Matt Scannell — OGILVIE

Matt ScannellOF Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 L/L 5'11" / 205 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION185 act + 123 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.175 / .270 / .268

PA123

HR2

K%35

BB%10

BABIP264

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	73	69	8	1	0	2	3	41	1	1	2	116	164	217	382	101	231	56	4	169	-13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	73	67	14	2	0	3	5	27	1	1	2	209	274	373	647	164	297	37	7	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	TOR	—	185	155	22	6	0	3	25	80	4	6	5	142	277	239	516	97	260	43	14	243	44	-12	-1	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
YTD	24	A+	TOR	—	185	141	27	8	0	4	39	57	4	6	5	191	380	333	714	142	284	31	21	337	116	+3	-1	+0	-1	+5	0.7
ROS	24	A+	TOR	0%	123	108	19	4	0	2	12	43	2	3	2	175	270	268	537	92	283	35	10	266	61	-5	-0	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
ROS	24	MLB	TOR	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						284	0	0	256	54	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	TOR	—	186	156	22	6	0	3	25	80	4	6	5	141	276	237	513	96	257	43	13	243	44	-12	-1	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
TOT	24	A+	TOR	—	308	263	41	10	0	5	37	123	6	9	7	156	274	251	525	95	262	40	12	252	51	-17	-1	+0	-2	+9	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TOR	30%	249	220	43	9	1	5	24	84	3	5	2	195	283	314	597	118	284	34	10	274	68	-9	+0	+0	-1	+7	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	TOR	44%	323	285	57	12	1	7	31	106	4	6	3	200	287	323	610	123	284	33	10	279	72	-10	+0	+0	-2	+9	-0.3
2027	25	MLB	TOR	30%	75	67	13	3	0	2	7	25	1	1	1	194	280	328	608	134	285	33	9	265	61	-3	-0	+0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	TOR	44%	143	126	25	5	1	3	14	47	2	3	1	198	289	325	614	127	286	33	10	271	65	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	219	194	38	8	1	5	21	72	3	4	2	196	284	325	609	129	280	33	10	269	64	-9	+0	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	113	24	3	15	62	214	9	12	6	196	284	326	611	130	280	33	10	269	64	-27	+0	+0	-4	+18	-1.2
Career	—			—	768	682	127	26	2	16	70	274	10	15	9	186	272	300	572	114	280	36	9	265	61	-34	-1	+0	-5	+22	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	108	22	2	14	59	232	8	13	8	187	271	305	576	118	281	36	9	265	61	-29	-1	+0	-4	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	43	41	7	0	0	1	2	16	0	0	1	171	209	244	453	73	250	37	5	207	17	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	30	26	7	2	0	2	3	11	1	1	1	269	367	577	944	308	385	37	10	409	171	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	219	5	4	200	284	325	-1	+0	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	15	12	200	284	325	-4.0	+0.0	-0.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Scannell (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	156/274/251	95	262	5	9	40%	12%	51	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Caleb Roberts 2023 · AA	23	41→42	43→45	50	43	199/278/313	114	297	11	12	34%	8%	65	-0.7	202/279/326	124	295	11	11	33%	8%	69	-0.4	187/272/303	117	258	12	11	30%	8%	58	-0.7
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Mark Contreras 2019 · A	24	40→37	42→50	47→55	38	194/256/300	106	290	9	11	35%	6%	52	-1.6	186/249/308	122	277	12	13	36%	6%	52	-1.6	197/258/338	141	284	18	24	36%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Robert Neustrom 2021 · A	24	44→45	43→50	49→50	41	217/263/330	113	284	11	7	27%	6%	62	-0.9	221/274/361	140	273	15	12	24%	6%	76	+0.0	217/271/362	145	261	16	14	23%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Cornelius Randolph 2021 · AA	24	43→48	41→45	46→45	42	209/269/304	95	294	8	9	30%	7%	58	-1.2	206/266/322	116	338	12	12	39%	7%	62	-0.9	194/257/314	120	296	15	15	37%	8%	53	-0.5
✕Carter Williams 2022 · A	24	42	45	49→45	35	213/243/339	126	285	12	9	30%	4%	56	-1.3	228/273/355	127	301	14	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1	227/276/351	124	295	15	9	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Kevin Rivers 2013 · A	24	41	45	45	43	201/274/325	124	288	12	6	33%	8%	66	-0.6	206/267/326	120	294	10	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	200/259/322	122	282	9	4	31%	7%	56	-1.0
✕Jake Ring 2019 · A	24	41→45	44→45	49→50	41	201/262/317	115	289	11	10	33%	7%	59	-1.1	192/253/298	106	300	10	7	37%	7%	50	-1.8	143/202/246	103	234	12	2	43%	6%	12	-1.4
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	44	45	53→50	46	214/287/339	125	300	12	9	31%	9%	76	+0.0	205/272/318	113	301	11	13	33%	8%	63	-0.8	180/251/281	101	265	11	16	34%	8%	43	-1.4
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Dillon Paulson 2021 · A	24	41→37	47→50	48→30	48	203/285/346	142	287	14	4	33%	10%	76	+0.1	221/289/340	119	298	12	5	28%	9%	76	+0.0	218/282/326	107	289	9	0	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Conner Capel 2021 · AAA	24	43→46	43→50	47→55	41	215/263/327	112	286	11	11	29%	6%	61	-1.0	217/279/345	128	273	14	15	25%	8%	73	-0.1	213/283/334	121	267	13	19	25%	8%	68	-0.4
✕Preston Beck 2015 · A	24	42→44	42→45	48→45	49	207/286/315	108	269	9	8	26%	9%	69	-0.4	212/271/319	107	265	9	7	22%	7%	63	-0.9	214/263/314	100	274	9	3	24%	5%	55	-0.9
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→36	40→45	48→45	45	201/279/294	93	296	8	12	32%	9%	60	-1.0	209/277/348	139	270	16	8	28%	8%	73	-0.1	196/269/342	145	244	18	6	27%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Orlando Martinez 2022 · AA	24	42→45	46→50	44→50	37	213/256/341	128	292	14	7	32%	5%	62	-0.9	221/268/342	121	290	11	8	27%	6%	67	-0.5	231/297/326	95	291	7	9	21%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Brian Pointer 2015 · A	23	41→43	44→45	49→50	42	201/278/321	120	303	12	13	36%	8%	67	-0.5	221/291/358	137	320	14	11	33%	8%	82	+0.5	221/292/378	157	308	17	10	32%	9%	82	+0.3
✕LJ Talley 2021 · A	24	38→48	43→45	50	41	193/248/299	105	257	11	6	29%	6%	48	-1.9	219/279/338	119	279	13	9	25%	7%	71	-0.3	216/280/332	116	270	13	10	24%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Daniel Cabrera 2023 · AA	24	40	45	51→45	41	205/253/327	122	266	12	7	28%	6%	56	-1.3	215/278/315	100	279	8	8	24%	8%	64	-0.8	217/300/282	65	283	2	8	22%	10%	64	-0.3
✕Mike Papi 2017 · AA	24	38→47	44→45	44→45	47	192/275/315	123	272	12	5	32%	10%	64	-0.8	219/294/333	114	295	11	5	28%	9%	76	+0.1	221/296/324	103	291	10	4	26%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Jose Brizuela 2017 · A	24	41→40	46→50	43→45	42	208/270/340	132	285	14	5	32%	7%	68	-0.5	211/263/322	111	297	11	5	31%	6%	59	-1.1	162/194/241	79	211	11	0	29%	4%	7	-1.0