Tommy Parsons
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 30
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
AAA
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 50 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.77
FIP4.77
K%21.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%12.1%
ROS IP50
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 50 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 13 | 9 | 57 | 232 | 43 | 10 | 7 | 69% | 4.4 | 12.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.00 | 5.04 | — |
| 2018 | 22 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 13 | 9 | 57 | 232 | 43 | 10 | 7 | 69% | 4.4 | 18.5% | 4.3% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 3.00 | 3.71 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 27 | 27 | 166 | 666 | 148 | 27 | 30 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.4% | 4.4% | 13.0% | 4.4% | 3.53 | 4.61 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | MIX | 4 levels | 27 | 27 | 166 | 666 | 148 | 27 | 30 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.2% | 4.1% | 18.2% | 4.5% | 3.53 | 4.16 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 24 | 9 | 74 | 317 | 70 | 24 | 19 | 38% | 3.1 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 5.86 | 6.50 | — |
| 2021 | 25 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 24 | 9 | 74 | 317 | 70 | 24 | 19 | 38% | 3.1 | 22.1% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 6.0% | 5.86 | 5.53 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 38 | 17 | 136 | 563 | 110 | 57 | 29 | 45% | 3.6 | 17.2% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.31 | 5.83 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 38 | 17 | 136 | 563 | 110 | 57 | 29 | 45% | 3.6 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 4.31 | 5.52 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 19 | 14 | 74 | 344 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 74% | 3.9 | 13.6% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.30 | 7.40 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 19 | 14 | 74 | 344 | 53 | 31 | 22 | 74% | 3.9 | 15.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.30 | 6.79 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | MLB | STL | 8 | 8 | 50 | 212 | 45 | 20 | 7 | 100% | 6.3 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 4.77 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 47 | 198 | 42 | 19 | 7 | 100% | 6.7 | 21.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 4.84 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | STL | 7 | 7 | 43 | 183 | 38 | 18 | 7 | 100% | 6.2 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 4.98 | 5.10 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | STL | 6 | 6 | 40 | 168 | 34 | 17 | 7 | 100% | 6.6 | 20.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 5.17 | 5.31 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | STL | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 100% | 5.7 | 21.1% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 4.84 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | STL | 4 | 4 | 24 | 101 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 100% | 6.0 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 4.98 | 5.10 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | STL | 4 | 4 | 27 | 114 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 100% | 6.8 | 20.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 5.17 | 5.31 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 10 | 68 | 287 | 60 | 29 | 11 | 100% | 6.8 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 5.02 | 4.76 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 30 | 30 | 200 | 844 | 177 | 85 | 32 | 100% | 6.7 | 20.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 3.9% | 5.02 | 4.76 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 121 | 76 | 506 | 2122 | 350 | 159 | 118 | 63% | 4.2 | 16.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.57 | 5.71 | -1.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 30 | 200 | 839 | 138 | 63 | 47 | 63% | 4.2 | 16.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 5.6% | 4.57 | 5.71 | -0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tommy Parsons (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.77 | 21.3% | 9.3% | 3.5% | — | 5.10 | 20.8% | 10.9% | 130 | +0.33 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 80 |
| Fabio Castillo R 2024 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.00 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 195 | 78 |
| Hector Noesí R 2024 · 4.21 FIP | 28 | SP- | 4.21 | 17.6% | 8.1% | 2.9% | .261 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 250 | 77 |
| Matt Cain R 2026 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.90 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | .296 | 4.88 | 15.2% | 7.6% | 214 | -0.02 | 4.83 | 294 | 74 |
| David Hale R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.17 | 15.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | .299 | 3.66 | 17.1% | 11.3% | 114 | -0.51 | 3.26 | 493 | 73 |
| Zack Segovia R 2028 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 72 |
| Yohan Pino R 2027 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 72 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.22 FIP | 30 | SP | 5.22 | 19.8% | 11.1% | 4.3% | .333 | 4.92 | 15.8% | 7.4% | 182 | -0.30 | 2.32 | 676 | 70 |
| Justin Masterson R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.06 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .307 | 3.76 | 17.3% | 6.4% | 196 | -0.30 | 3.51 | 269 | 68 |
| Aaron Wilkerson R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.76 | 20.9% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .291 | 3.31 | 24.6% | 19.0% | 112 | -1.45 | 2.75 | 902 | 68 |
| Jason Berken R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 31 | SW | 4.69 | 13.5% | 6.6% | 3.5% | .315 | 4.31 | 11.5% | 3.2% | 106 | -0.38 | 4.31 | 219 | 67 |
| Tim Adleman R 2025 · 5.42 FIP | 29 | SP- | 5.42 | 20.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | .276 | 4.57 | 22.8% | 15.0% | 117 | -0.85 | 3.61 | 605 | 66 |
| Hiram Burgos R 2025 · 5.14 FIP | 29 | SP | 5.14 | 19.3% | 7.5% | 4.9% | .351 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 355 | 66 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 30 | SP | 3.84 | 17.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | .315 | 5.10 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 305 | +1.26 | 3.84 | 567 | 66 |
| Reinier Roibal R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 30 | SP | 4.86 | 17.5% | 11.8% | 3.2% | .426 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.07 | 133 | 65 |
| Josh Zeid R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 65 |
| Kohei Arihara R 2025 · 4.67 FIP | 29 | SP- | 4.67 | 16.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.67 | 135 | 65 |
| Clayton Mortensen R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 15.0% | 12.6% | 1.6% | .289 | 4.40 | 22.0% | 10.3% | 115 | +0.10 | 4.23 | 221 | 64 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 30 | SP- | 5.35 | 17.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.76 | 399 | 64 |
| Tyler Cloyd R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.58 | 16.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | .293 | 5.01 | 17.2% | 9.8% | 170 | +0.43 | 3.89 | 250 | 64 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 45 | 21.0% | 9.8% | 1.45 | 4.93 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |