Rainiel Duran

P DSL Giants Black

Age 23 RHP 6'5" / 226 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	21	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	5	2	4	4.15	2.87	29.4%	17.6%	—	K 29.4% · BB 17.6% · FIP 2.85
2026	22	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	17	0	26	4.10	4.96	16.8%	17.6%	—	K 11.4% · BB 22.1% · FIP 6.22
2027PROJ	23	MLB—	15	0	16	5.79	5.79	19.5%	18.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	24	MLB—	10	0	10	5.46	5.33	20.7%	15.6%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 99%

CompsHudson Leach (age 22) · Jackson Rose (age 22) · Carlos Contreras (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.79

FIP5.79

K%19.5%

BB%18.4%

K-BB%1.2%

Proj IP16

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	5	2	4	17	5	3	0	40%	0.9	29.4%	17.6%	11.8%	0.0%	4.15	2.85	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	5	2	4	17	5	3	0	40%	0.9	29.4%	17.6%	11.8%	0.0%	4.15	2.85	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	5	2	4	17	5	3	0	40%	0.9	29.4%	17.6%	11.8%	0.0%	4.15	2.87	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	17	0	26	119	20	21	2	0%	1.5	11.4%	22.1%	-10.6%	2.4%	4.10	6.22	—
2026	22	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	17	0	26	119	20	21	2	0%	1.5	11.4%	22.1%	-10.6%	2.4%	4.10	6.22	—
2026	22	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	17	0	26	119	20	21	2	0%	1.5	16.8%	17.6%	-0.8%	1.7%	4.10	4.96	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	—	15	0	16	68	13	12	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	18.4%	1.2%	3.0%	5.79	5.79	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	—	23	0	24	103	21	16	3	0%	1.1	20.7%	15.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.46	5.33	-0.2
2028	24	MLB CTX	—	10	0	10	42	9	7	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	15.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.46	5.33	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	44	9	7	1	0%	1.0	20.7%	15.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.46	4.95	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	173	135	19	0%	1.1	20.7%	15.6%	5.0%	3.0%	5.46	4.95	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		22	2	31	136	19	29	3	9%	1.4	13.7%	21.5%	-7.8%	2.1%	4.11	5.80	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		143	13	200	887	121	191	18	9%	1.4	13.7%	21.5%	-7.8%	2.1%	4.11	5.80	-1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rainiel Duran (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.79	19.5%	18.4%	3.0%	—	5.33	20.7%	5.0%	24	-0.46	—	—	—
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	91
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	89
Carlos Contreras R 2014 · 4.77 FIP	23	SU	4.77	20.2%	18.1%	2.0%	.304	4.35	18.4%	5.0%	107	-0.42	4.29	127	89
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	88
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	88
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	88
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.56	176	88
Franklyn German R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	18.9%	2.2%	.313	5.27	13.1%	0.1%	86	+0.10	3.37	152	87
Roberto Espinosa R 2015 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	18.9%	18.6%	1.9%	.273	4.43	14.8%	2.2%	77	-0.49	4.32	117	86
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.15	18.5%	5.3%	93	-0.21	3.20	213	86
Kasey Ford R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	23	SU	4.89	20.3%	14.5%	3.0%	.310	4.26	21.9%	5.8%	98	-0.63	2.53	114	85
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	85
Michael Blazek R 2013 · 5.52 FIP	24	SU	5.52	16.7%	15.5%	3.4%	.241	3.81	19.8%	10.3%	97	-1.71	2.99	238	84
Fraimin Marte R 2024 · 5.46 FIP	23	SU	5.46	18.7%	18.4%	2.9%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	111	84
Saul Teran R 2024 · 5.21 FIP	22	SU	5.21	22.4%	18.8%	2.9%	.279	4.40	20.1%	10.7%	84	-0.81	2.28	166	84
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	84
Mason McCullough R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	23	SU	4.60	20.8%	19.2%	1.5%	.340	3.93	26.7%	6.9%	77	-0.67	3.33	154	84
Matt Brill R 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	20.8%	16.3%	2.7%	.248	3.89	19.4%	4.9%	60	-1.01	3.73	161	83
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	83
Jason Ruffcorn R 2021 · 4.74 FIP	23	SU	4.74	16.6%	14.2%	2.3%	.297	4.69	17.6%	4.2%	136	-0.05	4.01	283	83