Ben Williamson — OGILVIE

Ben Williamson3B Tampa Bay Rays

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 210 lbs MLB HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.640 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION219 act + 161 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 8276vR 60

AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .319 / .361

PA161

HR2

SB5

K%20

BB%7

BABIP319

ISO102

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

905.5%

xwOBA

280.282

POWER35

Barrel%

102.7

Avg EV

3788.1

Bat Spd

3870.0

EYE40

Chase%

9020.7%

SPEED55

Sprint

6828.2

Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 373 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

124

249

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

308

267

◀L

ISO

088

056

◀◀L

BABIP

356

316

◀L

21.0%

22.1%

◀L

BB%

6.5%

6.0%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.640 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.5M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$9M
2029	Arb-1	$3M	+1.2	$8M	+$6M
2030	Arb-2	$4M	+1.0	$6M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$36M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Modesto Nuts	—	38	36	6	1	1	0	1	13	1	1	0	167	211	250	461	83	261	34	3	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Modesto Nuts	—	38	35	8	2	1	0	2	10	1	1	0	229	289	343	632	114	320	26	5	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	541	483	119	29	2	5	43	144	12	19	6	246	323	346	669	99	338	27	8	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	2 teams	—	541	467	132	34	3	4	59	118	12	19	6	283	377	394	771	111	368	22	11	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	535	496	130	24	2	4	31	103	4	15	2	262	311	343	653	81	322	19	6	290	80	-12	+2	+1	+2	+15	0.9
2025	24	MLB	2 teams	—	535	487	136	25	2	6	40	96	4	15	2	279	339	376	715	97	336	18	7	321	104	+2	+2	+1	+2	+15	2.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	MLB	TB	—	219	198	50	9	1	2	19	42	1	8	1	253	321	338	659	86	312	19	9	297	85	-4	+1	-3	+1	+6	0.2
YTD	25	MLB	TB	—	219	198	50	9	1	2	19	42	1	8	1	253	321	338	659	86	312	19	9	300	88	-3	+1	-3	+1	+6	0.2
ROS	25	MLB	TB	100%	161	147	38	7	1	2	12	33	1	5	1	259	319	361	679	102	312	20	7	298	87	-2	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.3
ROS	25	MLB	TB	100%	161	147	38	7	1	2	12	33	1	5	1	259	319	361	679	102	316	20	7	295	84	-3	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.3
FULL	25	MLB	TB	—	380	345	88	16	2	4	31	75	2	13	2	255	320	348	668	93	315	20	8	296	85	-7	+2	-3	+1	+11	0.5
TOT	25	MLB	TB	—	380	345	88	16	2	4	31	75	2	13	2	255	320	348	668	93	315	20	8	297	86	-6	+2	-3	+1	+11	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	TB	82%	623	566	144	27	3	7	47	126	5	19	4	254	317	350	667	95	312	20	8	299	87	-9	+2	-0	+2	+18	1.3
2028	27	MLB	TB	82%	610	553	141	26	3	7	47	124	5	19	3	255	319	351	670	96	312	20	8	299	87	-9	+3	-0	+2	+17	1.4
2029	28	MLB	TB	82%	598	541	135	25	2	6	47	122	5	17	3	250	315	336	652	87	311	20	8	298	86	-9	+2	-1	+2	+17	1.2
2030	29	MLB	TB	82%	586	531	133	25	2	6	46	121	4	16	3	250	315	339	654	89	311	21	8	296	85	-10	+2	-1	+2	+17	0.9
2031	30	MLB	TB	82%	574	520	129	24	2	6	45	120	4	14	3	248	313	337	649	88	309	21	8	293	82	-11	+2	-2	+2	+16	0.7
2032	31	MLB	TB	82%	563	510	125	23	2	5	44	119	4	12	2	245	310	327	637	82	306	21	8	288	79	-13	+2	-3	+2	+16	0.3
2033	32	MLB	TB	82%	552	500	119	21	2	4	43	119	4	10	2	238	303	312	615	74	302	22	8	282	74	-16	+1	-4	+2	+16	-0.1
2027	26	MLB	TB	82%	511	463	119	22	2	5	39	103	4	16	3	257	320	346	666	89	316	20	8	296	84	-9	+2	-0	+2	+14	0.9
2028	27	MLB	TB	82%	500	453	116	21	2	5	39	102	4	15	3	256	321	344	665	88	316	20	8	296	84	-9	+2	-0	+2	+14	0.9
2029	28	MLB	TB	82%	490	445	113	20	2	5	38	100	4	14	3	254	318	342	660	88	315	20	8	295	84	-9	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.8
2030	29	MLB	TB	82%	481	436	111	20	2	5	38	99	4	13	2	255	320	344	664	89	315	21	8	293	82	-10	+2	-1	+2	+14	0.6
2031	30	MLB	TB	82%	471	428	107	19	2	4	37	98	3	11	2	250	314	332	646	82	313	21	8	290	80	-11	+1	-2	+2	+13	0.4
2032	31	MLB	TB	82%	462	420	103	18	2	4	36	98	3	10	2	245	309	326	636	81	310	21	8	285	76	-12	+1	-2	+2	+13	0.1
2033	32	MLB	TB	82%	453	411	98	17	1	3	36	98	3	8	1	238	304	307	611	68	306	22	8	279	72	-15	+1	-3	+2	+13	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3824	3480	875	157	14	34	290	795	27	97	18	251	314	334	648	82	315	21	8	289	80	-88	+12	-8	+15	+108	4.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	149	27	2	6	49	135	5	16	3	252	315	334	649	83	315	21	8	289	80	-15	+2	-1	+2	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	5381	4883	1219	232	22	52	406	1144	49	147	29	250	314	338	652	88	314	21	8	293	83	-105	+18	-10	+19	+152	7.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	147	28	3	6	49	138	6	18	4	249	313	337	650	88	314	21	8	293	83	-13	+2	-1	+2	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	22	A	Modesto Nuts	—	38	35	8	2	1	0	2	10	1	1	0	229	289	343	632	114	320	26	5	285	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	23	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	411	356	97	23	2	3	44	97	9	15	6	272	367	374	740	101	364	24	11	338	117	+8	+1	—	—	+12	2.0
2024	23	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	130	111	35	11	1	1	15	21	3	4	0	315	411	459	870	144	378	16	12	388	155	+8	+1	—	—	+4	1.3
2025	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	295	277	70	13	0	1	15	64	1	5	1	253	294	310	604	58	325	22	5	273	67	-11	+1	+1	+2	+8	0.1
2025	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	240	210	66	12	2	5	25	32	3	10	1	314	395	462	857	148	349	13	10	380	149	+13	+2	—	—	+7	2.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	295	277	70	13	0	1	15	64	1	5	1	253	294	310	604	58	325	22	5	273	67	-11	+1	+1	+2	+8	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,261	41	111	251	310	337	+15	-4	6.1	5.9
	/162	664	6	17	251	310	337	+2.4	-0.6	0.9	pk7: 6
#2Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	8	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
	/162	664	3	39	259	315	337	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	7	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
	/162	664	6	35	246	327	342	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#4Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Luis Rivaslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,279 PA	7	2,279	33	81	257	303	376	-0	-5	3.8	3.8
#5Luis Rivaslast yr '08 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,279 PA	/162	664	10	24	257	303	376	-0.0	-1.4	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ben Williamson (OGILVIE)	25	50	35	55	40	255/320/348	93	315	4	13	20%	8%	86	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oscar Castaneda 2008 · AAA	25	50	42→40	55	42	243/299/350	107	304	10	20	23%	5%	82	+0.5	222/283/303	81	279	6	11	21%	6%	63	-0.8	202/270/243	41	257	0	4	20%	7%	39	-0.5
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2020 · MLB	25	50→56	39→40	49→55	47	239/298/332	93	287	6	11	19%	6%	77	+0.1	256/308/346	90	296	7	17	15%	6%	85	+0.7	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
✕Gorkys Hernández 2013 · MLB	25	50→59	39→45	54→55	44	236/294/329	93	315	5	21	26%	7%	74	-0.1	232/282/321	89	328	6	23	29%	6%	67	-0.5	263/321/381	118	325	11	16	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Austin Wates 2014 · AAA	25	53→58	40	56→55	43	254/305/348	95	317	7	22	22%	5%	84	+0.6	242/296/319	77	305	3	24	20%	6%	72	-0.2	243/298/308	65	307	2	27	20%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Adalberto Santos 2013 · AA	25	54→53	40→45	56→55	49	255/316/353	98	311	6	23	19%	7%	89	+1.0	240/300/340	100	315	8	18	24%	7%	80	+0.4	238/300/337	99	314	8	19	25%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Damian Rolls 2003 · MLB	25	53→52	40→45	47→55	44	255/296/355	100	305	7	18	19%	5%	82	+0.5	236/290/339	103	297	9	15	22%	6%	76	+0.0	228/283/317	89	292	7	15	23%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Tyler Saladino 2015 · AAA	26	48→47	41→45	55	46	232/291/332	100	294	8	20	23%	7%	74	-0.1	237/286/339	102	291	9	22	21%	6%	73	-0.1	225/286/324	99	288	10	17	24%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Carlos Febles 2001 · MLB	25	52	38→40	51→55	56	245/328/324	79	275	6	21	13%	9%	89	+0.9	240/313/341	101	277	9	18	16%	8%	86	+0.8	236/309/328	92	275	8	19	16%	8%	79	+0.1
✕Mike McBryde 2010 · AAA	25	52→56	40	51→55	40	251/290/341	90	317	7	21	23%	4%	76	+0.0	229/270/327	98	308	8	15	27%	4%	63	-0.8	182/225/242	60	278	4	16	35%	3%	20	-0.7
✕Tim Lopes 2019 · AAA	25	53→61	38→45	51→55	45	249/294/332	83	306	4	19	20%	6%	75	-0.0	237/290/354	117	300	10	22	23%	6%	79	+0.3	229/287/357	129	291	12	23	25%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Josh Barfield 2008 · MLB	25	52→57	43→45	52→55	43	254/291/365	111	299	10	19	19%	5%	82	+0.5	233/261/326	93	280	8	12	19%	3%	59	-1.1	233/261/326	93	267	6	15	15%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Christian Lopes 2018 · AAA	25	47→50	41→45	51→50	46	225/282/329	104	275	7	14	21%	6%	69	-0.4	226/299/345	119	276	11	15	21%	8%	82	+0.5	218/301/343	126	271	13	13	23%	9%	80	+0.2
✕Yung-Chi Chen 2008 · AAA	25	53→58	42→45	51→55	44	256/296/365	109	304	8	16	19%	5%	84	+0.6	229/274/313	84	277	6	14	19%	6%	62	-0.9	218/264/290	72	263	4	12	18%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Joey Rickard 2016 · AAA	25	53→61	38→45	54→55	51	247/325/340	93	316	4	18	22%	9%	91	+1.1	243/304/350	107	301	9	13	21%	7%	85	+0.7	235/300/365	130	290	12	10	22%	7%	85	+0.5
✕Kevin Russo 2010 · AAA	26	55→59	39→40	49→50	46	263/308/353	90	316	6	15	18%	6%	86	+0.8	238/288/310	72	305	4	14	22%	6%	66	-0.6	232/284/292	60	302	2	14	22%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Dalton Pompey 2018 · MLB	25	49→59	39→45	52→55	45	235/288/323	88	299	6	21	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/292/331	103	311	9	16	28%	8%	75	-0.0	234/297/344	110	309	11	17	26%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Brian Bixler 2008 · AAA	25	53→56	40→45	56→55	41	246/308/346	100	344	6	19	29%	6%	85	+0.7	238/293/342	104	349	7	20	32%	5%	77	+0.1	243/297/345	102	351	6	19	31%	6%	75	+0.0
✕Willie Bloomquist 2005 · MLB	27	51→56	40	55→60	47	246/300/341	96	303	7	23	21%	7%	79	+0.3	247/298/327	80	294	5	26	17%	6%	76	+0.0	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
●Kevin Newman 2019 · MLB	25	53→62	38→45	50	46	252/292/334	82	286	4	17	14%	5%	74	-0.1	261/305/363	102	288	8	14	12%	5%	87	+0.8	259/304/359	101	278	8	10	10%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Brendan Ryan 2007 · AAA	25	51→61	39→40	52→55	47	245/289/336	91	282	6	14	16%	6%	73	-0.1	250/299/337	87	289	6	19	15%	6%	78	+0.2	259/310/346	87	299	5	20	14%	6%	81	+0.3