Danny Hayes
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 24 | AACWS | 538 | .248/.391/.360 | 7 | 0 | 75 | — | .211/.310/.299 |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 286 | .228/.329/.419 | 11 | 0 | 80 | — | .216/.293/.423 |
| 2017 | 26 | AAACWS | 515 | .228/.331/.415 | 19 | 0 | 57 | — | .182/.256/.319 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | ROK | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 273 | 232 | 62 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 267 | 361 | 431 | 792 | 164 | 315 | 19 | 12 | 346 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 559 | 473 | 134 | 33 | 4 | 11 | 73 | 119 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 283 | 384 | 440 | 823 | 156 | 354 | 21 | 13 | 364 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 538 | 431 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 98 | 109 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 248 | 391 | 360 | 751 | 111 | 313 | 20 | 18 | 345 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 217 | 184 | 46 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 358 | 489 | 847 | 239 | 293 | 24 | 14 | 370 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 69 | 62 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 161 | 235 | 210 | 445 | 48 | 214 | 29 | 9 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 515 | 439 | 100 | 23 | 1 | 19 | 67 | 142 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 228 | 331 | 415 | 746 | 187 | 285 | 28 | 13 | 330 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 273 | 246 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 248 | 297 | 545 | 110 | 235 | 27 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 559 | 500 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 157 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 296 | 348 | 644 | 122 | 298 | 28 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 538 | 465 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 64 | 136 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 310 | 299 | 609 | 88 | 279 | 25 | 12 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 217 | 194 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 293 | 423 | 716 | 206 | 258 | 27 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 515 | 461 | 84 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 179 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 182 | 256 | 319 | 575 | 137 | 246 | 35 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 273 | 246 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 187 | 248 | 297 | 545 | 110 | 241 | 27 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK RAW | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 273 | 232 | 62 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 267 | 361 | 431 | 792 | 164 | 315 | 19 | 12 | 346 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 559 | 500 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 157 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 296 | 348 | 644 | 122 | 306 | 28 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A RAW | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 559 | 473 | 134 | 33 | 4 | 11 | 73 | 119 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 283 | 384 | 440 | 823 | 156 | 354 | 21 | 13 | 364 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 538 | 465 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 64 | 136 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 211 | 310 | 299 | 609 | 88 | 284 | 25 | 12 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA RAW | Birmingham Barons | — | 538 | 431 | 107 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 98 | 109 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 248 | 391 | 360 | 751 | 111 | 313 | 20 | 18 | 345 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 255 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 28 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 293 | 420 | 713 | 204 | 257 | 27 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 286 | 246 | 56 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 329 | 419 | 747 | 191 | 273 | 25 | 13 | 331 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 515 | 461 | 84 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 179 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 182 | 256 | 319 | 575 | 137 | 255 | 35 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 515 | 439 | 100 | 23 | 1 | 19 | 67 | 142 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 228 | 331 | 415 | 746 | 187 | 285 | 28 | 13 | 330 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 22 | ROK MLE | Great Falls Voyagers | — | 273 | 251 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 183 | 248 | 291 | 539 | 108 | 235 | 27 | 7 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 23 | A MLE | Kannapolis Intimidators | — | 559 | 504 | 113 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 46 | 157 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 296 | 345 | 642 | 121 | 298 | 28 | 8 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 538 | 466 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 64 | 136 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 210 | 310 | 298 | 608 | 88 | 279 | 25 | 12 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 286 | 256 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 28 | 77 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 215 | 293 | 418 | 711 | 203 | 258 | 27 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 515 | 464 | 84 | 19 | 1 | 14 | 45 | 179 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 181 | 256 | 317 | 573 | 136 | 246 | 35 | 9 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2171 | 1927 | 396 | 93 | 8 | 45 | 203 | 622 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 206 | 284 | 332 | 616 | 127 | 274 | 29 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -76 | -3 | +0 | -39 | +47 | -7.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 118 | 28 | 2 | 13 | 61 | 186 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 205 | 283 | 328 | 610 | 123 | 273 | 29 | 9 | 273 | 71 | -23 | -1 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAACharlotte Knights · 515 PAwOBA .323 → .252 (−72)K% 27.6% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.57% | ÷0.952 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.62% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.19% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 17.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.74% | ÷0.958 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.077 | ×0.970 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.40% | ÷1.150 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 4.69% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 115, K 90, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .323 → .252; ISO .187 → .140; BABIP .285 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 217 PAwOBA .359 → .310 (−48)K% 23.5% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.50% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.82% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.29% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×0.982 | ×1.018 | 15.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.02% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×0.982 | ×1.018 | 7.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.75% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×0.982 | ×1.018 | 0.79% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.52% | ÷0.950 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 6.77% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .359 → .310; ISO .239 → .221; BABIP .293 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AABirmingham Barons · 538 PAwOBA .339 → .279 (−60)K% 20.3% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.26% | ÷0.981 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.84% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 11.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.56% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.60% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×0.998 | 20.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.52% | ÷0.875 | ×0.910 | ×0.957 | ×0.998 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.087 | ×0.880 | ×0.957 | ×0.998 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.17% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.57% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 101, 2B 75, 3B 117, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .339 → .279; ISO .111 → .099; BABIP .313 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AKannapolis Intimidators · 559 PAwOBA .356 → .283 (−73)K% 21.3% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.29% | ÷1.017 | ×1.340 | — | — | 28.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.70% | ÷0.990 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 8.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 0.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.29% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.953 | ×0.980 | 21.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.32% | ÷0.997 | ×0.820 | ×0.953 | ×0.980 | 7.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.118 | ×0.940 | ×0.953 | ×0.980 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.11% | ÷0.886 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 2.82% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 96, 2B 99, 3B 124, K 103, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .356 → .283; ISO .156 → .130; BABIP .354 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 ROKGreat Falls Voyagers · 273 PAwOBA .343 → .239 (−104)K% 18.7% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.68% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.610 | — | ×0.965 | 7.33% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×0.965 | 15.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.994 | ×0.965 | 7.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.994 | ×0.965 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.965 | 2.00% |
Factors used: league row PIO. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .343 → .239; ISO .164 → .114; BABIP .315 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .