Zane Barnhart
P
Chesapeake Baysox
Age 24
RHP
5'10" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 109
ERA4.81
FIP4.81
K%20.4%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%7.7%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.6% | 27.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 4.26 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 5 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.6% | 27.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 4.36 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 56 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.2% | 16.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.58 | 4.73 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 56 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.5% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 1.4% | 2.58 | 3.48 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 52 | 215 | 58 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 0.9% | 3.83 | 3.27 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 52 | 215 | 58 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.0% | 9.3% | 17.7% | 1.4% | 3.83 | 2.77 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | 28 | 0 | 37 | 158 | 41 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 3.86 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BAL | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 49 | 31 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.4% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | BAL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.4% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 94 | 399 | 90 | 45 | 11 | — | — | 22.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.74 | +0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.4% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 4.81 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 52 | 28 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 53 | 28 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 2.7% | 4.67 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 35 | 19 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 4.60 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 62 | 0 | 65 | 275 | 59 | 31 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.63 | 4.21 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 95 | 21 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 2.7% | 4.63 | 4.21 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 108 | 0 | 148 | 622 | 126 | 85 | 12 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 3.35 | 4.18 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 146 | 0 | 200 | 842 | 171 | 115 | 16 | 0% | 1.4 | 20.3% | 13.7% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 3.35 | 4.18 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Zane Barnhart (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.81 | 20.4% | 12.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.60 | 21.3% | 9.9% | 116 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Max Alba R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.24 | 20.6% | 12.6% | 2.3% | .290 | 5.06 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 207 | +0.82 | 4.24 | 262 | 98 |
| Harrison Cohen R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.55 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | .282 | 4.01 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 99 | -0.54 | 2.09 | 146 | 93 |
| Aaron Kurcz R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 22.4% | 13.6% | 2.4% | .331 | 4.29 | 16.1% | 8.0% | 105 | +0.06 | 3.44 | 213 | 92 |
| Ben Hecht R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.56 | 22.7% | 12.9% | 3.2% | .293 | 7.95 | 14.1% | -11.4% | 13 | +3.39 | 4.55 | 155 | 91 |
| Grayson Thurman R 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.38 | 19.5% | 14.1% | 2.1% | .319 | 4.85 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 87 | +0.47 | 4.38 | 132 | 91 |
| Alex Palsha R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.84 | 20.6% | 10.4% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.90 | 15.3% | 4.4% | 77 | +0.06 | 3.40 | 134 | 90 |
| Cameron Gann R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.16 | 21.4% | 12.4% | 2.4% | .296 | 5.44 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 23 | +1.28 | 3.52 | 146 | 90 |
| Matt Lollis R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 18.5% | 12.2% | 2.8% | .237 | 5.05 | 19.2% | 4.7% | 56 | +0.46 | 4.59 | 120 | 90 |
| Todd Van Steensel R 2026 · 3.69 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.69 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.33 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 157 | -0.36 | 2.87 | 223 | 90 |
| Brandon Johnson R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 22.4% | 14.2% | 3.4% | .327 | 4.57 | 21.7% | 10.8% | 163 | -0.31 | 3.44 | 224 | 90 |
| Craig Schlitter R 2026 · 4.76 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.76 | 22.7% | 15.4% | 3.0% | .298 | 4.44 | 14.7% | 4.2% | 171 | -0.32 | 4.07 | 222 | 89 |
| Pat Light R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 20.9% | 14.5% | 2.1% | .270 | 4.39 | 16.4% | 2.8% | 110 | +0.05 | 4.11 | 172 | 89 |
| Reid Schaller R 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.73 | 20.2% | 13.1% | 3.0% | .298 | 3.84 | 22.0% | 11.4% | 90 | -0.89 | 3.49 | 186 | 89 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 89 |
| Ryan Ledbetter R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.63 | 18.5% | 12.3% | 2.8% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.63 | 124 | 89 |
| Kevin Kopps R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.78 | 20.2% | 15.1% | 2.7% | .278 | 4.59 | 16.5% | 2.8% | 182 | -0.19 | 3.64 | 237 | 89 |
| Hunter Dula R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.79 | 20.1% | 12.1% | 3.4% | .301 | 4.05 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 37 | -0.74 | 3.85 | 132 | 88 |
| Jay Driver R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.43 | 21.4% | 13.3% | 2.6% | .259 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 135 | 88 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.71 | 22.7% | 13.6% | 1.5% | .270 | 4.00 | 21.4% | 6.5% | 108 | +0.29 | 3.58 | 169 | 88 |
| Jack Sinclair R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.72 | 19.2% | 12.5% | 3.0% | .258 | 3.96 | 20.5% | 8.1% | 161 | -0.76 | 2.82 | 285 | 88 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 21.0% | 11.9% | 1.03 | 4.69 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |