Yoelvin Chirino — OGILVIE

Yoelvin Chirino P FCL Red Sox

Age 22 RHP 6'0" / 161 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 16 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 149141vR 133

ERA6.10

FIP6.10

K%18.4%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-1.6%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	8	0	11	52	8	10	1	0%	1.4	10.5%	24.0%	-13.6%	3.1%	7.15	6.99	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	8	0	11	52	8	10	1	0%	1.4	15.4%	19.2%	-3.8%	1.9%	7.15	5.48	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	12	7	37	159	40	23	3	58%	3.1	17.1%	18.1%	-1.0%	2.7%	3.16	5.41	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	12	7	37	159	40	23	3	58%	3.1	17.1%	18.1%	-1.0%	2.7%	3.16	5.41	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	12	7	37	159	40	23	3	58%	3.1	25.2%	14.5%	10.7%	1.9%	3.16	3.86	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	7	33	146	45	35	4	58%	2.8	21.0%	30.0%	-9.0%	4.7%	6.48	7.71	—
2025	20	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	7	33	146	45	35	4	58%	2.8	21.0%	30.0%	-9.0%	4.7%	6.48	7.71	—
2025	20	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	12	7	33	146	45	35	4	58%	2.8	30.8%	24.0%	6.8%	2.7%	6.48	5.11	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	0	23	139	17	41	2	0%	1.9	8.3%	36.9%	-28.6%	2.0%	14.48	8.17	—
2026	21	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	12	0	23	139	17	41	2	0%	1.9	8.3%	36.9%	-28.6%	2.0%	14.48	8.17	—
2026	21	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	12	0	23	139	17	41	2	0%	1.9	12.2%	29.5%	-17.3%	1.4%	14.48	8.10	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	22	MLB	BOS	15	0	16	68	12	14	2	0%	1.1	18.4%	20.0%	-1.6%	3.0%	6.10	6.10	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	23	MLB MLE	BOS	30	0	31	131	26	22	4	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	2.9%	5.69	5.53	-0.3
2028	23	MLB CTX	BOS	14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	2.9%	5.69	5.53	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	13	11	2	0%	1.0	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	2.9%	5.69	5.15	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	144	26	0%	1.1	20.0%	16.7%	3.3%	2.9%	5.69	5.15	-1.4
Career	—	MLE		44	14	105	496	75	136	16	32%	2.4	15.1%	27.5%	-12.4%	3.1%	7.14	7.03	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		84	27	200	948	143	260	30	32%	2.4	15.1%	27.5%	-12.4%	3.1%	7.14	7.03	-2.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yoelvin Chirino (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.10	18.4%	20.0%	3.0%	—	5.53	20.0%	3.3%	31	-0.57	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	85
Hansel Rosario R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SW	5.54	19.2%	22.2%	2.3%	.306	7.16	16.3%	-21.0%	19	+1.62	5.25	107	84
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	83
Radhames Liz R 2007 · 5.07 FIP	23	SW	5.07	19.7%	18.0%	2.5%	.301	5.66	14.5%	2.3%	84	+0.59	2.81	219	83
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	83
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	80
Eury Rosado R 2023 · 6.56 FIP	22	SW	6.56	17.8%	18.2%	4.8%	.351	—	—	—	—	—	3.83	109	79
Johan Moreno R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	21	SW	6.25	13.2%	16.7%	3.9%	.325	4.36	20.7%	8.0%	115	-1.89	3.09	216	79
Conor Grady R 2021 · 5.28 FIP	22	SU	5.28	17.2%	19.0%	2.2%	.242	4.62	16.9%	5.1%	96	-0.66	4.62	108	79
Reynardo Cruz R 2022 · 5.44 FIP	20	SW	5.44	16.1%	18.2%	2.5%	.252	4.85	16.3%	-1.2%	66	-0.59	3.96	216	79
Fabian Anguamea R 2016 · 5.11 FIP	22	SU	5.11	16.6%	15.2%	2.7%	.295	4.53	15.8%	1.8%	96	-0.58	3.99	164	78
Aneudis Mejia R 2023 · 7.12 FIP	19	SW	7.12	18.7%	29.9%	3.3%	.404	5.03	16.9%	1.3%	102	-2.09	4.36	122	78
Blake Quinn R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	23	SW	5.41	16.9%	15.3%	3.3%	.328	4.42	17.1%	3.3%	48	-0.99	4.42	122	77
Junior Rincon R 2015 · 4.93 FIP	23	SU	4.93	17.8%	13.8%	2.9%	.318	3.75	17.6%	5.1%	82	-1.18	3.52	113	77
Justin Kelly R 2021 · 5.93 FIP	22	SU	5.93	15.5%	14.3%	4.2%	.259	4.93	15.4%	6.8%	149	-1.00	3.17	196	77
Ryan Cardona R 2022 · 5.07 FIP	22	SW	5.07	20.9%	17.7%	2.7%	.274	4.27	18.5%	4.3%	292	-0.80	3.62	367	77
Alex Makarewich R 2024 · 6.15 FIP	22	SP-	6.15	19.7%	26.7%	2.4%	.425	5.15	26.4%	-3.3%	83	-1.00	4.26	110	76
Joey Matulovich R 2019 · 5.52 FIP	22	SW	5.52	19.8%	14.6%	4.1%	.378	5.04	20.5%	8.9%	133	-0.48	3.22	201	76
Justin Ferrell R 2016 · 5.30 FIP	22	SW	5.30	14.9%	14.0%	3.1%	.261	4.34	20.4%	9.1%	173	-0.96	3.83	300	76
Austin Amaral R 2024 · 5.94 FIP	22	SU	5.94	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	.254	3.55	18.6%	6.3%	113	-2.39	3.53	136	76