Justin DeCriscio

SS Fort Wayne TinCaps

Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A+ HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	ASD	49	.190/.292/.286	1	2	34	—	.186/.271/.279
2026	23	A+SD	341	.259/.356/.403	9	13	75	—	.227/.308/.341
2026	23	ASD	117	.311/.366/.544	3	5	95	—	.267/.312/.448
2027PROJ0% MLB	24	MLBSD	2	.223/.290/.342	0	0	81	0.0
2028PROJ38% MLB	25	MLBSD	140	.224/.293/.346	3	3	83	0.2
2029PROJ55% MLB	26	MLBSD	226	.225/.294/.349	5	5	84	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.2M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AA

Z-Con%82

Whiff%80

K%66

wRC+59

wOBA53

Speed32

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 94%

CompsCorey Toups (age 24) · Jonathan Ornelas (age 24) · Joshua Rodriguez (age 24)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .290 / .342

PA2

HR0

K%24

BB%6

BABIP279

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$1M	+$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	42	8	1	0	1	5	6	1	2	0	190	292	286	577	95	200	12	10	266	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	83	70	18	3	0	1	7	18	5	4	1	257	366	343	709	86	333	22	8	327	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	341	290	75	13	1	9	33	53	11	13	7	259	356	403	760	145	288	16	10	338	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	103	32	13	1	3	7	14	2	5	3	311	366	544	910	233	333	12	6	380	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	37	30	5	1	0	1	6	10	1	3	2	167	324	300	624	133	211	27	16	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	43	8	1	0	1	4	9	1	2	0	186	271	279	550	93	181	18	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	83	72	17	3	0	1	5	22	5	4	1	236	329	319	649	83	304	27	6	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	—	341	299	68	11	1	7	24	67	11	13	7	227	308	341	650	114	257	20	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	117	105	28	11	1	2	5	19	2	5	3	267	312	448	760	181	278	16	4	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	43	8	1	0	1	4	9	1	2	0	186	271	279	550	93	212	18	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	42	8	1	0	1	5	6	1	2	0	190	292	286	577	95	200	12	10	266	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	578	510	120	26	2	11	36	116	19	25	13	235	310	359	669	124	283	20	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	4 teams	—	578	493	130	30	2	14	53	95	19	25	13	264	358	418	775	154	301	16	9	342	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	44	8	1	0	1	4	9	1	2	0	182	271	273	544	91	181	18	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	578	518	120	26	2	11	36	116	19	25	13	232	310	353	663	122	269	20	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	22	A MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	49	44	8	1	0	1	4	9	1	2	0	182	271	273	544	91	181	18	8	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	A+ MLE	4 teams	—	578	518	120	26	2	11	36	116	19	25	13	232	310	353	663	122	269	20	6	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SD	0%	380	344	78	15	2	8	24	92	9	8	3	226	294	347	640	120	285	24	6	289	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	SD	0%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	223	290	342	632	119	279	0	0	285	81	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	SD	38%	370	335	77	15	2	8	24	89	8	8	3	228	296	351	647	124	285	24	6	291	83	-7	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	SD	55%	407	368	85	17	2	9	27	98	9	8	3	229	297	354	651	125	285	24	7	293	84	-8	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2030	27	MLB MLE	SD	61%	420	380	87	17	2	9	28	101	9	8	3	229	297	354	652	126	285	24	7	293	85	-8	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	SD	65%	425	384	87	17	2	9	29	103	9	8	3	228	297	353	649	125	285	24	7	292	84	-8	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.5
2032	29	MLB MLE	SD	64%	420	380	87	17	2	9	29	102	8	7	3	227	295	350	645	123	284	24	7	290	83	-9	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.4
2033	30	MLB MLE	SD	64%	414	375	85	17	2	8	28	102	8	6	4	224	292	342	634	119	283	25	7	286	80	-10	-0	-2	+4	+9	0.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	SD	64%	401	364	80	16	1	8	27	101	7	5	4	220	287	333	620	113	280	25	7	280	76	-12	-1	-3	+4	+9	-0.2
2028	25	MLB CTX	SD	38%	140	127	28	5	1	3	9	34	3	3	1	224	293	346	639	122	279	24	6	288	83	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	26	MLB CTX	SD	55%	226	204	46	9	1	5	15	54	5	5	2	225	294	349	643	124	279	24	7	289	84	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2030	27	MLB CTX	SD	61%	258	234	53	10	1	6	17	62	5	5	2	225	294	349	643	124	279	24	7	290	85	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2031	28	MLB CTX	SD	65%	274	247	55	10	1	6	19	66	6	5	2	224	293	348	641	124	279	24	7	289	84	-5	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.3
