Heriberto Caraballo

Heriberto CaraballoC Palm Beach Cardinals

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 191 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION163 act + 108 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.197 / .279 / .290

PA108

HR2

K%29

BB%8

BABIP263

ISO93

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE54

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$13M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	129	119	18	3	1	0	6	29	4	0	0	151	217	193	410	42	200	22	5	182	-2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	129	116	28	6	1	0	9	19	4	0	0	241	318	310	628	69	289	15	7	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	158	142	15	2	0	2	9	51	6	0	0	106	191	162	353	56	144	32	6	155	-23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	158	136	18	3	0	2	15	36	6	0	0	132	248	199	447	66	162	23	9	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	121	105	15	2	0	1	11	40	4	4	1	143	250	190	440	48	215	33	9	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	121	100	19	3	0	1	16	28	4	4	1	190	325	250	575	60	250	23	13	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	STL	—	163	141	24	1	0	4	14	57	6	1	3	170	273	262	536	92	244	35	9	243	44	-10	-1	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
YTD	21	A	STL	—	163	136	28	1	0	5	19	40	6	1	3	206	329	324	653	118	247	25	12	302	89	-2	-1	+0	+3	+5	0.5
ROS	21	A	STL	0%	108	96	19	3	0	2	9	31	2	1	1	197	279	290	568	93	264	29	8	261	58	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
ROS	21	MLB	STL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		264	—	—	245	46	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	STL	—	163	142	24	1	0	4	14	57	6	1	3	169	273	261	534	92	241	35	9	243	44	-10	-1	+0	+3	+5	-0.4
TOT	21	A	STL	—	271	237	43	4	0	6	23	88	8	2	4	181	275	273	549	93	252	32	8	250	50	-15	-1	+0	+5	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	STL	34%	284	253	51	8	1	6	23	79	6	3	2	202	284	312	596	111	268	28	8	272	66	-11	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2028	23	MLB	STL	48%	375	334	69	12	1	8	31	102	7	5	2	207	288	320	608	114	271	27	8	279	72	-12	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.6
2029	24	MLB	STL	53%	435	388	83	14	2	10	36	117	8	5	3	214	294	338	632	124	273	27	8	283	75	-12	-0	+0	+8	+12	0.8
2030	25	MLB	STL	55%	466	415	89	15	2	11	39	125	9	6	3	214	296	340	636	125	274	27	8	285	77	-12	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.9
2031	26	MLB	STL	56%	485	433	91	15	2	11	40	130	9	6	3	210	290	330	621	120	274	27	8	286	77	-13	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.0
2032	27	MLB	STL	55%	490	437	92	15	2	11	41	131	9	6	3	211	292	330	621	119	273	27	8	286	77	-13	+0	+0	+9	+14	1.0
2033	28	MLB	STL	55%	489	435	91	15	2	11	42	132	9	6	3	209	292	329	621	120	273	27	9	285	76	-13	+0	-1	+9	+14	0.9
2027	22	MLB	STL	34%	98	88	18	3	0	2	8	27	2	1	1	205	286	307	593	102	268	28	8	257	55	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	STL	48%	182	161	35	6	1	4	15	50	4	2	1	217	300	342	642	124	271	27	8	264	60	-8	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
2029	24	MLB	STL	53%	229	204	43	7	1	5	19	62	4	3	1	211	291	328	619	118	273	27	8	269	64	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.2
