Kevin Verde
SS Somerset Patriots| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROKDSL NYY Bombe… | 131 | .235/.289/.328 | 0 | 9 | 7 | — | .148/.188/.197 |
| 2025 | 19 | ROKNYY | 146 | .191/.236/.272 | 2 | 6 | -15 | — | .129/.160/.173 |
| 2026 | 20 | AA/ANYY | 147 | .199/.248/.346 | 5 | 3 | 33 | — | .180/.214/.302 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 21 | MLBNYY | 2 | .212/.255/.338 | 0 | 0 | 63 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ35% MLB | 22 | MLBNYY | 72 | .216/.261/.347 | 2 | 1 | 67 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ49% MLB | 23 | MLBNYY | 143 | .219/.266/.355 | 4 | 2 | 70 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 44 / POW 43
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 133 | 120 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 258 | 321 | 433 | 754 | 175 | 284 | 17 | 6 | 331 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 131 | 119 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 235 | 289 | 328 | 617 | 92 | 272 | 15 | 7 | 272 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 146 | 136 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 191 | 236 | 272 | 508 | 81 | 216 | 17 | 5 | 229 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 111 | 103 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 214 | 257 | 369 | 626 | 155 | 254 | 26 | 5 | 273 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 36 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 152 | 222 | 273 | 495 | 121 | 200 | 33 | 8 | 227 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 133 | 122 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 156 | 214 | 221 | 435 | 66 | 185 | 21 | 5 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 131 | 122 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 148 | 188 | 197 | 384 | 49 | 177 | 18 | 5 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 146 | 139 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 129 | 160 | 173 | 332 | 43 | 159 | 25 | 3 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 111 | 105 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 229 | 324 | 553 | 124 | 251 | 32 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 36 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 118 | 167 | 235 | 402 | 118 | 180 | 44 | 6 | 160 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 133 | 122 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 156 | 214 | 221 | 435 | 66 | 189 | 21 | 5 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 133 | 120 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 258 | 321 | 433 | 754 | 175 | 284 | 17 | 6 | 331 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 131 | 122 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 148 | 188 | 197 | 384 | 49 | 176 | 18 | 5 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 131 | 119 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 235 | 289 | 328 | 617 | 92 | 272 | 15 | 7 | 272 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 146 | 139 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 129 | 160 | 173 | 332 | 43 | 163 | 25 | 3 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Yankees | — | 146 | 136 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 191 | 236 | 272 | 508 | 81 | 216 | 17 | 5 | 229 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 147 | 138 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 174 | 214 | 290 | 504 | 116 | 241 | 35 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 147 | 136 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 41 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 199 | 248 | 346 | 594 | 147 | 242 | 28 | 6 | 262 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 133 | 123 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 154 | 214 | 220 | 433 | 65 | 185 | 21 | 5 | 199 | 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 131 | 124 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 145 | 188 | 194 | 381 | 48 | 177 | 18 | 5 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 146 | 140 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 129 | 160 | 171 | 331 | 43 | 159 | 25 | 3 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 147 | 139 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 173 | 214 | 288 | 502 | 115 | 234 | 35 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL NYY Bombers | — | 131 | 124 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 145 | 188 | 194 | 381 | 48 | 177 | 18 | 5 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 146 | 140 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 36 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 129 | 160 | 171 | 331 | 43 | 159 | 25 | 3 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 20 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 147 | 139 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 173 | 214 | 288 | 502 | 115 | 234 | 35 | 5 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB MLE | NYY | 2% | 257 | 241 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 211 | 254 | 332 | 586 | 122 | 276 | 29 | 5 | 261 | 63 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB CTX | NYY | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 255 | 338 | 593 | 126 | 276 | 50 | 0 | 263 | 63 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 22 | MLB MLE | NYY | 35% | 205 | 192 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 214 | 260 | 341 | 601 | 127 | 278 | 28 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB MLE | NYY | 49% | 294 | 274 | 60 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 82 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 217 | 264 | 348 | 613 | 131 | 279 | 28 | 5 | 272 | 70 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 362 | 336 | 74 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 99 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 220 | 269 | 354 | 622 | 134 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 277 | 73 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB MLE | NYY | 55% | 393 | 365 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 107 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 272 | 358 | 629 | 136 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 279 | 75 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB MLE | NYY | 56% | 412 | 382 | 85 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 111 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 222 | 274 | 360 | 634 | 137 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 282 | 77 | -11 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB MLE | NYY | 55% | 416 | 386 | 86 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 113 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 273 | 357 | 630 | 136 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 280 | 76 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB MLE | NYY | 55% | 412 | 382 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 113 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 220 | 271 | 353 | 624 | 133 | 280 | 27 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 402 | 373 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 111 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 218 | 268 | 347 | 616 | 130 | 279 | 28 | 6 | 274 | 72 | -14 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +9 | -0.2 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYY | 53% | 390 | 363 | 78 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 109 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 265 | 340 | 605 | 125 | 278 | 28 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -15 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +8 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 22 | MLB CTX | NYY | 35% | 72 | 68 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 261 | 347 | 608 | 132 | 278 | 28 | 6 | 270 | 67 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 23 | MLB CTX | NYY | 49% | 143 | 133 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 266 | 355 | 620 | 136 | 279 | 28 | 6 | 275 | 70 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 24 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 191 | 177 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 52 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 270 | 360 | 630 | 139 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 280 | 73 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 25 | MLB CTX | NYY | 55% | 215 | 199 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 58 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 273 | 364 | 637 | 141 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 283 | 75 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 26 | MLB CTX | NYY | 56% | 229 | 212 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 62 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 275 | 367 | 642 | 143 | 282 | 27 | 6 | 285 | 77 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 27 | MLB CTX | NYY | 55% | 229 | 212 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 62 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 274 | 364 | 638 | 141 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 283 | 76 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2034 | 28 | MLB CTX | NYY | 55% | 225 | 208 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 272 | 360 | 632 | 138 | 280 | 27 | 6 | 281 | 74 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 214 | 199 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 59 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 270 | 354 | 623 | 135 | 279 | 28 | 6 | 277 | 72 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYY | 53% | 205 | 190 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 57 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 216 | 266 | 346 | 612 | 130 | 278 | 28 | 6 | 273 | 69 | -8 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1723 | 1598 | 352 | 64 | 8 | 46 | 98 | 471 | 12 | 22 | 8 | 220 | 270 | 357 | 627 | 136 | 281 | 27 | 6 | 279 | 64 | -55 | +1 | -2 | +18 | +37 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 603 | 132 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 178 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 219 | 270 | 353 | 623 | 134 | 280 | 27 | 6 | 279 | 64 | -21 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3962 | 3685 | 774 | 145 | 19 | 91 | 214 | 1076 | 28 | 70 | 24 | 210 | 259 | 334 | 593 | 124 | 269 | 27 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -111 | +2 | -4 | +36 | +74 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 127 | 24 | 3 | 15 | 35 | 177 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 210 | 259 | 334 | 593 | 124 | 269 | 27 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -21 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AASomerset Patriots · 111 PAwOBA .268 → .236 (−32)K% 26.1% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.13% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 31.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 19.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 4.43% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .268 → .236; ISO .155 → .126; BABIP .254 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ATampa Tarpons · 36 PAwOBA .221 → .160 (−61)K% 33.3% → 45.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 45.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.015 | 13.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.015 | 4.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.87% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .221 → .160; ISO .121 → .083; BABIP .200 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Yankees · 146 PAwOBA .226 → .146 (−80)K% 17.1% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.12% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 2.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.12% | ÷1.056 | ×0.820 | ×0.988 | ×0.995 | 13.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.50% | ÷1.043 | ×0.720 | ×0.988 | ×0.995 | 3.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.720 | ×0.988 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.80% | ÷2.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.68% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 312, 1B 111, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .226 → .146; ISO .081 → .039; BABIP .216 → .159. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 131 PAwOBA .272 → .179 (−93)K% 14.5% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.50% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.87% | ÷1.005 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 13.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.038 | ×0.600 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 4.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.023 | ×0.995 | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.658 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 232, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .272 → .179; ISO .092 → .053; BABIP .272 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 DSLDSL NYY Bombers · 133 PAwOBA .326 → .199 (−128)K% 17.3% → 21.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.29% | ÷0.991 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.02% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.26% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.56% | ÷0.961 | ×0.680 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 13.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.28% | ÷0.996 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.600 | ×0.990 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷1.463 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.33% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 193, 1B 92, 2B 99, 3B 99, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .326 → .199; ISO .175 → .077; BABIP .284 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).