Charlie Beilenson

Charlie Beilenson P Arkansas Travelers

Age 26 RHP 6'0" / 215 lbs AA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION52 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 113104vR 96

ERA4.18

FIP4.18

K%22.4%

BB%5.6%

K-BB%16.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF—55

CTRL—55

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	4	0	4	18	4	5	0	0%	0.9	22.2%	27.8%	-5.6%	0.0%	2.45	4.74	—
2024	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	4	0	4	18	4	5	0	0%	0.9	22.2%	27.8%	-5.6%	0.0%	2.45	4.74	—
2024	24	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	4	0	4	18	4	5	0	0%	0.9	22.2%	27.8%	-5.6%	0.0%	2.45	5.01	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	63	262	75	12	10	0%	1.4	22.5%	5.2%	17.3%	5.1%	4.02	4.63	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	44	0	63	262	75	12	10	0%	1.4	22.5%	5.2%	17.3%	5.1%	4.02	4.63	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	44	0	63	262	75	12	10	0%	1.4	28.6%	4.6%	24.0%	3.8%	4.02	3.36	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	44	0	52	223	64	21	5	0%	1.2	23.4%	9.5%	13.9%	2.6%	4.99	3.75	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	44	0	52	223	64	21	5	0%	1.2	23.4%	9.5%	13.9%	2.6%	4.99	3.75	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AA RAW	SEA	29	0	40	156	51	11	3	0%	1.4	32.7%	7.1%	25.6%	1.9%	2.02	2.29	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	SEA	15	0	12	67	13	10	2	0%	0.8	19.4%	14.9%	4.5%	3.0%	14.59	4.99	—
ROS	26	MLB MLE	SEA	6	0	6	25	6	1	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	5.6%	16.8%	3.4%	4.18	4.18	+0.0
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	SEA	—	—	58	248	70	22	6	—	—	28.1%	9.0%	19.0%	2.4%	4.91	3.80	+0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	SEA	66	0	69	291	65	17	10	0%	1.0	22.5%	6.0%	16.5%	3.4%	4.22	4.23	+0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	SEA	64	0	67	282	63	18	10	0%	1.0	22.4%	6.4%	16.0%	3.5%	4.28	4.32	+0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	SEA	61	0	64	270	60	18	10	0%	1.0	22.2%	6.8%	15.5%	3.6%	4.38	4.45	+0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	SEA	25	0	26	110	25	7	4	0%	1.0	22.5%	6.0%	16.5%	3.4%	4.22	4.23	+0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	SEA	38	0	40	169	38	11	6	0%	1.1	22.4%	6.4%	16.0%	3.5%	4.28	4.32	+0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	SEA	43	0	45	190	42	13	7	0%	1.0	22.2%	6.8%	15.5%	3.6%	4.38	4.45	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		106	0	111	469	105	30	17	0%	1.0	22.3%	6.4%	15.9%	3.5%	4.31	3.97	+0.8
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	189	54	31	0%	1.1	22.3%	6.4%	15.9%	3.5%	4.31	3.97	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		92	0	119	503	115	40	19	0%	1.3	22.8%	7.9%	15.0%	3.8%	4.40	4.25	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	848	194	67	32	0%	1.3	22.8%	7.9%	15.0%	3.8%	4.40	4.25	+0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Charlie Beilenson (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.18	22.4%	5.6%	3.4%	—	4.33	22.4%	16.0%	200	+0.15	—	—	—
Danny Farquhar R 2015 · 3.85 FIP	28	SU	3.85	22.4%	6.8%	3.2%	.324	3.84	22.0%	12.8%	135	-0.01	3.62	224	86
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	85
James Farris R 2017 · 3.77 FIP	25	SU	3.77	24.4%	6.6%	3.5%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	170	84
Deolis Guerra R 2015 · 3.48 FIP	26	SU	3.48	23.5%	4.9%	3.2%	.291	3.65	21.9%	15.7%	179	+0.17	2.53	364	84
Ryan Garton R 2016 · 3.14 FIP	26	SU	3.14	21.8%	6.3%	2.0%	.325	3.97	24.1%	12.0%	175	+0.83	3.14	307	84
Trevor Frank R 2017 · 4.08 FIP	26	SU	4.08	22.2%	4.5%	4.2%	.327	5.05	17.6%	11.5%	38	+0.97	2.39	154	84
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	84
Joe Broussard R 2017 · 3.83 FIP	26	SU	3.83	23.5%	7.9%	3.1%	.316	3.72	21.1%	12.0%	95	-0.11	2.62	304	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	83
Bryan Shaw R 2015 · 3.90 FIP	27	SU	3.90	20.4%	6.8%	3.0%	.276	3.54	23.3%	15.0%	198	-0.36	2.78	596	83
Michael Tonkin R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	25.4%	7.6%	4.1%	.338	4.09	27.3%	16.7%	85	-0.08	2.31	480	83
Austin Brice R 2018 · 4.36 FIP	26	SU	4.36	21.3%	5.8%	4.2%	.274	4.23	22.9%	12.6%	111	-0.13	3.42	542	83
Jonathan Aro R 2017 · 3.72 FIP	26	SU	3.72	25.3%	6.9%	3.4%	.252	3.56	14.6%	8.1%	108	-0.16	2.57	323	82
Sam Wolff R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	26.6%	8.0%	2.8%	.291	2.98	24.1%	13.3%	63	-0.42	2.66	178	82
John Brebbia R 2016 · 4.11 FIP	26	SU	4.11	18.6%	6.6%	3.2%	.346	3.20	27.6%	21.4%	215	-0.91	2.89	575	81
Ryan Tepera R 2015 · 4.17 FIP	27	SU	4.17	21.1%	7.2%	3.5%	.174	3.40	24.7%	16.0%	206	-0.77	2.35	445	81
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	81
Tommy Hunter R 2015 · 3.72 FIP	29	SU	3.72	18.9%	4.8%	2.9%	.295	3.14	21.2%	15.9%	172	-0.58	2.78	316	81
A.J. Achter R 2015 · 4.23 FIP	26	SU	4.23	22.7%	6.8%	4.0%	.196	5.32	13.1%	4.7%	113	+1.09	4.23	174	81
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.3	67	22.4%	6.2%	1.36	4.26
Eli Morgan ('24)	1.3	66	23.8%	6.4%	1.46	3.97
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Mike Mayers ('23)	1.2	47	24.3%	7.8%	1.50	4.47
Erik Swanson ('24)	1.3	51	26.2%	6.5%	1.57	3.70
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Craig Stammen ('22)	2.0	66	23.0%	5.4%	1.19	3.36