Ryan Franden — OGILVIE

Ryan Franden3B Dunedin Blue Jays

Age 23 L/R A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 81 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .272 / .328

PA81

HR1

K%28

BB%6

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	22	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	68	61	12	5	0	1	6	13	1	1	1	197	279	328	607	131	234	19	9	277	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	68	63	10	4	0	1	4	18	1	1	1	159	221	270	490	111	211	26	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	68	63	10	4	0	1	4	18	1	1	1	159	221	270	490	111	205	26	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	68	61	12	5	0	1	6	13	1	1	1	197	279	328	607	131	234	19	9	277	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	68	63	10	4	0	1	4	18	1	1	1	159	221	270	490	111	211	26	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	22	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	68	63	10	4	0	1	4	18	1	1	1	159	221	270	490	111	211	26	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	23	MLB MLE	TOR	0%	178	162	35	8	1	3	12	50	2	2	1	215	274	330	605	115	289	28	7	271	70	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	TOR	30%	170	155	34	8	1	3	11	47	2	2	1	218	278	337	615	119	290	28	6	276	73	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	25	MLB MLE	TOR	44%	269	246	54	13	1	5	18	74	3	4	1	220	280	342	622	122	291	28	7	279	75	-8	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2030	26	MLB MLE	TOR	51%	337	308	68	16	2	6	23	92	3	4	1	221	282	346	628	125	290	27	7	281	76	-9	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.1
2031	27	MLB MLE	TOR	52%	373	340	75	17	2	7	26	101	4	4	1	221	283	346	629	125	290	27	7	282	77	-10	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
2032	28	MLB MLE	TOR	53%	395	360	80	18	2	8	28	107	4	4	1	220	283	345	627	124	289	27	7	281	76	-11	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	TOR	30%	51	48	10	2	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	219	278	338	616	119	291	27	6	276	73	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2029	25	MLB CTX	TOR	44%	119	109	25	6	1	2	8	33	1	2	0	220	281	343	624	123	292	28	7	280	75	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2030	26	MLB CTX	TOR	51%	171	155	34	8	1	3	12	47	2	2	1	222	283	347	630	125	291	27	7	282	76	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2031	27	MLB CTX	TOR	52%	195	177	40	9	1	4	14	53	2	2	1	222	284	347	631	125	291	27	7	283	77	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.0
2032	28	MLB CTX	TOR	53%	211	192	43	10	1	4	15	57	2	2	1	221	283	346	629	124	290	27	7	282	76	-6	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	747	681	152	35	4	14	52	204	7	9	3	223	285	348	633	125	296	27	7	281	74	-21	+1	-0	+3	+16	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	131	30	3	12	45	178	6	8	3	221	283	342	625	121	293	27	7	281	74	-19	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	1693	1547	336	80	8	31	115	462	18	20	6	217	279	339	619	122	287	27	7	277	74	-47	+2	-1	+6	+35	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	129	31	3	12	44	177	7	8	2	217	279	340	619	123	287	27	7	277	74	-19	+1	-0	+2	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Garrett Hampsonlast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,805 PA	2.7	1,805	29	65	234	296	352	+10	+10	3.9	3.9
/162	664	11	24	+3.6	+3.7	1.4	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	828	15	10	221	279	344	+3	+2	0.3	0.3
/162	664	12	8	+2.4	+1.2	0.2	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Franden (OGILVIE)	23	—	—	—	—	213/272/328	114	289	1	1	28%	6%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grant Witherspoon 2021 · A	24	39→46	40→50	52→50	40	194/244/287	93	272	8	13	31%	6%	49	-2.4	217/271/362	145	296	17	13	31%	7%	77	-0.3	212/271/360	149	286	18	14	32%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Trey Amburgey 2018 · A	23	40→45	42→50	51→50	37	200/246/305	105	276	10	12	31%	4%	54	-2.0	220/261/355	135	283	15	9	27%	4%	72	-0.7	224/264/367	142	289	15	7	28%	4%	73	-0.5
✕Tyler Horan 2014 · A	23	43→42	38→55	51→45	41	204/260/288	84	298	4	7	31%	7%	55	-2.0	213/268/374	161	286	19	8	31%	6%	79	-0.2	208/264/372	164	274	20	7	31%	6%	75	-0.4
✕Danny Hayes 2014 · A	23	41→46	41→45	45→30	44	199/257/300	101	266	7	3	28%	7%	57	-1.8	217/292/332	115	293	10	2	27%	9%	78	-0.3	216/298/339	123	287	11	0	27%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Danny Ortiz 2012 · A	22	39→49	44→55	45	39	197/237/315	119	254	11	5	27%	5%	53	-2.1	225/258/349	124	281	11	4	23%	4%	69	-0.9	219/257/390	171	257	23	2	25%	4%	78	-0.2
✕Roman Pena 2011 · A	24	38→48	42→50	43→45	41	191/252/294	103	272	9	9	32%	7%	54	-2.0	230/292/355	125	313	10	9	28%	8%	82	+0.0	230/300/377	147	313	14	7	29%	9%	89	+0.3
✕Travis Swaggerty 2019 · A	21	39→46	41→45	50→55	40	192/251/290	98	279	8	7	33%	7%	53	-2.1	211/277/311	100	301	9	15	31%	8%	68	-1.0	209/278/308	99	307	7	19	32%	8%	63	-0.8
✕Rhett Wiseman 2018 · A	24	38→44	42→50	44→45	39	194/239/300	106	257	10	7	28%	5%	51	-2.3	191/249/329	138	277	16	7	35%	6%	61	-1.5	175/235/315	140	265	17	6	39%	6%	51	-1.5
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2021 · A	22	40→47	42→55	46→45	40	199/252/305	106	273	10	9	30%	6%	57	-1.8	221/280/394	173	275	22	8	27%	7%	88	+0.5	223/287/404	181	270	24	8	27%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Jared Hoying 2012 · A	23	41→49	39→55	44→55	40	196/253/283	87	273	5	9	29%	6%	52	-2.2	216/259/332	116	299	11	12	30%	5%	65	-1.2	216/256/353	137	295	15	14	31%	4%	66	-0.9
✕Felix Reyes 2023 · A	22	36→46	42→50	46→45	35	185/229/286	101	263	10	8	34%	4%	43	-2.8	221/256/343	122	261	14	7	21%	4%	66	-1.1	241/269/392	150	282	18	8	21%	3%	81	-0.0
✕Je'Von Ward 2024 · A	24	40→37	42→45	47→50	35	193/242/296	103	316	10	11	40%	6%	51	-2.3	204/283/324	120	311	13	9	35%	10%	73	-0.6	195/284/320	125	290	14	8	35%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Denis Phipps 2008 · A	23	41→51	40→50	47→50	39	204/253/287	83	272	8	11	28%	5%	53	-2.1	205/249/302	97	279	8	10	28%	5%	54	-2.0	228/278/359	131	309	13	11	29%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Cole Frenzel 2013 · A	23	41→40	42→40	49→40	42	204/257/312	109	254	9	6	24%	5%	60	-1.6	204/265/305	101	265	9	4	25%	6%	61	-1.5	195/259/291	96	254	8	2	25%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Cam Gibson 2017 · A	23	37→41	41→45	53→55	40	183/242/278	94	269	8	17	34%	7%	47	-2.6	198/260/312	114	273	10	17	29%	7%	61	-1.5	195/261/308	113	264	9	19	28%	7%	59	-1.3
✕Narciso Crook 2017 · A	22	38→43	42→50	51→50	32	193/230/298	105	288	10	11	36%	4%	46	-2.6	210/261/330	120	310	11	10	34%	5%	65	-1.2	211/273/363	152	309	16	14	35%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Josh Lester 2018 · A	24	41→44	44→55	45→40	36	208/239/325	117	270	11	4	28%	4%	56	-1.9	210/261/341	131	274	14	3	28%	6%	68	-1.0	201/255/359	158	258	20	1	30%	6%	70	-0.7
✕Nelson Perez 2011 · A	23	42	44→50	46→40	31	206/239/322	116	318	12	3	38%	4%	55	-2.0	214/265/348	134	329	14	5	37%	6%	72	-0.7	215/275/363	148	312	17	4	35%	7%	78	-0.2
✕Juan Carlos Perez 2010 · A	23	40→50	42→45	51→55	36	201/234/307	105	267	9	12	28%	4%	49	-2.4	226/258/338	112	294	9	14	25%	4%	65	-1.2	242/279/360	118	298	10	17	22%	4%	76	-0.3
✕Sean McMullen 2015 · A	23	42	38→45	46→50	38	203/245/285	82	282	5	6	29%	5%	49	-2.4	200/262/304	104	306	8	9	35%	7%	60	-1.6	182/252/300	118	282	9	11	36%	8%	55	-1.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps