Charlie Beilenson
P
Arkansas Travelers
Age 26
RHP
6'0" / 215 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION39 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%22.4%
BB%7.2%
K-BB%15.2%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 109 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A | Modesto Nuts | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.2% | 27.8% | -5.6% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 4.74 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Modesto Nuts | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.9 | 22.2% | 27.8% | -5.6% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 5.01 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 63 | 262 | 75 | 12 | 10 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.5% | 5.2% | 17.3% | 5.7% | 4.02 | 5.00 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 44 | 0 | 63 | 262 | 75 | 12 | 10 | 0% | 1.4 | 28.6% | 4.6% | 24.0% | 3.8% | 4.02 | 3.36 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | 28 | 0 | 39 | 152 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.1% | 8.0% | 18.2% | 2.4% | 2.08 | 3.20 | +0.6 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 67 | 0 | 70 | 296 | 66 | 21 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 3.6% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | SEA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 3.6% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 109 | 448 | 115 | 32 | 14 | — | — | 25.7% | 7.2% | 18.5% | 3.1% | 3.62 | 4.02 | +1.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | SEA | — | — | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.4% | 7.2% | 15.2% | 3.6% | 4.48 | 4.10 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 66 | 0 | 69 | 291 | 65 | 22 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 4.49 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 64 | 0 | 67 | 282 | 63 | 22 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 3.7% | 4.53 | 4.58 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | SEA | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 3.6% | 4.49 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 7.7% | 14.7% | 3.7% | 4.53 | 4.58 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 64 | 0 | 67 | 284 | 64 | 22 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 3.6% | 4.51 | 4.17 | +0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 66 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.4% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 3.6% | 4.51 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 76 | 0 | 105 | 432 | 103 | 31 | 19 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 7.1% | 16.6% | 4.3% | 3.25 | 4.36 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 144 | 0 | 200 | 820 | 195 | 58 | 35 | 0% | 1.4 | 23.7% | 7.1% | 16.6% | 4.3% | 3.25 | 4.36 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Charlie Beilenson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.4% | 7.2% | 3.6% | — | 4.54 | 22.4% | 14.9% | 136 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Danny Farquhar R 2028 · 3.84 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.84 | 22.4% | 6.8% | 3.2% | .324 | 3.81 | 22.0% | 12.8% | 135 | -0.03 | 3.57 | 224 | 88 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2028 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 87 |
| Joe Broussard R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 23.5% | 7.9% | 3.1% | .316 | 3.66 | 21.1% | 12.0% | 95 | -0.18 | 2.61 | 304 | 87 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 21.6% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .316 | 6.96 | 13.7% | 6.1% | 26 | +3.15 | 3.81 | 233 | 86 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 86 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 86 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.55 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.4% | .256 | 3.88 | 23.2% | 11.1% | 95 | -0.67 | 2.74 | 188 | 85 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 85 |
| Colton Murray R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 21.2% | 9.4% | 2.8% | .295 | 4.19 | 21.8% | 13.1% | 41 | +0.15 | 3.43 | 187 | 85 |
| Michael Tonkin R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 25.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | .338 | 4.04 | 27.3% | 16.7% | 85 | -0.12 | 2.33 | 480 | 85 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2027 · 3.90 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.90 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.48 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.42 | 2.78 | 596 | 85 |
| John Brebbia R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.03 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .346 | 3.14 | 27.6% | 21.4% | 215 | -0.89 | 2.81 | 574 | 85 |
| Ryan Tepera R 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.18 | 21.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | .174 | 3.38 | 24.7% | 16.0% | 206 | -0.80 | 2.33 | 445 | 84 |
| Fernery Ozuna R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 22.4% | 8.7% | 3.0% | .324 | 5.77 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 49 | +1.80 | 3.97 | 157 | 84 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 84 |
| Steve Geltz R 2027 · 4.00 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.00 | 22.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .209 | 4.89 | 22.2% | 12.0% | 89 | +0.89 | 3.58 | 157 | 83 |
| Trent Harris R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 23.1% | 8.4% | 3.0% | .320 | 4.51 | 22.3% | 10.5% | 29 | +0.66 | 3.45 | 163 | 83 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 83 |
| James Farris R 2025 · 3.50 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.50 | 24.4% | 6.6% | 3.0% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.47 | 170 | 83 |
| Juan Ramon Noriega R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.52 | 21.3% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .243 | 3.63 | 24.8% | 17.1% | 57 | -0.89 | 3.56 | 198 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 69 | 22.4% | 7.4% | 1.40 | 4.50 |
| Fernando Salas ('18) | 4 | 59 | 22.5% | 6.6% | 1.22 | 4.42 |
| Mike Mayers ('23) | 5 | 47 | 24.3% | 7.8% | 1.50 | 4.47 |
| Eli Morgan ('24) | 4 | 66 | 23.8% | 6.4% | 1.46 | 3.97 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |