Matt Scannell — OGILVIE

Matt ScannellOF Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 L/L 5'11" / 205 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION300 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP270

ISO97

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	43	41	7	0	0	1	2	16	0	0	1	171	209	244	453	73	250	37	5	207	26	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	30	26	7	2	0	2	3	11	1	1	1	269	367	577	944	308	385	37	10	409	163	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	23	A+ MLE	Vancouver Canadians	—	43	42	5	0	0	1	1	23	0	0	1	119	140	190	330	71	212	53	2	129	-27	-6	-0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2025	23	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	30	27	4	1	0	1	2	16	1	1	1	148	233	296	530	148	336	53	7	251	56	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	73	69	9	1	0	2	3	40	1	1	2	130	178	232	410	101	259	55	4	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	73	67	14	2	0	3	5	27	1	1	2	209	274	373	647	164	297	37	7	290	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	73	69	9	1	0	2	3	40	1	1	2	130	178	232	410	101	263	55	4	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	73	69	9	1	0	2	3	40	1	1	2	130	178	232	410	101	263	55	4	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	TOR	—	300	259	36	10	1	3	35	140	4	12	5	139	252	220	472	81	280	47	12	218	34	-24	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.9
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A RAW	TOR	—	106	85	18	5	1	2	19	35	2	7	0	212	368	365	733	153	333	33	18	339	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ RAW	TOR	—	161	124	20	6	0	2	34	54	2	5	5	161	350	258	608	97	261	34	21	298	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA RAW	TOR	—	33	28	6	2	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	214	312	286	598	71	353	36	12	272	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A+ MLE	TOR	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		268	33	11	246	52	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	24	A+ MLE	TOR	—	309	267	37	10	1	3	36	143	4	12	5	139	251	217	468	79	276	46	12	219	34	-24	+0	+0	-2	+7	-1.9
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	284	250	44	10	1	4	29	99	3	6	2	176	270	272	542	96	269	35	10	254	58	-14	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
2027	25	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	86	76	13	3	0	1	9	30	1	2	1	171	267	250	517	79	270	35	10	247	58	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	86	76	13	3	0	1	9	30	1	2	1	171	267	250	517	79	267	35	10	247	48	-4	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	99	23	0	8	68	227	8	15	8	172	269	254	524	82	268	35	10	247	48	-33	+0	+0	-4	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	366	327	54	11	1	6	33	142	4	7	4	165	250	260	510	95	267	39	9	239	48	-15	+0	+0	-2	+6	-1.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	97	20	2	11	59	252	7	12	7	167	252	265	517	98	269	39	9	239	48	-33	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matt Scannell (OGILVIE)	24	20	35	53	64	169/263/259	90	268	2	5	36%	10%	52	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→30	42→45	51→60	40	198/263/305	106	283	9	12	32%	6%	61	-1.5	183/253/275	92	279	7	13	35%	7%	51	-2.2	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	205/266/301	96	298	7	10	32%	8%	61	-1.5	190/261/305	115	269	10	17	31%	8%	61	-1.5	172/251/288	116	240	10	18	31%	8%	50	-1.2
