Justin Sinibaldi
P
Winston-Salem Dash
Age 24
LHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
A+
peak 0.7 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION72 act + 66 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123132vR 142
ERA5.46
FIP5.46
K%14.8%
BB%12.6%
K-BB%2.3%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 138 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 3 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 3.0 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 5.00 | 2.56 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 3 | 3 | 9 | 39 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 3.0 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 5.00 | 2.54 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 22 | 22 | 91 | 373 | 80 | 35 | 6 | 100% | 4.1 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.76 | 4.79 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Kannapolis Cannon Ballers | 22 | 22 | 91 | 373 | 80 | 35 | 6 | 100% | 4.1 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 1.6% | 3.76 | 3.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Winston-Salem Dash | 16 | 14 | 72 | 325 | 59 | 30 | 13 | 88% | 4.5 | 14.0% | 10.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.03 | 6.01 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CWS | 12 | 12 | 66 | 280 | 42 | 35 | 8 | 100% | 5.5 | 14.8% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.46 | 5.46 | -0.6 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14.8% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.46 | 5.46 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 138 | 605 | 101 | 65 | 21 | — | — | 16.6% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 5.75 | 5.74 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | CWS | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 14.8% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.46 | 5.08 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 12 | 12 | 68 | 287 | 47 | 34 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 16.5% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.27 | 5.22 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 50 | 33 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 17.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 67 | 283 | 50 | 33 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 5.11 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 49 | 32 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 17.7% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | CWS | 5 | 5 | 29 | 122 | 20 | 15 | 4 | 100% | 5.8 | 16.5% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.27 | 5.22 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | CWS | 8 | 8 | 45 | 190 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 100% | 5.6 | 17.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.15 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | CWS | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 100% | 5.8 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 5.11 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB | CWS | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 41 | 27 | 7 | 100% | 6.1 | 17.7% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 5.14 | 5.18 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 30 | 30 | 181 | 765 | 133 | 89 | 23 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.16 | 4.77 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 147 | 98 | 25 | 100% | 6.0 | 17.4% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 5.16 | 4.77 | +1.5 | ||
| Career | — | 41 | 39 | 172 | 737 | 112 | 79 | 27 | 95% | 4.2 | 15.1% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.77 | 5.21 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 48 | 45 | 200 | 859 | 130 | 92 | 32 | 95% | 4.2 | 15.1% | 10.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.77 | 5.21 | +0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Justin Sinibaldi (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.46 | 14.8% | 12.6% | 3.0% | — | 5.15 | 17.2% | 5.5% | 203 | -0.31 | — | — | — |
| Jake Zokan L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.12 | 12.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.80 | 24.2% | 22.5% | 37 | -3.32 | 1.80 | 120 | 87 |
| Miguel Cienfuegos L 2028 · 5.52 FIP | 26 | SP | 5.52 | 13.6% | 10.5% | 4.1% | .257 | 4.63 | 14.5% | 5.5% | 228 | -0.89 | 3.09 | 299 | 84 |
| Caden Grice L 2026 · 5.28 FIP | 24 | SP | 5.28 | 17.3% | 15.5% | 3.1% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 84 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2024 · 5.29 FIP | 22 | SP | 5.29 | 17.1% | 11.1% | 4.1% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 119 | 80 |
| Jordan Fowler L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 24 | SP | 4.30 | 13.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .318 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 124 | 78 |
| Connor O'Halloran L 2023 · 5.02 FIP | 21 | SP | 5.02 | 17.2% | 12.3% | 3.3% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.02 | 104 | 78 |
| Brett Adcock L 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 23 | SP | 5.22 | 17.4% | 13.6% | 3.4% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 301 | 77 |
| Cameron Bishop L 2025 · 4.52 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.52 | 16.6% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .316 | 3.28 | 23.8% | 11.5% | 66 | -1.24 | 2.86 | 305 | 77 |
| Michel Gelabert L 2024 · 4.58 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.58 | 18.7% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .248 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 107 | 77 |
| Matt Portland L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.64 | 17.4% | 11.0% | 2.9% | .364 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.61 | 143 | 77 |
| Grant Watson L 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.68 | 16.4% | 10.3% | 3.0% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 180 | 76 |
| Cole Reynolds L 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.26 | 17.3% | 16.9% | 2.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.81 | 108 | 75 |
| Demetrio Gutierrez L 2027 · 5.80 FIP | 25 | SP- | 5.80 | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.9% | .327 | 4.56 | 10.7% | 3.9% | 181 | -1.24 | 3.63 | 322 | 75 |
| Amilcar Gaxiola L 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.57 | 6.3% | 8.4% | 1.7% | .323 | 5.16 | 11.3% | 1.8% | 148 | +0.59 | 4.37 | 321 | 75 |
| Eric Jokisch L 2028 · 4.47 FIP | 26 | SP | 4.47 | 11.1% | 7.1% | 2.6% | .307 | 4.10 | 14.7% | 6.8% | 342 | -0.37 | 3.80 | 412 | 74 |
| Jack Snodgrass L 2029 · 4.77 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.77 | 12.6% | 10.7% | 2.5% | .278 | 5.20 | 15.7% | 5.6% | 45 | +0.43 | 4.77 | 118 | 74 |
| Dante Biasi L 2026 · 5.06 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.06 | 18.7% | 15.9% | 2.8% | .288 | 7.16 | 20.1% | 1.7% | 69 | +2.10 | 4.88 | 224 | 74 |
| Jagger Haynes L 2025 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.74 | 16.5% | 11.6% | 2.9% | .265 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.14 | 328 | 74 |
| Luis Leroy Cruz L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.93 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.93 | 116 | 74 |
| Josh Hartle L 2025 · 4.54 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.54 | 16.1% | 10.1% | 2.8% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 180 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 67 | 16.8% | 11.9% | 1.17 | 5.23 |
| Jorge De La Rosa ('18) | 4 | 98 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 1.22 | 4.52 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Wily Peralta ('22) | 7 | 71 | 16.1% | 9.8% | 1.22 | 4.66 |