Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.41 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 1.10 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 20 | 0 | 32 | 128 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.2% | 1.8% | 17.5% | 1.8% | 3.66 | 2.69 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | A+ | Greenville Drive | 20 | 0 | 32 | 128 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.0% | 1.6% | 23.4% | 1.6% | 3.66 | 2.10 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Worcester Red Sox | 19 | 2 | 40 | 176 | 34 | 14 | 5 | 11% | 2.1 | 17.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 6.02 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BOS | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 4.21 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 25 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 4.21 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 25 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 59 | 256 | 52 | 21 | 7 | — | — | 20.4% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 2.9% | 5.44 | 4.63 | -0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 25 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.9% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 3.83 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | BOS | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 4.20 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 3.82 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 66 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 8.4% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.21 | 3.82 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 40 | 2 | 73 | 309 | 56 | 16 | 9 | 5% | 1.8 | 18.0% | 5.3% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 3.89 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 109 | 5 | 200 | 843 | 152 | 44 | 25 | 5% | 1.8 | 18.0% | 5.3% | 12.7% | 3.0% | 4.91 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cade Feeney (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.21 | 22.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.20 | 23.2% | 14.8% | 20 | -0.01 | — | — | — |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.75 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 3.2% | .340 | 4.62 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 185 | +0.87 | 3.75 | 223 | 88 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 86 |
| Mitchell Stumpo R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.88 | 25.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .299 | 5.10 | 22.4% | 6.5% | 121 | +1.22 | 3.88 | 158 | 86 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2027 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 85 |
| Blake Goldsberry R 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.18 | 23.6% | 8.3% | 1.8% | .257 | 5.16 | 23.6% | 12.0% | 44 | +1.98 | 3.18 | 117 | 85 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 84 |
| Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.53 | 26.4% | 10.9% | 2.3% | .301 | 4.31 | 28.4% | 19.1% | 97 | +0.78 | 3.48 | 138 | 83 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2027 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 83 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.24 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .274 | 4.67 | 24.1% | 8.8% | 38 | +1.43 | 3.24 | 172 | 82 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 82 |
| Kelly Austin R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.58 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.15 | 119 | 81 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 81 |
| Kevin Lenik R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 1.3% | .172 | 4.25 | 20.7% | 7.7% | 83 | +1.21 | 3.04 | 107 | 81 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.28 | 19.4% | 7.4% | 1.6% | .312 | 3.96 | 20.7% | 7.8% | 65 | +0.68 | 3.28 | 113 | 81 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 81 |
| Josh Martin R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.43 | 24.1% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .257 | 2.89 | 20.7% | 13.6% | 124 | -0.54 | 2.31 | 225 | 81 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2027 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 80 |
| Matt Marsh R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.06 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% | .273 | 3.13 | 18.5% | 5.9% | 15 | -0.93 | 3.13 | 143 | 80 |
| Alex Phillips R 2025 · 3.26 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.26 | 22.0% | 8.0% | 1.8% | .263 | 4.49 | 23.2% | 14.6% | 72 | +1.23 | 3.26 | 139 | 80 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 80 |