Ivan Cespedes

C ACL Cubs

Age 21 R/R 5'8" / 190 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	19	ROKDSL Cubs Red	126	.292/.360/.504	7	4	34	—	.171/.224/.291
2026	20	ACHC	104	.211/.317/.333	3	0	39	—	.170/.250/.255
2026	20	ROKCHC	116	.304/.388/.520	5	1	66	—	.215/.276/.374
2027PROJ0% MLB	21	MLBCHC	330	.199/.264/.311	7	5	62	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	22	MLBCHC	96	.205/.271/.325	2	2	67	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	23	MLBCHC	181	.209/.275/.336	4	3	71	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

ISO45

BB%45

wRC+37

wOBA30

Whiff%24

K%23

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsJohan Mieses (age 21) · Sammy Hernandez (age 20) · Marcus Greene Jr. (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 206 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .262 / .308

PA206

HR4

K%30

BB%7

ISO112

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	20	2	0	0	1	5	8	0	1	0	100	280	250	530	150	91	32	20	259	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	113	33	3	0	7	11	31	1	4	1	292	360	504	864	212	342	25	9	378	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	104	90	19	2	0	3	12	31	2	0	0	211	317	333	651	122	286	30	12	301	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	116	102	31	7	0	5	14	26	0	1	1	304	388	520	908	216	366	22	12	400	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	21	1	0	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	48	200	48	248		58	40	16	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	117	20	2	0	4	7	39	1	4	1	171	224	291	515	120	209	31	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	104	94	16	2	0	2	8	42	2	0	0	170	250	255	505	85	268	40	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	116	107	23	5	0	4	9	37	0	1	1	215	276	374	650	159	277	32	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	21	1	0	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	48	200	48	248		91	40	16	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	20	2	0	0	1	5	8	0	1	0	100	280	250	530	150	91	32	20	259	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	117	20	2	0	4	7	39	1	4	1	171	224	291	515	120	213	31	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	113	33	3	0	7	11	31	1	4	1	292	360	504	864	212	342	25	9	378	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	220	201	38	6	0	6	17	80	2	1	1	189	259	308	568	119	278	36	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	220	192	50	9	0	8	26	57	2	1	1	260	355	432	787	172	331	26	12	353	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	21	1	0	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	48	200	48	248		58	40	16	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	117	20	2	0	4	7	39	1	4	1	171	224	291	515	120	209	31	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	220	199	38	6	0	6	17	80	2	1	1	191	259	312	571	121	273	36	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	25	21	1	0	0	0	4	10	0	1	0	48	200	48	248		58	40	16	161	-5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Red	—	126	117	20	2	0	4	7	39	1	4	1	171	224	291	515	120	209	31	6	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	220	199	38	6	0	6	17	80	2	1	1	191	259	312	571	121	273	36	8	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	330	300	61	10	2	7	24	100	3	5	2	199	264	311	575	112	269	30	7	260	62	-15	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	280	255	52	9	1	6	20	83	3	5	1	204	270	324	594	120	272	30	7	268	67	-11	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.1
2029	23	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	373	339	71	12	2	9	28	109	3	7	2	208	274	335	609	127	274	29	8	274	71	-13	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	437	397	83	14	2	11	33	126	4	8	2	211	278	343	621	132	275	29	8	279	75	-13	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.5
2031	25	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	472	429	91	15	2	13	36	134	4	9	3	214	281	349	630	135	277	28	8	282	77	-13	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	492	447	96	16	2	14	38	138	4	9	3	216	283	354	637	138	277	28	8	285	79	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.8
2033	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	499	454	97	16	2	14	38	141	4	9	3	214	282	351	633	136	276	28	8	284	78	-13	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.7
2034	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	499	454	96	16	2	13	38	142	4	8	3	213	280	346	626	134	275	28	8	281	76	-14	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	493	449	95	16	2	13	37	142	4	8	3	210	277	340	617	130	274	29	8	277	74	-15	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.3
2036	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	484	441	91	15	2	12	36	141	4	7	3	207	273	332	605	125	272	29	7	272	70	-17	+0	-2	+9	+10	0.0
2028	22	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	96	88	18	3	1	2	7	28	1	2	1	205	271	325	596	120	274	29	7	268	67	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.0
2029	23	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	181	164	34	6	1	4	13	53	2	3	1	209	275	336	611	126	277	29	7	275	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.1
2030	24	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	230	209	45	8	1	6	17	66	2	4	1	213	279	344	623	131	278	29	7	279	75	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	25	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	258	234	51	9	1	7	20	73	2	5	1	215	282	350	632	135	279	28	8	283	77	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	274	249	54	9	2	7	21	77	2	5	2	217	284	354	638	137	280	28	8	286	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2033	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	274	249	54	9	2	7	21	77	2	5	2	216	283	351	635	136	279	28	8	284	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2034	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	273	248	52	9	1	7	21	78	2	5	2	214	281	347	628	133	278	29	8	281	76	-8	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.3
2035	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	263	239	51	9	1	7	20	76	2	4	2	211	278	340	618	129	277	29	8	278	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	254	231	48	8	1	6	19	74	2	4	2	208	274	332	607	124	274	29	7	273	70	-9	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2103	1911	407	70	11	53	159	602	17	37	14	213	279	344	624	131	280	29	8	280	72	-63	+2	-2	+38	+46	2.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	125	22	3	16	49	186	5	11	4	212	277	340	617	129	279	29	8	280	72	-19	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4606	4191	868	143	18	119	347	1347	39	79	26	207	274	335	609	128	273	29	8	274	72	-131	+5	-4	+76	+92	3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	123	20	3	17	49	190	6	11	4	208	276	338	614	130	274	29	8	274	72	-20	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bateman'63-'72 * career totals — 10 seasons, 3,585 PA	5.4	3,585	81	10	229*	274*	381*	+64	+0	8.2	8.5
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#5J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.5	2,310	59	39	211	275	342	+41	+24	3.6	3.4
/162	664	17	11	+11.9	+6.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Cespedes (OGILVIE)	21	26→31	46→51	45→50	51	197/262/308	111	269	4	3	30%	7%	62	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Johan Mieses 2016 · A	21	40→33	45→55	52→50	40	204/250/330	126	265	12	14	28%	5%	61	-1.5	189/238/351	162	266	20	4	37%	5%	63	-1.4	192/268/358	166	237	23	7	30%	7%	73	-0.4
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	46→50	44→40	39	182/248/308	126	266	15	5	36%	7%	57	-1.8	208/266/323	115	283	12	4	30%	7%	66	-1.1	206/265/315	109	274	12	2	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	40→38	45→50	54→50	38	199/264/327	128	286	12	13	34%	6%	67	-1.1	211/271/364	153	307	18	14	36%	6%	78	-0.3	204/267/368	165	294	22	15	37%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Aneudis Mordán 2024 · A	20	36→30	42→45	48→40	42	185/254/284	99	260	10	6	32%	7%	53	-2.1	182/245/285	103	269	12	5	35%	7%	50	-2.3	160/226/256	96	233	12	3	35%	7%	33	-1.9
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A	21	39→32	41→45	46→30	38	189/254/293	104	302	8	3	38%	7%	55	-2.0	185/251/286	101	320	10	2	43%	6%	53	-2.1	244/299/348	104	334	12	0	29%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Sherten Apostel 2020 · A	21	38→35	47→45	45→40	45	195/272/324	128	273	15	4	33%	9%	70	-0.9	207/271/335	128	319	14	4	37%	7%	71	-0.8	208/271/342	134	323	16	0	38%	7%	70	-0.4
✕Frank Rodriguez 2024 · A	22	35	42→45	47→30	38	180/236/279	99	250	10	4	32%	5%	45	-2.7	188/246/274	86	257	8	4	29%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Kevin Padlo 2017 · A	21	37→42	47→55	46→50	47	190/279/325	135	275	14	9	34%	10%	73	-0.6	191/275/329	138	281	14	8	34%	9%	72	-0.7	196/269/361	165	267	20	12	33%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Bryan Ramos 2022 · A	20	41→42	45→50	49→50	42	206/277/332	126	281	12	8	30%	7%	73	-0.6	219/279/362	143	273	18	5	26%	6%	80	-0.1	214/275/354	140	261	19	5	25%	6%	74	-0.4
✕Ricardo Hurtado 2024 · A	21	39→29	40→45	48→45	46	187/286/283	96	259	7	6	28%	8%	67	-1.1	184/278/286	102	279	10	4	35%	9%	63	-1.3	163/265/259	96	246	11	3	35%	10%	51	-1.2
✕Yassel Pino 2023 · A	21	39	46→45	46→40	46	197/270/322	124	275	13	7	32%	9%	68	-1.0	196/256/301	105	259	10	6	27%	7%	57	-1.8	180/240/276	96	230	10	5	26%	6%	43	-1.2
✕Alex Jackson 2017 · A	21	39→38	43→60	45→30	36	193/256/308	115	297	11	4	37%	6%	59	-1.6	196/254/351	155	291	19	2	38%	5%	70	-0.9	173/252/371	198	240	29	2	40%	5%	72	-0.3
✕Miguel Jerez 2019 · A	21	34	47→60	48→40	36	183/240/314	132	274	16	5	38%	6%	55	-2.0	169/239/291	122	273	15	3	41%	7%	50	-2.3	121/204/235	114	188	15	1	43%	7%	23	-1.8
✕Rodolfo Castro 2019 · A	20	39→42	44→55	47→50	37	198/240/315	117	272	11	5	31%	5%	54	-2.0	203/245/352	149	282	17	6	33%	5%	65	-1.2	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	41→37	44→45	49→50	41	202/273/319	117	276	11	8	30%	6%	69	-0.9	208/282/339	131	278	13	10	29%	6%	77	-0.3	207/286/352	145	264	16	10	27%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2024 · A	21	38→44	41→50	52→50	43	182/258/286	104	279	7	9	35%	8%	55	-1.9	220/276/370	150	298	17	10	31%	6%	81	-0.1	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→45	49→50	40	186/254/299	114	273	12	9	35%	7%	57	-1.8	197/278/292	95	346	7	8	41%	8%	64	-1.3	149/272/225	76	351	3	4	50%	12%	46	-0.6
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	188/250/319	131	265	15	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	206/269/349	143	296	16	9	34%	6%	74	-0.6	201/265/348	147	289	17	7	35%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Brian Sanchez 2017 · A	21	37	43→50	45	42	189/257/303	113	261	11	4	31%	7%	59	-1.7	184/237/278	94	281	8	4	35%	6%	45	-2.7	133/186/201	68	218	4	0	39%	6%	6	-1.0

Ivan Cespedes

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps