Cameron Cotter
P
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 220 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION3 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 96
ERA4.18
FIP4.18
K%20.8%
BB%8.1%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 40 | 172 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 17.2% | 2.7% | 14.6% | 3.8% | 2.01 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 40 | 172 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 23.3% | 2.9% | 20.3% | 1.7% | 2.01 | 2.46 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 60 | 241 | 58 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.9% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 1.3% | 2.72 | 2.85 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 44 | 0 | 60 | 241 | 58 | 15 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 24.1% | 6.2% | 17.8% | 0.8% | 2.72 | 2.35 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 27 | 0 | 34 | 155 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 1.1% | 5.88 | 3.30 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 27 | 0 | 34 | 155 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.4% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 1.3% | 5.88 | 2.98 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | — | — | — | — | 6.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | 21 | 0 | 22 | 95 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 4.18 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.8% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 4.18 | 4.18 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 25 | 107 | 24 | 8 | 3 | — | — | 22.2% | 7.2% | 15.0% | 3.3% | 4.39 | 3.69 | +0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | CIN | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.8% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 2.6% | 4.18 | 3.80 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.28 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.28 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.25 | 3.90 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 70 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 4.25 | 3.90 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 95 | 0 | 137 | 580 | 106 | 29 | 12 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 5.0% | 13.3% | 2.1% | 3.36 | 3.37 | +3.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 139 | 0 | 200 | 849 | 155 | 42 | 18 | 0% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 5.0% | 13.3% | 2.1% | 3.36 | 3.37 | +4.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Cameron Cotter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.18 | 20.8% | 8.1% | 2.6% | — | 4.28 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 22 | +0.10 | — | — | — |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 87 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 87 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 84 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 84 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 83 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 83 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.0% | .241 | 3.28 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.15 | 2.51 | 131 | 83 |
| Conor Mullee R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.17 | 17.7% | 7.2% | 1.2% | .290 | 2.68 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 55 | -0.49 | 2.17 | 110 | 83 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.4% | .330 | 3.26 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | +0.22 | 2.42 | 125 | 83 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.23 | 18.6% | 6.7% | 1.6% | .294 | 4.07 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 106 | +0.84 | 3.23 | 253 | 82 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 82 |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.58 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .246 | 3.53 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.05 | 2.96 | 160 | 82 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.08 | 23.3% | 10.5% | 1.1% | .290 | 3.66 | 22.4% | 13.8% | 71 | +0.58 | 3.08 | 124 | 82 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.61 | 20.1% | 6.6% | 2.5% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 157 | 82 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 82 |
| Chris Martin R 2028 · 3.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.28 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .319 | 3.06 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 42 | -0.22 | 1.76 | 416 | 82 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .237 | 2.64 | 33.1% | 24.9% | 88 | -0.75 | 2.45 | 394 | 81 |
| Heath Hembree R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.69 | 21.1% | 7.2% | 2.7% | .292 | 3.96 | 27.3% | 18.8% | 162 | +0.27 | 2.67 | 382 | 81 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.30 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .276 | 6.16 | 27.5% | 9.3% | 50 | +2.86 | 2.80 | 155 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |