Danny Hayes

Pos1B
B/TL/R
Born1990-09-21
Age (2027)36
No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.
Overview
AAALAST SEASON 2017
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
201524AACWS538.248/.391/.3607075—.211/.310/.299
201625AAA/INTL2 orgs286.228/.329/.41911080—.216/.293/.423
201726AAACWS515.228/.331/.41519057—.182/.256/.319
Contract
No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201322 ROKGreat Falls Voyagers — 273232 621925 34510 01 267361431792 164315 1912 346 48 — — — — — —
201423 AKannapolis Intimidators — 559473 13433411 731194 11 283384440823 156354 2113 364 78 — — — — — —
201524 AABirmingham Barons — 538431 1072137 981093 02 248391360751 111313 2018 345 75 — — — — — —
201625 AAACharlotte Knights — 217184 4612110 31510 00 250358489847 239293 2414 370 96 — — — — — —
201625 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 6962 10001 6200 01 161235210445 48214 299 209 28 — — — — — —
201726 AAACharlotte Knights — 515439 10023119 671421 02 228331415746 187285 2813 330 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201322 ROK MLEGreat Falls Voyagers — 273246 461314 20730 01 187248297545 110235 277 239 48 — — — — — —
201423 A MLEKannapolis Intimidators — 559500 11325310 461574 11 226296348644 122298 288 283 78 — — — — — —
201524 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 538465 982225 641363 02 211310299609 88279 2512 279 75 — — — — — —
201625 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 217194 421119 21580 00 216293423716 206258 2710 310 96 — — — — — —
201726 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 515461 8419114 451791 02 182256319575 137246 359 252 57 — — — — — —
201322 ROK MLEGreat Falls Voyagers — 273246 461314 20730 01 187248297545 110241 277 239 48 — — — — — —
201322 ROK RAWGreat Falls Voyagers — 273232 621925 34510 01 267361431792 164315 1912 346 48 — — — — — —
201423 A MLEKannapolis Intimidators — 559500 11325310 461574 11 226296348644 122306 288 283 78 — — — — — —
201423 A RAWKannapolis Intimidators — 559473 13433411 731194 11 283384440823 156354 2113 364 78 — — — — — —
201524 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 538465 982225 641363 02 211310299609 88284 2512 279 75 — — — — — —
201524 AA RAWBirmingham Barons — 538431 1072137 981093 02 248391360751 111313 2018 345 75 — — — — — —
201625 AAA MLE2 teams — 286255 5514112 28770 01 216293420713 204257 2710 310 96 — — — — — —
201625 AAA RAW2 teams — 286246 5612111 37710 01 228329419747 191273 2513 331 96 — — — — — —
201726 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 515461 8419114 451791 02 182256319575 137255 359 252 57 — — — — — —
201726 AAA RAWCharlotte Knights — 515439 10023119 671421 02 228331415746 187285 2813 330 57 — — — — — —
201322 ROK MLEGreat Falls Voyagers — 273251 461314 20730 01 183248291539 108235 277 239 48 — — — — — —
201423 A MLEKannapolis Intimidators — 559504 11325310 461574 11 224296345642 121298 288 283 78 — — — — — —
201524 AA MLEBirmingham Barons — 538466 982225 641363 02 210310298608 88279 2512 279 75 — — — — — —
201625 AAA MLE2 teams — 286256 5514112 28770 01 215293418711 203258 2710 310 96 — — — — — —
201726 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 515464 8419114 451791 02 181256317573 136246 359 252 57 — — — — — —
▸ Career Totals
Career— MLE — 21711927 39693845 2036228 17 206284332616 127274 299 273 71 -76 -3 +0 -39 +47 -7.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650577 11828213 611862 02 205283328610 123273 299 273 71 -23 -1 +0 -12 +14 -2.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2017 AAACharlotte Knights · 515 PAwOBA .323 → .252 (−72)K% 27.6% → 34.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.57%÷0.952×1.200——34.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.62%÷1.008×0.690—×1.0038.67%
HBP% /PA0.19%—×0.940—×1.0030.18%
Singles /BIP19.19%÷1.012×0.930×0.970×1.00317.16%
Doubles /BIP7.74%÷0.958×0.830×0.970×1.0036.53%
Triples /BIP0.34%÷1.077×0.970×0.970×1.0030.30%
Home runs /BIP6.40%÷1.150×0.840—×1.0034.69%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 115, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .323 → .252; ISO .187 → .140; BABIP .285 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 217 PAwOBA .359 → .310 (−48)K% 23.5% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.50%÷1.053×1.200——26.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.82%÷0.990×0.690—×1.0189.81%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0180.00%
Singles /BIP17.29%÷1.031×0.930×0.982×1.01815.59%
Doubles /BIP9.02%÷0.974×0.830×0.982×1.0187.68%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷0.926×0.970×0.982×1.0180.79%
Home runs /BIP7.52%÷0.950×0.840—×1.0186.77%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.

Result: wOBA .359 → .310; ISO .239 → .221; BABIP .293 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AABirmingham Barons · 538 PAwOBA .339 → .279 (−60)K% 20.3% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.26%÷0.981×1.220——25.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.84%÷1.019×0.680—×0.99811.88%
HBP% /PA0.56%—×0.840—×0.9980.47%
Singles /BIP23.60%÷1.007×0.920×0.957×0.99820.60%
Doubles /BIP6.52%÷0.875×0.910×0.957×0.9986.48%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷1.087×0.880×0.957×0.9980.72%
Home runs /BIP2.17%÷1.102×0.800—×0.9981.57%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .339 → .279; ISO .111 → .099; BABIP .313 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AKannapolis Intimidators · 559 PAwOBA .356 → .283 (−73)K% 21.3% → 28.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.29%÷1.017×1.340——28.05%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.70%÷0.990×0.660—×0.9808.29%
HBP% /PA0.72%—×0.770—×0.9800.54%
Singles /BIP24.29%÷0.982×0.920×0.953×0.98021.25%
Doubles /BIP9.32%÷0.997×0.820×0.953×0.9807.16%
Triples /BIP1.13%÷1.118×0.940×0.953×0.9800.89%
Home runs /BIP3.11%÷0.886×0.820—×0.9802.82%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 124, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.

Result: wOBA .356 → .283; ISO .156 → .130; BABIP .354 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 ROKGreat Falls Voyagers · 273 PAwOBA .343 → .239 (−104)K% 18.7% → 26.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.68%÷1.000×1.440——26.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.45%÷1.000×0.610—×0.9657.33%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9650.00%
Singles /BIP19.89%÷1.000×0.820×0.994×0.96515.64%
Doubles /BIP10.50%÷1.000×0.720×0.994×0.9657.25%
Triples /BIP1.10%÷1.000×0.720×0.994×0.9650.76%
Home runs /BIP2.76%÷1.000×0.750—×0.9652.00%

Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .343 → .239; ISO .164 → .114; BABIP .315 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .