Theo Hardy
SS Frisco RoughRiders| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AA/A+TEX | 52 | .190/.333/.357 | 1 | 2 | 48 | — | .156/.255/.311 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+TEX | 166 | .200/.337/.244 | 0 | 7 | 32 | — | .178/.270/.219 |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA/AA/A+TEX | 174 | .207/.327/.331 | 3 | 6 | 48 | — | .185/.275/.304 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBTEX | 2 | .184/.263/.269 | 0 | 0 | 52 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBTEX | 59 | .188/.267/.280 | 1 | 1 | 56 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 21 / POW 34
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 312 | 385 | 697 | 231 | 222 | 25 | 12 | 314 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 343 | 345 | 688 | 138 | 250 | 25 | 17 | 310 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 39 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 282 | 278 | 560 | 56 | 286 | 21 | 8 | 259 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 127 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 33 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 192 | 355 | 232 | 587 | 40 | 279 | 26 | 17 | 285 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 35 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 324 | 310 | 634 | 103 | 261 | 17 | 11 | 287 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 80 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 174 | 278 | 246 | 525 | 72 | 275 | 35 | 10 | 248 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 59 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 255 | 397 | 468 | 865 | 213 | 345 | 27 | 15 | 380 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 16 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 250 | 357 | 607 | 214 | 189 | 31 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 36 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 161 | 257 | 290 | 547 | 129 | 207 | 33 | 11 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 39 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 256 | 270 | 527 | 54 | 267 | 26 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 127 | 108 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 42 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 167 | 274 | 204 | 478 | 37 | 242 | 33 | 9 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 35 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 300 | 594 | 100 | 248 | 20 | 9 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 80 | 71 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 155 | 241 | 225 | 466 | 70 | 260 | 42 | 8 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Hub City Spartanburgers | — | 59 | 51 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 310 | 412 | 722 | 196 | 284 | 36 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 52 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 156 | 255 | 311 | 566 | 156 | 214 | 33 | 10 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 52 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 333 | 357 | 690 | 167 | 241 | 25 | 15 | 312 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 166 | 145 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 52 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 172 | 264 | 214 | 478 | 41 | 263 | 31 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 166 | 135 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 41 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 200 | 337 | 244 | 582 | 44 | 281 | 25 | 14 | 279 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 174 | 152 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 62 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 171 | 263 | 263 | 526 | 92 | 273 | 36 | 8 | 238 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 174 | 145 | 30 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 50 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 207 | 327 | 331 | 659 | 124 | 293 | 29 | 12 | 301 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 52 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 152 | 255 | 304 | 559 | 152 | 201 | 33 | 10 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 166 | 147 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 52 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 170 | 264 | 211 | 475 | 41 | 248 | 31 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 174 | 153 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 62 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 170 | 263 | 261 | 525 | 92 | 266 | 36 | 8 | 238 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 52 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 152 | 255 | 304 | 559 | 152 | 201 | 33 | 10 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 166 | 147 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 52 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 170 | 264 | 211 | 475 | 41 | 248 | 31 | 8 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 174 | 153 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 62 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 170 | 263 | 261 | 525 | 92 | 266 | 36 | 8 | 238 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | TEX | 2% | 224 | 201 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 68 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 184 | 263 | 267 | 530 | 83 | 263 | 30 | 8 | 245 | 52 | -13 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | TEX | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 263 | 269 | 532 | 84 | 262 | 50 | 0 | 246 | 52 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | TEX | 31% | 189 | 169 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 57 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 188 | 267 | 279 | 545 | 91 | 265 | 30 | 8 | 251 | 56 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | TEX | 31% | 59 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 188 | 267 | 280 | 547 | 92 | 264 | 31 | 8 | 252 | 56 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 59 | 53 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 189 | 271 | 283 | 554 | 94 | 265 | 31 | 8 | 252 | 47 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 584 | 110 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 55 | 198 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 188 | 271 | 283 | 553 | 94 | 264 | 30 | 8 | 252 | 47 | -34 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 701 | 618 | 109 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 58 | 225 | 15 | 21 | 5 | 176 | 263 | 257 | 521 | 81 | 263 | 32 | 8 | 238 | 47 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 573 | 102 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 54 | 209 | 14 | 19 | 5 | 178 | 266 | 264 | 529 | 86 | 264 | 32 | 8 | 238 | 47 | -35 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 80 PAwOBA .242 → .198 (−44)K% 35.0% → 42.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.50% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 21.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.95% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .242 → .198; ISO .072 → .057; BABIP .275 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 59 PAwOBA .371 → .283 (−87)K% 27.1% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.12% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 35.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.978 | 8.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.39% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.978 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 19.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 2.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.978 | 5.55% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .371 → .283; ISO .213 → .179; BABIP .345 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAARound Rock Express · 35 PAwOBA .280 → .256 (−25)K% 17.1% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 16.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 4.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .280 → .256; ISO .103 → .103; BABIP .261 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hub City Spartanburgers · 127 PAwOBA .284 → .216 (−68)K% 26.0% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.98% | ÷1.026 | ×1.310 | — | — | 33.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.54% | ÷1.041 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 9.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.15% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 2.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.24% | ÷1.020 | ×0.870 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 21.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.03% | ÷0.909 | ×0.780 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 2.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×1.034 | ×0.988 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.215 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 104, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .284 → .216; ISO .040 → .035; BABIP .279 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 39 PAwOBA .252 → .213 (−39)K% 20.5% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.51% | ÷0.971 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.080 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.43% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 20.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.968 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.921 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 95, 2B 94, 3B 84, K 94, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .252 → .213; ISO .056 → .047; BABIP .286 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Hickory Crawdads · 36 PAwOBA .312 → .236 (−75)K% 25.0% → 33.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.988 | ×1.310 | — | — | 33.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.019 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 9.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 16.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 3.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 4.33% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 103, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .312 → .236; ISO .138 → .120; BABIP .250 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 16 PAwOBA .307 → .248 (−59)K% 25.0% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.25% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 5.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.012 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 9.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.138 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.027 | 9.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.080 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 104, 2B 102, 3B 128, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .307 → .248; ISO .231 → .194; BABIP .222 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).