Justin Sinibaldi

Justin Sinibaldi P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 24 LHP 6'5" / 220 lbs A+ peak 1.0 · 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION115 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120128vR 136

ERA5.43

FIP5.43

K%14.8%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%2.1%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 121 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL4040

CMD3535

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	3	3	9	39	7	3	0	100%	3.0	17.9%	7.7%	10.3%	0.0%	5.00	2.56	—
2024	22	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	3	3	9	39	7	3	0	100%	3.0	17.9%	7.7%	10.3%	0.0%	5.00	2.56	—
2024	22	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	3	3	9	39	7	3	0	100%	3.0	17.9%	7.7%	10.3%	0.0%	5.00	2.54	—
2025	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	91	373	80	35	6	100%	4.1	15.9%	11.1%	4.8%	2.5%	3.76	4.51	—
2025	23	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	91	373	80	35	6	100%	4.1	15.9%	11.1%	4.8%	2.5%	3.76	4.51	—
2025	23	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	22	22	91	373	80	35	6	100%	4.1	21.4%	9.4%	12.1%	1.6%	3.76	3.35	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	25	23	115	505	95	47	15	92%	4.6	14.5%	10.7%	3.8%	3.7%	4.84	5.27	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	Winston-Salem Dash	25	23	115	505	95	47	15	92%	4.6	14.5%	10.7%	3.8%	3.7%	4.84	5.27	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	24	A+ RAW	CWS	25	23	115	505	95	47	15	92%	4.6	18.8%	9.3%	9.5%	3.0%	4.84	4.32	—
ROS	24	MLB MLE	CWS	1	1	6	26	4	3	1	100%	6.1	14.8%	12.7%	2.1%	2.9%	5.43	5.43	-0.0
2026 TOT	24	MLB MLE	CWS	—	—	121	531	99	50	16	—	—	18.6%	9.5%	9.1%	3.0%	4.87	5.28	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CWS	20	20	114	483	79	57	14	100%	5.7	16.4%	11.8%	4.6%	2.9%	5.24	5.18	-0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	CWS	19	19	114	483	83	55	14	100%	6.0	17.2%	11.5%	5.8%	2.9%	5.11	5.07	-0.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	CWS	19	19	113	475	83	54	14	100%	5.9	17.4%	11.4%	6.1%	3.0%	5.07	5.07	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	CWS	18	18	109	461	80	53	14	100%	6.1	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.1%	5.10	5.13	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	CWS	17	17	104	440	76	51	14	100%	6.1	17.2%	11.6%	5.6%	3.2%	5.20	5.27	-0.4
2032	30	MLB MLE	CWS	16	16	98	414	70	49	14	100%	6.1	16.9%	11.9%	4.9%	3.4%	5.35	5.44	-0.6
2027	25	MLB CTX	CWS	8	8	49	207	34	24	6	100%	6.1	16.4%	11.8%	4.6%	2.9%	5.24	5.18	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	CWS	13	13	76	321	55	37	9	100%	5.8	17.2%	11.5%	5.8%	2.9%	5.11	5.07	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	CWS	14	14	87	367	64	42	11	100%	6.2	17.4%	11.4%	6.1%	3.0%	5.07	5.07	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	CWS	15	15	92	388	68	44	12	100%	6.1	17.4%	11.4%	6.0%	3.1%	5.10	5.13	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	CWS	15	15	91	384	66	45	12	100%	6.1	17.2%	11.6%	5.6%	3.2%	5.20	5.27	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	CWS	15	15	88	372	63	44	13	100%	5.9	16.9%	11.9%	4.9%	3.4%	5.35	5.44	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		81	81	483	2041	350	237	63	100%	6.0	17.1%	11.6%	5.6%	3.1%	5.17	4.82	+0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	145	98	26	100%	6.0	17.1%	11.6%	5.6%	3.1%	5.17	4.82	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		50	48	215	917	139	98	28	96%	4.3	15.2%	10.7%	4.5%	3.0%	4.39	4.85	-2.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		46	45	200	852	129	91	26	96%	4.3	15.2%	10.7%	4.5%	3.0%	4.39	4.85	-0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Justin Sinibaldi (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.43	14.8%	12.7%	2.9%	—	5.11	17.0%	5.5%	341	-0.32	—	—	—
Christian MacLeod L 2023 · 4.52 FIP	23	SP	4.52	16.4%	10.5%	2.7%	.312	4.60	19.5%	5.2%	212	+0.08	3.90	277	88
Jake Zokan L 2015 · 4.89 FIP	24	SP	4.89	12.5%	9.9%	2.9%	.292	1.79	24.2%	22.5%	37	-3.10	1.79	120	87
Miguel Cienfuegos L 2023 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP	5.12	13.6%	10.5%	3.4%	.257	4.56	14.1%	5.6%	242	-0.56	2.99	313	86
Dominic Perachi L 2023 · 5.19 FIP	22	SP-	5.19	17.5%	13.9%	3.3%	.324	3.80	17.1%	6.8%	186	-1.39	3.33	277	83
Cameron Bishop L 2019 · 4.65 FIP	23	SP	4.65	16.6%	13.9%	2.2%	.316	3.42	23.8%	11.5%	66	-1.23	2.86	305	78
Michel Gelabert L 2019 · 4.36 FIP	22	SP	4.36	18.7%	12.1%	2.4%	.248	—	—	—	—	—	3.36	107	77
Matt Portland L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	24	SP-	4.64	17.4%	11.0%	2.9%	.364	—	—	—	—	—	3.61	143	77
Demetrio Gutierrez L 2015 · 5.33 FIP	25	SP-	5.33	12.3%	8.5%	4.0%	.327	4.78	10.7%	3.9%	181	-0.55	3.68	322	77
Brett Adcock L 2019 · 5.34 FIP	23	SP	5.34	17.4%	13.6%	3.6%	.295	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	301	76
Jeremy Wu-Yelland L 2021 · 4.44 FIP	22	SP	4.44	19.6%	14.6%	2.1%	.266	3.90	20.3%	3.7%	33	-0.54	2.93	175	76
Grant Watson L 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SP-	4.70	16.4%	10.3%	3.0%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	2.59	180	76
Eric Jokisch L 2015 · 4.34 FIP	26	SP	4.34	11.1%	7.1%	2.3%	.307	4.05	14.7%	6.8%	342	-0.29	3.78	412	75
Amilcar Gaxiola L 2015 · 4.58 FIP	24	SP-	4.58	6.3%	8.4%	1.7%	.323	4.99	11.3%	1.8%	148	+0.41	4.58	321	75
Bodi Rascon L 2023 · 4.92 FIP	22	SP	4.92	17.5%	14.5%	2.7%	.264	5.66	11.5%	-8.3%	43	+0.74	4.18	218	74
Tyler Schweitzer L 2023 · 4.50 FIP	22	SP	4.50	19.6%	11.3%	3.0%	.293	4.16	16.8%	8.8%	318	-0.34	3.98	425	74
Shane Drohan L 2023 · 5.18 FIP	24	SP	5.18	19.3%	12.1%	4.0%	.308	3.49	24.7%	15.9%	190	-1.69	2.88	532	73
Hobbs Johnson L 2015 · 4.54 FIP	24	SP	4.54	14.9%	16.6%	1.1%	.254	5.14	12.3%	-5.3%	25	+0.60	4.54	143	73
Jack Snodgrass L 2015 · 4.66 FIP	27	SP-	4.66	12.6%	10.7%	2.3%	.278	5.01	15.7%	5.6%	45	+0.35	4.66	118	73
Dante Biasi L 2022 · 4.91 FIP	24	SP-	4.91	18.7%	15.9%	2.5%	.288	6.65	20.1%	1.7%	69	+1.74	4.91	224	73
Jared Shuster L 2023 · 5.04 FIP	24	SP	5.04	14.2%	11.3%	3.1%	.306	4.73	16.4%	8.1%	195	-0.31	3.92	539	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.6	103	16.9%	11.7%	1.18	5.20
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32
Dakota Hudson ('24)	2.8	92	15.0%	11.1%	0.91	4.25
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10