Jose Cabrera
P
Ontario Tower Buzzers
Age 21
RHP
6'4" / 195 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135125vR 116
ERA5.13
FIP5.13
K%20.4%
BB%13.8%
K-BB%6.6%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 20 | 0 | 26 | 124 | 30 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 16.5% | 23.2% | -6.7% | 2.0% | 5.26 | 5.76 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL LAD Bautista | 20 | 0 | 26 | 124 | 30 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 24.2% | 18.5% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 5.26 | 4.46 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 34 | 155 | 44 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.0% | 14.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 5.50 | 4.38 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 0 | 34 | 155 | 44 | 18 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 28.4% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 1.9% | 5.50 | 3.25 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Ontario Tower Buzzers | 17 | 0 | 17 | 101 | 30 | 30 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 38.8% | -19.3% | 3.4% | 19.44 | 8.25 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | LAD | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 31 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 5.13 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.4% | 13.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 5.13 | 5.13 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 52 | 252 | 61 | 51 | 6 | — | — | 24.1% | 20.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 9.68 | 6.12 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | LAD | 36 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | LAD | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 37 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 38 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 39 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 38 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 40 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 38 | 0 | 40 | 171 | 40 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 38 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 40 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | LAD | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 4.89 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | LAD | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | LAD | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.52 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | LAD | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 36 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.5% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 2.8% | 4.41 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | LAD | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 2.8% | 4.35 | 4.31 | +0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 35 | 0 | 37 | 156 | 37 | 16 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.7% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 180 | 0 | 189 | 799 | 185 | 84 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.05 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 89 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.49 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 67 | 0 | 77 | 380 | 71 | 90 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 23.6% | -4.9% | 2.5% | 8.45 | 5.86 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 175 | 0 | 200 | 991 | 185 | 234 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 23.6% | -4.9% | 2.5% | 8.45 | 5.86 | -1.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jose Cabrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.13 | 20.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.59 | 22.4% | 11.1% | 116 | -0.54 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Mikel R 2027 · 4.57 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | .330 | 4.23 | 19.2% | 9.0% | 109 | -0.34 | 3.09 | 195 | 91 |
| Samuel Carpio R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.32 | 21.2% | 15.3% | 2.0% | .300 | 5.71 | 21.2% | -4.8% | 90 | +1.39 | 4.32 | 112 | 90 |
| Osiel Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.65 | 22.7% | 15.7% | 2.7% | .263 | 5.67 | 22.0% | 7.6% | 56 | +1.02 | 3.32 | 124 | 89 |
| Luis Alvarado R 2026 · 5.24 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.24 | 20.2% | 12.4% | 4.2% | .276 | 5.27 | 18.7% | 4.4% | 140 | +0.03 | 5.04 | 162 | 88 |
| Kasey Ford R 2028 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.68 | 20.3% | 14.5% | 2.6% | .310 | 4.31 | 21.9% | 5.8% | 98 | -0.37 | 2.53 | 114 | 88 |
| Carson Hobbs R 2027 · 5.55 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.55 | 18.9% | 13.6% | 4.2% | .303 | 4.38 | 22.1% | 9.8% | 92 | -1.17 | 3.57 | 117 | 88 |
| Austin Mason R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.41 | 17.1% | 11.6% | 2.4% | .289 | 4.07 | 16.2% | 6.5% | 151 | -0.34 | 3.60 | 179 | 88 |
| Stefan Raeth R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.79 | 18.0% | 15.4% | 2.3% | .309 | 4.76 | 17.5% | 8.3% | 124 | -0.03 | 4.36 | 173 | 87 |
| Kyle Hinton R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.17 | 23.5% | 15.0% | 2.1% | .275 | 5.66 | 17.7% | -0.7% | 75 | +1.49 | 4.17 | 106 | 87 |
| Tyler Smith R 2027 · 5.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.30 | 17.8% | 14.3% | 3.4% | .329 | 4.45 | 19.8% | 7.8% | 94 | -0.85 | 3.48 | 121 | 87 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2028 · 4.76 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.76 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 3.0% | .254 | 4.52 | 17.5% | 6.3% | 154 | -0.24 | 4.09 | 183 | 87 |
| Ty Tice R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.29 | 22.2% | 12.9% | 2.6% | .271 | 3.48 | 19.4% | 8.3% | 108 | -0.81 | 3.24 | 288 | 87 |
| Zack Hess R 2027 · 5.24 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.24 | 18.1% | 13.1% | 3.6% | .232 | 5.98 | 22.9% | 6.3% | 50 | +0.74 | 5.24 | 101 | 86 |
| Alexis Liebano R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.05 | 22.3% | 12.6% | 4.1% | .330 | 6.24 | 15.6% | 1.1% | 77 | +1.19 | 4.80 | 142 | 86 |
| Luke Stofel R 2027 · 4.17 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.17 | 17.6% | 12.4% | 1.8% | .328 | 4.53 | 13.9% | 1.4% | 136 | +0.36 | 4.17 | 177 | 86 |
| Adam Ravenelle R 2027 · 4.37 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.37 | 19.6% | 14.8% | 1.9% | .322 | 4.84 | 17.1% | 4.3% | 130 | +0.47 | 4.37 | 165 | 86 |
| Tommy DeJuneas R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.72 | 19.1% | 15.5% | 2.3% | .357 | 4.55 | 20.8% | 4.9% | 100 | -0.17 | 3.90 | 178 | 86 |
| Yondrei Rojas R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.77 | 21.5% | 13.2% | 3.3% | .295 | 4.00 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 63 | -0.77 | 2.72 | 223 | 86 |
| Michael Perez R 2026 · 5.68 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.68 | 18.3% | 16.1% | 3.8% | .296 | 4.58 | 23.6% | 8.4% | 109 | -1.10 | 4.35 | 131 | 86 |
| Luis Ramirez R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.91 | 23.1% | 15.9% | 3.2% | .278 | 3.58 | 24.0% | 11.4% | 53 | -1.33 | 3.58 | 104 | 86 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 39 | 22.7% | 11.1% | 1.11 | 4.61 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |