Brady Cerkownyk

C FCL Nationals

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 190 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ROKDET	82	.219/.305/.315	2	1	17	—	.160/.232/.253
2026	23	AWSH	38	.281/.395/.438	1	0	85	—	.235/.316/.382
2026	23	ROKWSH	82	.333/.443/.561	1	4	89	—	.243/.329/.414
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBWSH	200	.204/.273/.303	3	5	63	0.0
2028PROJ30% MLB	25	MLBWSH	57	.207/.276/.311	1	2	67	0.0
2029PROJ44% MLB	26	MLBWSH	123	.210/.279/.319	2	4	70	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wRC+89

ISO89

wOBA84

Speed83

Whiff%57

Z-Con%45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsDylan Neuse (age 24) · Grae Kessinger (age 24) · Jason Lopez (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 109 proj PA

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .271 / .300

PA109

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO98

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	82	73	16	1	0	2	6	22	3	1	0	219	305	315	620	96	286	27	7	288	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	29	21	4	1	0	0	7	10	0	0	1	190	393	238	631	48	333	34	24	306	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	38	32	9	2	0	1	6	6	0	0	0	281	395	438	832	156	320	16	16	375	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK	FCL Nationals	—	82	66	22	10	1	1	10	19	3	4	1	333	443	561	1.004	227	429	23	12	424	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	82	75	12	1	0	2	4	32	3	1	0	160	232	253	485	93	227	39	5	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	29	24	4	1	0	0	4	13	0	0	1	167	286	208	494	42	283	45	14	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	38	34	8	2	0	1	4	8	0	0	0	235	316	382	698	147	282	21	11	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	—	82	70	17	7	1	1	6	27	3	4	1	243	329	414	743	171	316	33	7	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	82	75	12	1	0	2	4	32	3	1	0	160	232	253	485	93	244	39	5	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	FCL Tigers	—	82	73	16	1	0	2	6	22	3	1	0	219	305	315	620	96	286	27	7	288	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	149	128	28	9	1	2	14	49	3	4	2	219	310	352	662	133	321	33	9	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	149	119	35	13	1	2	23	35	3	4	2	294	421	471	891	176	384	23	15	389	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	82	75	12	1	0	2	4	32	3	1	0	160	232	253	485	93	227	39	5	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	149	131	28	9	1	2	14	49	3	4	2	214	310	344	654	130	301	33	9	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	ROK MLE	FCL Tigers	—	82	75	12	1	0	2	4	32	3	1	0	160	232	253	485	93	227	39	5	194	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	149	131	28	9	1	2	14	49	3	4	2	214	310	344	654	130	301	33	9	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	0%	200	181	37	7	1	3	15	61	2	5	2	204	273	303	575	98	289	30	8	262	63	-9	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	30%	188	170	35	7	1	3	14	57	2	6	2	208	276	313	589	105	290	30	7	267	67	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	44%	278	252	53	10	2	5	21	83	3	9	3	210	279	321	600	111	290	30	8	272	70	-10	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	WSH	49%	327	295	63	12	2	6	25	97	4	11	4	211	280	323	603	112	289	30	8	273	71	-11	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	WSH	51%	359	325	68	13	2	6	27	106	4	12	4	211	280	322	603	112	288	30	8	273	71	-13	+1	-1	+6	+8	0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	WSH	51%	371	336	70	14	2	6	28	109	4	12	4	210	279	320	600	110	287	29	8	271	70	-13	+1	-1	+7	+8	0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	WSH	51%	378	342	71	14	2	6	29	112	4	12	5	207	276	313	588	106	285	30	8	267	67	-15	+0	-2	+7	+8	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	30%	57	52	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	2	1	207	276	311	587	104	289	30	7	266	67	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	44%	123	112	24	5	1	2	9	37	1	4	1	210	279	319	598	110	289	30	7	271	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	WSH	49%	160	145	31	6	1	3	12	47	2	5	2	210	280	321	601	111	288	29	8	272	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	WSH	51%	185	167	35	7	1	3	14	55	2	6	2	210	280	321	600	110	288	30	8	272	71	-6	+0	-0	+3	+4	0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	WSH	51%	191	172	36	7	1	3	15	56	2	6	2	210	279	319	598	109	286	29	8	271	70	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	WSH	51%	195	176	36	7	1	3	15	58	2	6	2	207	275	311	586	105	284	30	8	266	67	-8	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	911	824	172	34	5	15	69	270	10	29	10	209	278	317	595	108	289	30	8	270	68	-33	+2	-2	+16	+20	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	123	24	4	11	49	193	7	21	7	209	278	320	598	111	289	30	8	270	68	-24	+1	-2	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2241	2022	420	84	13	37	170	678	28	70	25	208	278	317	595	109	290	30	8	268	68	-74	+4	-4	+36	+44	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	122	24	4	11	49	197	8	20	7	208	278	319	597	111	291	30	8	268	68	-24	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Lew Ritter'02-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,580 PA	2.4	1,580	1	55	218*	275*	335*	+26	-1	2.8	2.8
/162	664	0	23	+10.8	-0.4	1.2	pk7: 3
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	1.5	1,019	17	32	210	276	319	+18	+16	1.0	1.0
/162	664	11	21	+11.9	+10.4	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brady Cerkownyk (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	202/271/300	98	289	1	3	31%	7%	63	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	178/253/255	77	262	8	14	33%	8%	47	-2.6	205/278/293	88	286	6	12	28%	9%	64	-1.3	205/285/293	88	279	5	13	26%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→30	42→45	48→50	41	192/253/286	94	259	11	15	30%	6%	53	-2.1	198/271/310	112	262	13	14	28%	8%	66	-1.1	186/264/278	92	250	9	8	27%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	194/257/295	101	291	10	12	35%	8%	56	-1.9	208/270/316	108	304	10	9	33%	8%	66	-1.1	167/227/257	90	235	8	0	31%	7%	34	-0.6
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/262/303	106	282	9	12	32%	6%	60	-1.6	182/252/273	91	277	7	13	35%	6%	50	-2.3	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A	24	43→36	42→50	50	38	209/268/316	107	294	9	13	31%	5%	65	-1.2	211/280/359	148	299	17	9	34%	7%	80	-0.1	199/274/363	164	277	21	7	34%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Maverick Handley 2022 · A	24	39	41→40	53→50	40	186/267/286	100	308	9	16	39%	8%	59	-1.6	201/292/301	100	281	10	12	30%	9%	72	-0.7	195/293/283	88	266	8	10	27%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Ben Gobbel 2024 · A	24	44→41	41→45	52→50	42	208/277/307	100	306	8	14	33%	7%	67	-1.1	216/267/338	122	283	14	12	28%	5%	70	-0.8	216/266/339	123	276	15	11	27%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Ben Cowles 2024 · A	24	41→40	43→45	52→50	39	198/267/307	109	311	11	16	37%	7%	63	-1.4	210/271/322	112	295	9	16	30%	6%	68	-1.0	206/265/314	109	283	9	17	29%	6%	61	-1.1
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	35	42→50	52→40	39	182/228/283	101	243	10	7	29%	5%	42	-2.9	209/254/329	120	292	12	5	31%	5%	63	-1.4	190/235/299	108	268	11	1	32%	5%	47	-0.8
✕Jacob Wetzel 2024 · A	24	38→34	41→45	50	44	185/262/277	92	271	8	12	33%	8%	55	-2.0	199/275/320	121	288	9	14	31%	9%	69	-0.9	196/279/346	150	275	11	17	30%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Tony Bullard 2024 · A	24	40	44→40	52→50	43	202/263/315	113	267	12	12	29%	7%	63	-1.3	214/271/319	105	285	9	12	27%	6%	68	-1.0	210/267/311	102	278	9	13	27%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→30	45	50	37	195/253/316	121	280	13	12	34%	6%	60	-1.6	211/268/301	90	312	8	17	33%	6%	61	-1.5	216/273/285	69	324	7	24	33%	6%	57	-1.2
✕Brady Policelli 2019 · A	24	41→38	42→45	51→50	41	202/255/309	107	269	9	14	28%	6%	59	-1.7	195/256/310	115	270	10	14	30%	7%	59	-1.6	176/242/291	115	244	11	15	31%	7%	47	-1.7
✕Gunnar Heidt 2017 · A	24	39→41	41→45	48→50	39	193/250/295	101	280	8	15	32%	6%	53	-2.1	197/251/297	100	295	9	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	194/248/291	96	283	9	9	33%	6%	49	-1.7
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	37	42→40	49→50	48	187/274/289	103	259	10	13	30%	10%	63	-1.4	200/295/298	98	281	9	11	29%	10%	72	-0.7	182/296/265	82	256	7	11	28%	12%	63	-0.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2019 · A	24	39→36	39→50	46→50	41	191/253/277	87	252	5	11	26%	5%	51	-2.3	186/241/309	123	254	15	9	32%	5%	54	-2.0	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕E.J. Exposito 2024 · A	23	37→33	41→50	50→55	43	177/262/268	90	293	9	14	39%	9%	53	-2.1	189/246/321	132	265	16	17	34%	6%	59	-1.7	184/237/328	144	240	19	19	32%	6%	55	-1.5
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	40	44→45	53→60	44	195/276/310	114	290	11	16	34%	9%	68	-1.0	200/282/313	113	289	12	26	32%	9%	71	-0.8	182/274/287	105	255	13	39	32%	9%	61	-0.5
✕Sammy Infante 2024 · A	23	37→26	42→45	50→55	37	183/252/282	99	292	10	15	39%	7%	52	-2.2	200/263/295	95	313	8	15	36%	7%	59	-1.7	164/228/246	82	264	6	18	38%	6%	32	-0.9
✕Shawn Goosenberg 2024 · A	24	40→38	42→45	56→55	41	196/265/296	100	285	10	23	33%	7%	60	-1.6	197/250/309	112	295	11	18	35%	6%	57	-1.8	184/234/312	127	273	14	18	37%	5%	49	-1.7

Brady Cerkownyk

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps