Matt Scannell
OF Vancouver Canadians| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23 | A+/ATOR | 73 | .209/.274/.373 | 3 | 1 | 8 | — | .131/.178/.234 |
| 2026 | 24 | AA/A+/A2 orgs | 300 | .186/.352/.300 | 4 | 12 | 39 | — | .140/.265/.215 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBTOR | 1 | .180/.283/.266 | 0 | 0 | 60 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBTOR | 64 | .184/.286/.277 | 1 | 1 | 63 | -0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 43 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 171 | 209 | 244 | 453 | 73 | 250 | 37 | 5 | 207 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 30 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 269 | 367 | 577 | 944 | 308 | 385 | 37 | 10 | 409 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Columbus Clingstones | — | 33 | 28 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 312 | 286 | 598 | 71 | 353 | 36 | 12 | 272 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 161 | 124 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 54 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 161 | 350 | 258 | 608 | 97 | 261 | 34 | 21 | 298 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 106 | 85 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 35 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 212 | 368 | 365 | 733 | 153 | 333 | 33 | 18 | 339 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 43 | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 119 | 140 | 190 | 330 | 71 | 219 | 53 | 2 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 30 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 148 | 233 | 296 | 530 | 148 | 308 | 50 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Columbus Clingstones | — | 33 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 250 | 267 | 517 | 67 | 323 | 45 | 6 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 161 | 134 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 73 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 119 | 263 | 179 | 442 | 60 | 235 | 45 | 15 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 106 | 91 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 48 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 154 | 274 | 253 | 526 | 99 | 283 | 45 | 12 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 73 | 69 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 130 | 178 | 232 | 410 | 101 | 241 | 52 | 4 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 73 | 67 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 209 | 274 | 373 | 647 | 164 | 297 | 37 | 7 | 290 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 300 | 256 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 135 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 141 | 262 | 223 | 484 | 82 | 275 | 45 | 13 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 300 | 237 | 44 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 57 | 101 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 186 | 352 | 300 | 652 | 114 | 299 | 34 | 19 | 310 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 73 | 69 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 130 | 178 | 232 | 410 | 101 | 256 | 52 | 4 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 300 | 255 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 135 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 141 | 262 | 224 | 485 | 82 | 262 | 45 | 13 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 73 | 69 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 130 | 178 | 232 | 410 | 101 | 256 | 52 | 4 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 300 | 255 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 135 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 141 | 262 | 224 | 485 | 82 | 262 | 45 | 13 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | TOR | 0% | 350 | 304 | 55 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 110 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 179 | 282 | 265 | 547 | 85 | 262 | 31 | 11 | 256 | 60 | -17 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | TOR | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 283 | 266 | 549 | 86 | 263 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 60 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | TOR | 30% | 212 | 184 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 65 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 184 | 285 | 276 | 561 | 92 | 264 | 31 | 11 | 261 | 63 | -9 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | TOR | 30% | 64 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 184 | 286 | 277 | 562 | 93 | 265 | 31 | 11 | 262 | 63 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 64 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 281 | 268 | 549 | 89 | 257 | 31 | 11 | 262 | 47 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 569 | 101 | 20 | 0 | 10 | 71 | 203 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 178 | 280 | 265 | 545 | 88 | 256 | 31 | 11 | 262 | 47 | -29 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 763 | 663 | 107 | 24 | 3 | 10 | 85 | 294 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 161 | 266 | 252 | 517 | 90 | 267 | 39 | 11 | 238 | 47 | -18 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | -1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 565 | 92 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 72 | 250 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 163 | 267 | 257 | 523 | 94 | 269 | 38 | 11 | 238 | 47 | -30 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Vancouver Canadians · 161 PAwOBA .293 → .218 (−75)K% 33.5% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.54% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 45.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 14.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.98% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 16.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 7.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 2.32% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .293 → .218; ISO .097 → .072; BABIP .261 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAugusta GreenJackets · 106 PAwOBA .332 → .237 (−95)K% 33.0% → 44.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.02% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 44.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 12.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.970 | 17.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×0.970 | 7.99% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×0.970 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 3.10% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .332 → .237; ISO .153 → .108; BABIP .333 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAColumbus Clingstones · 33 PAwOBA .261 → .226 (−35)K% 36.4% → 44.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.36% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 44.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 22.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 11.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .226; ISO .071 → .066; BABIP .353 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Vancouver Canadians · 43 PAwOBA .201 → .138 (−63)K% 37.2% → 52.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.21% | ÷0.958 | ×1.350 | — | — | 52.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.65% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 3.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.022 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 21.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.855 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 3.84% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 104, 2B 80, 3B 88, K 92, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .201 → .138; ISO .073 → .054; BABIP .250 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ADunedin Blue Jays · 30 PAwOBA .398 → .241 (−157)K% 36.7% → 51.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.67% | ÷0.968 | ×1.360 | — | — | 51.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 6.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.33% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 17.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 10.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.284 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 8.14% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 94, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .398 → .241; ISO .308 → .158; BABIP .385 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).