Jake Casey

OF Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 L/R 6'2" / 190 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP48ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ATOR	82	.281/.439/.531	3	4	101	—	.224/.366/.403
2026	23	A+TOR	252	.244/.378/.502	12	10	88	—	.192/.305/.379
2026	23	INTLMesa Solar Sox	40	.094/.275/.219	1	6	56	—
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBTOR	1	.216/.301/.378	0	0	91	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	25	MLBTOR	100	.218/.302/.381	3	2	93	0.1
2029PROJ55% MLB	26	MLBTOR	184	.219/.303/.382	6	3	93	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Ext$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

ISO91

Speed85

wRC+82

wOBA77

BB%57

Chase%41

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 92%

CompsAustin Wells (age 24) · Jace Jung (age 23) · Parker Meadows (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†91

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .301 / .378

PA1

HR0

K%31

BB%8

BABIP286

ISO161

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 51

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER51

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	82	64	18	3	2	3	10	19	8	4	1	281	439	531	970	250	357	23	12	430	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	252	205	50	11	3	12	31	70	13	10	2	244	378	502	880	259	302	28	12	384	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	18	15	4	1	1	0	3	7	0	0	0	267	389	467	856	200	500	39	17	378	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	40	32	3	1	0	1	3	16	5	6	1	94	275	219	494	125	133	40	8	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	82	67	15	2	2	2	7	27	8	4	1	224	366	403	769	179	314	33	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	252	214	41	9	2	9	22	94	13	10	2	192	305	379	684	187	271	37	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	18	16	3	1	1	0	2	10	0	0	0	188	278	375	653	188	443	56	11	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	82	67	15	2	2	2	7	27	8	4	1	224	366	403	769	179	342	33	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	82	64	18	3	2	3	10	19	8	4	1	281	439	531	970	250	357	23	12	430	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	310	261	52	11	4	11	28	119	18	16	3	199	319	398	718	199	306	38	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	310	252	57	13	4	13	37	93	18	16	3	226	365	464	829	238	295	30	12	367	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	82	67	15	2	2	2	7	27	8	4	1	224	366	403	769	179	314	33	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	310	261	52	11	4	11	28	119	18	16	3	199	319	398	718	199	282	38	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	82	67	15	2	2	2	7	27	8	4	1	224	366	403	769	179	314	33	9	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	310	261	52	11	4	11	28	119	18	16	3	199	319	398	718	199	282	38	9	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	320	282	61	11	2	10	27	98	8	6	2	215	300	377	677	162	285	31	8	303	91	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	TOR	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	216	301	378	679	162	286	0	0	304	91	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	TOR	38%	263	233	51	9	2	9	22	79	6	5	1	217	302	380	681	163	285	30	8	305	93	-2	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	TOR	55%	332	294	65	12	2	11	28	99	7	6	2	218	302	381	683	163	285	30	8	306	93	-3	+0	+0	-2	+7	0.3
2030	27	MLB MLE	TOR	61%	367	325	71	13	2	12	31	108	8	7	2	218	302	380	682	161	285	29	8	305	93	-3	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.4
2031	28	MLB MLE	TOR	65%	388	344	75	14	2	12	33	114	8	6	2	218	301	376	677	158	284	29	9	303	91	-4	+0	-0	-2	+8	0.2
2032	29	MLB MLE	TOR	64%	393	349	76	14	2	12	33	115	8	4	1	217	299	372	671	155	283	29	8	301	90	-5	+0	-1	-2	+9	0.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	TOR	64%	395	351	76	14	2	12	33	117	8	3	1	214	295	364	659	150	281	30	8	296	86	-6	+0	-2	-2	+9	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	TOR	38%	100	90	19	3	1	3	8	30	2	2	0	218	302	381	683	163	286	30	8	306	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	TOR	55%	184	162	35	6	1	6	16	55	4	3	1	219	303	382	685	163	286	30	9	306	93	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2030	27	MLB CTX	TOR	61%	225	199	43	8	1	7	19	66	5	4	1	219	303	381	684	162	286	29	8	306	93	-2	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.2
2031	28	MLB CTX	TOR	65%	250	222	48	9	1	8	21	73	5	4	1	219	302	378	679	159	285	29	8	304	91	-3	+0	-0	-2	+5	0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	TOR	64%	253	225	49	9	1	8	21	74	5	3	1	218	300	373	673	155	284	29	8	301	90	-3	+0	-1	-2	+5	0.0
2033	30	MLB CTX	TOR	64%	254	226	48	9	1	7	21	75	5	2	1	214	296	365	661	150	282	30	8	297	86	-4	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1266	1124	242	44	6	39	106	373	26	18	5	215	298	369	667	154	283	29	8	303	91	-14	+2	-1	-8	+27	0.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	125	23	3	20	54	192	13	9	3	217	298	371	669	154	285	30	8	303	91	-7	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2748	2417	523	97	19	88	233	845	76	55	14	216	305	381	687	165	290	31	8	302	91	-26	+3	-1	-14	+51	1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	123	23	4	21	55	200	18	13	3	215	304	379	684	164	287	31	8	302	91	-7	+1	-0	-4	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jimmy Walsh'12-'17 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,100 PA	3.2	2,100	6	92	232*	326*	393*	-12	+5	5.0	5.0
/162	664	2	29	-3.9	+1.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
#4Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.9	1,268	39	18	218	298	376	-8	+2	1.4	1.4
/162	664	21	9	-4.0	+1.1	0.8	pk7: 1
#5Carl Warwick'61-'66 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,616 PA	2.4	1,616	31	13	245*	309*	381*	-9	-1	1.4	1.4
/162	664	13	5	-3.6	-0.6	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Casey (OGILVIE)	24	45	55→51	40→55	51	213/298/374	161	285	7	4	31%	8%	91	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Wells 2023 · AA	24	43→44	52→55	57→50	48	221/305/386	165	294	19	14	30%	10%	96	+1.0	218/292/386	168	268	20	8	26%	9%	91	+0.7	211/285/386	175	250	21	5	25%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Jace Jung 2024 · AA	23	43→44	52→50	48→40	48	220/300/383	163	290	20	5	30%	9%	93	+0.8	216/304/368	152	282	17	4	28%	11%	91	+0.7	205/299/350	146	260	16	3	27%	11%	84	+0.1
✕Parker Meadows 2023 · AA	23	42→48	48→55	52→55	44	215/274/360	145	274	16	12	28%	7%	78	-0.3	228/295/388	160	293	16	20	27%	8%	92	+0.7	227/300/392	165	291	17	22	27%	9%	94	+0.7
✕Jon Gaston 2011 · AA	24	41→42	52→55	53→50	42	216/276/389	172	281	19	10	30%	7%	85	+0.2	207/252/327	120	282	11	13	30%	5%	61	-1.5	193/225/294	101	262	7	14	28%	3%	40	-2.2
✕Corey Brown 2010 · AA	24	43→49	52→55	52→50	39	218/277/387	169	313	19	9	36%	7%	86	+0.3	227/286/384	157	319	17	12	33%	7%	88	+0.4	228/289/394	166	315	19	14	32%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Cade Marlowe 2022 · A	25	40→50	54→55	54→60	41	211/274/399	188	301	21	15	36%	8%	87	+0.4	225/293/377	152	325	17	31	34%	8%	88	+0.5	220/292/359	140	319	15	40	34%	8%	83	+0.0
✕John Raglani 2006 · A	23	48	50	50→45	47	239/313/398	158	317	18	7	29%	9%	101	+1.4	220/294/365	145	296	15	7	29%	9%	86	+0.3	208/286/354	146	276	15	7	29%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Jordan Beck 2024 · AA	23	43→49	51→50	50	46	220/290/383	163	296	19	13	31%	9%	89	+0.5	226/286/364	138	314	14	16	31%	8%	83	+0.1	224/283/356	132	309	13	18	30%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Justin Nelson 2006 · A	23	43→41	52→55	47→45	45	225/290/398	173	287	19	10	28%	8%	93	+0.8	212/282/387	175	300	20	6	34%	8%	87	+0.4	202/277/382	179	287	21	3	36%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Tim Wheeler 2012 · AA	24	48→56	51→50	49→50	42	242/300/401	160	305	19	14	27%	6%	97	+1.1	233/286/343	110	312	10	12	27%	6%	78	-0.3	219/273/306	88	301	6	11	28%	5%	62	-1.1
✕J.D. Mundy 2022 · A	24	47	51→55	47→30	44	234/301/398	164	317	19	4	31%	8%	97	+1.1	210/274/337	127	319	13	5	36%	7%	72	-0.7	174/240/284	110	276	12	0	39%	7%	47	-1.1
✕Dustin Harris 2023 · AA	24	46→56	53→50	54→60	47	241/304/414	173	279	22	19	23%	7%	102	+1.5	232/304/361	129	298	13	29	25%	8%	89	+0.5	253/317/371	118	309	11	34	21%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Tyler Horan 2015 · A	24	43→42	54→55	48→45	40	226/276/406	181	293	22	10	31%	6%	90	+0.6	209/264/355	146	286	17	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6	196/254/334	139	265	17	5	32%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Christin Stewart 2018 · AA	24	40→48	51→55	48→45	44	208/283/373	164	278	19	4	32%	8%	84	+0.2	231/303/398	167	289	20	2	26%	8%	98	+1.2	227/301/404	177	282	22	1	27%	8%	98	+1.0
✕Drew Gilbert 2024 · AA	23	49→50	49→50	49→45	47	248/313/399	151	299	17	12	23%	8%	101	+1.4	225/300/374	149	266	16	8	22%	8%	91	+0.7	217/301/368	151	248	17	6	20%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Daniel Palka 2016 · A	24	40→43	53→55	49→50	39	210/265/384	174	293	22	11	36%	7%	80	-0.1	217/266/391	174	303	23	7	35%	6%	82	+0.0	207/274/387	180	261	25	4	31%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Josiah Sightler 2024 · A	24	48	51→55	49→40	41	244/298/398	154	313	21	6	29%	6%	96	+1.0	189/248/316	127	353	16	6	48%	6%	58	-1.7	119/183/233	114	249	17	4	57%	6%	14	-2.6
✕Brandon Boggs 2008 · AA	25	41→48	51→55	51→50	49	214/290/379	166	275	18	13	29%	10%	88	+0.5	219/303/358	139	306	13	9	30%	10%	88	+0.5	215/306/342	127	303	11	7	30%	11%	85	+0.1
✕Mike Antico 2022 · A	24	43	49→45	55→60	41	219/272/369	150	281	16	13	28%	6%	79	-0.2	209/274/329	120	280	12	36	28%	7%	71	-0.8	215/279/331	115	289	12	35	28%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Alex Glenn 2015 · A	24	42	50→55	56→50	41	217/270/374	156	282	17	14	29%	6%	79	-0.2	208/251/340	132	275	12	8	28%	5%	64	-1.3	191/232/313	122	256	10	4	29%	4%	48	-1.2

Jake Casey

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps