Cameron Cotter — OGILVIE

Cameron Cotter P Louisville Bats

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 22 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114106vR 98

ERA4.24

FIP4.24

K%18.2%

BB%6.7%

K-BB%11.5%

ROS IP22

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	40	172	40	5	3	0%	1.8	17.2%	2.7%	14.6%	3.3%	2.01	3.79	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	0	40	172	40	5	3	0%	1.8	17.2%	2.7%	14.6%	3.3%	2.01	3.79	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	0	40	172	40	5	3	0%	1.8	23.3%	2.9%	20.3%	1.7%	2.01	2.46	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	60	241	58	15	2	0%	1.4	19.9%	5.6%	14.3%	1.3%	2.72	2.86	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	44	0	60	241	58	15	2	0%	1.4	19.9%	5.6%	14.3%	1.3%	2.72	2.86	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	44	0	60	241	58	15	2	0%	1.4	24.1%	6.2%	17.8%	0.8%	2.72	2.35	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	0	34	155	30	10	2	0%	1.2	15.7%	7.1%	8.6%	1.3%	5.88	3.39	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	0	34	155	30	10	2	0%	1.2	15.7%	7.1%	8.6%	1.3%	5.88	3.39	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	27	0	34	155	30	10	2	0%	1.2	19.4%	6.5%	12.9%	1.3%	5.88	2.98	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	17	0	22	107	21	9	4	0%	1.3	14.0%	7.0%	7.0%	4.3%	5.40	5.16	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	17	0	22	107	21	9	4	0%	1.3	14.0%	7.0%	7.0%	4.3%	5.40	5.16	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	CIN	4	0	7	30	8	3	1	0%	1.7	26.7%	10.0%	16.7%	3.3%	5.40	3.94	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	CIN	13	0	15	77	13	6	3	0%	1.2	16.9%	7.8%	9.1%	3.9%	5.40	4.80	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CIN	21	0	22	92	17	6	3	0%	1.0	18.6%	7.1%	11.5%	2.8%	4.30	4.33	+0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	CIN	9	0	9	38	7	3	1	0%	1.0	18.6%	7.1%	11.5%	2.8%	4.30	4.33	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	0	9	39	7	3	1	0%	1.0	18.6%	7.1%	11.5%	2.8%	4.30	3.95	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	152	65	22	0%	1.1	18.6%	7.1%	11.5%	2.8%	4.30	3.95	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		110	0	155	675	117	36	15	0%	1.4	17.3%	5.4%	11.9%	2.3%	3.59	3.58	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		142	0	200	869	150	47	20	0%	1.4	17.3%	5.4%	11.9%	2.3%	3.59	3.58	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cameron Cotter (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.24	18.2%	6.7%	2.6%	—	4.33	18.6%	11.5%	22	+0.09	—	—	—
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	90
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	87
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	86
Conor Mullee R 2015 · 3.26 FIP	27	SU	3.26	17.7%	7.2%	1.4%	.290	2.64	24.2%	16.3%	55	-0.62	2.17	110	85
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	85
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	85
Jhan Mariñez R 2016 · 3.16 FIP	27	SU	3.16	18.6%	6.7%	1.4%	.294	4.02	19.0%	10.6%	106	+0.86	3.16	253	83
Chris Martin R 2015 · 3.24 FIP	29	SU	3.24	18.1%	7.0%	1.4%	.319	3.04	20.9%	19.2%	42	-0.20	1.76	416	83
Mark Serrano R 2016 · 3.16 FIP	30	SU	3.16	17.7%	6.5%	1.3%	.290	4.36	21.1%	14.0%	88	+1.20	3.16	120	83
Kurt Spomer R 2016 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	17.7%	6.1%	1.4%	.348	3.61	11.7%	2.4%	78	+0.44	3.17	199	83
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	83
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	82
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	82
Pedro Rodriguez R 2015 · 3.21 FIP	27	SU	3.21	16.4%	4.5%	1.7%	.272	3.70	13.1%	5.2%	43	+0.49	3.21	145	82
Sean Donatello R 2017 · 3.64 FIP	26	SU	3.64	17.8%	7.4%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	141	82
Ronnie Shaban R 2016 · 4.32 FIP	26	SU	4.32	14.1%	5.3%	3.2%	.263	—	—	—	—	—	3.02	104	81
Rob Griswold R 2023 · 3.57 FIP	25	SU	3.57	16.6%	6.2%	2.0%	.303	4.68	10.7%	4.3%	100	+1.11	3.57	203	81
Johnny Magliozzi R 2017 · 3.22 FIP	26	SU	3.22	17.1%	5.9%	1.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	131	81
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	81
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	81