Anthony Martinez

1B Hill City Howlers

Age 23 L/R 6'3" / 230 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#650ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	21	ALynchburg Hil…	30	.214/.267/.321	1	0	19	—	.172/.200/.276
2026	22	A+/ACLE	363	.287/.402/.521	16	0	101	—	.230/.321/.402
2027PROJMLE	23	MLBCLE	451	.245/.323/.426	17	7	110	0.5
2028PROJ38% MLB	24	MLBCLE	103	.247/.325/.428	4	2	112	0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	25	MLBCLE	184	.247/.325/.429	7	3	112	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%92

ISO88

Whiff%88

wOBA87

K%86

wRC+84

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.4 / P90 6.9, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 85%

CompsChris Garcia (age 24) · Kole Calhoun (age 24) · Gavin Lux (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†110

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .321 / .422

PA210

HR8

K%24

BB%9

ISO181

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 58 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT58

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	21	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	30	28	6	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	214	267	321	588	107	227	17	7	267	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+	Lake County Captains	—	181	155	45	14	0	8	18	31	6	0	0	290	385	535	921	245	314	17	10	400	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A	Hill City Howlers	—	182	148	42	7	1	8	31	26	3	0	1	284	418	507	924	223	298	14	17	410	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	30	29	5	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	172	200	276	476	103	195	23	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A+ MLE	Lake County Captains	—	181	160	37	11	0	6	13	39	6	0	0	231	313	412	725	181	262	22	7	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Hill City Howlers	—	182	158	36	6	1	6	21	35	3	0	1	228	330	392	722	165	252	19	12	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	30	29	5	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	172	200	276	476	103	190	23	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	30	28	6	0	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	214	267	321	588	107	227	17	7	267	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	363	318	73	16	1	13	34	75	9	0	1	230	321	409	730	179	259	21	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	363	303	87	21	1	16	49	57	9	0	1	287	402	521	923	234	306	16	13	405	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	30	29	5	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	172	200	276	476	103	195	23	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	363	317	73	16	1	13	34	75	9	0	1	230	321	410	731	180	257	21	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	21	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	30	29	5	0	0	1	1	7	0	0	0	172	200	276	476	103	195	23	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	363	317	73	16	1	13	34	75	9	0	1	230	321	410	731	180	257	21	9	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	CLE	0%	451	402	98	18	2	17	40	110	6	7	2	245	323	426	749	181	293	24	9	331	110	+6	+1	+0	-8	+10	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CLE	38%	274	244	59	11	1	10	24	66	4	4	1	246	325	429	754	183	294	24	9	333	112	+4	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.5
2029	25	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	333	295	73	14	2	12	30	80	5	5	2	247	325	430	756	184	294	24	9	334	112	+5	+0	+0	-6	+7	0.6
2030	26	MLB MLE	CLE	64%	368	327	81	15	2	14	33	88	5	6	2	247	325	430	755	183	293	24	9	334	112	+5	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.7
2031	27	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	381	339	83	15	2	14	34	91	5	6	2	246	324	426	750	180	292	24	9	332	111	+5	+0	+0	-7	+8	0.7
2032	28	MLB MLE	CLE	67%	385	343	84	16	2	14	34	93	5	6	2	244	321	420	741	176	291	24	9	328	108	+4	+0	-1	-7	+8	0.5
2033	29	MLB MLE	CLE	66%	379	337	81	15	2	13	34	92	5	5	2	241	318	413	731	172	289	24	9	324	106	+3	+0	-1	-7	+8	0.3
2034	30	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	369	329	78	14	1	13	32	91	5	5	2	237	314	404	718	167	287	25	9	319	102	+1	+0	-2	-7	+8	0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	CLE	38%	103	92	22	4	0	4	9	25	1	2	0	247	325	428	753	181	294	24	9	333	112	+1	+0	+0	-2	+2	0.2
2029	25	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	184	163	41	8	1	7	16	44	3	3	1	247	325	429	755	182	294	24	9	334	112	+3	+0	+0	-3	+4	0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	CLE	64%	234	208	52	10	1	9	21	56	3	4	1	247	325	429	754	182	294	24	9	334	112	+3	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	250	223	54	10	1	9	22	60	3	4	1	246	324	425	749	179	293	24	9	331	111	+3	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	CLE	67%	257	229	56	11	1	9	23	62	3	4	1	244	321	419	740	175	292	24	9	328	108	+3	+0	-0	-5	+6	0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	CLE	66%	249	222	54	10	1	9	22	61	3	3	1	241	318	412	730	171	290	24	9	324	106	+2	+0	-1	-4	+5	0.2
2034	30	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	240	214	50	9	1	8	21	59	3	3	1	238	314	403	718	166	287	25	9	319	102	+1	+0	-1	-4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1517	1351	329	62	6	55	134	367	19	23	6	244	320	420	741	177	293	24	9	328	107	+16	+2	-3	-27	+33	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	142	27	3	24	57	157	8	10	3	245	321	427	748	181	294	24	9	328	107	+7	+1	-1	-12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3092	2747	662	124	14	112	275	734	46	40	15	241	320	419	739	178	287	24	9	327	107	+29	+2	-4	-48	+58	3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	140	26	3	24	58	154	10	8	3	243	322	423	745	180	289	24	9	327	107	+7	+1	-1	-12	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHill City Howlers · 182 PAwOBA .400 → .318 (−82)K% 14.3% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	19.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.03%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	—	11.75%
HBP% /PA	1.65%	—	×0.780	—	—	1.29%
Singles /BIP	21.31%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	—	18.63%
Doubles /BIP	5.74%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	—	4.52%
Triples /BIP	0.82%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.950	—	0.71%
Home runs /BIP	6.56%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	—	5.25%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .400 → .318; ISO .223 → .180; BABIP .298 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Lake County Captains · 181 PAwOBA .394 → .318 (−76)K% 17.1% → 21.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.13%	÷1.000	×1.270	—	—	21.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.94%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.012	7.15%
HBP% /PA	3.31%	—	×0.790	—	×1.012	2.65%
Singles /BIP	18.55%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.953	×1.012	16.45%
Doubles /BIP	11.29%	÷1.000	×0.810	×0.953	×1.012	8.82%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.850	×0.953	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.45%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.012	5.22%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .394 → .318; ISO .245 → .196; BABIP .314 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALynchburg Hillcats · 30 PAwOBA .259 → .197 (−63)K% 16.7% → 22.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷0.989	×1.360	—	—	22.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.67%	÷0.975	×0.690	—	×1.015	4.79%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.74%	÷1.071	×0.920	—	×1.015	18.95%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.921	×0.830	—	×1.015	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.020	×0.910	—	×1.015	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	4.35%	÷1.184	×0.800	—	×1.015	2.98%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 114, 2B 84, 3B 104, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .259 → .197; ISO .107 → .069; BABIP .227 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Leroy Stanton'70-'78 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,883 PA	4.3	2,883	77	36	245*	314*	430*	-33	-1	6.5	7.8
/162	664	18	8	-7.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 9
#3Lee Thomas'61-'68 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,730 PA	5.6	3,730	106	25	256*	329*	421*	-51	-9	6.1	6.6
/162	664	19	4	-9.1	-1.6	1.1	pk7: 7
#4Mike Young'82-'89 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,116 PA	3.2	2,116	72	22	244*	338*	429*	-30	+2	6.4	6.6
