Adam Oller
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
+0.0
WAR
Age 31
RHP
6'4" / 225 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA5.77
FIP4.97
xFIP5.24
SIERA5.08
K%21.2%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%10.6%
IP93
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF4040
CTRL3535
CMD3535
K†4545
FB Velo
p4093.8
Whiff%
p2321.5%
K%
p2819.0%
xwOBA vs
p330.332
SL+4.2 (26%)
CU (41%)
CH-1.8 (7%)
FB-8.6 (51%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Bristol Pirates | 13 | 9 | 55 | 236 | 46 | 9 | 7 | 13.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.45 | 4.86 | +0.1 |
| 2018 | 23 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | 29 | 5 | 73 | 325 | 68 | 24 | 15 | 16.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 6.29 | 5.77 | -0.6 |
| 2019 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 17 | 17 | 87 | 372 | 93 | 26 | 5 | 18.5% | 8.2% | 1.6% | 4.02 | 3.46 | +1.7 |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 23 | 23 | 120 | 498 | 138 | 47 | 9 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 2.1% | 3.45 | 3.62 | +2.3 |
| 2022 | 27 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 26 | 21 | 106 | 476 | 78 | 56 | 17 | 15.6% | 11.9% | 3.9% | 5.52 | 5.42 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 28 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | 33 | 22 | 134 | 625 | 134 | 64 | 30 | 19.1% | 10.7% | 4.7% | 6.78 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 29 | MLB | Miami Marlins | 26 | 17 | 95 | 412 | 93 | 47 | 15 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 5.31 | 5.01 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 31 | MLB | MIA | 17 | 17 | 93 | 392 | 76 | 47 | 14 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 6.14 | 5.32 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 32 | MLB | MIA | 16 | 16 | 89 | 376 | 71 | 45 | 14 | 18.8% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 5.72 | 5.44 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 33 | MLB | MIA | 15 | 15 | 85 | 359 | 65 | 44 | 13 | 18.1% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 5.63 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| 2029 | 34 | MLB | MIA | 15 | 15 | 81 | 341 | 59 | 42 | 13 | 17.4% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 5.67 | 5.70 | -0.5 |
| 2030 | 35 | MLB | MIA | 14 | 14 | 76 | 322 | 60 | 38 | 13 | 18.7% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 5.62 | 5.58 | -0.4 |
| 2031 | 36 | MLB | MIA | 13 | 13 | 71 | 301 | 54 | 36 | 12 | 17.9% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 5.70 | 5.75 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 167 | 114 | 670 | 2944 | 547 | 292 | 108 | 18.6% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 5.17 | 4.81 | +3.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 50 | 34 | 200 | 879 | 163 | 87 | 32 | 18.6% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 5.17 | 4.81 | +1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Adam Oller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.32 | 19.4% | 11.9% | 3.6% | — | 5.56 | 18.1% | 5.9% | 255 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Felipe Paulino R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.52 | 15.8% | 11.8% | 2.3% | .312 | 4.86 | 15.0% | 4.8% | 26 | +0.34 | 4.52 | 150 | 84 |
| Josh Zeid R 2025 · 5.36 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.36 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.4% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 265 | 83 |
| Juan Delgadillo R 2027 · 4.56 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.56 | 15.5% | 7.2% | 3.4% | .316 | 4.46 | 10.9% | 4.7% | 39 | -0.10 | 4.46 | 143 | 80 |
| Scott Copeland R 2026 · 5.62 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.62 | 17.1% | 12.4% | 4.4% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 569 | 77 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.00 | 18.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | .313 | 5.07 | 13.2% | 5.6% | 124 | +0.07 | 4.87 | 294 | 77 |
| Cesar Carrillo R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.8% | 9.7% | 1.8% | .307 | 4.46 | 12.6% | 2.6% | 145 | +0.30 | 4.16 | 325 | 76 |
| Daniel Guerrero R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.86 | 12.4% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .328 | 4.86 | 11.7% | 2.0% | 175 | +0.00 | 4.54 | 269 | 76 |
| Patrick Johnson R 2025 · 4.13 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.13 | 15.7% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 248 | 75 |
| Jason Berken R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.36 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.51 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | +0.15 | 4.36 | 219 | 74 |
| Bud Norris R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.14 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.0% | .305 | 3.51 | 27.5% | 19.3% | 120 | -0.63 | 3.39 | 316 | 73 |
| Mike Bolsinger R 2024 · 4.28 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.28 | 20.2% | 9.4% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.44 | 327 | 71 |
| Scott McGregor R 2023 · 4.41 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.41 | 11.8% | 7.6% | 2.4% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.41 | 107 | 71 |
| Hector Galvan R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.74 | 14.3% | 12.2% | 2.4% | .357 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.59 | 406 | 71 |
| Sam LeCure R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.41 | 15.6% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .283 | 4.16 | 16.6% | 10.1% | 91 | -0.25 | 4.16 | 171 | 71 |
| Tom Koehler R 2026 · 4.70 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.70 | 22.4% | 9.0% | 4.3% | .298 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.37 | 474 | 70 |
| Shawn Haviland R 2026 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.03 | 16.3% | 8.1% | 4.2% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.69 | 283 | 70 |
| Tim Adleman R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 31 | SP- | 4.33 | 22.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | .266 | 4.71 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 90 | +0.38 | 3.64 | 605 | 70 |
| Andres Ivan Meza R 2025 · 4.14 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.14 | 12.5% | 8.5% | 1.9% | .351 | 4.35 | 11.7% | 4.0% | 89 | +0.21 | 4.14 | 275 | 69 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 5.73 FIP | 31 | SP- | 5.73 | 17.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | .277 | 4.50 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 81 | -1.23 | 3.40 | 556 | 69 |
| Scott Feldman R 2027 · 4.16 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.16 | 13.5% | 5.8% | 2.7% | .291 | 4.32 | 18.4% | 12.4% | 188 | +0.16 | 3.98 | 297 | 69 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.