✕Devin Foyle 2021 · A	24	42→39	40→45	48→45	45	200/277/295	94	297	8	12	33%	9%	64	-1.3	211/279/330	119	274	12	8	26%	8%	73	-0.6	202/274/322	119	256	12	6	25%	8%	67	-0.6
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	40→38	45→40	55→50	46	202/283/328	125	257	12	15	26%	8%	75	-0.5	216/303/308	92	269	8	14	21%	9%	78	-0.3	215/312/285	70	264	6	15	19%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Chris Grayson 2014 · A	24	37→38	41→45	53→50	45	186/251/285	100	242	8	18	26%	7%	52	-2.2	209/274/307	98	295	7	14	29%	7%	65	-1.2	218/285/314	96	322	6	13	32%	7%	70	-0.5
✕Cam Gibson 2018 · A	24	38→41	45	54→55	42	195/252/320	125	262	11	15	30%	7%	60	-1.6	200/264/305	105	277	9	19	29%	7%	61	-1.5	191/261/284	93	266	7	22	29%	7%	53	-1.6
✕Ryan Aguilar 2019 · A	24	36→41	39→45	51→50	41	175/239/258	83	272	6	6	36%	8%	41	-3.0	185/264/279	94	307	9	9	39%	9%	56	-1.9	185/281/292	107	300	12	12	39%	10%	63	-0.9
✕Jacob Pearson 2022 · AA	24	37→39	42→40	48→50	43	189/244/290	101	253	9	11	29%	7%	50	-2.3	192/258/290	98	272	8	17	30%	7%	56	-1.9	174/247/262	88	248	6	22	30%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Donta' Williams 2023 · A	24	44→33	39→40	56→55	48	204/291/294	90	301	5	21	31%	10%	70	-0.9	186/272/268	82	284	5	20	33%	9%	57	-1.8	164/254/234	71	252	5	20	34%	9%	40	-1.3
✕Jacob Wetzel 2023 · A	23	39→34	44→45	49→50	45	195/276/305	110	270	12	10	31%	8%	67	-1.1	191/265/303	112	284	10	13	34%	8%	61	-1.5	178/252/295	117	273	8	16	35%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Blake Tiberi 2019 · A	24	41	38→40	50	47	199/267/280	81	266	6	6	26%	8%	57	-1.8	197/265/278	81	283	5	10	30%	8%	55	-1.9	191/259/258	67	264	3	12	26%	8%	46	-2.2
✕Daniel Cabrera 2023 · AA	24	41→42	43→45	51→45	42	205/253/316	111	265	10	7	27%	6%	59	-1.6	216/281/310	94	276	7	8	23%	8%	68	-1.0	219/307/282	63	277	2	8	19%	11%	71	-0.4
✕Justin Toerner 2021 · AA	24	45→40	43→40	47→50	47	216/301/320	104	307	11	12	31%	9%	79	-0.2	190/282/294	104	284	11	9	34%	9%	67	-1.1	165/268/263	98	246	11	9	34%	10%	53	-1.0
✕Cole Moore 2023 · A	24	43	41→45	49→40	45	208/276/309	100	291	8	6	30%	8%	67	-1.1	205/282/306	101	328	8	5	36%	10%	68	-1.0	180/272/283	103	293	9	3	38%	11%	59	-0.6
✕Seth Gray 2022 · A	24	36	42→40	49→50	39	178/256/274	96	282	10	6	38%	7%	53	-2.1	196/273/302	106	328	12	11	41%	8%	65	-1.2	191/271/295	104	328	13	14	42%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Jameson Fisher 2018 · A	24	42→37	42→45	44→45	43	205/272/311	106	285	8	7	30%	7%	66	-1.1	191/261/285	94	290	8	6	34%	8%	56	-1.9	193/260/292	99	285	9	4	34%	8%	56	-1.4
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Agustin Septimo 2008 · A	24	41→34	40	56→55	42	202/255/293	91	269	8	19	28%	6%	55	-2.0	204/254/291	87	284	7	14	29%	6%	53	-2.1	197/227/259	62	279	3	11	30%	4%	33	-0.8
✕Matt Winaker 2021 · A	25	38→40	41→45	46→45	43	189/269/291	102	256	8	7	28%	7%	61	-1.5	197/290/280	83	270	6	6	27%	9%	67	-1.1	177/283/251	73	242	5	3	26%	9%	56	-0.8
✕J.T. Arruda 2022 · A	24	38→42	38→40	53→55	44	185/253/266	81	273	5	13	32%	8%	48	-2.5	202/277/292	90	295	6	20	31%	9%	63	-1.3	211/276/297	86	290	7	22	28%	8%	61	-0.9