2030	25	MLB	STL	55%	255	227	48	8	1	6	21	68	5	3	2	211	292	335	627	123	274	27	8	271	66	-10	-0	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2031	26	MLB	STL	56%	270	240	51	9	1	6	23	72	5	3	2	212	295	333	628	121	273	27	9	272	66	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2032	27	MLB	STL	55%	270	240	50	8	1	6	23	72	5	3	2	208	291	325	616	117	273	27	9	272	66	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2033	28	MLB	STL	55%	267	237	50	8	1	6	23	72	5	3	2	211	294	329	623	118	273	27	9	271	65	-10	-0	-0	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1571	1398	295	49	6	35	132	423	30	18	11	211	293	330	623	119	275	27	8	269	64	-63	-1	-0	+28	+45	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	121	20	2	14	55	175	12	7	5	209	291	324	615	114	274	27	8	269	64	-26	-1	-0	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	3540	3157	633	104	13	73	287	967	73	42	21	200	282	311	593	111	262	27	8	270	65	-140	+0	-1	+63	+100	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	115	19	2	13	53	178	13	8	4	198	280	305	585	107	260	27	8	270	65	-26	+0	-0	+12	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	18	ROK	DSL Cardinals	—	129	116	28	6	1	0	9	19	4	0	0	241	318	310	628	69	289	15	7	291	81	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	24	22	1	1	0	0	2	9	0	0	0	45	125	91	216	45	77	38	8	112	-56	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2024	19	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	134	114	17	2	0	2	13	27	6	0	0	149	271	219	490	70	174	20	10	239	41	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.5
2025	20	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	71	61	9	0	0	1	8	19	1	1	0	148	257	197	454	49	190	27	11	220	27	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2025	20	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	50	39	10	3	0	0	8	9	3	3	1	256	420	333	753	77	333	18	16	359	133	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#4Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,728	38	21	212	289	331	+31	+20	2.9	2.9
	/162	664	15	8	212	289	331	+11.9	+7.7	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Heriberto Caraballo (OGILVIE)	21	30→35	38→43	45→50	54	181/275/273	93	252	6	2	32%	8%	50	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Jeter Downs 2018 · A	20	42→40	43→50	47→55	47	208/276/316	107	257	11	9	23%	7%	64	-0.8	211/277/355	144	271	15	17	27%	7%	75	-0.0	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Geoandry Montilla 2017 · A	21	44	41→45	45→50	46	214/281/315	101	286	8	9	27%	8%	66	-0.6	197/264/296	99	314	8	8	37%	7%	54	-1.4	131/203/233	101	238	8	7	45%	7%	11	-1.2
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→37	40	50→40	50	194/278/287	93	254	6	9	25%	9%	58	-1.2	189/282/293	104	252	11	4	27%	11%	62	-0.9	173/268/275	101	223	12	2	27%	11%	50	-1.2
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Antonio Negron 2007 · A	21	40	41→45	42→50	50	194/285/294	100	244	9	10	23%	9%	63	-0.8	211/289/317	106	264	10	10	23%	8%	71	-0.3	206/289/314	108	245	12	12	21%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Oswaldo Linares 2023 · A	20	42	41→40	48→40	52	203/299/297	93	263	9	6	25%	10%	70	-0.3	188/285/268	80	281	7	4	32%	11%	57	-1.2	161/265/226	65	247	6	2	33%	11%	36	-1.0
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A	22	43	41→40	46→45	48	206/290/308	102	278	8	6	27%	9%	69	-0.4	221/302/309	88	318	7	6	30%	9%	74	-0.1	242/332/316	74	335	8	6	27%	10%	86	+0.3
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2021 · A	21	44→45	40	46→40	43	215/264/301	87	273	8	6	24%	6%	54	-1.4	227/296/326	99	305	8	4	26%	8%	75	-0.0	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Glenn Santiago 2022 · A	21	43	40	51→45	49	207/278/298	91	250	7	11	20%	7%	60	-1.0	201/261/288	87	294	7	8	32%	7%	50	-1.7	184/247/261	77	274	7	8	33%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Tucker Mitchell 2022 · A	21	42	40→50	51→45	39	201/261/291	91	297	7	7	33%	6%	51	-1.7	195/269/309	114	298	13	8	37%	7%	61	-1.0	180/256/293	113	258	15	7	35%	7%	49	-0.7
✕Juan Uriarte 2019 · A	21	46	41→45	49→30	41	223/277/320	96	282	8	4	23%	5%	65	-0.7	186/228/266	80	283	6	4	35%	3%	30	-3.1	145/181/205	60	226	4	0	37%	2%	-9	-1.6
✕Fernando Pujadas 2013 · A	21	43	41→40	46→30	48	208/287/304	96	264	8	3	23%	8%	66	-0.6	218/286/306	88	287	6	5	24%	7%	66	-0.6	232/290/310	78	294	4	0	21%	6%	65	-0.1