Jean Santana — OGILVIE

Jean Santana3B DSL Rays

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 69 proj PA

wRC+†54

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .276 / .275

PA69

HR0

K%29

BB%8

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.6M
2036	Arb-2	$1M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.2M
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	138	118	14	2	1	0	15	47	3	5	3	119	235	153	388	34	197	34	11	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	138	109	17	3	1	0	24	33	3	5	3	156	324	202	525	46	224	24	17	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	TB	—	69	62	12	2	1	0	6	20	1	1	0	194	275	258	533	65	288	29	9	256	54	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	TB	34%	122	109	23	4	1	1	10	35	2	2	0	211	289	294	583	83	290	29	8	268	63	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	21	MLB	TB	48%	273	244	52	9	2	4	23	76	4	4	1	213	292	316	607	102	291	28	8	276	69	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2029	22	MLB	TB	54%	388	347	75	13	3	6	33	107	5	6	1	216	294	323	616	107	292	28	9	281	74	-12	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.2
2030	23	MLB	TB	57%	465	416	91	15	4	8	40	127	6	7	2	219	297	332	628	113	293	27	9	285	76	-12	+1	+0	+2	+13	0.3
2031	24	MLB	TB	57%	517	460	102	17	4	9	45	141	7	7	2	222	301	335	636	113	294	27	9	287	78	-13	+1	+0	+2	+15	0.4
2032	25	MLB	TB	57%	548	488	108	18	4	10	48	149	7	8	2	221	300	336	636	115	294	27	9	289	79	-13	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.5
2033	26	MLB	TB	56%	566	504	112	19	4	11	49	154	8	8	2	222	301	341	643	119	294	27	9	290	80	-13	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.6
2034	27	MLB	TB	55%	572	509	113	19	4	11	50	156	8	8	2	222	302	340	641	118	294	27	9	290	80	-13	+1	+0	+2	+16	0.6
2035	28	MLB	TB	55%	572	508	112	19	4	11	51	157	8	8	2	220	302	339	640	118	293	27	9	289	79	-14	+1	-1	+2	+16	0.5
2036	29	MLB	TB	53%	564	502	109	18	4	10	50	156	7	7	2	217	297	329	626	112	292	28	9	286	77	-14	+1	-1	+2	+16	0.3
2027	20	MLB	TB	34%	42	37	7	1	0	0	4	12	1	1	0	189	286	216	502	27	294	29	10	261	58	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2028	21	MLB	TB	48%	132	118	25	4	1	2	11	37	2	2	0	212	290	314	604	102	296	28	8	268	63	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
2029	22	MLB	TB	54%	210	187	41	7	2	3	18	58	3	3	1	219	298	326	624	107	297	28	9	273	67	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	23	MLB	TB	57%	263	235	52	9	2	4	23	72	3	4	1	221	299	328	627	106	298	27	9	277	70	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2031	24	MLB	TB	57%	292	261	57	9	2	5	25	80	4	4	1	218	297	326	622	107	298	27	9	279	72	-9	+0	+0	+1	+8	0.0
2032	25	MLB	TB	57%	310	276	63	10	3	6	27	85	4	4	1	228	306	351	658	123	299	27	9	280	73	-10	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2033	26	MLB	TB	56%	320	285	64	10	3	6	28	87	4	5	1	225	303	344	647	119	298	27	9	281	73	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2034	27	MLB	TB	55%	317	282	63	10	3	6	28	87	4	5	1	223	303	344	647	121	298	27	9	281	73	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.1
2035	28	MLB	TB	55%	314	279	63	10	3	6	28	86	4	4	1	226	305	348	653	122	297	27	9	280	73	-10	+0	-0	+1	+9	0.0
