Mauricio Colmenares

Mauricio Colmenares P ACL Reds

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.80

FIP4.80

K%21.2%

BB%11.7%

K-BB%9.5%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	13	4	30	136	31	16	1	31%	2.3	15.5%	14.7%	0.8%	1.1%	5.34	4.27	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	13	4	30	136	31	16	1	31%	2.3	22.8%	11.8%	11.0%	0.7%	5.34	3.07	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	14	7	44	173	25	12	0	50%	3.1	9.8%	8.7%	1.2%	0.0%	2.06	3.37	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	14	7	44	173	25	12	0	50%	3.1	9.8%	8.7%	1.2%	0.0%	2.06	3.37	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	14	7	44	173	25	12	0	50%	3.1	14.5%	6.9%	7.5%	0.0%	2.06	2.78	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	11	0	19	83	19	11	2	0%	1.7	15.6%	16.6%	-1.0%	2.7%	5.79	5.36	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	ACL Reds	11	0	19	83	19	11	2	0%	1.7	15.6%	16.6%	-1.0%	2.7%	5.79	5.36	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	ACL Reds	11	0	19	83	19	11	2	0%	1.7	22.9%	13.3%	9.6%	2.4%	5.79	4.22	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	23	MLB	CIN	14	0	15	63	13	7	2	0%	1.1	21.2%	11.7%	9.5%	3.0%	4.80	4.80	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	24	MLB MLE	CIN	19	0	20	84	19	9	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.7%	11.3%	2.9%	4.66	4.60	-0.0
2028	24	MLB CTX	CIN	9	0	9	38	8	4	1	0%	1.0	21.9%	10.7%	11.3%	2.9%	4.66	4.60	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	8	4	1	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.7%	11.3%	2.9%	4.66	4.22	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	187	94	23	0%	1.1	21.9%	10.7%	11.3%	2.9%	4.66	4.22	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		38	11	93	392	51	49	4	29%	2.4	13.0%	12.4%	0.6%	1.0%	3.88	4.10	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		82	24	200	846	110	105	8	29%	2.4	13.0%	12.4%	0.6%	1.0%	3.88	4.10	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Mauricio Colmenares (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.80	21.2%	11.7%	3.0%	—	4.60	21.9%	11.3%	20	-0.20	—	—	—
Trent Fennell R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	23	SW	4.08	20.6%	12.2%	2.1%	.328	5.52	19.4%	3.5%	107	+1.44	4.08	163	86
Yunior Montero R 2016 · 3.65 FIP	23	SW	3.65	21.9%	11.9%	1.6%	.239	5.21	21.3%	3.7%	54	+1.56	3.65	127	84
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	83
Jonathan Papelbon R 2005 · 3.93 FIP	24	SW	3.93	23.0%	10.1%	2.7%	.305	1.90	31.3%	26.8%	196	-2.03	1.33	726	82
Luis Romero R 2017 · 5.00 FIP	23	SU	5.00	22.1%	11.9%	4.1%	.367	4.26	21.6%	12.5%	132	-0.74	4.00	293	82
Alec Barger R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SW	4.55	21.7%	13.6%	2.8%	.289	4.17	21.3%	9.4%	148	-0.38	3.85	242	82
Todd Peterson R 2021 · 5.11 FIP	23	SW	5.11	18.4%	10.3%	4.1%	.279	4.83	15.0%	4.3%	124	-0.28	4.45	175	82
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	81
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.26	16.4%	8.7%	208	+1.06	4.20	277	81
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	80
Zac Ryan R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	23	SU	3.83	20.5%	10.9%	2.0%	.233	3.93	21.6%	6.9%	124	+0.10	3.83	184	80
Tyler Santana R 2021 · 4.28 FIP	23	SU	4.28	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.333	4.37	16.0%	5.7%	259	+0.09	3.37	401	79
Kyle Zimmer R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	23	SW	3.74	21.8%	8.6%	2.5%	.293	4.55	20.4%	9.0%	33	+0.81	2.08	276	79
Jeff Niemann R 2008 · 5.04 FIP	25	SW	5.04	18.4%	10.5%	4.0%	.294	4.16	17.4%	10.3%	490	-0.88	2.96	544	79
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	78
Brandon Beckel R 2024 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	19.4%	10.3%	1.8%	.250	4.23	19.5%	10.5%	147	+0.48	3.75	194	78
Blake Holub R 2022 · 4.55 FIP	23	SU	4.55	21.7%	15.3%	2.4%	.339	3.73	23.4%	12.7%	156	-0.82	3.22	258	78
Ryan Conroy R 2021 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	22.2%	9.8%	2.8%	.353	4.75	19.3%	6.7%	54	+0.74	4.01	106	78
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.80	25.1%	15.0%	175	-0.63	2.47	305	78
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	78