Stharlin Torres
P
ACL Reds
+0.4
WAR
Age 20
RHP
6'0" / 182 lbs
ROK
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 0.6 · 2030
ERA4.24
FIP4.24
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%22.8%
BB%8.8%
K-BB%13.9%
IP38
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2030
K†5560
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Reds | 14 | 10 | 56 | 207 | 51 | 13 | 0 | 16.8% | 7.9% | 0.0% | 1.76 | 2.68 | +1.5 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | ACL Reds | 10 | 6 | 38 | 144 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 20.8% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 1.88 | 2.89 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | MLB | CIN | 38 | — | 38 | 159 | 36 | 14 | 5 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 4.24 | 4.24 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | CIN | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 4.19 | 4.15 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB | CIN | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 42 | 14 | 5 | 24.2% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 4.08 | 4.00 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB | CIN | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 45 | 15 | 5 | 24.9% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 3.97 | 3.89 | +0.5 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB | CIN | 44 | — | 44 | 187 | 47 | 15 | 5 | 25.4% | 7.8% | 2.7% | 3.88 | 3.81 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB | CIN | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 49 | 15 | 5 | 25.7% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 3.80 | 3.75 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | CIN | 45 | — | 45 | 190 | 49 | 14 | 5 | 25.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 3.76 | 3.73 | +0.6 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | CIN | 45 | — | 45 | 188 | 49 | 14 | 5 | 25.9% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 3.75 | 3.74 | +0.6 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 44 | — | 44 | 185 | 48 | 14 | 5 | 25.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 3.76 | 3.77 | +0.6 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | CIN | 43 | — | 43 | 181 | 47 | 14 | 5 | 25.8% | 7.8% | 2.8% | 3.79 | 3.81 | +0.6 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | CIN | 42 | — | 42 | 176 | 45 | 14 | 5 | 25.6% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 3.84 | 3.88 | +0.5 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | CIN | 40 | — | 40 | 169 | 43 | 14 | 5 | 25.3% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 3.91 | 3.95 | +0.5 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | CIN | 38 | — | 38 | 163 | 41 | 13 | 5 | 25.1% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 3.99 | 4.04 | +0.4 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | CIN | 37 | — | 37 | 155 | 38 | 13 | 5 | 24.8% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 4.08 | 4.13 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 24 | 16 | 95 | 351 | 65 | 25 | 2 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 0.6% | 1.81 | 2.76 | +2.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 34 | 200 | 742 | 137 | 53 | 4 | 18.4% | 7.1% | 0.6% | 1.81 | 2.76 | +5.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Stharlin Torres (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.24 | 22.8% | 8.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.01 | 24.1% | 15.8% | 124 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Hoffmann R 2027 · 3.15 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.15 | 23.6% | 8.1% | 1.8% | .275 | 4.89 | 19.0% | 8.7% | 311 | +1.74 | 3.15 | 395 | 90 |
| Brandon White R 2027 · 3.14 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.14 | 25.9% | 7.9% | 2.2% | .294 | 3.52 | 17.3% | 8.4% | 166 | +0.38 | 3.14 | 221 | 89 |
| Addison Russ R 2028 · 3.55 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.55 | 22.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .324 | 3.08 | 25.6% | 17.5% | 121 | -0.47 | 3.07 | 194 | 88 |
| Sam Delaplane R 2028 · 3.18 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.18 | 24.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .342 | 2.87 | 32.7% | 23.4% | 128 | -0.31 | 2.58 | 194 | 87 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 5.01 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +1.14 | 3.13 | 286 | 87 |
| Mailon Arroyo R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.86 | 23.4% | 7.0% | 3.4% | .375 | 4.63 | 18.4% | 13.7% | 41 | +0.77 | 3.31 | 104 | 87 |
| Osiel Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.32 | 19.6% | 6.6% | 1.9% | .306 | 5.30 | 22.3% | 7.4% | 92 | +1.98 | 3.32 | 124 | 87 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.37 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.2% | .350 | 4.28 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.91 | 2.93 | 103 | 87 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2028 · 4.20 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.20 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.95 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.75 | 4.20 | 104 | 86 |
| Kevin Coulter R 2028 · 3.27 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.27 | 21.0% | 7.4% | 1.8% | .287 | 4.54 | 16.1% | 7.6% | 92 | +1.27 | 3.27 | 128 | 86 |
| Scott Williams R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.36 | 22.0% | 8.6% | 1.9% | .238 | 3.68 | 19.3% | 10.5% | 76 | +0.32 | 2.89 | 119 | 86 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2028 · 3.78 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.78 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .341 | 4.02 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.24 | 3.40 | 259 | 86 |
| Jeff Bain R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.94 | 19.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% | .339 | 4.24 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 274 | +0.30 | 3.35 | 475 | 86 |
| Daniel Bies R 2028 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.16 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.80 | 3.16 | 115 | 86 |
| Kenny Oakley R 2028 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.50 | 23.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .348 | 3.89 | 17.3% | 7.8% | 115 | +0.39 | 3.18 | 144 | 86 |
| Collin Kober R 2028 · 3.39 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.39 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 2.1% | .268 | 2.76 | 24.0% | 17.9% | 128 | -0.63 | 2.38 | 294 | 86 |
| Dayeison Arias R 2026 · 2.93 FIP | 20 | SU | 2.93 | 21.3% | 7.6% | 1.2% | .296 | 2.93 | 28.2% | 19.9% | 48 | +0.00 | 2.93 | 204 | 86 |
| Enmanuel Marcano R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.32 | 21.1% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 138 | 85 |
| Danny Dopico R 2027 · 3.87 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.87 | 25.4% | 10.8% | 2.8% | .333 | 3.88 | 22.8% | 8.1% | 173 | +0.01 | 3.00 | 318 | 85 |
| Grant Dyer R 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.43 | 26.9% | 7.2% | 3.1% | .236 | 3.68 | 18.5% | 12.1% | 92 | +0.25 | 2.95 | 118 | 85 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$0.8M |
| 2036 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $7M | $15M | +$8M | ||