Player 811294 — OGILVIE

Player 8112941B Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age — —/— A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION95 act + 13 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .231 / .167

PA13

HR0

K%38

BB%8

BABIP305

ISO125

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	A MLE	CHC	—	95	90	19	1	1	4	4	45	1	8	2	211	253	378	630	167	366	47	4	258	61	-4	+1	+0	-2	+2	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	A RAW	CHC	—	95	88	26	1	2	5	6	32	1	8	2	295	347	523	870	227	412	34	6	380	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	A MLE	CHC	0%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	167	231	167	397		302	38	8	263	64	-1	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	—	A MLE	CHC	—	108	102	21	1	1	4	5	50	1	9	2	206	250	353	603	147	354	46	5	259	61	-5	+1	+0	-2	+2	-0.4
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	217	200	42	5	2	6	13	78	2	8	1	210	265	345	610	135	300	36	6	268	67	-8	+1	+0	-4	+5	-0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	343	316	66	8	3	10	21	120	3	12	2	209	265	348	613	139	299	35	6	272	70	-12	+2	+0	-6	+7	-0.9
2027	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	303	—	—	262	67	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	CHC	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	302	—	—	266	70	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	573	528	110	13	5	16	35	203	5	21	3	208	264	343	607	134	301	35	6	270	69	-21	+3	+0	-10	+12	-1.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	125	15	6	18	40	230	6	24	3	209	265	344	609	135	302	35	6	270	69	-24	+3	+0	-12	+14	-1.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.2	775	21	27	208	260	340	-10	+0	-1.4	-0.7
/162	664	18	23	-8.4	+0.0	-1.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 811294 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	202/254/332	130	302	6	9	37%	6%	64	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Gorski 2022 · A	24	36→34	46→55	54→55	35	185/237/306	121	290	14	16	40%	6%	52	-2.2	198/249/357	159	279	20	20	35%	6%	68	-1.0	187/237/352	165	264	21	15	37%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Billy Cook 2023 · A	24	36→42	47→50	57→55	33	182/239/318	135	298	14	20	42%	5%	55	-1.9	203/262/336	133	286	15	22	33%	6%	68	-1.0	207/271/333	126	286	14	25	31%	7%	68	-0.6
✕Bradlee Beesley 2023 · AA	25	40	45	55→60	37	201/256/323	123	294	12	21	35%	6%	63	-1.4	207/285/328	121	308	10	26	34%	8%	75	-0.5	192/286/323	131	289	10	39	34%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Andrew Cain 2015 · A	25	41→37	45→50	57→50	39	207/258/333	126	286	12	14	31%	6%	65	-1.2	190/248/312	122	317	13	9	41%	7%	57	-1.8	153/216/273	120	258	13	8	44%	7%	34	-2.2
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	39	44→45	53→60	44	192/273/305	114	293	11	16	36%	9%	65	-1.2	199/280/310	111	290	12	26	33%	9%	70	-0.9	181/272/285	104	255	13	39	32%	9%	60	-0.6
✕LeDarious Clark 2019 · A	25	37→34	45	53→55	38	183/250/306	123	294	13	20	40%	7%	57	-1.8	198/262/311	113	303	12	14	36%	6%	62	-1.4	155/200/257	102	219	15	7	37%	3%	27	-0.8
✕Kalian Sams 2012 · A	25	30→27	52→55	52→55	30	171/218/334	163	278	22	14	46%	5%	51	-2.2	199/253/359	160	288	21	17	37%	6%	70	-0.8	191/250/351	160	260	22	20	35%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Joe Suozzi 2023 · A	25	41	43→45	53→50	34	191/261/302	111	326	11	14	42%	6%	60	-1.6	214/285/308	94	337	9	10	36%	7%	70	-0.8	231/300/312	81	347	8	8	33%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Yusuf Carter 2009 · A	24	36→33	48→50	50	34	191/232/333	142	279	16	13	37%	5%	56	-1.9	221/261/362	141	312	17	9	33%	5%	73	-0.6	233/273/377	144	318	18	5	32%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Matthew Dyer 2023 · A	25	42	43→55	53→50	35	193/260/304	110	333	11	13	42%	6%	60	-1.6	200/260/301	101	349	9	12	42%	7%	59	-1.7	172/239/255	84	306	3	17	42%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Jordan Nwogu 2023 · A	24	41	48→45	53→55	41	206/278/348	142	298	16	16	35%	7%	77	-0.3	194/256/307	113	291	13	20	36%	6%	59	-1.6	213/279/291	78	298	7	24	29%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2021 · AAA	25	39→38	45→50	53→55	44	198/278/323	125	278	13	16	32%	8%	72	-0.7	198/274/306	108	267	10	16	28%	8%	65	-1.2	157/242/244	87	210	7	20	27%	8%	37	-1.4
✕Taylor Snyder 2021 · A	26	40→34	45→50	50	34	199/248/323	124	312	13	12	40%	5%	59	-1.6	190/242/341	151	281	19	12	38%	6%	61	-1.5	166/224/312	146	239	20	14	39%	7%	46	-1.3
✕Josh Stowers 2022 · AA	25	38→44	50	54→55	41	198/264/345	148	281	18	23	35%	7%	71	-0.8	184/252/310	126	262	14	20	34%	7%	59	-1.7	162/235/275	113	230	12	21	34%	7%	42	-1.8
✕Spike McDougall 2009 · A	25	40→38	46→45	50	39	198/266/327	129	309	14	11	39%	8%	68	-1.0	198/266/304	106	320	9	13	38%	8%	62	-1.4	168/245/258	90	277	5	19	38%	9%	43	-1.2
✕Brandon Downes 2018 · A	25	37→35	49→50	48→50	35	193/247/340	147	285	17	10	38%	5%	63	-1.3	197/254/326	129	312	14	10	39%	6%	63	-1.4	158/213/265	108	265	13	10	44%	6%	30	-1.5
✕Kyle Gaedele 2015 · AA	25	41→43	44→45	54→50	40	201/262/324	122	289	11	16	33%	7%	65	-1.2	205/273/341	136	339	15	10	41%	8%	74	-0.6	180/259/326	147	314	17	7	45%	8%	63	-0.7
✕Melky Mesa 2011 · A	24	38→44	49→50	54→55	36	197/257/349	152	292	17	17	37%	6%	70	-0.9	211/263/352	141	306	15	18	35%	5%	72	-0.7	208/249/352	144	288	18	17	34%	4%	63	-0.8
✕Cory Vaughn 2014 · AA	25	41→42	45	53→50	43	205/281/329	124	284	13	14	31%	8%	74	-0.6	189/257/296	107	273	11	13	33%	7%	57	-1.8	162/232/259	97	233	10	12	34%	7%	37	-1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps