Ivran Romero

P Cedar Rapids Kernels

Age 25 RHP 5'10" / 200 lbs A+

Overview

A+PROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	23	MIX2 levels	36	0	55	3.46	2.92	24.6%	9.6%	—	K 19.1% · BB 9.7% · FIP 3.54
2026	24	A+MIN	28	12	77	7.91	4.73	23.6%	9.5%	—	K 18.2% · BB 10.9% · FIP 5.74
2027PROJ	25	MLBMIN	67	0	70	5.25	5.25	18.1%	11.2%	-0.5
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBMIN	29	0	30	5.15	5.14	18.9%	11.0%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBMIN	41	0	43	5.10	5.11	19.2%	10.9%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -1.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff45Control45Command45

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBrad Deppermann (age 25) · Emmanuel Chapman (age 25) · Cameron Foster (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.25

FIP5.25

K%18.1%

BB%11.2%

K-BB%6.8%

Proj IP70

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL4545

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	55	240	59	23	3	0%	1.5	19.1%	9.7%	9.3%	1.5%	3.46	3.54	—
2025	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	0	55	240	59	23	3	0%	1.5	19.1%	9.7%	9.3%	1.5%	3.46	3.54	—
2025	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	0	55	240	59	23	3	0%	1.5	24.6%	9.6%	15.0%	1.2%	3.46	2.92	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	12	77	368	87	35	15	43%	2.8	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	5.1%	7.91	5.74	—
2026	24	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	12	77	368	87	35	15	43%	2.8	18.2%	10.9%	7.3%	5.1%	7.91	5.74	—
2026	24	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	28	12	77	368	87	35	15	43%	2.8	23.6%	9.5%	14.1%	4.1%	7.91	4.73	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	MIN	67	0	70	296	53	33	10	0%	1.0	18.1%	11.2%	6.8%	3.4%	5.25	5.25	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	67	0	70	296	56	33	10	0%	1.0	18.9%	11.0%	7.8%	3.4%	5.15	5.14	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	66	0	69	291	56	32	10	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.9%	8.2%	3.4%	5.10	5.11	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIN	64	0	67	282	54	31	10	0%	1.0	19.3%	11.0%	8.3%	3.5%	5.12	5.16	-0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIN	61	0	64	270	52	30	10	0%	1.0	19.1%	11.2%	7.9%	3.6%	5.20	5.27	-0.5
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	29	0	30	127	24	14	4	0%	1.0	18.9%	11.0%	7.8%	3.4%	5.15	5.14	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	41	0	43	182	35	20	6	0%	1.0	19.2%	10.9%	8.2%	3.4%	5.10	5.11	-0.3
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIN	48	0	50	211	41	23	7	0%	1.0	19.3%	11.0%	8.3%	3.5%	5.12	5.16	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIN	50	0	52	220	42	25	8	0%	1.0	19.1%	11.2%	7.9%	3.6%	5.20	5.27	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		167	0	176	742	142	82	26	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	3.5%	5.14	4.80	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	162	93	30	0%	1.1	19.1%	11.0%	8.1%	3.5%	5.14	4.80	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		64	12	132	608	113	64	22	19%	2.1	18.5%	10.5%	8.1%	3.7%	6.07	4.88	-1.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	18	200	921	171	96	34	19%	2.1	18.5%	10.5%	8.1%	3.7%	6.07	4.88	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ivran Romero (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.25	18.1%	11.2%	3.4%	—	5.14	19.1%	8.1%	206	-0.11	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	88
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	87
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	87
Ross Ohlendorf R 2008 · 4.73 FIP	25	SW	4.73	16.3%	9.3%	3.3%	.357	4.63	15.4%	7.7%	324	-0.10	3.30	617	87
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	87
Nick Hull R 2024 · 4.62 FIP	24	SW	4.62	19.0%	12.2%	2.9%	.296	5.00	16.8%	6.2%	111	+0.38	4.26	292	86
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	85
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	85
Wil Jensen R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	25	SU	4.88	20.2%	12.1%	3.5%	.284	3.48	22.7%	14.3%	84	-1.40	3.48	368	85
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	85
Felipe Gonzalez R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	25	SW	4.60	18.3%	9.2%	3.4%	.337	3.27	22.7%	12.7%	50	-1.33	3.27	339	84
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	83
Fernando Nieve R 2006 · 5.18 FIP	24	SW	5.18	17.0%	8.8%	4.4%	.240	4.67	14.3%	3.1%	37	-0.51	1.96	287	83
Seth McGarry R 2019 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	17.1%	9.6%	3.2%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.39	261	83
Dakota Hawkins R 2024 · 4.31 FIP	24	SW	4.31	16.3%	8.9%	2.7%	.277	4.32	19.4%	10.4%	102	+0.01	3.50	186	83
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	82
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	82
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	82
Paulshawn Pasqualotto R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	15.6%	9.5%	3.4%	.354	3.77	20.2%	10.8%	111	-1.07	3.73	186	81
Tyler Santana R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	25	SW	4.43	15.4%	10.3%	2.4%	.306	5.01	15.0%	4.8%	193	+0.58	3.37	401	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.7	68	18.9%	11.1%	1.34	5.16
Scott Proctor ('11)	1.7	57	19.0%	10.9%	1.52	4.78
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Bill Scherrer ('82-'88, 1 WAR*)	1.6	62	20.7%*	10.2%*	1.19*	4.44*
Phil Hennigan ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.4	70	20.9%*	10.4%*	1.50*	4.95*