2032	29	MLB CTX	SD	64%	271	245	54	10	1	6	19	66	5	4	2	223	292	345	637	122	278	24	7	287	83	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	SD	64%	266	241	53	10	1	5	18	66	5	4	2	220	289	337	626	117	277	25	7	283	80	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2034	31	MLB CTX	SD	64%	258	234	50	9	1	5	17	65	5	3	3	216	284	328	612	112	275	25	7	277	76	-7	-1	-2	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1693	1532	339	63	7	36	114	413	34	29	14	221	290	342	632	121	278	24	7	286	81	-36	+0	-5	+18	+37	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	130	24	3	14	44	159	13	11	5	221	290	344	633	122	278	24	7	286	81	-14	+0	-2	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3804	3429	781	156	16	78	252	899	85	84	39	228	297	351	648	123	285	24	7	288	81	-68	+1	-7	+34	+69	2.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	134	27	3	13	43	154	15	14	7	229	298	352	650	123	287	24	7	288	81	-14	+0	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#5Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.6	1,695	35	30	227	292	349	+18	+12	2.8	2.8
/162	664	14	12	+7.1	+4.7	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin DeCriscio (OGILVIE)	24	54	41	53	43	224/291/344	119	285	6	7	24%	6%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA	24	47→50	44→45	56→50	43	228/290/353	125	303	9	17	27%	7%	82	-0.0	210/272/316	106	316	9	15	34%	7%	67	-1.1	193/260/287	93	304	8	16	37%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2024 · AAA	24	51→57	42→45	51→50	45	245/308/344	100	331	10	13	28%	8%	86	+0.3	229/289/321	92	318	9	12	29%	7%	74	-0.5	225/282/316	91	311	9	12	29%	6%	67	-0.7
✕Joshua Rodriguez 2009 · AA	24	46→53	44→50	52→50	48	225/288/347	122	284	10	11	24%	8%	79	-0.2	239/302/352	113	310	10	9	24%	8%	86	+0.3	246/309/351	105	316	11	6	24%	8%	86	+0.1
✕Ryan McKenna 2021 · AA	24	47→57	42→45	50→55	45	224/290/331	107	299	8	15	27%	8%	77	-0.3	220/294/351	131	323	14	13	34%	9%	84	+0.1	215/292/346	131	318	15	13	34%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Abiatal Avelino 2019 · AAA	24	52→54	43→45	55	42	253/291/365	112	310	10	19	22%	5%	84	+0.1	242/279/356	114	299	10	18	22%	5%	78	-0.3	231/273/339	108	280	10	18	21%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Yung-Chi Chen 2007 · AA	24	54→58	41→45	52→55	45	258/298/365	107	305	8	15	18%	5%	86	+0.3	244/288/337	93	293	7	15	18%	6%	76	-0.4	220/265/291	71	264	4	12	18%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Andy Burns 2015 · AA	24	46→56	46→50	52→55	43	230/278/371	140	283	12	17	23%	6%	81	-0.1	236/278/336	100	288	8	11	20%	5%	73	-0.6	235/285/340	105	281	10	9	20%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Jake Lemmerman 2013 · AA	24	47→51	43→45	50→45	46	227/301/344	117	302	9	8	26%	8%	84	+0.2	200/277/304	104	277	9	9	29%	9%	66	-1.1	177/259/273	96	245	9	9	30%	9%	50	-1.2
✕Michael Almanzar 2015 · AAA	24	48→51	45	49→45	41	238/287/364	126	294	13	9	24%	5%	84	+0.1	211/250/309	98	271	9	3	25%	4%	57	-1.8	203/239/296	93	262	9	1	26%	3%	47	-2.0
✕Chris Nelson 2010 · AA	24	46→56	45→50	52→50	45	228/285/362	134	282	12	13	23%	7%	82	-0.0	250/294/382	132	302	13	9	21%	5%	90	+0.6	260/302/395	135	314	13	7	21%	5%	95	+0.7
✕Tyler Smith 2015 · AA	24	49→54	41→40	47→50	48	235/305/339	103	298	8	10	23%	8%	84	+0.1	233/291/317	84	297	6	8	22%	7%	74	-0.6	226/283/300	74	288	5	7	22%	6%	63	-1.0
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	45→55	43→50	54→50	44	219/284/336	117	290	10	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	249/305/388	139	305	12	10	21%	7%	95	+1.0	253/316/399	146	307	12	11	21%	7%	100	+1.1
✕Peyton Wilson 2024 · AA	24	49→52	43→45	54→55	45	234/298/349	114	304	9	17	25%	7%	84	+0.1	215/285/331	116	290	10	19	27%	8%	75	-0.5	205/279/322	116	282	10	22	29%	8%	68	-0.7
✕Tommy Field 2011 · A	24	47→50	45	50→45	44	228/300/351	123	298	12	10	26%	7%	86	+0.3	229/294/350	121	293	12	8	25%	7%	83	+0.1	223/292/352	129	279	13	7	24%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jack Marder 2014 · AA	24	46	42→45	49→50	42	227/283/335	108	278	10	14	22%	5%	75	-0.5	232/296/340	108	283	9	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	249/320/360	111	294	10	3	18%	6%	93	+0.4
✕Nick Allen 2022 · AAA	23	49→59	42→40	48→50	43	238/285/343	105	303	9	14	24%	6%	77	-0.3	238/293/332	94	285	8	15	18%	7%	78	-0.3	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Alan Espinoza 2015 · AAA	24	49	44→50	49→45	44	241/293/357	116	294	12	9	22%	6%	84	+0.1	232/280/379	147	274	17	6	22%	5%	84	+0.2	250/290/391	141	287	16	3	19%	4%	88	+0.2
✕Christian Herrera 2006 · AAA	24	50	43→40	50→45	51	240/313/356	116	304	9	11	23%	9%	91	+0.6	253/311/350	97	335	6	10	24%	7%	88	+0.5	252/306/329	77	330	4	7	23%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Starlin Rodriguez 2014 · AA	24	49→54	42→45	48→50	40	234/285/341	107	307	9	11	26%	5%	77	-0.3	218/273/332	114	282	10	9	25%	6%	71	-0.8	221/280/354	132	283	12	5	25%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Aaron Mathews 2006 · A	24	48→54	43→45	55→45	44	231/281/348	117	294	9	13	24%	6%	76	-0.4	247/285/358	111	295	9	7	19%	5%	80	-0.1	256/292/365	109	302	8	5	18%	4%	82	-0.0

Justin DeCriscio

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps