Rordy Mejia

P Lake Elsinore Storm

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	20	ROKSD	7	3	18	7.36	1.85	25.3%	8.0%	—	K 17.2% · BB 10.1% · FIP 2.92
2026	21	ASD	37	0	62	5.78	5.38	21.4%	11.1%	—	K 15.9% · BB 13.1% · FIP 6.73
2027PROJ	22	MLBSD	30	0	32	5.36	5.36	18.0%	12.1%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	23	MLBSD	28	0	29	5.11	5.01	19.7%	10.9%	-0.2
2029PROJ70% MLB	24	MLBSD	40	0	42	4.91	4.80	20.7%	10.2%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJunior Rincon (age 23) · Mike Morrison (age 22) · Hayden Snelsire (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.36

FIP5.36

K%18.0%

BB%12.1%

K-BB%5.9%

Proj IP32

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 32 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	11	4	21	88	16	7	4	36%	1.9	12.4%	9.9%	2.4%	7.0%	5.66	7.16	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	11	4	21	88	16	7	4	36%	1.9	12.4%	9.9%	2.4%	7.0%	5.66	7.16	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	11	4	21	88	16	7	4	36%	1.9	18.2%	8.0%	10.2%	4.5%	5.66	5.08	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	7	3	18	87	22	7	0	43%	2.6	17.2%	10.1%	7.1%	0.0%	7.36	2.92	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	ACL Padres	7	3	18	87	22	7	0	43%	2.6	17.2%	10.1%	7.1%	0.0%	7.36	2.92	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	ACL Padres	7	3	18	87	22	7	0	43%	2.6	25.3%	8.0%	17.2%	0.0%	7.36	1.85	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	37	0	62	280	60	31	13	0%	1.7	15.9%	13.1%	2.8%	6.0%	5.78	6.73	—
2026	21	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	37	0	62	280	60	31	13	0%	1.7	15.9%	13.1%	2.8%	6.0%	5.78	6.73	—
2026	21	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	37	0	62	280	60	31	13	0%	1.7	21.4%	11.1%	10.4%	4.6%	5.78	5.38	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	SD	30	0	32	135	24	16	5	0%	1.1	18.0%	12.1%	5.9%	3.4%	5.36	5.36	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	SD	55	0	58	246	49	27	8	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.9%	8.8%	3.3%	5.11	5.01	-0.3
2029	24	MLB MLE	SD	57	0	60	252	52	26	8	0%	1.0	20.7%	10.2%	10.6%	3.3%	4.91	4.80	-0.2
2028	23	MLB CTX	SD	28	0	29	122	24	13	4	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.9%	8.8%	3.3%	5.11	5.01	-0.2
2029	24	MLB CTX	SD	40	0	42	177	37	18	6	0%	1.1	20.7%	10.2%	10.6%	3.3%	4.91	4.80	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		67	0	70	297	60	31	10	0%	1.0	20.3%	10.5%	9.9%	3.3%	4.99	4.51	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	171	88	28	0%	1.1	20.3%	10.5%	9.9%	3.3%	4.99	4.51	+0.1
Career	—	MLE		55	7	101	455	70	54	23	13%	1.8	15.4%	11.9%	3.6%	5.1%	6.04	6.08	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		109	14	200	898	139	107	46	13%	1.8	15.4%	11.9%	3.6%	5.1%	6.04	6.08	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Rordy Mejia (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.36	18.0%	12.1%	3.4%	—	4.90	20.2%	9.7%	118	-0.46	—	—	—
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	91
Mike Morrison R 2016 · 4.86 FIP	22	SU	4.86	17.3%	10.7%	3.4%	.280	4.02	19.0%	7.1%	128	-0.84	3.36	145	91
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	90
Ismael Cabrera R 2016 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	19.5%	12.4%	3.2%	.276	5.29	16.9%	6.5%	95	+0.52	3.56	133	89
Tyler Smith R 2018 · 5.30 FIP	22	SU	5.30	17.8%	14.3%	3.4%	.329	4.35	19.8%	7.8%	94	-0.95	3.44	121	89
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	88
Jayson McKinley R 2017 · 4.39 FIP	23	SU	4.39	17.5%	11.4%	2.4%	.308	3.60	20.4%	11.3%	134	-0.79	2.35	173	88
Jack Carey R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	22	SU	4.77	16.8%	10.9%	3.1%	.333	4.31	19.5%	8.2%	156	-0.46	3.79	250	88
Jordan Mikel R 2021 · 4.49 FIP	22	SU	4.49	20.5%	12.5%	2.8%	.330	4.16	19.2%	9.0%	109	-0.33	3.04	195	88
Carson Hobbs R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	22	SU	5.63	18.9%	13.6%	4.4%	.303	3.97	22.0%	10.4%	118	-1.66	3.54	143	88
Randy Messenger R 2005 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	16.3%	12.9%	2.8%	.281	3.93	13.8%	7.1%	137	-0.97	3.56	174	87
Josh Harlow R 2024 · 5.17 FIP	23	SU	5.17	18.5%	13.5%	3.5%	.266	5.73	17.1%	-4.2%	51	+0.56	5.17	107	87
Sean Isaac R 2016 · 4.27 FIP	23	SU	4.27	19.5%	12.3%	2.3%	.342	3.76	25.0%	10.7%	128	-0.51	3.27	155	87
Dawil Almonte R 2024 · 4.88 FIP	22	SU	4.88	17.9%	10.7%	3.5%	.267	4.31	12.6%	0.7%	58	-0.57	3.59	138	87
Anyelo Leclerc R 2015 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	16.2%	9.8%	3.7%	.326	4.65	15.9%	6.1%	96	-0.35	4.65	140	87
Easton Sikorski R 2023 · 4.85 FIP	23	SU	4.85	20.9%	14.1%	3.1%	.254	4.62	17.5%	6.3%	154	-0.23	4.23	183	86
Zack Hess R 2019 · 5.00 FIP	22	SU	5.00	18.1%	13.1%	3.2%	.232	5.47	22.9%	6.3%	50	+0.47	5.00	101	86
Miguel Guerrero R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	22	SU	5.35	17.0%	13.9%	3.5%	.324	4.56	18.1%	7.8%	57	-0.79	4.56	171	86
Jason García R 2015 · 4.57 FIP	22	SU	4.57	16.8%	12.5%	2.4%	.241	4.37	13.2%	1.2%	218	-0.20	4.16	356	86
Jake Bird R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	22	SU	4.59	17.7%	13.0%	2.4%	.254	3.65	16.1%	4.9%	156	-0.94	3.06	525	86

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	50	19.8%	10.9%	1.28	5.08
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Daryl Patterson ('68-'74, -1 WAR*)	1.2	46	18.3%*	11.2%*	1.27*	5.03*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*