Seaver King

SS Rochester Red Wings

Age 24 R/R 6'0" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #633Pre-ArbFA 2033

Scout OFP47ETA2028FG ETA2027MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AAWSH	357	.233/.290/.313	3	18	59	—	.228/.270/.297
2025	22	A+WSH	194	.263/.309/.380	3	12	49	—	.214/.251/.313
2026	23	AAAWSH	356	.289/.361/.497	16	10	99	—	.254/.313/.404
2026	23	AAWSH	165	.336/.432/.562	5	5	147	—	.312/.389/.500
2027PROJ10% MLB	24	MLBWSH	32	.233/.290/.359	1	1	83	0.1
2028PROJ42% MLB	25	MLBWSH	157	.234/.293/.365	4	4	86	0.3
2029PROJ58% MLB	26	MLBWSH	234	.235/.294/.368	6	6	87	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.0First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$2M2031Arb-2$3M2032Arb-3$4M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV80

Speed76

K%52

Z-Con%45

Whiff%42

BB%25

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 76%

CompsCraig Stansberry (age 24) · Ryan Cordell (age 24) · Corey Toups (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .290 / .359

PA32

HR1

K%25

BB%6

BABIP297

ISO133

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 46 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT46

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE30

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

DEFENSE48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	78	23	1	3	0	9	13	1	10	1	295	375	385	760	90	343	14	10	337	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	357	326	76	13	2	3	23	74	3	18	3	233	290	313	603	80	290	21	6	271	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	194	179	47	6	3	3	9	42	3	12	1	263	309	380	689	117	326	22	5	304	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	79	64	23	5	1	2	11	15	3	6	0	359	474	562	1.037	203	438	19	14	451	192	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	356	318	92	14	2	16	28	81	8	10	2	289	361	497	857	208	342	23	8	377	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	165	137	46	10	3	5	22	31	2	5	6	336	432	562	994	226	394	19	13	426	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	81	23	1	3	0	6	17	1	10	1	284	341	370	711	86	324	19	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	357	333	76	13	2	2	16	91	3	18	3	228	270	297	567	69	301	25	4	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	194	182	39	5	2	3	6	57	3	12	1	214	251	313	564	99	288	29	3	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Rochester Red Wings	—	356	327	83	12	2	11	20	97	8	10	2	254	313	404	716	150	325	27	6	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	Harrisburg Senators	—	165	144	45	9	3	4	16	38	2	5	6	312	389	500	889	188	383	23	10	386	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	81	23	1	3	0	6	17	1	10	1	284	341	370	711	86	348	19	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	78	23	1	3	0	9	13	1	10	1	295	375	385	760	90	343	14	10	337	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	630	587	133	21	5	6	25	169	9	36	4	227	269	310	579	83	305	27	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	630	569	146	24	6	8	43	131	9	36	4	257	319	362	681	105	317	21	7	304	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	521	471	129	21	5	16	36	135	10	15	8	274	338	442	780	168	349	26	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	521	455	138	24	5	21	50	112	10	15	8	303	383	516	899	213	359	21	10	392	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	83	23	1	3	0	6	17	1	10	1	277	341	361	702	84	324	19	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	630	591	133	21	5	6	25	169	9	36	4	225	269	308	577	83	296	27	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	521	470	129	21	5	16	36	135	10	15	8	274	338	443	781	168	343	26	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	90	83	23	1	3	0	6	17	1	10	1	277	341	361	702	84	324	19	7	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	630	591	133	21	5	6	25	169	9	36	4	225	269	308	577	83	296	27	4	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	521	470	129	21	5	16	36	135	10	15	8	274	338	443	781	168	343	26	7	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	WSH	10%	380	349	81	14	3	8	23	98	5	10	3	234	291	362	653	128	298	26	6	291	83	-8	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	WSH	10%	32	30	7	1	0	1	2	8	0	1	0	233	290	359	649	126	297	25	6	290	83	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	WSH	42%	370	339	81	14	3	9	23	95	5	10	3	235	294	368	662	133	298	26	6	295	86	-6	+1	-0	+4	+8	0.7
2029	26	MLB MLE	WSH	58%	407	372	88	15	3	10	26	104	6	11	4	236	295	370	666	135	297	26	6	297	87	-6	+1	-0	+4	+9	0.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	WSH	62%	420	384	91	16	3	10	27	107	6	11	4	235	295	370	665	135	297	25	6	297	87	-7	+1	-0	+4	+9	0.8
2031	28	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	425	388	91	16	3	10	28	108	6	9	3	234	295	367	662	133	296	25	7	296	86	-7	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.7
2032	29	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	420	384	89	15	3	10	28	107	5	7	3	233	293	364	657	131	294	25	7	294	85	-8	+0	-2	+4	+9	0.5
2033	30	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	414	379	87	15	3	9	27	107	5	6	3	230	290	356	646	127	293	26	7	289	82	-9	+0	-2	+4	+9	0.2
2034	31	MLB MLE	WSH	64%	401	367	82	14	2	8	26	105	5	2	2	226	285	347	632	121	290	26	6	283	78	-11	-0	-3	+4	+9	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	WSH	42%	157	144	34	6	1	4	10	40	2	4	1	234	293	365	658	131	297	25	6	294	86	-3	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	26	MLB CTX	WSH	58%	234	214	51	9	1	6	15	60	3	6	2	235	294	368	662	133	296	26	6	295	87	-4	+0	-0	+3	+5	0.4
2030	27	MLB CTX	WSH	62%	262	239	57	10	2	6	17	67	4	7	2	235	295	367	662	133	296	26	6	296	87	-4	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	277	253	60	10	2	7	18	71	4	6	2	234	294	365	659	131	295	26	6	294	86	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	272	249	57	10	1	6	18	70	3	5	2	232	293	361	654	129	294	26	7	292	85	-5	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2033	30	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	267	245	56	10	1	6	17	69	3	4	2	229	289	354	644	125	292	26	6	288	82	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2034	31	MLB CTX	WSH	64%	258	236	52	9	1	5	17	68	3	2	1	225	285	345	630	120	290	26	7	282	78	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1727	1580	367	64	9	40	112	445	22	34	12	232	292	360	652	128	297	26	6	292	84	-32	+2	-5	+19	+37	2.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	138	24	3	15	42	167	8	13	5	232	291	358	649	126	296	26	6	292	84	-12	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4418	4045	963	160	35	95	271	1137	63	126	38	238	296	365	662	127	306	26	6	292	84	-59	+3	-9	+34	+69	3.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	595	142	24	5	14	40	167	9	19	6	239	297	366	663	128	306	26	6	292	84	-12	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yuniesky Betancourtlast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,278 PA	6.4	4,278	80	30	261	285	388	+41	-20	6.1	7.2
/162	664	12	5	+6.4	-3.1	0.9	pk7: 8
#2Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7
#3Angel Berroalast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,794 PA	4.2	2,794	46	50	259	303	375	+27	-6	6.7	7.1
/162	664	11	12	+6.5	-1.4	1.6	pk7: 7
#4Ernie Johnson'12-'25 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,915 PA	4.4	2,915	19	114	245*	298*	380*	+28	-5	5.1	6.5
/162	664	4	26	+6.4	-1.1	1.2	pk7: 8
#5Tom Downey'09-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,468 PA	3.7	2,468	7	87	234*	299*	359*	+17	-2	3.8	3.8
/162	664	2	23	+4.6	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.7	1,760	41	34	234	290	365	+19	-3	3.5	3.5
/162	664	15	13	+7.1	-1.2	1.3	pk7: 3
#6Carlos Sanchez'14-'22 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,503 PA	3.8	2,503	32	30	248*	305*	353*	+8	+0	2.1	2.6
