Charlie Condon

OF Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 24 R/R 6'5" / 216 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

Overview

AAAPROSPECTFG #40MiLBFA 2034

Scout OFP53ETA2028FG ETA2026MLB%14%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	22	AACOL	237	.235/.346/.465	11	1	78	—	.194/.291/.345
2025	22	A+COL	167	.312/.431/.420	3	0	84	—	.233/.329/.308
2026	23	AAACOL	598	.273/.392/.514	27	8	107	—	.235/.331/.417
2027PROJ14% MLB	24	MLBCOL	45	.246/.337/.438	2	0	105	0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	25	MLBCOL	272	.251/.341/.455	10	3	109	0.7
2029PROJ65% MLB	26	MLBCOL	372	.253/.342/.465	15	4	112	1.1

Next 3 projected WAR 2.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2033Service0.0First FA2034

2027MiLB2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Arb-1$4M2032Arb-2$5M2033Arb-3$5M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Chase%92

Max EV91

Speed77

BB%72

K%38

Whiff%36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -1 / P90 17, comp-based) · star 6% · didn't stick 62%

CompsMark Vientos (age 24) · Khalil Greene (age 24) · Zach Lutz (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†105

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .337 / .438

PA45

HR2

K%29

BB%9

BABIP326

ISO250

MLB%14%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 62

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT49

scouting grade only

POWER62

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED39

scouting grade only

DEFENSE46

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$7M	+$6M
2031	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$6M	+$4M
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$5M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$27M	+$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	109	100	18	4	1	1	4	34	5	4	0	180	248	270	518	90	262	31	4	240	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	237	200	47	7	3	11	25	67	9	1	0	235	346	465	811	230	288	28	11	356	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	167	138	43	6	0	3	26	35	3	0	2	312	431	420	851	109	400	21	16	390	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	29	27	8	3	0	0	1	10	1	1	0	296	345	407	752	111	471	34	3	338	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	98	83	28	1	2	1	12	17	3	0	0	337	439	434	873	96	415	17	12	397	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	498	136	25	7	27	79	150	18	8	5	273	392	514	906	241	336	25	13	397	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	109	101	15	3	1	1	3	46	5	4	0	149	211	228	439	79	234	42	3	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	237	206	40	6	2	7	19	80	9	1	0	194	291	345	635	150	266	34	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	167	146	34	5	0	2	18	47	3	0	2	233	329	308	638	75	326	28	11	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	29	27	5	2	0	0	1	14	1	1	0	185	241	259	501	74	355	48	3	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	520	122	21	7	20	57	180	18	8	5	235	331	417	748	183	312	30	10	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	109	101	15	3	1	1	3	46	5	4	0	149	211	228	439	79	259	42	3	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	109	100	18	4	1	1	4	34	5	4	0	180	248	270	518	90	262	31	4	240	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	531	465	98	16	3	12	47	173	16	2	2	211	305	335	640	125	304	33	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA RAW	4 teams	—	531	448	126	17	5	15	64	129	16	2	2	281	390	442	832	161	362	24	12	373	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	520	122	21	7	20	57	180	18	8	5	235	331	417	748	183	316	30	10	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA RAW	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	498	136	25	7	27	79	150	18	8	5	273	392	514	906	241	336	25	13	397	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	109	100	15	3	1	1	3	46	5	4	0	150	211	230	441	80	234	42	3	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	531	463	98	16	3	12	47	173	16	2	2	212	305	337	642	125	295	33	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	518	122	21	7	20	57	180	18	8	5	236	331	419	750	183	312	30	10	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	109	100	15	3	1	1	3	46	5	4	0	150	211	230	441	80	234	42	3	175	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AA MLE	4 teams	—	531	463	98	16	3	12	47	173	16	2	2	212	305	337	642	125	295	33	9	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	598	518	122	21	7	20	57	180	18	8	5	236	331	419	750	183	312	30	10	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	14%	380	331	77	13	4	12	35	112	11	4	2	231	323	398	722	168	307	29	9	323	105	+2	+0	-0	-2	+8	0.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	14%	45	40	11	2	1	2	4	13	1	0	0	246	337	438	775	192	326	29	9	343	105	+0	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	49%	557	486	114	20	5	19	51	161	15	6	3	235	327	414	741	179	307	29	9	330	109	+6	+0	-0	-3	+12	1.5
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	65%	572	500	119	21	5	21	52	164	15	6	3	237	328	423	752	186	306	29	9	334	112	+8	+0	-0	-3	+12	1.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	70%	577	504	120	21	5	21	53	164	15	5	3	237	327	420	747	183	305	28	9	332	111	+7	-0	-0	-3	+13	1.6
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	73%	576	504	119	21	5	20	53	163	14	4	3	235	325	414	739	179	303	28	9	329	109	+6	-0	-1	-3	+12	1.4
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	73%	571	500	117	21	4	19	52	162	14	2	2	233	321	408	729	174	301	28	9	325	106	+4	-0	-2	-3	+12	1.1
2033	30	MLB MLE	COL	72%	564	495	114	20	4	19	51	162	13	0	2	230	318	399	717	169	298	29	9	320	103	+2	-1	-2	-3	+12	0.8
2034	31	MLB MLE	COL	72%	556	489	111	19	4	18	49	161	13	0	1	226	313	389	702	164	295	29	9	314	99	-1	-0	-3	-3	+12	0.4
2035	32	MLB MLE	COL	72%	546	481	106	18	4	16	48	161	12	0	1	220	307	376	683	156	291	29	9	306	93	-4	-0	-4	-3	+12	0.0
2036	33	MLB MLE	COL	72%	355	313	66	11	2	10	31	107	8	0	0	214	299	361	660	147	285	30	9	297	87	-5	+0	-4	-2	+8	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	49%	272	237	59	10	4	10	25	79	8	3	1	251	341	455	796	205	326	29	9	351	109	+3	+0	-0	-2	+6	0.7
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	65%	372	325	83	14	5	15	34	107	10	4	2	253	342	465	808	212	325	29	9	355	112	+5	+0	-0	-2	+8	1.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	70%	405	355	89	15	5	16	37	115	10	4	2	252	341	461	802	209	324	28	9	353	111	+5	+0	-0	-2	+9	1.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	73%	420	369	92	16	5	16	38	119	10	3	2	251	338	454	792	204	321	28	9	349	109	+4	-0	-1	-3	+9	1.0
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	73%	414	364	90	15	5	16	37	117	10	1	2	248	335	446	781	198	319	28	9	345	106	+3	-1	-1	-2	+9	0.8
2033	30	MLB CTX	COL	72%	407	358	87	15	4	15	37	117	9	0	1	245	331	437	768	193	316	29	9	339	103	+1	-0	-2	-2	+9	0.6
2034	31	MLB CTX	COL	72%	401	353	84	14	4	14	36	116	9	0	1	240	325	426	751	186	312	29	9	333	99	-1	-0	-2	-2	+9	0.3
2035	32	MLB CTX	COL	72%	393	347	80	13	4	13	34	116	9	0	1	234	319	411	730	177	307	30	9	324	93	-3	-0	-3	-2	+9	-0.0
2036	33	MLB CTX	COL	72%	255	225	50	8	2	8	22	77	6	0	0	227	311	394	705	167	301	30	9	314	87	-4	+0	-3	-2	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3339	2933	714	120	38	123	300	963	81	15	12	243	330	436	766	193	317	29	9	341	100	+14	-2	-13	-20	+72	5.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	138	23	7	24	58	187	16	3	2	242	329	433	761	191	314	29	9	341	100	+3	-0	-3	-4	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6432	5637	1285	223	52	206	576	1898	167	41	27	228	318	396	713	168	302	30	9	316	100	+25	-3	-18	-31	+113	8.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	570	130	23	5	21	58	192	17	4	3	228	318	396	714	168	303	30	9	316	100	+3	-0	-2	-4	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brad Wilkersonlast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	122	53	247	350	440	-35	-8	15.8	16.3
/162	664	22	9	-6.2	-1.4	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#3Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Hunter Renfroelast yr '25 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,727 PA	5.6	3,727	188	15	235	297	458	-40	-32	7.3	8.0
/162	664	33	3	-7.1	-5.7	1.3	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	5.1	3,384	112	15	231	316	403	-20	-8	8.1	7.9
