Alex Hernandez — OGILVIE

Alex HernandezOF Stockton Ports

Age 22 R/R A HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 87 proj PA

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .248 / .304

PA87

HR1

K%34

BB%6

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

DEFENSE45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	77	73	12	2	1	1	4	25	0	0	0	164	208	260	468	96	234	32	5	212	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	77	74	9	1	1	1	3	34	0	0	0	122	156	203	359	81	220	44	4	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	77	74	9	1	1	1	3	34	0	0	0	122	156	203	359	81	205	44	4	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A RAW	Stockton Ports	—	77	73	12	2	1	1	4	25	0	0	0	164	208	260	468	96	234	32	5	212	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	77	74	9	1	1	1	3	34	0	0	0	122	156	203	359	81	220	44	4	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	21	A MLE	Stockton Ports	—	77	74	9	1	1	1	3	34	0	0	0	122	156	203	359	81	220	44	4	156	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	22	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	187	173	35	6	2	3	11	63	1	2	1	199	250	306	556	107	289	34	6	250	55	-10	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	178	165	34	6	2	3	10	59	1	2	1	203	255	315	569	112	290	33	6	255	59	-9	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	61	57	12	2	1	1	4	20	0	1	0	209	260	324	584	116	300	33	7	261	59	-3	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	61	57	12	2	1	1	4	20	0	1	0	211	262	333	596	123	306	33	7	261	43	-3	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	128	21	11	11	43	213	0	11	0	211	263	336	599	125	305	33	7	261	43	-32	+2	-1	-4	+14	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		—	342	320	59	10	4	5	18	122	2	3	1	184	232	287	520	103	278	36	5	231	43	-13	+0	-0	-2	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	608	113	19	8	10	34	232	4	6	2	186	234	293	527	107	280	36	5	231	43	-33	+0	-1	-4	+14	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alex Hernandez (OGILVIE)	22	50	50	40	—	198/248/304	106	289	1	1	34%	6%	55	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ethan Workinger 2024 · A	22	40→41	44→45	44→45	39	201/250/318	117	279	11	5	32%	6%	59	-1.7	206/258/330	124	259	14	8	26%	6%	65	-1.2	198/253/321	123	239	15	9	24%	6%	58	-1.1
✕Samuel Hiciano 2016 · A	22	43	45	43→50	38	216/259/338	123	296	12	8	31%	5%	67	-1.1	212/272/336	124	307	11	7	32%	7%	72	-0.7	163/239/310	147	236	10	0	33%	8%	50	-0.4
✕Jorge Ona 2019 · A	22	43→48	43→45	44→40	36	210/262/318	108	317	11	4	36%	5%	63	-1.3	229/289/352	123	342	13	7	35%	7%	82	-0.0	192/256/302	110	315	14	4	41%	6%	55	-0.5
✕Kevin Richards 2022 · A	22	45	39→50	40→45	37	211/262/294	83	317	6	7	34%	6%	57	-1.8	207/256/317	110	297	12	7	33%	5%	61	-1.5	186/234/315	129	244	16	4	31%	5%	51	-1.2
✕Jonathan Meyer 2013 · A	22	45	40→45	38→40	39	219/261/307	88	293	9	3	28%	5%	59	-1.6	206/249/291	85	268	9	4	25%	5%	51	-2.2	194/238/271	77	249	8	2	25%	5%	41	-1.9
✕Antonio Sucre 2006 · A	22	46	42→50	42→40	33	223/263/314	91	325	11	5	34%	4%	63	-1.4	207/249/320	113	337	11	6	40%	4%	59	-1.7	164/200/295	132	289	12	4	46%	4%	32	-1.3
✕Juan Silverio 2013 · A	22	43→49	45→50	43→45	34	213/248/345	132	297	10	6	32%	4%	64	-1.3	229/253/364	135	297	15	5	28%	3%	70	-0.8	231/253/364	133	294	16	4	27%	2%	67	-0.6
✕Nick Basto 2016 · A	22	36→46	41→45	38→30	34	183/228/276	93	269	9	3	35%	4%	41	-3.0	207/259/316	109	289	11	2	31%	6%	62	-1.4	206/263/314	107	284	11	0	30%	6%	61	-1.1
✕Rashun Dixon 2013 · A	22	41→49	42→45	42→45	40	194/267/297	103	322	10	6	40%	8%	61	-1.5	190/276/321	131	314	15	9	41%	9%	70	-0.8	154/258/299	145	239	18	10	41%	10%	58	-1.1
✕Eddy Martinez 2017 · A	22	43→42	41→45	45	41	210/266/310	100	294	9	6	31%	7%	63	-1.4	205/250/316	111	259	13	6	25%	5%	58	-1.7	194/238/304	110	235	14	5	24%	5%	48	-1.6
✕Jhon Torres 2022 · A	22	42→41	40→45	41→45	37	202/255/297	95	294	6	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	207/259/308	101	308	9	6	34%	6%	60	-1.6	173/214/265	92	264	12	0	38%	5%	30	-0.7
✕Ti'Quan Forbes 2019 · A	22	45→51	39→40	39→45	35	219/252/306	87	299	7	5	29%	3%	56	-1.9	219/273/304	85	308	6	6	29%	6%	63	-1.3	215/270/298	84	306	6	7	30%	5%	59	-1.1
✕Gabriel Cancel 2019 · A	22	45→46	45→50	42→50	37	223/261/346	123	289	12	6	27%	4%	69	-0.9	205/251/344	139	288	16	13	33%	5%	65	-1.2	174/239/298	124	269	15	16	39%	7%	48	-0.9
✕Darlin Moquete 2023 · A	23	41	44→45	42→55	38	206/256/312	106	289	13	7	32%	6%	60	-1.6	200/252/316	116	263	14	15	29%	6%	59	-1.6	192/247/304	112	248	14	20	28%	6%	52	-1.1
✕Jodd Carter 2018 · A	22	44→41	43→45	46→45	39	212/273/322	110	320	12	8	36%	7%	68	-1.0	209/272/328	119	294	13	9	32%	7%	70	-0.9	199/267/319	119	271	14	9	31%	7%	63	-1.0
✕Julio Perez 2008 · A	22	39→40	42→50	43→50	33	192/239/295	102	299	11	6	38%	5%	49	-2.4	208/242/333	125	285	13	11	31%	4%	59	-1.7	207/239/338	131	271	14	13	29%	3%	58	-1.0
✕Yasiel Balaguert 2015 · A	22	40→43	40→45	41→40	36	200/235/287	88	284	7	3	32%	4%	45	-2.7	208/243/314	106	274	11	3	28%	4%	55	-2.0	207/242/318	111	265	13	2	27%	4%	53	-1.7
✕Jacob Heyward 2018 · A	22	40	44→45	44→50	40	196/266/309	113	300	11	8	37%	7%	63	-1.3	198/282/315	117	299	12	10	35%	9%	72	-0.7	182/278/312	130	266	15	9	35%	10%	67	-0.7
✕Connor Kaiser 2019 · A	22	48	41→45	46→50	38	230/270/325	95	319	9	7	30%	5%	67	-1.1	187/260/289	102	262	10	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	179/257/294	115	257	12	17	33%	9%	54	-0.8
✕Stephen King 2010 · A	22	42→50	41→40	44→45	36	205/253/299	94	303	9	10	34%	5%	55	-1.9	195/251/284	89	302	7	7	36%	6%	51	-2.2	180/233/259	78	285	5	4	37%	5%	36	-1.6