/162	664	23	7	-9.5	+0.5	2.0	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	2.6	1,729	62	26	245	319	423	-31	-8	3.7	3.5
/162	664	24	10	-11.9	-2.9	1.4	pk7: 3
#5Garrett Cooperlast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,846 PA	2.8	1,846	57	1	264	333	429	-31	-18	3.3	3.3
/162	664	21	0	-11.2	-6.5	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Dan Johnson'05-'15 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,625 PA	2.4	1,625	57	1	226*	330*	401*	-30	-3	2.2	2.8
/162	664	23	0	-12.2	-1.2	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Anthony Martinez (OGILVIE)	23	53→58	52→57	42→47	59	243/321/422	179	293	8	3	24%	9%	110	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Garcia 2012 · A	24	50→51	53→55	44→40	48	256/319/427	171	308	21	4	24%	8%	109	+2.0	241/312/373	132	320	14	5	27%	9%	95	+0.9	238/317/356	118	322	12	2	28%	10%	90	+0.5
●Kole Calhoun 2012 · A	24	50→58	51→60	48→50	50	253/321/421	167	308	18	11	24%	9%	109	+2.0	262/324/429	167	315	17	11	21%	8%	112	+2.2	266/328/436	170	312	19	3	20%	8%	116	+2.6
●Gavin Lux 2021 · MLB	23	51→60	53→50	49→50	47	258/317/433	175	318	20	10	25%	8%	110	+2.1	258/327/390	132	325	11	8	22%	9%	103	+1.6	267/342/390	122	340	8	5	22%	10%	110	+1.7
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2014 · MLB	23	51→56	55→60	42→45	42	258/315/448	190	336	22	4	29%	7%	114	+2.3	230/288/414	184	297	24	3	30%	6%	96	+1.0	217/296/406	188	293	24	3	33%	8%	96	+0.5
●Andrew Benintendi 2016 · A	22	50→60	50→55	47→50	48	254/310/407	153	286	18	11	19%	7%	102	+1.5	261/323/415	154	295	14	15	16%	8%	108	+1.9	269/339/434	166	314	16	13	19%	9%	119	+2.7
●Mitch Moreland 2009 · A	23	53→58	49→60	42→40	49	264/318/422	157	301	15	3	18%	7%	108	+1.9	260/315/418	158	299	17	4	18%	7%	106	+1.8	236/314/439	203	266	25	1	22%	10%	112	+1.7
✕AJ Reed 2016 · AA	23	52→56	58→60	48→30	47	267/333/471	204	336	26	2	28%	9%	126	+3.2	229/299/416	187	301	24	2	31%	9%	101	+1.4	207/281/394	187	268	25	0	32%	9%	88	+0.4
✕Jaff Decker 2012 · AA	22	43→52	53→55	47→55	49	220/307/392	172	289	20	10	30%	10%	98	+1.2	218/300/354	136	289	14	9	27%	10%	86	+0.3	231/308/347	116	299	10	13	24%	9%	86	+0.2
●Chris Carter 2007 · AAA	24	51→59	52→55	44→40	52	261/323/427	167	282	20	6	16%	8%	112	+2.2	270/316/429	159	301	19	3	17%	6%	109	+2.0	273/315/431	158	303	19	1	17%	5%	109	+1.8
●Kyle Manzardo 2023 · AA	23	50→43	59→60	44→40	50	262/330/473	212	293	26	4	21%	8%	125	+3.2	229/306/419	190	270	22	3	24%	9%	104	+1.6	223/305/412	189	273	24	2	27%	9%	102	+1.3
●Ike Davis 2010 · AA	23	50→55	51→60	41→40	45	248/309/415	168	332	18	3	30%	8%	103	+1.6	259/333/450	191	317	22	3	24%	10%	120	+2.8	257/336/466	210	300	26	1	23%	11%	126	+2.5
●Vinnie Pasquantino 2022 · AA	24	47→51	55→60	52→40	52	246/315/438	191	263	22	6	17%	8%	111	+2.1	254/325/441	187	265	22	4	14%	9%	116	+2.5	258/321/454	196	268	25	2	15%	8%	118	+2.6
✕Kellen Kulbacki 2009 · A	23	47→46	56→60	38→30	50	248/319/433	185	284	25	4	22%	8%	112	+2.2	218/274/334	116	262	12	6	21%	7%	72	-0.7	189/233/258	68	230	4	5	19%	5%	35	-0.8
✕CJ Kayfus 2024 · A	22	47→51	50	50→45	52	237/321/397	160	291	18	14	24%	10%	104	+1.6	239/317/398	159	333	15	8	30%	9%	103	+1.5	236/317/395	159	333	14	8	31%	9%	100	+0.9
●Gaby Sanchez 2007 · A	23	47→56	54→55	49→45	56	243/328/428	185	255	22	9	16%	10%	114	+2.3	249/318/398	149	285	14	8	17%	8%	103	+1.5	267/340/436	170	290	19	4	15%	9%	120	+2.6
●Matt Adams 2012 · AA	23	48→56	55→65	44→40	42	255/294/438	183	287	25	3	21%	5%	103	+1.6	268/305/463	195	317	25	4	23%	5%	114	+2.3	277/313/472	195	328	24	3	23%	5%	119	+1.9
●Triston Casas 2022 · AAA	22	47→49	51→60	48→40	49	236/311/401	164	296	19	8	26%	9%	101	+1.4	242/332/433	191	299	23	4	26%	12%	116	+2.5	238/335/441	203	292	26	0	27%	12%	120	+1.9
●Travis Shaw 2013 · AA	23	45→52	51→60	49→45	47	229/304/397	169	298	17	9	28%	9%	98	+1.2	227/296/376	149	286	16	6	25%	8%	90	+0.6	246/323/457	211	279	27	7	22%	10%	120	+2.6
●Daniel Vogelbach 2017 · AAA	24	51→53	51→60	43→40	54	254/336/418	164	309	18	3	23%	11%	114	+2.4	247/338/423	176	296	22	3	23%	12%	116	+2.5	235/338/422	187	275	25	1	24%	13%	115	+2.2
●Andrés Chaparro 2023 · AA	24	45→51	54→60	47→40	46	235/305/416	181	288	22	6	27%	8%	103	+1.5	231/294/398	167	282	20	5	25%	7%	95	+0.9	240/313/431	191	283	24	2	24%	8%	107	+1.3

Anthony Martinez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps