Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 8 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 10.5% | 24.0% | -13.6% | 3.8% | 7.15 | 7.34 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Red | 8 | 0 | 11 | 52 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.4% | 19.2% | -3.8% | 1.9% | 7.15 | 5.48 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 12 | 7 | 37 | 159 | 40 | 23 | 3 | 58% | 3.1 | 17.1% | 18.1% | -1.0% | 2.7% | 3.16 | 5.42 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Red Sox Blue | 12 | 7 | 37 | 159 | 40 | 23 | 3 | 58% | 3.1 | 25.2% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 1.9% | 3.16 | 3.86 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 12 | 7 | 33 | 146 | 45 | 35 | 4 | 58% | 2.8 | 21.0% | 30.0% | -9.0% | 6.1% | 6.48 | 8.47 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 12 | 7 | 33 | 146 | 45 | 35 | 4 | 58% | 2.8 | 30.8% | 24.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 6.48 | 5.11 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | FCL Red Sox | 11 | 0 | 20 | 123 | 16 | 40 | 2 | 0% | 1.8 | 8.8% | 40.7% | -31.8% | 2.3% | 15.10 | 8.75 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | BOS | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 3.1% | 4.73 | 4.73 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | BOS | — | — | 39 | 204 | 35 | 49 | 5 | — | — | 16.9% | 24.2% | -7.3% | 2.2% | 9.98 | 6.76 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | BOS | 19 | 0 | 20 | 85 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | BOS | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.46 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.08 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 201 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 43 | 14 | 101 | 480 | 74 | 135 | 18 | 33% | 2.4 | 15.4% | 28.1% | -12.7% | 3.7% | 7.02 | 7.41 | -2.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 28 | 200 | 947 | 146 | 266 | 35 | 33% | 2.4 | 15.4% | 28.1% | -12.7% | 3.7% | 7.02 | 7.41 | -4.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yoelvin Chirino (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.73 | 22.8% | 11.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.46 | 23.8% | 13.4% | 20 | -0.27 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zurak R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.96 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.6% | .302 | 3.48 | 16.7% | 7.5% | 121 | -0.48 | 3.28 | 181 | 83 |
| Luis Romero R 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 82 |
| Inohan Paniagua R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.78 | 23.3% | 10.8% | 2.3% | .298 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 297 | +0.49 | 3.78 | 473 | 82 |
| Juan Mendez R 2027 · 4.47 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.47 | 20.5% | 14.2% | 2.4% | .271 | 5.06 | 21.9% | 6.1% | 128 | +0.59 | 3.55 | 156 | 82 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 81 |
| Brendan Collins R 2027 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 81 |
| Brandon Komar R 2025 · 4.63 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.63 | 17.7% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | 5.21 | 16.7% | 5.7% | 198 | +0.58 | 3.00 | 538 | 80 |
| Alec Barger R 2028 · 4.33 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.33 | 21.7% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .289 | 4.24 | 21.3% | 9.4% | 148 | -0.09 | 3.96 | 242 | 80 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 79 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2028 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 79 |
| Ben Anderson R 2028 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 78 |
| Cody Palmquist R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.04 | 21.9% | 9.0% | 3.0% | .278 | 5.78 | 14.7% | 7.1% | 62 | +1.74 | 4.04 | 104 | 78 |
| Franco Aleman R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 77 |
| Rolddy Muñoz R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.14 | 21.4% | 13.7% | 2.0% | .342 | 3.51 | 21.1% | 9.8% | 149 | -0.63 | 3.27 | 271 | 77 |
| Anthony Cruz R 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.61 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .192 | 5.46 | 16.2% | 1.7% | 148 | +1.85 | 3.26 | 245 | 77 |
| Huei-Sheng Lin R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.59 | 17.4% | 7.4% | 3.7% | .360 | 5.41 | 16.1% | 3.7% | 88 | +0.82 | 4.59 | 120 | 77 |
| Tanner Cooper R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.75 | 17.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% | .338 | 5.44 | 14.4% | 6.7% | 121 | +0.69 | 4.49 | 148 | 77 |
| William Kempner R 2027 · 3.94 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.94 | 21.5% | 12.2% | 2.0% | .277 | 3.32 | 29.2% | 14.5% | 112 | -0.62 | 3.29 | 173 | 77 |
| Todd Peterson R 2028 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.37 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% | .279 | 4.87 | 15.0% | 4.3% | 124 | -0.50 | 4.46 | 175 | 77 |
| Brandon Beckel R 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.66 | 19.4% | 10.3% | 1.6% | .250 | 4.18 | 18.8% | 10.2% | 119 | +0.52 | 3.66 | 166 | 77 |