2036	29	MLB	TB	53%	302	268	59	10	2	5	27	84	4	4	1	220	301	328	629	108	296	28	9	278	71	-10	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2502	2228	494	80	21	43	219	688	33	36	8	222	301	334	635	113	298	27	9	278	71	-82	+4	-1	+9	+71	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	128	21	5	11	57	179	9	9	2	221	301	332	633	111	298	28	9	278	71	-21	+1	-0	+2	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	4794	4267	923	155	36	81	420	1325	66	71	19	216	296	326	623	110	292	28	9	283	75	-137	+7	-2	+17	+136	2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	125	21	5	11	57	180	9	10	3	216	296	326	623	111	292	28	9	283	75	-19	+1	-0	+2	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	138	109	17	3	1	0	24	33	3	5	3	156	324	202	525	46	224	24	17	262	59	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#2Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,571	44	36	220	296	333	+9	+3	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	11	9	220	296	333	+2.4	+0.8	0.4	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jean Santana (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	200/276/275	76	288	0	1	29%	8%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→46	36→50	49→45	39	193/237/259	66	276	3	8	30%	5%	32	-3.0	204/249/275	71	283	5	10	28%	5%	41	-2.3	232/296/366	134	301	16	8	27%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	42→41	39→55	47→50	50	201/285/293	92	282	6	8	29%	10%	63	-0.9	187/257/303	116	284	10	9	35%	7%	53	-1.5	217/272/375	157	286	21	10	31%	5%	75	+0.0
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	42→52	39→45	53→55	42	202/258/287	85	283	6	12	30%	7%	48	-1.9	215/267/306	91	282	7	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	240/311/319	79	317	7	14	25%	9%	75	-0.0
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	45	38→45	46→55	49	211/291/293	83	275	4	8	23%	9%	65	-0.7	213/293/327	114	268	10	14	23%	8%	75	-0.0	214/280/327	113	274	11	12	25%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	40	38→55	49→45	43	195/258/270	75	266	5	11	28%	7%	44	-2.1	205/253/318	113	280	11	7	30%	5%	55	-1.4	189/235/314	124	265	13	8	33%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	45	36→45	49→60	40	210/278/277	67	296	2	12	28%	6%	55	-1.4	223/284/315	92	289	5	17	23%	5%	67	-0.5	238/296/355	116	291	6	30	19%	4%	79	+0.1
✕Ricardo Rosario 2022 · A	19	40	37→40	53→55	42	193/254/272	79	260	4	13	26%	6%	43	-2.2	199/267/282	83	276	6	17	28%	7%	52	-1.6	193/273/276	82	259	9	24	27%	8%	51	-0.6
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	41	38→45	46→30	41	199/261/275	76	260	5	5	25%	5%	47	-1.9	210/260/302	92	278	8	4	26%	4%	53	-1.5	184/227/264	80	254	7	0	30%	3%	27	-1.0
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	43→52	35→50	54→60	41	201/265/263	62	286	2	12	29%	6%	46	-2.0	222/277/311	89	292	8	20	26%	5%	63	-0.9	228/285/371	143	284	18	30	26%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Jesus Ugueto 2010 · A	19	43	37→45	45→50	43	203/265/278	75	297	4	6	31%	7%	50	-1.8	221/273/309	88	288	6	8	24%	6%	60	-1.0	231/284/346	115	294	9	11	24%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	42→41	40→55	51→50	44	201/267/302	101	282	7	12	30%	7%	56	-1.3	197/248/287	90	281	7	11	31%	5%	44	-2.1	208/263/371	163	264	20	14	29%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Emilio King 2010 · A	20	40	37→45	51→40	43	190/274/270	79	258	4	9	26%	6%	53	-1.5	203/253/290	87	301	6	4	33%	4%	47	-1.9	213/250/309	96	311	7	2	33%	3%	47	-1.0
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	45→47	37→50	49→50	43	209/275/287	78	306	4	12	31%	8%	56	-1.3	231/269/358	127	281	13	15	22%	4%	72	-0.2	227/264/372	145	291	16	11	28%	4%	71	-0.2
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	37	38→45	46→50	37	179/239/262	83	292	6	10	38%	7%	34	-2.8	183/273/286	103	276	11	8	35%	9%	57	-1.2	165/268/271	106	240	13	6	34%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Robinson Medrano 2015 · A	19	41	37→45	48→45	40	196/254/265	69	286	4	7	31%	6%	41	-2.3	208/263/297	89	278	6	7	26%	6%	53	-1.5	205/257/300	95	260	7	6	23%	6%	48	-0.6
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→46	39→45	48→45	46	210/278/294	84	284	6	8	27%	8%	59	-1.1	225/302/319	94	296	6	8	24%	10%	76	+0.0	210/281/328	118	268	13	6	25%	8%	68	-0.4