Johan Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Johan Rodriguez P ACL Giants

Age 23 RHP 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 150142vR 134

ERA6.14

FIP6.14

K%21.1%

BB%22.8%

K-BB%-1.7%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	6	28	120	21	20	0	50%	2.3	11.9%	20.8%	-8.9%	0.0%	3.86	4.73	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Orange	12	6	28	120	21	20	0	50%	2.3	11.9%	20.8%	-8.9%	0.0%	3.86	4.73	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Orange	12	6	28	120	21	20	0	50%	2.3	17.5%	16.7%	0.8%	0.0%	3.86	3.74	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	14	3	40	195	55	42	0	21%	2.9	19.2%	26.9%	-7.7%	0.0%	5.58	4.89	—
2024	21	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	14	3	40	195	55	42	0	21%	2.9	19.2%	26.9%	-7.7%	0.0%	5.58	4.89	—
2024	21	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	14	3	40	195	55	42	0	21%	2.9	28.2%	21.5%	6.7%	0.0%	5.58	3.50	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	17	0	21	97	27	20	0	0%	1.2	18.9%	25.8%	-6.8%	0.0%	2.61	4.77	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Giants	17	0	21	97	27	20	0	0%	1.2	18.9%	25.8%	-6.8%	0.0%	2.61	4.77	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	ACL Giants	17	0	21	97	27	20	0	0%	1.2	27.8%	20.6%	7.2%	0.0%	2.61	3.39	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	17	0	19	96	26	23	2	0%	1.1	18.7%	26.1%	-7.4%	3.1%	4.26	6.52	—
YTD	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	17	0	19	96	26	23	2	0%	1.1	18.7%	26.1%	-7.4%	3.1%	4.26	6.52	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	ROK RAW	SF	16	0	19	91	25	19	2	0%	1.2	27.5%	20.9%	6.6%	2.2%	3.86	4.63	—
2026	23	A RAW	SF	1	0	0	5	1	4	0	0%	0.3	20.0%	80.0%	-60.0%	0.0%	27.00	11.54	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SF	35	0	37	157	34	30	4	0%	1.1	21.9%	18.9%	3.0%	2.8%	5.73	5.57	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	SF	15	0	16	68	15	13	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	18.9%	3.0%	2.8%	5.73	5.57	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	15	13	2	0%	1.1	21.9%	18.9%	3.0%	2.8%	5.73	5.19	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	163	25	0%	1.1	21.9%	18.9%	3.0%	2.8%	5.73	5.19	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		60	9	108	508	88	128	3	15%	1.8	17.3%	25.1%	-7.8%	0.6%	4.33	5.14	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		111	17	200	941	163	236	5	15%	1.8	17.3%	25.1%	-7.8%	0.6%	4.33	5.14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Johan Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.14	21.1%	22.8%	2.8%	—	5.57	21.9%	3.0%	37	-0.57	—	—	—
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	86
Jackson Rose R 2018 · 5.32 FIP	22	SU	5.32	17.3%	17.2%	2.8%	.267	4.77	23.5%	16.5%	56	-0.55	3.33	147	85
Andrew Schultz R 2019 · 5.25 FIP	22	SU	5.25	20.9%	17.8%	3.0%	.345	4.59	23.0%	4.7%	45	-0.66	3.10	167	84
Morgan McSweeney R 2021 · 5.36 FIP	23	SU	5.36	21.9%	16.3%	3.7%	.295	5.17	18.2%	4.9%	93	-0.19	3.20	213	83
Zach Barnes R 2022 · 5.35 FIP	23	SU	5.35	18.2%	22.0%	1.8%	.378	5.03	14.9%	1.5%	119	-0.32	4.90	145	83
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	82
Willian Suarez R 2021 · 5.23 FIP	23	SU	5.23	20.4%	17.3%	3.0%	.329	5.13	25.4%	9.5%	128	-0.10	3.99	219	82
Edward Baram R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	22	SU	5.05	18.5%	22.7%	1.2%	.354	5.57	15.4%	0.5%	95	+0.52	5.05	119	82
Tommy DeJuneas R 2019 · 5.15 FIP	23	SU	5.15	20.8%	18.8%	2.6%	.324	5.65	13.7%	-3.9%	51	+0.50	3.93	178	81
Yordy Cabrera R 2016 · 4.99 FIP	25	SU	4.99	15.8%	17.2%	1.9%	.321	4.17	13.7%	2.7%	140	-0.82	3.43	159	81
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	81
Jacob Morris R 2015 · 5.43 FIP	24	SU	5.43	18.0%	19.6%	2.5%	.218	4.77	18.7%	-2.4%	46	-0.66	4.77	102	80
Sal Biasi R 2019 · 5.22 FIP	23	SU	5.22	20.1%	15.8%	3.3%	.295	7.66	15.3%	-0.2%	23	+2.44	4.68	188	80
Juan Mendez R 2022 · 4.99 FIP	23	SU	4.99	21.0%	17.9%	2.5%	.279	5.12	22.5%	7.9%	82	+0.13	3.69	156	80
Cody Scroggins R 2021 · 5.35 FIP	24	SU	5.35	17.4%	15.1%	3.3%	.263	4.28	18.6%	4.4%	59	-1.07	3.78	108	80
Hunter Parsons R 2021 · 5.38 FIP	24	SU	5.38	21.4%	15.3%	3.9%	.247	4.80	21.5%	10.0%	115	-0.58	4.73	183	80
Luis Mora R 2019 · 5.27 FIP	24	SU	5.27	23.9%	22.7%	2.4%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.95	119	79
Brett Lockwood R 2021 · 5.46 FIP	24	SU	5.46	16.2%	15.5%	3.2%	.312	4.58	11.0%	-6.3%	79	-0.88	4.24	132	79
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	78
Jacob Wallace R 2022 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	24.6%	21.6%	3.4%	.237	4.27	22.9%	10.2%	153	-1.32	3.50	279	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.6%	20.1%	1.09	5.85
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99