/162	664	22	3	-4.0	-1.5	1.6	pk7: 8
#5Leroy Stanton'70-'78 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,883 PA	4.3	2,883	77	36	245*	314*	430*	-33	-1	6.5	7.8
/162	664	18	8	-7.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 9
#6Scott Spiezio'96-'07 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,412 PA	6.6	4,412	119	33	245*	318*	406*	-34	-15	7.5	7.8
/162	664	18	5	-5.2	-2.3	1.1	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Charlie Condon (OGILVIE)	24	45→49	55→62	40→39	46	229/321/395	166	307	10	4	29%	9%	105	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Mark Vientos 2024 · MLB	24	47→51	55→60	42→30	41	243/300/429	186	320	24	2	31%	7%	104	+1.6	247/304/446	199	308	26	2	28%	7%	109	+2.0	244/301/449	205	295	28	0	27%	7%	109	+1.5
●Khalil Greene 2004 · MLB	24	47→53	51→60	45	45	237/300/403	166	294	18	8	26%	7%	97	+1.1	254/315/425	171	290	18	6	18%	7%	108	+1.9	252/315/425	173	286	18	6	18%	7%	109	+1.7
✕Zach Lutz 2011 · AAA	25	48	51→55	39→30	47	240/313/402	162	305	19	3	27%	8%	102	+1.5	244/315/399	155	334	18	2	30%	8%	102	+1.5	240/314/384	145	333	16	0	31%	9%	96	+0.6
●Jordan Luplow 2018 · MLB	24	46→49	51→65	44→50	48	236/304/398	161	281	18	6	23%	8%	98	+1.2	247/324/427	180	294	20	9	22%	9%	112	+2.2	239/330/443	204	281	23	8	23%	11%	117	+1.5
●Nolan Reimold 2008 · AA	24	45→55	52→60	43→50	45	228/296/395	167	296	19	9	29%	8%	95	+0.9	249/320/415	166	287	20	9	20%	8%	107	+1.9	247/323/404	157	279	19	9	19%	9%	105	+1.6
●Willy Adames 2020 · MLB	24	51→54	49→60	44→50	46	253/313/398	145	327	17	7	27%	8%	101	+1.4	255/320/450	195	331	23	7	29%	9%	116	+2.5	231/320/430	199	277	26	11	26%	11%	112	+2.5
●Josh Jung 2022 · AAA	24	53→60	53→60	45	43	267/322/444	176	331	20	6	25%	6%	115	+2.4	252/299/437	185	328	24	6	30%	5%	105	+1.7	264/314/409	145	321	16	4	22%	6%	104	+1.1
●Pedro Álvarez 2012 · MLB	25	45→48	52→65	43→45	45	231/300/401	170	310	20	3	31%	9%	97	+1.1	236/300/447	211	295	30	4	30%	8%	108	+1.9	236/300/460	224	282	33	4	29%	8%	112	+2.0
●Casey Schmitt 2023 · AAA	24	45→51	47→60	44→50	42	229/283/364	135	295	16	4	28%	6%	82	+0.0	239/290/379	140	297	16	7	24%	6%	88	+0.4	252/301/436	185	287	25	9	22%	5%	107	+1.2
●Domingo Santana 2017 · MLB	24	52→56	52→60	40→50	47	250/331/420	170	362	20	6	34%	10%	113	+2.3	257/339/442	185	367	22	10	33%	10%	121	+2.9	256/339/441	185	366	23	10	33%	10%	121	+2.5
✕Alex Liddi 2013 · MLB	24	47→57	51→60	46→50	40	233/286/398	165	323	18	9	33%	6%	91	+0.7	210/254/347	137	316	15	9	37%	5%	67	-1.1	221/267/370	149	294	16	10	30%	5%	75	-0.4
✕Kyle Blanks 2011 · MLB	24	48→58	52→55	46→45	48	240/326/408	167	317	19	5	29%	9%	109	+2.0	234/299/404	170	310	18	6	29%	7%	97	+1.1	239/308/413	174	308	20	3	28%	7%	103	+0.9
✕Kyle Parker 2014 · AA	24	48→51	52→55	42→45	44	245/303/407	163	304	20	4	26%	7%	99	+1.3	228/272/352	124	306	13	6	29%	5%	74	-0.5	217/260/330	112	297	12	5	30%	5%	63	-1.0
●Devin Mesoraco 2012 · MLB	24	46→50	53→60	42→40	45	239/295/416	177	281	20	3	23%	6%	99	+1.2	237/293/397	160	272	19	3	20%	7%	94	+0.9	235/319/433	198	264	26	1	22%	9%	112	+1.1
✕Connor Norby 2024 · AAA	24	48→51	50→55	48→50	44	242/302/398	155	309	17	10	27%	7%	97	+1.1	248/313/406	158	334	18	13	29%	8%	103	+1.5	247/320/404	157	334	17	14	30%	8%	104	+1.4
●Andrés Chaparro 2023 · AA	24	45→51	54→60	47→40	46	235/305/416	181	288	22	6	27%	8%	103	+1.5	231/294/398	167	282	20	5	25%	7%	95	+0.9	240/313/431	191	283	24	2	24%	8%	107	+1.3
●Todd Frazier 2010 · AAA	24	48→52	48→60	43→50	45	242/293/393	151	288	15	8	22%	6%	92	+0.7	235/289/400	165	294	18	12	26%	6%	93	+0.8	245/310/456	211	270	30	14	22%	8%	114	+2.6
✕Jordan Westburg 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	50→60	50	45	233/304/391	158	314	16	11	30%	8%	97	+1.1	248/305/429	181	306	21	9	25%	6%	105	+1.7	254/308/447	193	302	23	7	24%	6%	110	+1.6
●Spencer Torkelson 2024 · MLB	24	43→45	55→60	45→40	51	227/308/415	188	272	23	3	26%	10%	103	+1.6	229/313/423	194	290	24	3	28%	10%	107	+1.9	227/317/425	198	291	25	1	30%	10%	110	+2.2
●Luis Urías 2021 · MLB	24	49→59	47→55	46→45	48	241/319/380	139	306	14	7	25%	8%	99	+1.3	237/328/398	161	282	19	5	22%	10%	107	+1.9	228/328/385	157	271	19	3	22%	11%	105	+1.3

Charlie Condon

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps