Theo HardySS
Frisco RoughRiders
Age 24
S/R
6'1" / 185 lbs
AA
K +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.7 · 2029
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .279 / .309
PA163
HR2
K%29
BB%8
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.7peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.8M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.6M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | +0.1 | $0.5M | +$0.1M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $4M | $9M | +$5M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | 2 teams | 52 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .178 | .275 | .333 | .608 | .156 | .250 | 33 | 10 | .237 | 40 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 166 | 145 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 53 | 4 | 7 | 3 | .166 | .258 | .193 | .451 | .028 | .255 | 32 | 8 | .212 | 20 | -15 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .107 | .219 | .143 | .362 | .036 | .273 | 53 | 9 | .150 | -27 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | TEX | 131 | 118 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 40 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .212 | .285 | .322 | .607 | .110 | .288 | 31 | 8 | .264 | 60 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | TEX | 163 | 146 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .192 | .272 | .288 | .559 | .096 | .295 | 35 | 8 | .241 | 43 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 11% | TEX | 262 | 234 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 69 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .214 | .292 | .329 | .621 | .115 | .275 | 26 | 8 | .280 | 72 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 26% | TEX | 333 | 297 | 64 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 87 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .215 | .294 | .340 | .634 | .125 | .278 | 26 | 8 | .288 | 79 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 44% | TEX | 364 | 325 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 94 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .218 | .296 | .348 | .644 | .129 | .278 | 26 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 53% | TEX | 383 | 342 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 100 | 5 | 7 | 2 | .216 | .295 | .339 | .634 | .123 | .278 | 26 | 9 | .290 | 80 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 64% | TEX | 387 | 345 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 102 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .214 | .294 | .336 | .631 | .122 | .277 | 26 | 9 | .288 | 78 | -9 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | TEX | 389 | 347 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 104 | 5 | 6 | 1 | .213 | .293 | .334 | .627 | .121 | .276 | 27 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -11 | +1 | -2 | +4 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | TEX | 378 | 337 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 102 | 5 | 4 | 0 | .214 | .293 | .338 | .632 | .125 | .275 | 27 | 9 | .281 | 73 | -11 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 88% | TEX | 362 | 322 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 100 | 5 | 2 | 0 | .208 | .290 | .326 | .616 | .118 | .273 | 28 | 9 | .276 | 70 | -12 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 333 | 297 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 94 | 4 | 1 | 0 | .199 | .279 | .303 | .582 | .104 | .271 | 28 | 9 | .271 | 66 | -13 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +9 | -0.4 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 290 | 260 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 84 | 3 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .278 | .304 | .582 | .104 | .269 | 29 | 9 | .265 | 61 | -13 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +8 | -0.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3830 | 3414 | 714 | 137 | 19 | 73 | 330 | 1046 | 53 | 57 | 13 | .209 | .289 | .325 | .613 | .115 | .277 | 27 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -127 | +6 | -20 | +41 | +109 | 0.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 579 | 120 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 56 | 178 | 9 | 10 | 2 | .207 | .287 | .320 | .607 | .112 | .275 | 27 | 9 | .278 | 71 | -22 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .154 | .312 | .385 | .697 | .231 | .222 | 25 | 12 | .314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .207 | .343 | .345 | .688 | .138 | .250 | 25 | 17 | .310 | 96 | -0 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 39 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .222 | .282 | .278 | .560 | .056 | .286 | 21 | 8 | .259 | 56 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | 127 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 33 | 4 | 6 | 2 | .192 | .355 | .232 | .587 | .040 | .279 | 26 | 17 | .285 | 77 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +4 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Theo Hardy (OGILVIE) | 24 | — | — | — | — | .208/.279/.309 | .101 | .288 | 2 | 3 | 29% | 8% | 64 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Eloy Gutierrez 2009 · AAA |
24 | 39→49 | 43→45 | 51→50 | 40 | .195/.252/.307 | .112 | .282 | 10 | 11 | 33% | 6% | 52 | -1.6 | .243/.302/.341 | .098 | .334 | 8 | 12 | 27% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .247/.308/.326 | .079 | .342 | 6 | 13 | 27% | 8% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA |
25 | 40→39 | 46→50 | 50 | 41 | .201/.262/.333 | .132 | .280 | 13 | 11 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .212/.276/.351 | .139 | .302 | 14 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
●Trei Cruz 2023 · AA |
25 | 38→48 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 51 | .184/.279/.284 | .100 | .274 | 8 | 13 | 33% | 12% | 58 | -1.2 | .204/.284/.322 | .118 | .291 | 11 | 10 | 31% | 10% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.296/.342 | .128 | .296 | 12 | 11 | 30% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Shayne Fontana 2022 · AA |
25 | 41 | 42→45 | 48→55 | 46 | .197/.276/.303 | .106 | .284 | 9 | 9 | 32% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .215/.297/.325 | .110 | .300 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .222/.305/.326 | .104 | .296 | 11 | 19 | 27% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Blake Perkins 2021 · AA |
24 | 41→51 | 40→50 | 51→55 | 44 | .198/.267/.284 | .087 | .285 | 7 | 17 | 32% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .204/.282/.335 | .131 | .287 | 14 | 17 | 32% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .228/.311/.359 | .130 | .302 | 13 | 25 | 27% | 10% | 87 | +0.5 |
|
✕Riley Unroe 2021 · AAA |
25 | 45→47 | 41→45 | 47→55 | 44 | .216/.278/.314 | .098 | .296 | 9 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .217/.285/.334 | .117 | .287 | 11 | 17 | 27% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.306/.342 | .121 | .297 | 13 | 26 | 28% | 10% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Arquímedes Gamboa 2022 · AAA |
24 | 39→43 | 41→40 | 52→50 | 47 | .189/.268/.284 | .095 | .274 | 9 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 53 | -1.5 | .204/.283/.304 | .100 | .299 | 9 | 14 | 32% | 10% | 65 | -0.7 | .195/.282/.288 | .093 | .289 | 8 | 15 | 32% | 10% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA |
24 | 41→40 | 44→60 | 46→50 | 44 | .202/.279/.318 | .116 | .282 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .221/.280/.382 | .161 | .276 | 19 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .220/.279/.406 | .186 | .266 | 23 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Jan Vázquez 2015 · AA |
24 | 41 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 39 | .206/.262/.303 | .097 | .286 | 11 | 9 | 31% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .212/.282/.306 | .094 | .294 | 8 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .217/.296/.306 | .089 | .289 | 8 | 7 | 26% | 7% | 67 | -0.2 |
|
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA |
24 | 39 | 46→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .199/.281/.326 | .127 | .271 | 13 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .195/.278/.310 | .115 | .276 | 11 | 18 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .167/.262/.269 | .102 | .243 | 9 | 23 | 32% | 10% | 46 | -0.8 |
|
✕Drew Millas 2023 · AA |
25 | 44 | 40→45 | 50 | 50 | .212/.289/.303 | .091 | .285 | 7 | 11 | 27% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .238/.302/.356 | .118 | .293 | 11 | 14 | 21% | 8% | 85 | +0.7 | .252/.308/.379 | .127 | .291 | 12 | 17 | 17% | 7% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA |
24 | 42→35 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .203/.282/.321 | .118 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.293/.355 | .159 | .317 | 19 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .180/.284/.345 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 3 | 42% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA |
24 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 51→60 | 43 | .204/.265/.308 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 19 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.285/.324 | .098 | .310 | 8 | 27 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.288/.355 | .128 | .309 | 13 | 42 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Noah Campbell 2023 · AA |
24 | 47 | 40→45 | 51→50 | 45 | .219/.295/.316 | .097 | .323 | 7 | 13 | 32% | 9% | 72 | -0.2 | .216/.299/.328 | .112 | .340 | 8 | 9 | 35% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 | .208/.301/.323 | .116 | .338 | 8 | 6 | 37% | 11% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA |
24 | 42 | 41→45 | 48→40 | 41 | .206/.264/.302 | .095 | .280 | 9 | 7 | 29% | 6% | 55 | -1.4 | .216/.266/.302 | .086 | .273 | 7 | 5 | 22% | 5% | 56 | -1.3 | .217/.286/.341 | .124 | .252 | 13 | 2 | 19% | 7% | 71 | -0.1 |
|
✕James Free 2022 · A |
24 | 42→44 | 40→50 | 48→30 | 43 | .199/.268/.295 | .096 | .301 | 7 | 6 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .219/.274/.348 | .129 | .297 | 15 | 3 | 30% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .224/.278/.367 | .143 | .288 | 19 | 1 | 28% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Kody Clemens 2021 · AA |
25 | 40→43 | 44→60 | 51→45 | 43 | .202/.264/.324 | .123 | .275 | 11 | 9 | 30% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .208/.262/.373 | .165 | .263 | 20 | 8 | 29% | 6% | 73 | -0.1 | .216/.278/.416 | .200 | .247 | 26 | 8 | 25% | 7% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA |
24 | 44→46 | 42→50 | 52→50 | 45 | .212/.285/.324 | .112 | .284 | 9 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.290/.356 | .130 | .287 | 12 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .243/.319/.380 | .137 | .317 | 15 | 17 | 26% | 9% | 97 | +0.9 |
|
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA |
24 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .196/.261/.330 | .133 | .269 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .203/.278/.366 | .163 | .280 | 20 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .206/.283/.412 | .206 | .265 | 29 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Cam Devanney 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→42 | 41→55 | 45 | 40 | .183/.249/.273 | .090 | .263 | 9 | 8 | 32% | 6% | 43 | -2.2 | .213/.275/.368 | .155 | .278 | 18 | 7 | 29% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .219/.282/.386 | .166 | .279 | 19 | 7 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.4 |