/162	664	8	8	+2.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Seaver King (OGILVIE)	24	30→46	40→46	60→66	30	232/288/359	127	298	7	9	26%	6%	83	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Craig Stansberry 2006 · AA	24	44→47	51→50	57→50	43	227/284/400	173	287	17	15	27%	6%	91	+0.6	221/292/360	139	275	13	13	23%	8%	84	+0.2	215/294/343	127	265	12	11	22%	9%	79	-0.2
✕Ryan Cordell 2016 · AA	24	46→42	48→50	55→50	41	234/280/377	144	297	16	15	27%	5%	84	+0.1	217/263/360	143	281	16	14	28%	5%	74	-0.6	205/250/346	141	263	15	14	28%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA	24	47→50	44→45	56→50	43	228/290/353	125	303	9	17	27%	7%	82	-0.0	210/272/316	106	316	9	15	34%	7%	67	-1.1	193/260/287	93	304	8	16	37%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Tyler Greene 2008 · AA	24	41→50	47→50	56→55	37	207/266/344	136	304	15	19	36%	6%	72	-0.7	224/277/354	130	306	14	20	30%	5%	77	-0.3	236/304/373	137	318	14	28	29%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Bubba Thompson 2022 · AA	24	46→56	47→50	57→65	36	228/268/375	146	317	14	21	32%	5%	78	-0.3	244/286/355	111	343	10	42	30%	5%	80	-0.2	240/283/332	92	342	8	52	31%	4%	71	-0.5
✕Oswald Peraza 2024 · MLB	24	45→54	48→50	55→60	43	230/292/365	135	286	16	26	25%	6%	86	+0.3	213/280/329	116	277	14	23	27%	7%	73	-0.6	205/271/309	103	274	13	24	29%	6%	65	-0.7
●Scott Kingery 2018 · AAA	24	50→52	46→55	56→55	42	245/289/377	132	297	12	20	22%	5%	86	+0.3	237/285/387	150	305	15	15	26%	6%	88	+0.4	229/281/383	154	299	15	14	28%	6%	86	+0.2
✕Tyler Goeddel 2017 · MLB	24	47→52	43→45	55	45	228/287/344	116	288	10	16	24%	7%	78	-0.3	211/275/304	93	279	7	12	25%	7%	65	-1.2	199/266/279	80	273	4	10	27%	7%	53	-1.1
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2016 · MLB	24	43→51	48→55	56→55	40	218/262/366	149	290	14	19	30%	6%	74	-0.5	209/249/340	131	305	11	22	34%	5%	63	-1.4	211/258/373	162	290	17	14	32%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Denzel Clarke 2024 · AA	24	44	51→50	58→55	42	212/299/377	164	333	18	19	39%	9%	92	+0.7	219/288/349	130	338	12	24	36%	7%	80	-0.1	215/283/336	120	333	10	29	36%	7%	72	-0.3
✕Liover Peguero 2024 · MLB	23	46→49	46→45	56→55	41	231/274/359	129	295	14	22	27%	6%	77	-0.3	220/273/339	119	298	12	16	29%	6%	72	-0.7	213/270/321	108	296	10	14	30%	7%	65	-0.9
✕Zach Dezenzo 2024 · AA	24	48→49	48→45	56→50	41	232/293/372	139	330	16	19	33%	7%	88	+0.4	236/304/370	134	328	14	13	30%	8%	91	+0.7	230/310/352	122	317	13	13	29%	9%	87	+0.2
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	36→41	46→50	53→55	41	190/255/315	125	268	15	19	34%	7%	61	-1.5	185/268/313	128	266	15	22	34%	8%	66	-1.1	176/270/315	139	246	15	26	33%	9%	66	-0.6
✕Parker Meadows 2024 · MLB	24	43→48	49→55	57→55	46	219/284/373	154	279	17	17	28%	8%	84	+0.2	234/303/394	160	302	16	20	26%	9%	96	+1.0	236/310/408	171	300	16	22	26%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Trey Sweeney 2023 · AA	23	38→45	48→50	57→55	45	200/273/344	144	263	16	19	30%	8%	74	-0.5	218/289/354	136	286	15	17	28%	8%	82	+0.0	219/291/353	133	286	15	17	27%	8%	81	-0.1
✕Christopher Bostick 2016 · AA	23	45→55	44→45	55	39	223/269/343	121	289	11	18	27%	5%	72	-0.7	237/286/343	106	313	7	11	25%	5%	78	-0.3	245/298/359	114	318	9	7	25%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA	24	46→47	42→45	54→55	48	220/296/330	110	289	9	19	26%	8%	79	-0.2	228/289/327	99	286	8	23	22%	7%	75	-0.5	258/304/376	118	306	11	25	19%	5%	91	+0.4
✕Tim Tawa 2022 · A	23	45	47→55	58→50	45	221/289/359	138	303	14	18	30%	8%	83	+0.1	213/278/339	126	273	14	11	26%	8%	74	-0.5	223/286/391	168	267	21	13	25%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Abiatal Avelino 2019 · AAA	24	52→54	43→45	55	42	253/291/365	112	310	10	19	22%	5%	84	+0.1	242/279/356	114	299	10	18	22%	5%	78	-0.3	231/273/339	108	280	10	18	21%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Ryan Bliss 2024 · AAA	24	45→51	46→50	59→60	44	224/286/356	132	289	12	32	26%	7%	81	-0.1	231/299/360	129	304	11	38	26%	8%	87	+0.4	223/291/342	119	294	9	40	25%	7%	79	-0.2

Seaver King

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps