Carson Myers

P Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 LHP 6'3" / 213 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	22	ATOR	10	11	3.18	3.19	24.1%	16.7%	—	K 17.8% · BB 19.7% · FIP 4.09
2026	23	MIX2 levels	38	72	3.27	3.83	29.3%	11.1%	—	K 22.3% · BB 12.8% · FIP 5.09
2027PROJ	24	MLBTOR	34	36	5.01	5.01	22.1%	12.9%	-0.2
2028PROJ43% MLB	25	MLBTOR	27	28	4.85	4.79	22.6%	11.7%	-0.1
2029PROJ66% MLB	26	MLBTOR	41	43	4.77	4.74	22.9%	11.4%	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsMitchell Tyranski (age 25) · Andrew Walling (age 24) · Keylan Killgore (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA5.01

FIP5.01

K%22.1%

BB%12.9%

K-BB%9.3%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	10	0	11	54	13	9	0	0%	1.1	17.8%	19.7%	-1.9%	0.0%	3.18	4.09	—
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	10	0	11	54	13	9	0	0%	1.1	17.8%	19.7%	-1.9%	0.0%	3.18	4.09	—
2025	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	10	0	11	54	13	9	0	0%	1.1	24.1%	16.7%	7.4%	0.0%	3.18	3.19	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	72	307	90	34	10	0%	1.9	22.3%	12.8%	9.5%	4.1%	3.27	5.09	—
2026	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	38	0	72	307	90	34	10	0%	1.9	22.3%	12.8%	9.5%	4.1%	3.27	5.09	—
2026	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	38	0	72	307	90	34	10	0%	1.9	29.3%	11.1%	18.2%	3.3%	3.27	3.83	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	24	MLB	TOR	34	0	36	152	34	20	5	0%	1.1	22.1%	12.9%	9.3%	3.2%	5.01	5.01	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	62	0	65	276	62	32	9	0%	1.1	22.6%	11.7%	11.0%	3.2%	4.85	4.79	-0.2
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	62	0	65	276	63	32	9	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.4%	11.5%	3.2%	4.77	4.74	-0.1
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	61	0	64	271	62	31	9	0%	1.1	22.9%	11.4%	11.5%	3.2%	4.75	4.75	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	27	0	28	118	27	14	4	0%	1.0	22.6%	11.7%	11.0%	3.2%	4.85	4.79	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	41	0	43	182	42	21	6	0%	1.0	22.9%	11.4%	11.5%	3.2%	4.77	4.74	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	48	0	50	211	48	24	7	0%	1.0	22.9%	11.4%	11.5%	3.2%	4.75	4.75	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		115	0	121	512	117	59	16	0%	1.1	22.8%	11.5%	11.4%	3.2%	4.78	4.38	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	97	26	0%	1.1	22.8%	11.5%	11.4%	3.2%	4.78	4.38	+0.4
Career	—	MLE		48	0	83	361	78	50	13	0%	1.7	21.6%	13.8%	7.8%	3.5%	3.25	4.94	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	0	200	870	188	120	30	0%	1.7	21.6%	13.8%	7.8%	3.5%	3.25	4.94	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Carson Myers (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.01	22.1%	12.9%	3.2%	—	4.76	22.8%	11.3%	195	-0.25	—	—	—
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	87
Andrew Walling L 2024 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.73	20.8%	7.5%	52	-0.32	3.14	161	87
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	86
Daniel Stumpf L 2015 · 4.31 FIP	24	SU	4.31	20.8%	11.5%	2.8%	.268	3.54	22.5%	15.3%	123	-0.77	1.84	238	86
Brendan Nail L 2019 · 4.88 FIP	23	SU	4.88	23.8%	16.4%	3.1%	.305	3.83	26.2%	15.2%	87	-1.05	3.45	165	86
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	86
Houston Harding L 2022 · 5.30 FIP	24	SU	5.30	20.2%	10.5%	4.7%	.307	4.87	17.3%	4.9%	158	-0.43	3.41	239	86
Brian Marconi L 2021 · 3.89 FIP	24	SU	3.89	25.3%	12.3%	2.5%	.265	5.02	20.3%	2.1%	57	+1.13	3.89	101	86
Ty Damron L 2018 · 4.27 FIP	24	SU	4.27	24.3%	14.0%	2.6%	.358	4.30	19.7%	10.3%	134	+0.03	3.29	346	85
Gabriel Sequeira L 2022 · 4.60 FIP	24	SU	4.60	19.3%	13.1%	2.7%	.294	3.57	21.4%	10.0%	63	-1.03	2.62	160	85
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	85
Fred Schlichtholz L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	23	SU	4.23	22.5%	12.8%	2.6%	.368	4.13	18.5%	8.4%	80	-0.10	3.49	175	85
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	84
R.C. Orlan L 2015 · 3.93 FIP	24	SU	3.93	21.0%	10.9%	2.2%	.326	4.62	17.2%	5.0%	119	+0.69	1.71	206	84
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	84
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	84
Kelly Secrest L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	18.6%	13.7%	2.1%	.267	3.47	20.8%	10.4%	38	-0.95	3.11	151	84
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	83
Jared Tobey L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	21.0%	12.1%	2.1%	.320	5.43	22.4%	8.2%	73	+1.44	3.99	158	83
John Beller L 2023 · 4.16 FIP	24	SU	4.16	21.6%	14.2%	2.0%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	4.16	170	83

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.2	58	22.7%	11.7%	1.24	4.82
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
José Ruiz ('25)	1.4	57	22.3%	10.4%	1.44	4.62
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
J.J. Hoover ('18)	1.4	57	23.8%	11.4%	1.42	4.17