	9	2	4	23	76	4	4	1	213	292	316	607	102	291	28	8	275	73	-9	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	TB	54%	388	347	75	13	3	6	33	107	5	6	1	216	294	323	616	107	292	28	9	281	76	-11	+1	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	TB	57%	465	416	92	16	4	8	40	127	6	7	2	221	299	337	635	115	293	27	9	285	79	-12	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.1
2031	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	517	461	101	17	4	9	44	141	7	7	2	219	297	332	629	113	294	27	9	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+2	+11	0.2
2032	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	548	489	108	18	4	10	47	149	7	8	2	221	298	335	634	115	294	27	9	288	81	-12	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.2
2033	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	566	504	112	19	4	11	49	154	8	8	2	222	301	341	643	119	294	27	9	289	82	-12	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.3
2034	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	572	509	113	19	4	11	50	156	8	8	2	222	302	340	641	118	294	27	9	289	82	-12	+1	+0	+2	+12	0.3
2035	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	572	508	112	19	4	11	51	157	8	8	2	220	302	339	640	118	293	27	9	288	81	-13	+1	-1	+2	+12	0.2
2036	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	564	501	109	18	4	10	50	156	8	7	2	218	299	329	628	112	292	28	9	286	80	-14	+1	-1	+2	+12	-0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	42	37	7	1	0	0	4	12	1	1	0	189	286	216	502	27	298	29	10	264	67	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	48%	132	118	26	5	1	2	11	37	2	2	0	220	298	331	628	110	300	28	8	272	73	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	TB	54%	210	187	41	7	2	3	18	58	3	3	1	219	298	326	624	107	301	28	9	278	76	-6	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	TB	57%	263	235	53	9	2	5	23	72	3	4	1	226	303	345	647	119	302	27	9	282	79	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	292	261	58	10	2	5	25	80	4	4	1	222	300	333	633	111	303	27	9	284	80	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	310	276	64	11	3	6	27	84	4	4	1	232	309	359	668	127	303	27	9	285	81	-7	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	320	285	65	11	3	6	28	87	4	5	1	228	306	351	657	123	303	27	9	286	82	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2034	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	317	282	64	11	3	6	28	87	4	5	1	227	306	351	657	124	302	27	9	286	82	-7	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2035	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	314	279	63	11	2	6	28	86	4	4	1	226	305	344	650	118	302	27	9	285	81	-7	+0	-0	+1	+7	0.1
2036	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	302	268	60	10	2	6	27	84	4	4	1	224	304	343	648	119	301	28	9	283	80	-7	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2502	2228	501	86	20	45	219	687	33	36	8	225	304	342	646	117	302	27	9	283	78	-60	+4	-1	+9	+54	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	130	22	5	12	57	178	9	9	2	225	304	342	646	117	300	27	9	283	78	-16	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4731	4211	912	154	35	81	413	1307	66	70	19	217	297	327	624	111	292	28	9	283	78	-112	+7	-2	+16	+100	0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	125	21	5	11	57	180	9	10	3	216	296	326	623	111	292	28	9	283	78	-16	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.9	2,571	45	36	220	295	333	+9	+3	2.1	2.2
/162	664	12	9	+2.4	+0.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jean Santana (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	199/275/275	75	288	0	1	30%	8%	59	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→45	49→50	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	205/251/277	72	282	5	10	28%	5%	49	-2.4	227/293/349	122	296	14	8	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Jose Sibrian 2018 · A	19	42	36→50	48→30	42	200/260/265	65	267	3	5	25%	6%	51	-2.3	194/250/265	71	274	4	5	29%	5%	47	-2.6	202/260/295	93	255	9	0	24%	5%	55	-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	43→41	41→50	47→50	51	206/290/306	101	284	7	8	28%	10%	72	-0.7	190/261/308	118	286	11	9	35%	8%	61	-1.5	219/271/366	148	290	19	9	30%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/266/306	90	282	7	10	24%	6%	61	-1.5	234/311/308	74	302	5	10	22%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	45	36→45	49→60	40	210/278/277	67	296	2	12	28%	6%	60	-1.6	223/284/315	92	289	5	17	23%	5%	71	-0.8	238/296/355	116	291	6	30	19%	4%	82	-0.0
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	42	-2.9	192/236/269	77	243	5	3	22%	4%	41	-3.0	240/309/375	135	295	17	3	24%	8%	92	+0.4
✕Jerar Encarnacion 2017 · A	19	41→45	40→50	50→45	38	202/241/292	90	278	7	6	29%	5%	49	-2.4	190/233/287	97	311	9	5	40%	5%	45	-2.7	215/287/377	162	320	23	6	38%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	42→40	39→45	46→50	40	196/273/280	84	306	6	9	35%	7%	59	-1.6	206/288/309	103	298	10	7	32%	9%	72	-0.7	199/290/309	111	287	11	5	32%	10%	72	-0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	53	-2.1	211/261/303	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	59	-1.6	185/229/266	80	254	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Jesus Ugueto 2010 · A	19	43	37→45	45→50	43	203/265/278	75	297	4	6	31%	7%	55	-1.9	221/273/309	88	288	6	8	24%	6%	65	-1.2	231/284/346	115	294	9	11	24%	6%	76	-0.2
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	45	-2.7	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	49	-2.4	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	56	-0.6
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	42	-2.9	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	62	-1.4	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Luis Andujar 2019 · A	19	42	37→40	53→50	38	197/250/268	71	300	4	9	34%	6%	47	-2.5	215/278/290	75	306	3	10	28%	7%	63	-1.4	221/291/292	71	306	2	12	26%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	69	-0.9	213/293/326	113	268	10	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	212/279/323	110	272	10	12	25%	6%	70	-0.4
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→50	47	190/277/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	55	-2.0	190/259/257	67	295	3	15	34%	7%	49	-2.4	198/276/278	80	279	7	21	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/288/272	81	291	5	8	32%	10%	64	-1.3	194/290/296	102	287	9	14	33%	10%	70	-0.8	175/281/296	121	259	13	27	34%	10%	66	-0.9
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→45	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	64	-1.3	223/301/315	92	295	6	8	24%	10%	77	-0.3	207/279/322	115	260	13	5	25%	9%	69	-0.8
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	58	-1.7	202/252/288	86	301	6	4	33%	4%	53	-2.1	211/249/305	94	308	7	2	33%	3%	52	-1.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps