Ediel RiveraC
Tampa Tarpons
Age 20
R/R
5'10" / 185 lbs
A
HR +8%BB +8%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
peak 2.2 · 2032
wRC+†42
AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .269 / .305
PA238
HR4
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
30→30
PWR
30→30
SPD
55→55
EYE
42↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
2.2peak
2032
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2031
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2036
First FA Year 2037
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2031 | |||
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +2.1 | $19M | +$19M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.2 | $21M | +$20M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +2.2 | $22M | +$21M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $4M | +2.1 | $21M | +$17M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +1.9 | $20M | +$13M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $8M | +1.7 | $18M | +$10M |
| Totals | $21M | $122M | +$100M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | 2 teams | 251 | 216 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 99 | 18 | 18 | 5 | .139 | .250 | .199 | .449 | .060 | .244 | 39 | 6 | .198 | 10 | -26 | +2 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 45 | 40 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .125 | .222 | .150 | .372 | .025 | .250 | 44 | 9 | .168 | -13 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | NYY | 193 | 173 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 63 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .191 | .267 | .289 | .556 | .098 | .280 | 33 | 7 | .257 | 54 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 20 | MLB | NYY | 238 | 213 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 83 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .178 | .258 | .263 | .521 | .085 | .273 | 35 | 8 | .240 | 42 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB 11% | NYY | 311 | 277 | 58 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 83 | 6 | 7 | 2 | .209 | .289 | .329 | .617 | .119 | .269 | 27 | 8 | .279 | 72 | -10 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB 28% | NYY | 409 | 363 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 105 | 8 | 9 | 2 | .215 | .298 | .347 | .645 | .132 | .271 | 26 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB 48% | NYY | 473 | 419 | 92 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 42 | 118 | 9 | 11 | 2 | .220 | .304 | .360 | .665 | .141 | .273 | 25 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +8 | +13 | 1.6 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB 62% | NYY | 515 | 454 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 47 | 127 | 9 | 12 | 2 | .222 | .308 | .368 | .676 | .145 | .273 | 25 | 9 | .302 | 90 | -6 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB 80% | NYY | 520 | 457 | 103 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 49 | 127 | 9 | 12 | 2 | .225 | .313 | .372 | .685 | .147 | .274 | 24 | 9 | .306 | 92 | -5 | +2 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 456 | 102 | 19 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 127 | 9 | 11 | 2 | .224 | .313 | .371 | .683 | .147 | .274 | 24 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 456 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 50 | 128 | 9 | 11 | 2 | .221 | .311 | .366 | .677 | .145 | .274 | 25 | 10 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +9 | +15 | 2.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 455 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 129 | 9 | 11 | 2 | .222 | .313 | .367 | .680 | .145 | .274 | 25 | 10 | .306 | 92 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 2.1 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 455 | 101 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 51 | 130 | 9 | 10 | 1 | .222 | .313 | .367 | .680 | .145 | .273 | 25 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -5 | +2 | -1 | +9 | +15 | 1.9 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB | NYY | 520 | 455 | 99 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 51 | 132 | 9 | 10 | 1 | .218 | .309 | .358 | .667 | .141 | .272 | 25 | 10 | .301 | 88 | -7 | +2 | -2 | +9 | +15 | 1.7 |
| 2037 | 31 | MLB | NYY | 503 | 440 | 94 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 49 | 130 | 9 | 9 | 0 | .214 | .305 | .350 | .655 | .136 | .270 | 26 | 10 | .297 | 86 | -8 | +2 | -3 | +9 | +14 | 1.4 |
| 2038 | 32 | MLB | NYY | 471 | 414 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 124 | 8 | 8 | 0 | .210 | .301 | .338 | .639 | .128 | .268 | 26 | 10 | .293 | 82 | -10 | +2 | -4 | +8 | +13 | 1.1 |
| 2039 | 33 | MLB | NYY | 429 | 377 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 116 | 7 | 7 | 0 | .207 | .298 | .334 | .632 | .127 | .267 | 27 | 10 | .287 | 78 | -11 | +1 | -4 | +8 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2040 | 34 | MLB | NYY | 373 | 328 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 36 | 104 | 6 | 7 | 0 | .204 | .295 | .326 | .621 | .122 | .265 | 28 | 10 | .281 | 73 | -11 | +1 | -5 | +7 | +11 | 0.2 |
| 2041 | 35 | MLB | NYY | 315 | 277 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 91 | 5 | 6 | 0 | .191 | .282 | .296 | .578 | .105 | .262 | 29 | 10 | .273 | 67 | -12 | +1 | -6 | +6 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2042 | 36 | MLB | NYY | 255 | 225 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 76 | 4 | 5 | 0 | .191 | .281 | .298 | .578 | .107 | .259 | 30 | 9 | .264 | 61 | -11 | +1 | -6 | +5 | +7 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7618 | 6697 | 1421 | 259 | 39 | 183 | 706 | 2009 | 147 | 167 | 24 | .212 | .301 | .344 | .646 | .132 | .272 | 26 | 9 | .292 | 81 | -160 | +24 | -31 | +136 | +216 | 18.8 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 571 | 121 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 60 | 171 | 13 | 14 | 2 | .212 | .301 | .345 | .646 | .133 | .271 | 26 | 9 | .292 | 81 | -14 | +2 | -3 | +12 | +18 | 1.6 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 66 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | .164 | .303 | .200 | .503 | .036 | .257 | 30 | 8 | .255 | 53 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 185 | 153 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 49 | 12 | 12 | 4 | .229 | .352 | .346 | .698 | .118 | .314 | 26 | 9 | .320 | 103 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +5 | 0.7 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ediel Rivera (OGILVIE) | 20 | 30 | 30 | 55 | 35 | .199/.269/.305 | .106 | .282 | 4 | 5 | 31% | 7% | 60 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Rafael Morel 2022 · A |
20 | 39 | 40 | 52→50 | 40 | .191/.251/.288 | .097 | .267 | 7 | 14 | 30% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .196/.259/.275 | .079 | .316 | 7 | 10 | 37% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .190/.261/.265 | .075 | .295 | 9 | 10 | 36% | 7% | 42 | -1.1 |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A |
20 | 38 | 40→45 | 47→45 | 45 | .183/.271/.272 | .089 | .286 | 7 | 6 | 36% | 10% | 52 | -1.6 | .190/.265/.267 | .077 | .298 | 5 | 6 | 35% | 9% | 47 | -1.9 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A |
20 | 41→35 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .199/.265/.295 | .096 | .286 | 9 | 10 | 32% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .204/.294/.305 | .101 | .301 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 70 | -0.3 | .186/.292/.283 | .097 | .277 | 9 | 10 | 33% | 11% | 63 | -0.5 |
|
✕Jenner Emeterio 2013 · A |
20 | 45 | 38→30 | 48→60 | 46 | .214/.278/.298 | .084 | .285 | 5 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 60 | -1.0 | .216/.302/.277 | .061 | .288 | 3 | 24 | 23% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .216/.317/.260 | .044 | .285 | 1 | 34 | 22% | 12% | 65 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A |
20 | 39→30 | 38→45 | 51→50 | 41 | .188/.258/.268 | .080 | .284 | 5 | 13 | 34% | 7% | 44 | -2.1 | .208/.274/.312 | .104 | .324 | 8 | 15 | 36% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .195/.257/.318 | .122 | .287 | 13 | 16 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -0.7 |
|
✕Gilbert Gomez 2012 · A |
20 | 40→38 | 40 | 52→50 | 41 | .194/.257/.285 | .090 | .273 | 7 | 15 | 30% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .199/.267/.276 | .077 | .296 | 4 | 8 | 31% | 8% | 50 | -1.8 | .188/.268/.257 | .069 | .288 | 3 | 7 | 33% | 9% | 42 | -1.4 |
|
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A |
18 | 41 | 38→30 | 49→50 | 44 | .199/.262/.281 | .083 | .258 | 5 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.287/.284 | .073 | .267 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .221/.317/.274 | .053 | .274 | 5 | 10 | 19% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Adrian Abreu 2011 · A |
20 | 43 | 37→40 | 52→55 | 44 | .206/.261/.284 | .078 | .265 | 4 | 10 | 23% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .204/.281/.290 | .086 | .252 | 7 | 15 | 21% | 9% | 60 | -1.0 | .194/.284/.274 | .080 | .231 | 8 | 20 | 19% | 10% | 56 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ameilis Carvajal 2009 · A |
20 | 40 | 39→40 | 50 | 47 | .189/.277/.272 | .083 | .292 | 6 | 12 | 34% | 10% | 54 | -1.4 | .193/.265/.266 | .073 | .318 | 4 | 10 | 37% | 8% | 46 | -2.0 | .140/.204/.175 | .034 | .267 | 0 | 8 | 44% | 7% | -3 | -1.2 |
|
✕Blayberg Diaz 2023 · A |
20 | 39 | 42→30 | 51→40 | 43 | .196/.261/.289 | .093 | .249 | 10 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .198/.246/.256 | .058 | .277 | 3 | 5 | 28% | 5% | 35 | -2.8 | .197/.242/.238 | .041 | .280 | 1 | 2 | 28% | 4% | 25 | -1.3 |
|
✕Leonel Espinoza 2023 · A |
20 | 38→44 | 40 | 50→55 | 41 | .188/.259/.276 | .087 | .266 | 8 | 11 | 31% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .208/.272/.296 | .088 | .299 | 7 | 14 | 31% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .208/.265/.288 | .081 | .297 | 7 | 18 | 31% | 5% | 49 | -1.0 |
|
✕Guillermo Pimentel 2010 · A |
20 | 42 | 38→40 | 49→55 | 44 | .200/.281/.272 | .073 | .296 | 6 | 16 | 32% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .200/.259/.281 | .081 | .332 | 7 | 9 | 39% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .171/.216/.243 | .071 | .295 | 8 | 2 | 43% | 4% | 17 | -1.1 |
|
✕Deivi Mejia 2010 · A |
20 | 41 | 41→40 | 46→30 | 41 | .200/.267/.296 | .097 | .281 | 8 | 6 | 30% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .204/.262/.293 | .089 | .269 | 7 | 4 | 25% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .224/.268/.311 | .087 | .267 | 6 | 1 | 18% | 3% | 59 | -0.4 |
|
✕Payton Henry 2018 · A |
21 | 40→31 | 41→45 | 46→30 | 38 | .191/.255/.294 | .102 | .304 | 8 | 4 | 38% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .187/.253/.289 | .102 | .316 | 10 | 2 | 41% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .246/.293/.382 | .135 | .322 | 19 | 1 | 29% | 4% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
✕Kevin Made 2023 · A |
20 | 42→36 | 42→40 | 49→50 | 40 | .209/.260/.316 | .107 | .282 | 10 | 5 | 29% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .196/.255/.282 | .086 | .268 | 6 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .188/.249/.255 | .067 | .255 | 4 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 34 | -1.8 |
|
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2009 · A |
20 | 40 | 43→45 | 43→50 | 47 | .193/.290/.298 | .105 | .281 | 11 | 10 | 32% | 10% | 67 | -0.5 | .182/.264/.285 | .103 | .284 | 10 | 6 | 37% | 8% | 52 | -1.6 | .153/.236/.254 | .101 | .237 | 11 | 2 | 38% | 9% | 32 | -0.9 |
|
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A |
20 | 41 | 40→45 | 54→60 | 47 | .189/.291/.289 | .100 | .303 | 7 | 8 | 36% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .201/.301/.282 | .081 | .273 | 6 | 17 | 26% | 10% | 68 | -0.5 | .180/.308/.228 | .048 | .225 | 5 | 30 | 19% | 12% | 56 | -0.5 |
|
✕Janelfry Zorrilla 2011 · A |
20 | 40 | 39→45 | 50 | 41 | .198/.251/.283 | .085 | .260 | 7 | 13 | 26% | 6% | 45 | -2.1 | .224/.280/.352 | .128 | .278 | 13 | 10 | 24% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .228/.279/.356 | .128 | .281 | 14 | 8 | 24% | 5% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Max George 2016 · A |
20 | 39→37 | 40→45 | 53→55 | 42 | .188/.270/.278 | .090 | .290 | 7 | 14 | 35% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .184/.262/.290 | .106 | .252 | 10 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .162/.248/.288 | .126 | .217 | 14 | 23 | 31% | 7% | 44 | -1.3 |
|
✕Yeuris Ramirez 2019 · A |
20 | 33 | 38→40 | 47→50 | 40 | .163/.253/.245 | .082 | .260 | 6 | 9 | 36% | 7% | 38 | -2.6 | .189/.271/.286 | .097 | .311 | 8 | 13 | 39% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .158/.239/.236 | .078 | .330 | 8 | 23 | 50% | 6% | 26 | -1.2 |